APA Corporation

APA Corporation (APA) Market Cap

APA Corporation has a market capitalization of $13.44B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $38.06

β–² 0.46 (1.22%)

Market Cap: 13.44B

NASDAQ Β· time unavailable

CEO: John J. Christmann

Sector: Energy

Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

IPO Date: 1979-05-15

Website: https://apacorp.com

APA Corporation (APA) - Company Information

Market Cap: 13.44B Β· Sector: Energy

APA Corporation, through its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas properties. It has operations in the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, as well as has exploration activities offshore Suriname. The company also operates gathering, processing, and transmission assets in West Texas, as well as holds ownership in four Permian-to-Gulf Coast pipelines. APA Corporation was founded in 1954 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Analyst Sentiment

59%
Buy

Based on 51 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $28.19

Average target (based on 5 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$21

Median

$32

High

$45

Average

$32

Downside: -14.7%

Price & Moving Averages

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πŸ“˜ Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

πŸ“˜ APA Corporation (APA) β€” Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

APA Corporation is an independent energy company primarily engaged in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. Its core business spans the acquisition, development, and operation of upstream energy assets, with a diversified portfolio across multiple geographic regions. The company operates production sites in North America, as well as select international markets, focusing on both conventional and unconventional resource plays. APA serves a diverse customer base that includes oil and gas refiners, marketers, and utility companies, which rely on the energy resources produced through APA's operations. The company's business model is centered on maximizing hydrocarbon recovery from its asset base through technical innovation, efficient capital allocation, and disciplined risk management.

πŸ’° Revenue Model & Ecosystem

APA Corporation generates revenue primarily from the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. This revenue is influenced by commodity prices, production volumes, and the company's ability to optimize its asset portfolio. While predominantly an upstream producer, APA also derives value from joint ventures, production sharing contracts, and other partnership structures in various jurisdictions. The company's ecosystem interlinks upstream exploration and production activities with midstream partners and downstream customers, supporting an integrated approach to market access and resource monetization across enterprise-level relationships, rather than direct consumer sales.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: APA is a recognized player in the independent exploration and production sector, known for operational expertise and strategic asset management.
  • Switching costs: Relationships in the oil and gas industry are anchored by long-term supply contracts and significant capital investment, fostering partner and customer stickiness.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: The company leverages a network of joint ventures, royalty partnerships, and logistical agreements that create enduring value chains across its operational footprint.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: APA’s scale allows it to optimize procurement, manage exploration risk, and drive efficiencies across field development and production programs.

πŸš€ Growth Drivers Ahead

APA’s future growth prospects are underpinned by several multi-year strategic drivers. The ongoing development of core resource plays in key regions, continued portfolio optimization, and technology-driven productivity enhancements form the backbone of organic growth. Strategic diversification into international markets and unconventional formations provides further growth optionality, as does the potential for resource discoveries through exploration. The company is also positioned to benefit from possible energy transition opportunities through improvements in carbon efficiency, emissions management, and potential exposure to emerging energy value chains.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

APA operates in a highly cyclical and competitive industry. Key risks include sustained commodity price volatility, cost inflation pressures, regulatory and environmental compliance, and geopolitical uncertainties in certain operating jurisdictions. The sector faces evolving energy policies and increased scrutiny of carbon emissions, which could impact APA's license to operate and future capital allocation. Ongoing advancements in alternative energy sources also pose a risk of long-term fossil fuel demand erosion, underscoring the need for continuous adaptation and operational excellence.

πŸ“Š Valuation Perspective

Market participants tend to value APA Corporation on a relative basis against its independent exploration and production peers. The company's valuation is often influenced by its asset quality, production mix, capital efficiency, and geographic diversification. APA may trade at a premium or discount depending on investor views regarding its operational resilience, growth prospects, and exposure to commodity price cycles versus the peer group.

πŸ” Investment Takeaway

APA Corporation offers investors exposure to a diversified upstream energy portfolio with a track record of operational adaptability and asset optimization. Bullish perspectives center on the company’s disciplined capital management, potential for reserve growth, and successful navigation of industry cycles. The bear case highlights uncertainties surrounding long-term oil and gas demand, regulatory shifts, and the volatility inherent in commodity-focused businesses. Overall, APA represents a dynamic, leveraged play on global energy markets, with risk and opportunity closely tied to sector fundamentals and execution of its strategic roadmap.


⚠ AI-generated research summary β€” not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Fundamentals Overview

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πŸ“Š AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"For the quarter ending December 31, 2025, APA Corporation reported revenue of $1.991 billion and net income of $279 million, resulting in EPS of $0.79. The net margin was approximately 14%. Free cash flow was robust at $808 million, underpinning the company's operational strength without incurring capital expenditures. Year-over-year growth was modest, reflecting stability in its financial performance. The balance sheet remains strong with total assets of $17.761 billion against liabilities of $6.638 billion, providing solid equity of $12.033 billion and net debt of $3.764 billion. Despite no activities in stock repurchase or issuance, APA paid steady quarterly dividends of $0.25 per share, indicating a focus on returning value to shareholders. Valuation analysis as of February 26, 2026, shows an analyst consensus price target of $27.75, within a range of $21 to $40. The lack of data on P/E, FCF yield, and ROE limits precise valuation assessment, yet the consensus suggests moderate growth expectations. Overall, APA demonstrates balanced financial health and ongoing commitment to shareholder returns with a moderately positive analyst sentiment."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue growth is steady but not exceptional, showing consistency without significant acceleration.

Profitability

Positive

Strong net margin of 14% and consistent EPS indicate efficient operations and profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Robust free cash flow and healthy operating cash suggest strong liquidity and financial management.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Solid equity position with controlled net debt enhances financial stability and resilience.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Stable quarterly dividends support investor returns; absence of buybacks this period.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Analyst consensus is moderately positive, with a balanced price target reflecting reasonable valuation expectations.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Management sounded confidentβ€”underscoring a Permian inventory upgrade, a materially lower controllable spend profile, and 2026 production stability despite weather. The Q&A, however, adds concrete friction points: LOE is expected to be slightly above 2025 in 2026 due to Permian/North Sea market headwinds, and execution variability already showed up with ~3,000 bpd of weather-related downtime in Q1 2026. On Egypt, the candor is sharper in the quarterβ€”gross gas was 501 MMcf/d below guidance from unplanned temporary pipeline disruptions late in Q4 (remediated afterward). The analyst pressure focused on how much β€œbeat” came from run-time vs completions vs weather; management quantified the drivers roughly as 1/3 each (weather, TIL cleanup, underlying run time). For the CapEx question, APA quantified LOE impact: the ~$100M capital is expected to reduce LOE by ~$3.5+ million per month (~$40M–$50M annual), supporting a 1–2 year payback, while also targeting uptime and shifting high-LOE inventory left in the economic skyline.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Permian: incremental completion activity and improved run time drove Q4 oil production above guidance
  • Permian: ramp of densified development (tighter spacing enabled by lower costs) improving inventory quality and durability
  • Egypt: gas-weighted strategy under new gas pricing framework; gross gas target 540–550 million cubic feet per day in 2026
  • Egypt: targeted waterflood activity stabilizing gross volumes over the past three quarters
  • Exploration: Alaska Sockeyeβ€”ice road build this winter for late-2026/early-2027 drilling; likely exploration well plus an appraisal; Suriname Block 58 exploration drilling planned (late Q4 timeframe for the well/spud date not set)

Business Development

  • Suriname: partner Total advancing toward mid-2028 first oil (Granmorgu capital allocation for development)
  • Alaska: reprocessing new seismic data to mature inventory on Sockeye/Tumbleweed analog prospects (no named JV partner disclosed in transcript)
  • Egypt: withdrawal from a small noncore concession (asset exit within portfolio high-grading; quantified impact in supplement)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 GAAP net income: $279 million ($0.79/diluted share)
  • Q4 adjusted net income: $324 million ($0.91/diluted share), excluding after-tax items including $36 million noncash impairments and $29 million unrealized hedge losses, offset by $47 million gain on decommissioning contingency
  • Q4 free cash flow: $425 million; returned to shareholders: $154 million
  • Full-year free cash flow: >$1 billion; returned 63% to shareholders via dividends + share repurchases
  • Net debt: just below $4 billion, down ~ $1.4 billion vs year-end 2024; moving closer to long-term $3 billion net debt target
  • 2025 proved reserves: +~9% YoY to >1 billion barrels of oil equivalent; all-in reserve replacement ratio >160%
  • 2026 capital: U.S. development ~ $1.2 billion (Permian) plus ~$100 million base capital projects, totaling ~ $1.3 billion Permian capital
  • 2026 production guidance (U.S.): maintain relatively flat oil production ~120,000 to 122,000 bpd despite weather-related downtime; Q&A confirms ~3,000 bpd weather-related downtime already experienced in Q1
  • Q4 U.S. oil beat attribution (analyst follow-up): management indicated roughly 1/3 eachβ€”(i) virtually no weather downtime in Q4, (ii) TILs cleaning up earlier, (iii) phenomenal underlying run-time improvement
  • Egypt Q4 miss: gross gas 501 MMcf/d below guidance due to unplanned temporary pipeline disruptions late in the quarter (remediated; operations resumed)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • 2025 returned ~63% of free cash flow to shareholders (common dividends + share repurchases); Q4 specifically returned $154 million
  • 2026 capital plan totals: portfolio spend $2.1 billion (about 10% lower than last year)
  • Suriname GranMorgu development capital: ~$230 million (2026 allocation)
  • Exploration spend: ~$70 million in 2026 (Alaska prep/ice roads ~$20 million; Suriname Block 58 prep and late-year drilling ~$50 million)
  • Decommissioning/ARO: gross spend ~ $280 million in 2026; net spend after 40% North Sea tax benefit ~ $225 million
  • Oil & gas trading portfolio: expected ~$650 million pretax income in 2026 (strip pricing)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Controllable spend reduction: exited 2025 at $350 million run-rate; achieved original target 2 years ahead of schedule; management expects controllable spend to decline another $200 million in 2026
  • 2026 LOE: expected slightly above 2025 due to operating expense savings being offset by market-related headwinds primarily in the Permian and North Sea
  • Permian LOE capital projects (~$100 million): designed to reduce LOE, improve reliability/uptime, and address high-LOE areas/inventory economics; includes some replacement of rented equipment with owned capital (rental-to-capital portion noted)
  • Permian operational hurdle acknowledged: weather downtime materially impacting guidance and observed ~3,000 bpd weather-related downtime already in Q1 2026

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 U.S. oil production: ~120,000 to 122,000 bpd; includes weather-related downtime assumption reflected by already observed ~3,000 bpd in Q1
  • 2026 Egypt production: invest ~$500 million to slightly grow BOE YoY; gross oil declines slightly while gross gas grows; gas guidance ~540–550 MMcf/d
  • Alaska exploration cadence: build ice roads this winter for late-2026/early-2027 drilling season; likely exploration well + appraisal at Sockeye; reprocessed seismic still being obtained

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Weather-related downtime: Q1 2026 already experiencing ~3,000 bpd weather-related downtime impacting the forward outlook
  • Egypt operational risk realized in Q4: unplanned temporary pipeline disruptions late in the quarter reduced gross gas production to 501 MMcf/d below guidance (operations later resumed)
  • LOE pressure in 2026: despite cost-saving initiatives, LOE expected slightly above 2025 due to market-related headwinds in the Permian and North Sea
  • Portfolio execution risk: Alaska exploration schedule dependent on reprocessed seismic readiness and ice road build timing (appraisal/exploration planned for early 2027 timeframe, spud dates not fully set)

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the APA Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (APA)

Β© 2026 Stock Market Info β€” APA Corporation (APA) Financial Profile