Evolent Health, Inc.

Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH) Market Cap

Evolent Health, Inc. has a market capitalization of .

No quote data available.

CEO: Seth Barrie Blackley

Sector: Healthcare

Industry: Medical - Healthcare Information Services

IPO Date: 2015-06-05

Website: https://www.evolent.com

Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH) - Company Information

Market Cap: -|Sector: Healthcare

Company Profile

Evolent Health, Inc., a prominent healthcare firm, operates through its subsidiary, Evolent Health LLC, to furnish clinical and administrative solutions to both healthcare payers and providers across the United States. Its operations are divided into two principal segments: Evolent Health Services and Clinical Solutions. The Evolent Health Services division delivers an integrated platform encompassing both administrative and clinical functions, specifically designed for health plan management and the oversight of population health. This includes essential financial and administrative support, such as managing health plan operations, risk assessment, robust analytics and reporting, and strategic leadership. A cornerstone of this segment is "Identifi," its proprietary technology, which intelligently aggregates and analyzes data, streamlines care workflows, and actively engages patients, all with the aim of achieving patient-centered and cost-effective population health outcomes. Conversely, the Clinical Solutions segment specializes in offering sophisticated care management services for various stakeholders involved in specialty care delivery. These services are crucial for organizations transitioning from traditional fee-for-service models to value-based care, accommodating their unique stage of development and prevailing market dynamics, particularly in the fields of oncology and cardiology. The overarching objective of this segment is a holistic improvement in the total cost of care. Founded in 2011, Evolent Health, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Arlington, Virginia.

Analyst Sentiment

79%
Strong Buy

From 16 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $6.88

▲ +0.0% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$4

Median

$7

High Bound

$10

Average

$7

Price & Moving Averages

Loading chart...

🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$6.88
▲ +122.65% Upside
Low Target
$3.50
13% Risk
Median Target
$7.00
127% Mid
High Target
$10.00
224% Max

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

Sentiment volume allocation data unavailable.

Historical valuation matrix unavailable.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 EVOLENT HEALTH INC CLASS A (EVH) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Evolent Health operates at the intersection of healthcare administration, clinical operations, and analytics for payors and provider organizations. The core “how it works” model is a combination of (1) technology enablement and data integration and (2) managed clinical and operational services that run alongside payer and provider workflows.

In practice, Evolent typically embeds into customer environments to support value-based care and population health initiatives—linking claims and member/patient data to care management programs, operational tooling, and quality reporting. This creates end-to-end execution capacity: from identifying eligible patients and stratifying risk, to coordinating care interventions, monitoring outcomes, and reporting performance against contractual requirements.

Because customers rely on Evolent to execute ongoing processes—not only to deliver one-time software—the relationship tends to be durable and operationally “sticky.”

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Evolent’s revenue model is generally characterized by a mix of recurring contract revenue and service revenue tied to ongoing care management and analytics programs. The monetisation structure typically reflects:

  • Recurring platform and program fees: compensation for technology-enabled workflows and operational program delivery under multi-year arrangements.
  • Managed services revenue: clinical and operational labor (and associated overhead) delivered through standardized delivery playbooks, often expanding with the scope of programs.
  • Implementation and professional services: onboarding, integration, and configuration work that tends to be front-loaded and supports longer-duration subscription/program economics.
  • Performance or incentive components (where contractually applicable): economics that may vary with quality, outcomes, or utilization targets, aligning incentives with value-based care objectives.

Margin drivers typically include: customer concentration management, utilization of delivery resources, the degree of automation in workflows, and mix shift toward technology-led or higher-leverage program scopes (where fixed costs can be spread across a broader population or more programs).

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Evolent’s moat is primarily rooted in switching costs and integrated execution capacity:

  • High Switching Costs (Workflow & Data Integration): Once integrated into payer/provider systems and care-management workflows, replacing the vendor requires re-building clinical operations processes, re-integrating data flows, and re-training teams. This is operationally costly and time-consuming, especially where value-based contracts depend on consistent measurement and reporting.
  • Data Gravity / Execution Learnings: Continuous program execution generates operational learning—risk stratification refinement, workflow tuning, and compliance/reporting patterns—that are difficult to replicate quickly by new entrants.
  • Integrated Ecosystem (Technology + Managed Ops): Many competitors can offer either software or services. Evolent’s positioning emphasizes coupling tooling with hands-on operational delivery, improving adoption and measurable performance over contract lifecycles.

Competitive benchmarking:

  • Optum (UnitedHealth Group): Broad vertically integrated healthcare services with in-house platforms and capabilities across the care continuum. Evolent competes more specifically on program delivery and data/operations enablement for value-based care initiatives rather than full-system integration.
  • Change Healthcare: Strong presence in revenue cycle and health information technology. Evolent’s focus centers more on care management and population health execution with operational workflow delivery, rather than revenue cycle digitization alone.
  • Health Catalyst: Analytics and performance improvement tooling. Evolent differentiates by pairing analytics/data use with managed operational execution within customer care programs, not analytics as a standalone layer.

Overall, Evolent tends to compete where customers value operational capability, measurable program execution, and reduced implementation risk—factors that reinforce switching costs over time.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, several structural drivers support demand for Evolent’s services and platforms:

  • Shift toward value-based care and accountability: Payors and provider networks need scalable infrastructure to manage outcomes, quality metrics, and cost trends across populations.
  • Rising chronic disease burden and complexity of care coordination: Effective care management for high-risk members requires operational workflows, not only models.
  • Performance reporting and regulatory compliance requirements: Increasing emphasis on measurement and auditability supports vendors with integrated reporting and operational execution.
  • Continued adoption of data-driven care programs: Health plans seek to convert data into actionable workflows for clinical teams and operational staff.
  • TAM expansion through broader program scope: Existing customers can expand footprints (more lines of business, more geographies, larger member populations, additional care programs), which supports revenue durability and operating leverage.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Contract and reimbursement risk: Value-based contract design can shift, and performance expectations can tighten, affecting program economics and incentive components.
  • Regulatory and compliance exposure: Healthcare data privacy/security (HIPAA and related requirements), documentation standards, and quality/reporting rules create ongoing operational risk.
  • Technology and operational disruption: New clinical workflows, interoperability standards, or automation approaches may reduce differentiation if the platform does not keep pace.
  • Concentration and procurement dynamics: Large payors often use competitive rebid cycles; losing scoped work can pressure growth.
  • Execution and delivery scalability: Managed services require labor capacity and process discipline; operational underperformance can increase costs and reduce program attractiveness.

📊 Valuation & Market View

The market typically values healthcare services/software firms using a blend of:

  • Revenue growth and visibility (subscription/program durability and scope expansion),
  • Operating margin trajectory (scale, automation, and delivery leverage), and
  • Cash flow conversion (working capital efficiency and sustainability of profitability).

Key valuation sensitivity often centers on whether revenue mix shifts toward higher-leverage, technology-enabled components and whether customer relationships translate into sustained program renewals and broader deployments.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Evolent Health’s long-term investment case rests on structural customer stickiness driven by workflow integration and operational switching costs, supported by an integrated technology + managed services model suited to value-based care execution. If the company maintains program performance, expands within existing customer relationships, and preserves its ability to operationalize analytics into measurable outcomes, it has the profile of a durable healthcare infrastructure provider in a market that continues to demand accountability and scale.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"EVH reported Q1 2026 revenue of $496.2M and net income of -$26.6M (EPS -$0.24). On a year-over-year basis, revenue rose to $496.2M from $483.6M in Q1 2025 (+2.6% YoY), while net income improved materially versus -$64.6M in Q1 2025 (loss narrowed by ~58.8%). Sequentially, revenue increased from $468.7M in Q4 2025 (+5.9% QoQ) and net income improved from -$429.1M to -$26.6M (substantial improvement QoQ), indicating sharp volatility in profitability. Profitability remains weak: Q1 gross margin was 16.9% versus -4.2% in Q4 (step-up QoQ). Operating and net margins are still deeply negative at -102.1% operating margin and -5.4% net margin. Cash flow quality is currently pressured but improving structurally: Q1 operating cash flow was -$1.0M and free cash flow was -$7.4M, down QoQ from positive operating cash flow in Q4 ($48.8M). Balance-sheet resilience looks mixed—equity is $396.4M (down from $415.2M in Q4), but net debt is favorable at -$130.1M (net cash) versus net debt of +$837.8M in Q4. Shareholder returns are negative: the stock is down -69.2% over 1Y, with no buyback data provided; dividend yield is not meaningfully indicated."

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue grew +2.6% YoY to $496.2M, and +5.9% QoQ from $468.7M, showing modest top-line improvement despite ongoing volatility.

Profitability

Neutral

Net income loss narrowed sharply YoY (from -$64.6M to -$26.6M) and improved QoQ (from -$429.1M to -$26.6M). However, margins are still weak (Q1 net margin -5.4%; operating margin -102.1%), implying persistent structural cost pressure.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Q1 operating cash flow was -$1.0M and free cash flow -$7.4M (both negative). This contrasts with Q4 operating cash flow of +$48.8M, indicating inconsistent cash generation.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

EVH has net cash position in Q1 2026 (netDebt -$130.1M) versus net debt in Q4 2025 (+$837.8M). Total assets declined slightly QoQ ($1.90B to $1.88B) and equity declined modestly ($415.2M to $396.4M), but liquidity appears supported.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Total shareholder return is likely negative given the -69.2% 1Y price decline. No repurchase activity is provided in the cash flow, and dividend context appears limited/unsustained.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Caution

With price at $2.84 and consensus target $6.38, implied upside is substantial. However, profitability uncertainty and cash flow volatility reduce confidence despite the valuation support.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

EVH delivered Q1 2026 revenue of $496M (+9% sequential ex-ECP) and adjusted EBITDA of $22M, with MER improving ~150 bps to 93%. The quarter’s profitability benefited from Q4 normalization but was challenged by elevated oncology prevalence in a few exchange markets and by specialty T&S revenue pressure tied to the assumed ~40% exchange membership decline, including grace-period servicing costs. Management reiterated full-year guidance (revenue $2.4B–$2.6B; adjusted EBITDA $110M–$140M; MER ~93%) while emphasizing MER seasonality: MER expected to peak in Q3 as Highmark launch reserves build, then improve through year-end via contractual true-ups and clinical program impacts. Commercial momentum remains a key offset: Performance Suite wins include Aetna (Jan 1) and Highmark (May 1), plus two Q3-launch contracts—advanced imaging for 4.5M lives and an oncology/cardiology expansion expected to generate $200M+ annual revenue. AI automation progress supports cost initiatives, with a stated goal of automating ~80% of authorization volume.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Performance Suite launch momentum: Aetna go-live January 1; clinical intervention and provider engagement metrics above internal Q1 targets
  • Highmark Performance Suite launch on May 1 with early ramp driving expectation that MER peaks in Q3
  • Cross-sell expansion: existing Performance Suite client adding advanced imaging for 4.5M lives (commercial, Medicaid, MA) going live Q3 subject to state regulatory approvals
  • Performance Suite expansion: national payer client expanding oncology + cardiology solution into new markets for commercial + MA, expected to generate $200M+ annual revenue, going live Q3 subject to state regulatory approvals
  • AI/automation scaling: auto-approval increases in high teens (up to ~30% in some cases) on evaluated models with minimal clinical value loss; goal to improve ~80% of authorization volume via automation

Business Development

  • Aetna: Performance Suite launch on January 1; early indicators positive on clinical intervention/provider engagement
  • Highmark: Performance Suite launch on May 1
  • Existing Performance Suite client: advanced imaging contract for 4.5 million lives across commercial, Medicaid and Medicare Advantage; launch expected Q3 (state regulatory approvals required)
  • National payer Performance Suite client: expanding oncology + cardiology solution in new markets (commercial and Medicare Advantage); expected >$200M annual revenue; launch expected Q3 (state regulatory approvals required)
  • Named internal leadership: Archie Mayani named Chief Product Officer (AI/product/automation execution reinforcement)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Total revenue: $496M, ~9% sequential growth vs Q4 2025 (excluding divested Evolent Care Partners)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $22M, consistent with expectations
  • Medical expense ratio (MER): 93% for Q1, improving ~150 bps vs Q4 2025 (excluding ECP)
  • MER sequential improvement partly offset by higher-than-anticipated oncology prevalence in select exchange markets; management expects negative MER impact retroactively addressed later in year via contractual protections
  • Performance Suite revenue: $323M, +26% sequential vs Q4 2025 (excluding ECP), driven by new launches offset by exchange membership declines and market exits
  • Specialty Tech & Services revenue: $81M, -16% sequential, reflecting ~40% exchange membership decline dynamics and additional disenrollment after grace period expiration
  • Administrative services & cases revenue: $92M, -11% sequential, reflecting termination of an administrative services client at year-end
  • Adjusted cost of revenue (excluding medical claims, including medical device costs) and adjusted SG&A: $173M; variance driven by elevated exchange member servicing during grace period, partially offset by efficiency gains and lower vendor spend
  • Revenue true-up clarification: $12M book in quarter described as revenue decreasing (unfavorable), which nets with claims favorability; driven by downward revenue revision when claims are lower than reserved expectations

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Unrestricted cash: $142M at quarter end
  • Net debt: $792M
  • No debt maturities until 2029 (supports near-term execution and deleveraging path)
  • Cash usage/flow: operating cash flow included $15.5M one-time client overpayment settlement and ~$20M pass-through PBM proceeds (timing benefit); normalized operating cash flow estimated ~negative $6M
  • Capital expenditures: ~$6M in Q1; full-year expectation $25M to $30M in software development and capex
  • Operating cash flow guidance: $10M to $20M for 2026 after ~$60M annual cash interest expense

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Performance Suite evolution: enhanced Performance Suite structures with narrow corridors to reduce direct risk exposure while maintaining client guarantees
  • AI automation expansion: accelerated deployment of new AI models within imaging; goal to auto-improve ~80% of authorization volume and reduce internal operating costs
  • Prioritization of human-in-the-loop for adverse determinations: AI to automate approval work; management emphasized AI not used to provide adverse determinations
  • Exchange dynamics management: expects better visibility on exchange disenrollment by end of Q2; guidance retains cautious assumption of ~40% exchange membership decline
  • MER seasonality framing: expects MER to increase through year and peak in Q3 due to reserves tied to Highmark launch; improvement expected through year-end as clinical program impacts and contractual true-ups flow

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Reiterated 2026 guidance: revenue $2.4B to $2.6B; adjusted EBITDA $110M to $140M; estimated MER ~93% for full year
  • MER trajectory: expected to peak in Q3 as Highmark launch reserves build; then improve steadily through year-end
  • Quarterly adjusted EBITDA cadence: Q2 expected in line with Q1; $10M to $15M sequential improvement per quarter in Q3 and Q4
  • Operational visibility: expects exchange membership clarification by end of Q2
  • Exchange impact assumption retained: assumes ~40% membership decline referenced previously

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Exchange membership decline and disenrollment timing: management expects better clarity by end of Q2 but current guidance retains cautious ~40% decline; Q1 specialty T&S revenue pressured by ~40% decline dynamics and grace-period servicing costs
  • Oncology prevalence acuity: elevated oncology prevalence in a few exchange markets increased MER/acuity above expectations, though expected to be retroactively addressed later via contractual protections
  • Reserve building for new contracts (including risk/gainshare structures): initial MER/earnings drag expected early (particularly for Performance Suite expansions) due to reserves and gain/risk mechanics
  • Modeling/timing volatility: revenue progression harder to model due to large Highmark ramp and exchange disenrollment impacts

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Prior auth standardization vs oncology complexity: Management endorsed standardization and AI-driven automation for authorizations, but stressed oncology remains a “tale of two cities.” They said ~95% of approval-volume work is in non-oncology specialties, while ~5% is oncology growth, requiring deeper clinical incentives and human touch.
  • New contracts ramp/earnings contribution: Management described two different structures: one contract is a risk contract, impacting near-term results but increasing upside as profitability ramps in 2026/2027+; the other includes gain-share, causing some early-year impact too. They signaled possible future structure tweaks to improve ramp.
  • Revenue true-ups and $12M quarter impact mechanics: Management clarified revenue true-ups are typically unfavorable when claims arrive lower than reserved assumptions. They explained that year-end IBNR-style estimation must project both revenue and claims absent mature claims data, so later claims outcomes can drive downward revenue revisions.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the EVH Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

Loading financial data and tables...
© 2026 Stock Market Info — Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH) Financial Profile