Expedia Group, Inc.

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Market Cap

Expedia Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of $30.96B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $264.60

-9.20 (-3.36%)

Market Cap: 30.96B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Ariane Gorin

Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Industry: Travel Services

IPO Date: 2005-07-21

Website: https://www.expediagroup.com

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) - Company Information

Market Cap: 30.96B · Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Retail, B2B, and trivago segments. Its brand portfolio include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand with localized websites; Hotels.com for marketing and distributing lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets travel websites; ebookers, an online EMEA travel agent for travelers an array of travel options; Hotwire, which offers travel booking services; CarRentals.com, an online car rental booking service; Classic Vacations, a luxury travel specialist; and Expedia Cruise, a provider of advice for travelers booking cruises. The company's brand portfolio also comprise Expedia Partner Solutions, a business-to-business brand that provides travel and non-travel vertical, which includes corporate travel management, airlines, travel agents, online retailers and financial institutions; and Egencia that provides corporate travel management services. In addition, its brand portfolio consists of Trivago, a hotel metasearch website, which send referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites; and Expedia Group Media solutions. Further, the company provides online travel services through its Wotif.com, lastminute.com.au, travel.com.au, Wotif.co.nz, and lastminute.co.nz brands; loyalty programs; hotel accommodations and alternative accommodations; and advertising and media services. It serves leisure and corporate travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

Analyst Sentiment

64%
Buy

Based on 75 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $253.79

Average target (based on 8 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$240

Median

$260

High

$330

Average

$273

Potential Upside: 3.0%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Expedia Group, Inc. is a global leader in the online travel industry, facilitating travel bookings and experiences for individuals and businesses worldwide. The company operates a portfolio of trusted brands, such as Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Orbitz, Travelocity, and Egencia, catering to a broad spectrum of travelers. Through its online platforms and mobile applications, Expedia provides access to an extensive inventory of hotels, vacation rentals, flights, car rentals, cruises, activities, and packaged experiences. The company serves both direct end consumers—leisure and business travelers—as well as travel suppliers, including hotels, airlines, car rental agencies, and property owners looking for digital distribution channels.

💰 Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Expedia Group generates revenue through a variety of complementary streams. These include booking commissions—earned from facilitating hotel stays, vacation rentals, flights, and other travel services—as well as service fees and advertising income through its platform traffic. The company also earns revenue through partnerships with corporate clients via managed business travel solutions and white-label technology offerings for other brands. Ancillary services, such as insurance, experiences, and loyalty/rewards memberships, and tools for property managers and hosts, further diversify its revenue base. Expedia’s ecosystem is built to address both end-user travel planning and partner needs, blending consumer-facing platforms with enterprise technology and supplier management services.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Expedia commands significant brand recognition and trust across its diverse collection of travel websites and apps, enhancing customer acquisition and retention.
  • Switching costs: The company’s loyalty programs, proprietary booking features, and integrated offerings create friction for consumers and partners to switch to alternative platforms.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: With a comprehensive ecosystem spanning leisure and business travel and a global inventory breadth, Expedia benefits from network effects and customer data insights.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: Expedia’s scale enables advantageous partnership terms with travel suppliers, broad inventory access for consumers, and lower per-transaction costs relative to smaller rivals.

🚀 Growth Drivers Ahead

Key growth catalysts for Expedia Group include digital transformation and increasing global travel adoption, as consumers shift more of their travel research and booking online. The company is focused on deepening engagement through product innovation—such as AI-powered personalization, mobile-first experiences, and integration of end-to-end travel needs. Expansion into alternative accommodations (via Vrbo and similar platforms), expertise in B2B enterprise travel solutions, and forays into emerging markets underpin future growth. Strategic investments in technology infrastructure, loyalty and subscription offerings, and partnerships with airlines, hotels, and fintech providers are expected to unlock incremental revenue opportunities and expand the company’s addressable market.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Expedia faces intense competition from both global online travel agencies (OTAs) and specialized vertical players, as well as direct channels of airlines and hotels. Regulatory challenges—such as evolving data privacy laws, local travel and accommodation restrictions, and antitrust scrutiny—may impact business operations or cost structures. The cyclicality and sensitivity of the travel industry to macroeconomic, geopolitical, and health-related disruptions can affect demand patterns and supplier relationships. Margin pressure may arise from rising customer acquisition costs, technology spending, and competitive price compression. Ongoing digital disruption (e.g., new entrants leveraging emerging technology) remains a risk to established operating models.

📊 Valuation Perspective

The market typically assesses Expedia Group’s valuation in context with other large integrated travel platforms, OTAs, and marketplace businesses. Factors influencing relative multiples include brand strength, growth potential, profitability, and level of technology/platform differentiation. Expedia’s diverse revenue sources and global reach can warrant a premium when coupled with strong execution; however, concerns about competition, cyclicality, and margin sustainability may see the company trade at a discount to faster-growing or more specialized peers.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Expedia Group offers investors a platform with broad exposure to global travel trends, underpinned by well-established brands, digital infrastructure, and a multi-faceted revenue approach. The bull case rests on the company’s ability to drive innovation, expand its ecosystem, and capture digital migration in travel, while leveraging scale to deepen supplier and customer relationships. The bear case considers risks from fierce competition, industry cyclicality, and disruptive digital entrants potentially eroding market share or compressing margins. A balanced perspective requires careful monitoring of Expedia’s execution on technology, partner engagement, and adaptability in a rapidly evolving travel ecosystem.


⚠ AI-generated research summary — not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"EXPE reported Revenue of $3.55B and Net Income of $205M (EPS: $1.67) in the most recent quarter. On a YoY basis, Revenue grew +11.4% while Net Income declined -31.4%. QoQ, Revenue fell -19.6% and Net Income dropped -78.6%, indicating a meaningful profit recovery reversal from the prior quarter. Across the four-quarter run, profitability has been volatile: net margin compressed to ~5.8% from ~21.7% in the prior quarter and also below the ~9.4% level in the comparable quarter last year. The latest balance sheet shows Total Assets at $24.45B vs $25.11B prior quarter, while Total Equity remained fairly stable around ~$2.5B. Net debt stayed negative (net cash), though it became less favorable versus last quarter (net debt -$307M vs -$784M), suggesting some tightening rather than balance-sheet de-risking. Shareholder returns have been strong on price momentum: the stock is up +74.24% over 1 year (>20%), which is a major positive for total return even though the dividend yield is small (~0.14%). With the stock trading near/just under the consensus price target (272.65 vs 265.84), valuation looks moderately full given the earnings volatility."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Latest quarter Revenue was $3.55B: -19.6% QoQ but +11.4% YoY. The trajectory shows a sharp QoQ pullback after a stronger prior quarter.

Profitability

Caution

Net margin compressed to ~5.8% (205M/3.55B) from ~21.7% QoQ (959M/4.41B). YoY net income fell -31.4%, consistent with contracting profitability despite revenue growth.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

No explicit cash-flow statement was provided, so quality is inferred from earnings and balance-sheet resilience. Net income is positive but weaker YoY; dividend payout exists but is modest and unlikely to be a major capital-return driver.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Total Assets eased to $24.45B from $25.11B QoQ, while Total Equity was broadly stable (~$2.5B). Net debt remains negative (net cash), though net cash improved less than prior quarter (net debt -$307M vs -$784M).

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Total return backdrop is strong due to price appreciation: +74.24% over 1 year (>20% momentum). Dividend yield is very low (~0.14%), so the score is driven primarily by capital gains.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus target ($272.65) is modestly above the current price ($265.84) while median target ($260) is slightly below. Latest P/E provided is elevated (42.4), making valuation sensitive to continued margin volatility.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Expedia delivered an above-guidance Q4 with 11% bookings and revenue growth, broad-based momentum in B2B and advertising, and strong marketing-driven margin expansion. Product, service, and AI enhancements improved conversion and attach rates while supply breadth and partner promotions strengthened value. Management guided to solid top-line growth and further margin gains in 2026, while acknowledging macro uncertainty and moderating year-on-year margin expansion as they reinvest in AI and B2B growth.

Growth

  • Gross bookings +11% YoY to $27.0B; revenue +11% YoY to $3.5B; adjusted EBITDA margin up ~4 pts
  • Booked room nights +9% YoY; U.S. high single digits; EMEA accelerated; Rest of World slowed due to Asia
  • B2C gross bookings +5% to $18.3B; B2C revenue +4% to $2.2B; B2C EBITDA margin 31.5% (+~6 pts)
  • B2B gross bookings +24% to $8.7B; B2B revenue +24% to $1.3B
  • Advertising revenue +19%; record number of active ad partners
  • Consumer brands bookings +5% overall; double-digit growth outside the U.S.
  • Loyalty members up mid-single digits, with faster growth in Silver tiers and above
  • Lodging property count up >10% YoY

Business Development

  • Expanded VrboCare for stronger traveler assurance
  • Launched cancel-for-any-reason assurance in B2B
  • Announced intent to acquire Tickets to broaden activities offering
  • Introduced video ads on Expedia’s homepage; expanded new ad formats
  • Working with major GenAI platforms for prominent brand placement and agentic browser compatibility
  • Added new B2B partners; most active travel agents in any Q4; Rapid API remained the largest B2B growth contributor

Financials

  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA $848M (24% margin), margin up nearly 4 pts YoY
  • Adjusted EPS $3.78, up 58% YoY, aided by share repurchases and a lower tax rate
  • FX tailwind added slightly >1 pt to bookings and ~2 pts to revenue in Q4
  • Cost of revenue $342M (+3% YoY), leveraged ~1 pt as % of revenue via payment and service efficiencies
  • Total direct sales & marketing $1.7B (+10% YoY); B2C direct S&M down 5% and leveraged ~0.5 pt vs B2C gross bookings; B2B expense growth reflects partner commissions
  • Overhead $640M, flat YoY and leveraged >2 pts on revenue
  • Grew U.S. share in hotel and Vrbo; held global lodging share

Capital & Funding

  • Unrestricted cash and short-term investments: $5.7B
  • Free cash flow for the year: $3.1B
  • Committed to maintaining debt consistent with investment-grade rating
  • Repurchased $255M (1.1M shares) in Q4; >45M shares repurchased since 2022, reducing share count by 22% net of dilution
  • Raised quarterly dividend by 20% to $0.48/share; plan to continue opportunistic buybacks at a similar pace

Operations & Strategy

  • Sites/apps ~30% faster YoY; upgraded checkout and added payment options
  • AI-driven personalization and recommendations delivered best Q4 attach rates
  • Enhanced help center and servicing; record self-service; advanced agent tools reduced wait times
  • Broadened supply: lodging properties +>10% YoY; promotional rates up >10 pts vs Q3; partner-funded promotions >30% of Q4 bookings; 70% more properties in Black Friday sale
  • Marketing discipline: improved targeting/measurement, reduced low-ROI spend, reallocated to higher-return channels
  • Organizational simplification; reinvesting savings into AI/ML; optimized cloud spend
  • Focus on direct engagement: ~2/3 of bookings begin directly; direct growing faster than indirect

Market & Outlook

  • Consumer spending remained healthy with longer booking windows and stays vs 2024
  • Q1 2026 guidance: gross bookings +10–12%; revenue +11–13%; FX tailwinds ~3 pts (bookings) and ~4 pts (revenue); EBITDA margin up 3–4 pts (seasonally lowest EBITDA quarter)
  • FY 2026 guidance: gross bookings +6–8%; revenue +6–9% (FX tailwinds ~1–2 pts); EBITDA margin expansion of 100–125 bps
  • Outlook assumes more typical seasonality (similar to 2024) and stability at upper-end growth on FX-neutral basis

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Macro uncertainty and dynamic demand environment
  • Asia-related issues weighed on Rest of World growth
  • FX variability
  • B2B margins modestly pressured by continued growth investments
  • More moderate 2026 margin expansion as the company laps 2025 headcount reductions and marketing optimization benefits

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the EXPE Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (EXPE)

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