Dillard's, Inc.

Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Market Cap

Dillard's, Inc. has a market capitalization of $9.47B.

Price: $606.27

-7.23 (-1.18%)

Market Cap: 9.47B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: William T. Dillard

Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Industry: Department Stores

IPO Date: 1980-03-17

Website: https://www.dillards.com

Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) - Company Information

Market Cap: 9.47B|Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Company Profile

Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United States. Its stores offer merchandise, including fashion apparel for women, men, and children; and accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings, and other consumer goods. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 280 Dillard's stores, including 30 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com. It also engages in the general contracting construction activities. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Little Rock, Arkansas.

Analyst Sentiment

8%
Underperform

From 3 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $557.50

▼ -8.0% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$465

Median

$558

High Bound

$650

Average

$558

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$557.50
▼ -8.04% Upside
Low Target
$465.00
-23% Risk
Median Target
$557.50
-8% Mid
High Target
$650.00
7% Max
Consensus
Hold
2 / 13 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMay 2, 2026Jan 31, 2026Nov 1, 2025Aug 2, 2025May 3, 2025Feb 1, 2025Nov 2, 2024Aug 3, 2024
Market Cap ($M)9,4688,8229,4789,3617,3565,7427,4435,9585,882
Enterprise Value ($M)8,8668,2209,1748,7616,8955,3967,2805,5355,496
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)14.398.8011.6118.0325.238.768.6811.9519.74
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)0.350.21
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)1.435.554.766.284.793.713.634.113.88
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)4.674.365.334.583.833.094.143.033.02
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)12.6025.4449.4761.25122.4326.6121.3140.97-62.36
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)5.174.615.884.493.493.553.813.63
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)10.0030.4134.8041.0749.5020.4923.4326.5637.59
Debt to Equity Ratio-0.680.270.310.270.290.300.310.280.29

DDS Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$606.27
Intrinsic Value$873.15
Market Alignment
Undervalued by 44.0%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 0%0%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.89B
Perpetuity TV Value$16.84B
Discounted TV (PV)$7.11B
TV Weighting %57.4%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 DILLARDS INC CLASS A (DDS) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Dillard’s operates a department-store value chain that blends disciplined merchandising with omni-channel execution. The company buys apparel and accessories across brand categories, curates assortments for targeted customer segments, and sells through a portfolio of department stores and an e-commerce platform. Store operations drive high-touch selling (styling, fitting, service) while digital channels extend reach, capture demand outside mall catchments, and support more efficient inventory distribution. The economic engine relies on maintaining full-price selling strength—minimizing discounting through accurate demand forecasting—and converting inventory into cash with repeatable inventory turns.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily transactional (seasonal apparel and discretionary categories) with incremental contribution from e-commerce. Monetisation is driven by three linked margin levers:

  • Merchandise margin: gross margin strength depends on product mix, brand sourcing costs, and markdown discipline.
  • Inventory velocity: faster turns reduce markdown pressure and lower effective holding costs.
  • Operating leverage: fixed-cost absorption from stable store traffic and efficient fulfillment supports a path to improved profitability when demand normalizes.

While revenue is not “recurring” in the subscription sense, Dillard’s can sustain customer engagement through loyalty/credit relationships and the habit of category replenishment (e.g., accessories and occasionwear), which helps stabilize demand patterns across the retail cycle.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Dillard’s competes in the department-store channel, where competitive outcomes hinge less on pure brand awareness and more on merchandising competence, inventory discipline, and distribution efficiency.

Moat: Scale/Distribution leverage and Merchandising execution

  • Scale in procurement and assortment building: A larger, category-diverse merchandising engine enables better vendor terms, more effective buy planning, and improved allocation of scarce inventory across stores and digital fulfillment.
  • Omni-channel operational integration: Digital demand can be served from a unified inventory strategy, reducing stockouts and improving sell-through while supporting efficient transportation/fulfillment.
  • Location and tenant economics: Department stores with durable mall and downtown-market placements benefit from higher customer concentration in specific trade areas, supporting consistent store productivity versus weaker footprints.
  • Private-label / exclusive merchandise selection (where applicable): Exclusive assortment reduces direct price comparability and can mitigate markdown frequency when consumer demand shifts within a category.

Competitive benchmarking (industry focus vs. peers)

  • Macy’s: broader national department-store exposure; competes on fashion breadth and promotional intensity. Dillard’s tends to emphasize differentiated assortments and execution discipline designed to protect full-price sales.
  • Nordstrom: premium customer service positioning and strong online styling reputation; competes with a service-led retail model and higher-end assortment. Dillard’s competes by leveraging scale merchandising and trade-area store productivity rather than pure service differentiation.
  • Kohl’s: historically supported by promotional mechanics and an affordable value proposition; competitors benefit from different customer price sensitivities. Dillard’s positioning focuses on merchandising selection and inventory control to reduce dependence on heavy promotions.

Compared with off-price specialists (e.g., TJX) that monetize episodic inventory buying and price transparency, Dillard’s competitive focus remains on optimizing the full-price channel through assortment quality and operational execution.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • Omni-channel penetration with inventory-led advantage: Sustainable e-commerce growth that leverages store inventory and logistics can improve customer reach while preserving margins through better sell-through.
  • Category mix and margin management: Shifting assortment toward product categories that match evolving consumer preferences supports gross margin resilience and reduces markdown reliance.
  • Channel share gains from weaker operators: In discretionary retail, operationally disciplined retailers typically gain share when inventory planning and markdown execution outperform.
  • Store portfolio optimization: Rationalizing underperforming locations and investing in productivity-enhancing initiatives can improve the cash generation profile over a full retail cycle.
  • Improving working capital efficiency: Inventory planning, faster turns, and disciplined buying support stronger free cash flow conversion even when revenue growth is modest.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Consumer discretionary cyclicality: Department stores remain exposed to demand softness, which increases markdown pressure and can compress gross margin.
  • Fashion/inventory risk: Incorrect demand forecasting raises inventory obsolescence and accelerates discounting.
  • Competitive pricing pressure: Off-price retailers and digitally native competitors can reset perceived value and increase the promotional burden across the category.
  • Leverage from operating costs and real estate: Store fixed-cost structure and lease-related constraints can limit downside flexibility during weaker demand periods.
  • Execution risk in digital fulfillment: Growth in e-commerce requires continuous improvement in fulfillment cost, returns handling, and inventory accuracy.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Equity valuation for department-store operators typically reflects a combination of profitability cyclicality and operating leverage. Markets often look through to normalized earnings power, with key valuation sensitivities tied to:

  • Gross margin durability: markdown rate trends and merchandise margin mix.
  • Inventory turns and cash conversion: working capital efficiency as a driver of free cash flow.
  • Comparable sales quality: the balance between traffic and conversion, and the sustainability of full-price selling.
  • Operating expense discipline: ability to manage fixed costs while investing in omni-channel capabilities.

Common valuation frameworks include EV/EBITDA and P/E for normalized earnings, with price-to-sales sometimes used to benchmark the scale of revenue against improving margin structure. Durable re-rating generally requires evidence of sustained operating execution rather than purely top-line growth.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Dillard’s investment case rests on the ability to convert scale into disciplined merchandising economics: strong inventory management, omni-channel integration that supports sell-through, and a store footprint that can maintain customer concentration in targeted trade areas. The core risk is discretionary demand volatility and fashion/inventory execution. Over a full retail cycle, the market rewards retailers that protect full-price sales and cash generation while investing selectively in digital and productivity initiatives.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for DDS.

zacks.com2026-06-04

Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for June 4th

KEYS, DDS and ATLC made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list on June 4th, 2026.

zacks.com2026-06-04

New Strong Buy Stocks for June 4th

FMX, FAF, WMG, DDS and ATLC have been added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List on June 4th, 2026.

zacks.com2026-06-02

Dillard's (DDS) is a Top-Ranked Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?

Wondering how to pick strong, market-beating stocks for your investment portfolio? Look no further than the Zacks Style Scores.

globenewswire.com2026-05-28

Dillard's, Inc. Announces $0.30 Cash Dividend

LITTLE ROCK, Ark., May 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Dillard's, Inc. (DDS-NYSE) (the “Company” or “Dillard's”) announced that the Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.30 per share on the Class A and Class B Common Stock of the Company. The dividend is payable August 3, 2026 to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2026.

forbes.com2026-05-23

7 Special Dividend Payers Shelling Out Up To 14.6%

Using vanilla websites for your dividend research? Be careful.

zacks.com2026-05-22

3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldn't Overlook Dillard's (DDS)

Dillard's (DDS) is well positioned to outperform the market, as it exhibits above-average growth in financials.

marketbeat.com2026-05-19

Dillard's Posted a Huge Earnings Beat—So Why Did the Rally Fade?

Dillard's Inc. NYSE: DDS stock surged after the company posted a massive first-quarter earnings beat, but the rally quickly faded as investors realized much of the upside was tied to a litigation settlement. Shares ultimately ended the session only slightly higher, as investors appeared more cautious after digging into the report.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-15

Dillard's: Strength Is Temporary

Dillard's, Inc. reported a clear improvement in sales growth in Q1, also helping margin stability. The improvement is driven by tariff-related apparel inflation instead of DDS's operational strength. DDS's outlook is still weak. E-commerce continues to erode department store traffic, and the consumer sentiment is currently very low.

zacks.com2026-05-14

Dillard's Q1 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates, Retail Sales Up 3%

DDS tops Q1 estimates as comparable-store sales rise 3%, boosted by merchandise demand and margin gains.

zacks.com2026-05-14

Buy Dillard's (DDS) Stock After Its Massive Q1 Earnings Beat?

Dillard's (DDS) gave a reminder of why it has quietly been one of retail's strongest long-term performers after crushing Q1 earnings expectations on Thursday morning.

benzinga.com2026-05-14

Nasdaq Jumps Over 200 Points; Dillard's Shares Gain After Q1 Earnings

U.S. stocks traded higher midway through trading, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining around 200 points on Thursday.

zacks.com2026-05-14

Dillard's (DDS) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

Dillard's (DDS) came out with quarterly earnings of $16.04 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.13 per share. This compares to earnings of $10.39 per share a year ago.

globenewswire.com2026-05-14

Dillard's, Inc. Reports First Quarter Results

LITTLE ROCK, Ark., May 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Dillard's, Inc. (NYSE: DDS) (the “Company” or “Dillard's”) announced operating results for the 13 weeks ended May 2, 2026. This release contains certain forward-looking statements. Please refer to the Company's cautionary statements included below under “Forward-Looking Information.”

globenewswire.com2026-05-13

Dillard's, Inc. to Report First Quarter Results

LITTLE ROCK, Ark., May 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Dillard's, Inc. (DDS: NYSE) will announce results for the 13 weeks ended May 2, 2026 tomorrow before the open of the New York Stock Exchange.

defenseworld.net2026-04-26

Abacus FCF Advisors LLC Has $7.12 Million Stock Holdings in Dillard’s, Inc. $DDS

Abacus FCF Advisors LLC grew its holdings in Dillard's, Inc. (NYSE: DDS) by 37.3% in the undefined quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 11,741 shares of the company's stock after acquiring an additional 3,191 shares during the period. Abacus FCF Advisors LLC

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-05-02

"Dentsply Sirona (DDS) reported Q1’26 Revenue of $1.57B and Net Income of $250.6M (EPS $16.04). Versus the same quarter last year (Q1’25), Revenue rose from $1.55B to $1.57B (+1.3% YoY) and Net Income increased from $163.8M to $250.6M (+53.0% YoY). Sequentially (QoQ), Revenue fell from $1.99B in Q4’25 to $1.57B in Q1’26 (-21.1% QoQ), while Net Income rose from $204.1M to $250.6M (+22.8% QoQ), implying strong cost/profit normalization even as top-line softened. Profitability improved materially: net margin expanded from 10.6% (Q1’25) to 15.98% (Q1’26), and also versus Q4’25 (10.26%), indicating operating leverage and/or a more favorable mix. Operating cash flow was $364.0M and free cash flow was $346.8M, supporting a modest dividend outflow of $4.7M; there were no buybacks reported this quarter. Balance sheet resilience appears solid with $1.26B cash + short-term investments and net debt of about -$0.80B (net cash), though liquidity is partially offset by higher inventory ($1.51B). On total shareholder returns, the stock shows very strong price momentum: +92.9% over 1Y. With a negligible dividend yield (~0.05%), performance is driven overwhelmingly by capital appreciation."

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue was roughly flat YoY (+1.3% to $1.57B) but down sharply QoQ (-21.1% vs Q4’25), suggesting volatility in the quarterly run-rate.

Profitability

Strong

Net income surged YoY (+53.0%) and QoQ (+22.8%) while net margin expanded from 10.6% (Q1’25) to 16.0% (Q1’26), indicating strong margin expansion.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Operating cash flow of $364.0M and free cash flow of $346.8M more than cover the small dividend payment (-$4.7M). No buybacks were reported in the quarter.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Good

Net cash position improved (net debt about -$0.80B) with higher cash/short-term investments ($1.26B+). Total assets rose to $4.14B with equity at $2.60B.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Exceptional 1-year price momentum (+92.9%) drives total return; dividend yield is very small (~0.05%), so shareholder rewards come primarily from capital appreciation.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Price is $605.77 vs consensus target ~$557.5, implying shares trade above the typical target range; valuation metrics are not provided here beyond the snapshot.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for DDS.

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SEC Filings (DDS)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Financial Profile