Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Market Cap

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.45B.

Price: $50.21

0.19 (0.38%)

Market Cap: 1.45B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Timothy Herbert

Sector: Healthcare

Industry: Medical - Devices

IPO Date: 2018-05-03

Website: https://www.inspiresleep.com

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) - Company Information

Market Cap: 1.45B|Sector: Healthcare

Company Profile

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. operates as a medical technology enterprise, concentrating on the development and commercialization of advanced, minimally intrusive therapies for patients diagnosed with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) across both domestic U.S. and international markets. A cornerstone of its product portfolio is the Inspire system, an innovative neurostimulation solution that offers a safe and proven effective treatment for individuals experiencing moderate to severe forms of OSA. Additionally, the company is pioneering a novel, closed-loop technology designed to continuously track a patient's breathing patterns and administer mild stimulation to the hypoglossal nerve, thereby maintaining an open airway. Founded in 2007, Inspire Medical Systems maintains its corporate headquarters in Golden Valley, Minnesota.

Analyst Sentiment

53%
Hold

From 16 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $53.82

▲ +7.2% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$39

Median

$54

High Bound

$70

Average

$54

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$53.82
▲ +7.19% Upside
Low Target
$39.00
-22% Risk
Median Target
$54.00
8% Mid
High Target
$70.00
39% Max
Consensus
Hold
10 / 27 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)1,4471,4802,6692,1763,8294,7315,5306,3064,124
Enterprise Value ($M)1,3771,4112,6272,0963,7554,7115,4116,1843,960
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)11.08-33.064.9154.56-270.35398.2039.2885.10105.08
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)0.2515.97-34.522.1822.825.41
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)1.587.249.929.6917.6423.5023.0731.0421.05
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)1.821.873.423.275.657.448.029.056.46
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)14.96474.0263.8437.47-606.55-313.1088.96142.43-330.66
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)6.909.769.3417.3023.4022.5730.4320.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)17.20187.9648.41121.603457.88653.9895.34278.86323.83
Debt to Equity Ratio-0.870.040.080.050.050.050.050.040.04

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 INSPIRE MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC (INSP) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Inspire develops and sells an implantable upper-airway stimulation system for the treatment of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). The value chain centers on (1) clinician identification of eligible patients using defined clinical criteria, (2) a surgical implantation procedure performed by trained specialists, and (3) ongoing therapy programming and follow-up driven by the implanted device’s control workflow.

This structure creates a device-and-therapy “ecosystem” rather than a single-product sale: once a patient is implanted, therapy settings and long-term management are tied to Inspire’s hardware, software workflow, and clinical follow-up requirements.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily generated through the sale of the implanted neurostimulation hardware and related components required for implantation and continued therapy delivery. Additional monetisation comes from the repeat needs of procedures (for new implants) and ongoing utilization of the therapy framework through follow-up care pathways.

Margin drivers are typically (1) gross margin on device and procedure-related component sales, (2) operating leverage from scaling procedure volumes, and (3) the efficiency of clinician education, reimbursement navigation, and payer contracting—each of which influences the cost to convert eligible patients into implanted users.

Because the therapy is implanted and intended for long-term use, the business benefits from an installed base effect: growth is influenced by durable demand for procedures rather than continuous consumable replacement.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Moat thesis: regulatory + clinical evidence barriers, combined with implanted-device switching costs and an integrated care workflow.

  • High barriers to entry (FDA/clinical evidence): Competitors must clear substantial regulatory hurdles and demonstrate comparable safety and effectiveness for implant-based OSA therapy.
  • Switching costs (patient-level): Once implanted, therapy continuity, programming processes, and follow-up care create practical lock-in to the existing platform. Switching would require new procedures and clinical rework.
  • Intangible assets (clinical training + care pathway integration): Adoption depends on specialist training, established surgical workflows, and familiarity with patient selection criteria—capabilities that compound with experience.
  • Reimbursement and access as a moat: Durable coverage and appropriate coding support the conversion of diagnosed OSA patients into treated patients. When coverage is established, it lowers friction for adoption versus alternative pathways.

Competitive benchmarking:

  • Non-implant therapies: CPAP and oral appliance options offered by major consumer medical brands such as ResMed and Philips compete for OSA patients. These alternatives often face adherence limitations, while Inspire competes on delivering a more durable, device-based therapy pathway.
  • Other implantable platforms: Other neuromodulation and implantable therapy developers such as Apnex and SomnoMed target adjacent unmet needs in sleep-related breathing disorders. Inspire’s differentiation rests on a specific implant-based positioning, clinical adoption pathway, and the installed-base switching dynamic that follow successful implantation.

Overall, Inspire’s market focus is narrower and more specialized than CPAP/orthodontic-style solutions, and typically less comparable than broad respiratory device franchises. That specialization, backed by regulatory clearance and procedural execution know-how, raises the difficulty of taking share at scale.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • TAM expansion driven by OSA underdiagnosis and undertreatment: Growth benefits from the gap between diagnosed prevalence and the subset that transitions into effective, tolerable therapy.
  • Indication and patient-selection refinement: Expansion within cleared clinical segments—enabled by improved identification of eligible patients—can broaden the pool of implant candidates.
  • Continued procedure adoption as clinicians gain experience: Adoption tends to be constrained by training and workflow familiarity; those constraints diminish as centers deepen capabilities.
  • Payer coverage durability and efficiency: As reimbursement pathways stabilize and administrative friction decreases, conversion rates from eligible diagnosis to implantation can improve.
  • Installed-base durability: A platform approach supported by implanted therapy creates long-lived demand for new implant procedures rather than replacement-driven consumption cycles.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Regulatory and clinical risk: Any change in labeling, expanded indications requiring additional evidence, or increased scrutiny of safety/efficacy could impact adoption and procedure growth.
  • Technological and competitive substitution: Advances in non-invasive therapies, adherence-enhancing devices, or alternative implantable platforms could pressure share and average sales per procedure.
  • Procedure capacity and execution risk: Growth can be limited by surgical training throughput, center availability, and learning-curve effects on outcomes.
  • Manufacturing and quality systems: Implantable devices require rigorous quality; production disruptions, recalls, or quality system findings can be material.
  • Reimbursement volatility: Changes in payer policies, medical necessity criteria, or coverage decisions can slow conversion from diagnosis to implantation.
  • Long-term device reliability: Reliability concerns can affect patient confidence, clinician utilization, and future utilization patterns.

📊 Valuation & Market View

The market typically prices implantable medical device platforms using metrics such as EV/Revenue or EV/EBITDA, with valuation sensitivity driven by procedure growth trajectory, gross margin durability, and evidence of durable installed-base demand.

Key value drivers that tend to move the narrative include: sustained conversion from diagnosed OSA to implanted therapy, expansion of cleared populations, improvements in operating leverage through scale, and stability of payer coverage and reimbursement friction. Investors also weigh regulatory milestones and execution of center expansion as leading indicators of multiyear adoption.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Inspire’s long-term investment case rests on a defensible implantable therapy position in OSA: regulatory clearance and clinical evidence raise barriers to entry, while the implanted-device workflow creates meaningful switching friction and an ecosystem that supports durable demand for new procedures. Over a multi-year horizon, valuation and outcomes should be most sensitive to procedure adoption rates, reimbursement stability, and expansion of eligible patient segments—tempered by regulatory, manufacturing quality, and substitution risk from non-invasive and alternative implantable approaches.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for INSP.

defenseworld.net2026-07-29

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. $INSP Stake Boosted by Bank of Nova Scotia

Bank of Nova Scotia boosted its stake in shares of Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP) by 49.8% during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 60,000 shares of the company's stock after buying an additional 19,958 shares during

globenewswire.com2026-07-27

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. Announces Appointment of Seasoned Medical Device Executive Michael H. Carrel to its Board of Directors

MINNEAPOLIS, July 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP), a medical technology company focused on innovative, minimally invasive solutions for patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), today announced the appointment of seasoned medical device executive Michael H. Carrel to its Board of Directors effective July 20.

businesswire.com2026-07-24

Inspire Medical Investigation Continued: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Continues to Investigate the Officers and Directors of Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. - INSP

NEW YORK & NEW ORLEANS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Former Attorney General of Louisiana, Charles C. Foti, Jr., Esq., a partner at the law firm of Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC (“KSF”), announces that KSF continues its investigation into Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP).In August of 2025, contrary to the Company's repeated assurances that it had met all regulatory, technical, and commercial prerequisites for the launch of its Inspire V device, the Company disclosed that the launch faced an "elongate.

globenewswire.com2026-07-22

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. Announces Retirement of Casey M. Tansey from its Board of Directors

MINNEAPOLIS, July 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP), a medical technology company focused on innovative, minimally invasive solutions for patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), today announced the retirement of Casey M. Tansey from the Inspire Board after more than eighteen years of service, effective July 30.

marketbeat.com2026-07-20

3 Medical Device Stocks Giving Investors a Different Healthcare Play

When investors think of the health care sector, most imagine the stability of pharmaceutical giants or the high-risk/high-reward profile of up-and-coming clinical stage drug developers. Medical device companies operate within a unique ecosystem and are often easy to overlook.

zacks.com2026-07-17

Here's Why You Should Retain INSP Stock in Your Portfolio for Now

Inspire Medical's Inspire V rollout, broader approvals and clinical evidence support growth despite coding and reimbursement pressures.

gurufocus.com2026-07-10

Inspire Medical Investigation Continued: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Continues to Investigate the Officers and Directors of Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. - INSP

Inspire Medical Investigation Continued: Kahn Swick and Foti, LLC Continues to Investigate the Officers and Directors of Inspire Medical Systems,

prnewswire.com2026-07-10

Inspire Medical Investigation Continued: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Continues to Investigate the Officers and Directors of Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. - INSP

NEW YORK and NEW ORLEANS, July 10, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Former Attorney General of Louisiana, Charles C. Foti, Jr., Esq.

globenewswire.com2026-07-06

Correction: Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 3, 2026

MINNEAPOLIS, July 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- This press release corrects the earnings release date included in the earlier version issued on July 6, 2026. No other information has changed.

globenewswire.com2026-07-06

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on July 6, 2026

MINNEAPOLIS, July 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP) (Inspire) will release financial results for the second quarter 2026 after the close of trading on Monday, August 3. Inspire's management team will host a corresponding conference call beginning at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss the financial results and recent business developments.

businesswire.com2026-06-29

Inspire Medical Investigation Continued: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Continues to Investigate the Officers and Directors of Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. - INSP

NEW YORK & NEW ORLEANS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Former Attorney General of Louisiana, Charles C. Foti, Jr., Esq., a partner at the law firm of Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC (“KSF”), announces that KSF continues its investigation into Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP). In August of 2025, contrary to the Company's repeated assurances that it had met all regulatory, technical, and commercial prerequisites for the launch of its Inspire V device, the Company disclosed that the launch faced an "elonga.

seekingalpha.com2026-06-26

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Presents at Wells Fargo 2026 MedTech Innovation Spotlight Transcript

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Presents at Wells Fargo 2026 MedTech Innovation Spotlight Transcript

zacks.com2026-06-22

INSP Highlights New OSA Data and PREDICTOR Study at SLEEP 2026

Inspire Medical's SLEEP 2026 updates spotlight new Inspire V data, remote patient tools and research supporting wider OSA therapy adoption.

globenewswire.com2026-06-16

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. Announces Presence at SLEEP 2026 and Publication of PREDICTOR Study

Highlights New Clinical Data, Technology Advancements, and Cardiovascular Outcomes Research Highlights New Clinical Data, Technology Advancements, and Cardiovascular Outcomes Research

globenewswire.com2026-06-12

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. to Participate in the Wells Fargo 2026 MedTech Innovation Spotlight

MINNEAPOLIS, June 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP) (Inspire), a medical technology company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative, minimally invasive solutions for patients with obstructive sleep apnea, announced today that its management team will participate in the Wells Fargo 2026 MedTech Innovation Spotlight on Friday, June 26, 2026.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"INSP reported Q1 2026 revenue of $204.6M and net income of -$11.3M (EPS -$0.39). QoQ revenue declined to $204.6M from $269.1M in Q4 2025 (-24.0%) while net income swung from +$136.1M to -$11.3M. YoY, revenue increased from $201.3M in Q1 2025 to $204.6M (+1.6%), but net income deteriorated from +$3.0M to -$11.3M (down ~-476%). Over the four-quarter window, profitability was highly volatile: gross margin stayed strong (~84.7–86.6%), but operating income and net margin flipped between positive (Q3/Q4) and negative (Q1/Q2 2026), with operating margin at -0.5% in Q1 2026. Cash flow remains supportive but inconsistent. Q1 2026 operating cash flow was +$12.8M and free cash flow was +$3.1M, supported by working-capital movements and stock-based comp. Balance sheet resilience is high: total assets were $911.4M and equity $792.3M, with net debt still negative at -$69.4M (cash > debt). No dividends were paid, and buybacks appear in prior quarters but not in Q1 2026. From a total shareholder return perspective, the stock is down sharply (-60.8% 1Y), which likely overwhelms valuation support. Revenue and Earnings-based metrics were not applicable for this analysis due to the company's pre-revenue status. The evaluation focused on cash runway, burn rate, and market sentiment instead."

Revenue Growth

Caution

YoY revenue +1.6% (Q1 2026 $204.6M vs Q1 2025 $201.3M), but QoQ revenue -24.0% (vs Q4 2025 $269.1M). Overall growth is modest with a clear sequential deceleration.

Profitability

Neutral

Gross margin remains high (~86.5%), but net income flipped to -$11.3M in Q1 2026 from +$136.1M in Q4 2025 and from +$3.0M in Q1 2025. Net margin contracted to -5.5% vs +50.6% in Q4 2025.

Cash Flow Quality

Caution

Q1 2026 operating cash flow +$12.8M and free cash flow +$3.1M (capex -$9.7M). Positive cash generation, but earnings quality is volatile and not yet consistently supported.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Equity is strong at $792.3M and net debt remains negative (-$69.4M). Liquidity is ample (current ratio ~6.34), with limited debt pressure.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Total return is weak: price is -60.8% over 1Y and dividends are zero. No Q1 2026 buyback is indicated, limiting capital return support.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus price target ($91.33) implies substantial upside to the current price ($57.59), but the stock’s strong drawdown suggests valuation uncertainty and pressured sentiment.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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In Q1 2026, Inspire delivered modest revenue growth (+1.6% to $204.6M) and improved adjusted EBITDA margin (+100 bps to 17.5%), but results were heavily pressured by reimbursement/coding disruption and the WISER prior-authorization program. Management quantified a ~$20M revenue headwind in Q1, with expectations that adverse impact increases to ~$40M–$50M in Q2 before abating in the back half as centers build coding confidence. FY2026 guidance was revised to $825M–$875M, implying a 9%–11% YoY revenue decline, with total reimbursement/WISER headwind estimated at $120M–$150M. The effective tax rate jumped to 571.2% due to discrete stock-based compensation tax shortfalls, while adjusted tax was 25.7%. Operationally, management is leaning on territory consolidation, incremental reimbursement staffing, and structured prior-authorization education. The key swing factor remains how quickly coding consistency improves ahead of the longer-term CPT change effective January 1, 2028.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Progress establishing short-term coding/remedies for Inspire V while waiting for long-term CPT solution effective January 1, 2028 (new single-lead Inspire V CPT)
  • Medicare C-code created for Inspire V; MAC local policies incorporating the C-code for facility payment aligned to Inspire IV CPT 64582
  • Clinical/scientific readouts expected at SLEEP conference (June, Baltimore): full Inspire V trial from Singapore plus Inspire ADHERE 5,000-patient cohort and cardiovascular claims-database studies
  • PREDICTOR manuscript acceptance by a major medical journal (600-patient DISE-replacement screening options study)

Business Development

    AI IconFinancial Highlights

    • Revenue increased 1.6% to $204.6 million; management estimated coding/reimbursement + WISER headwinds adversely impacted Q1 revenue by ~ $20 million
    • Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by +100 basis points to 17.5% (excluding stock-based compensation impact)
    • Diluted EPS was a loss of $0.39; adjusted diluted EPS was $0.10
    • Effective tax rate rose to 571.2% due to discrete stock-based compensation tax shortfalls; adjusted effective tax rate (excluding SBC) was 25.7%
    • Operating cash flow was $12.8 million; improved by $20 million YoY, despite a higher net loss in the current period
    • Balance sheet: no debt and $400 million cash and investments at quarter end
    • Updated FY2026 guidance: revenue range $825 million to $875 million (9% to 11% YoY revenue decline expected)
    • Estimated FY headwind impact raised/quantified: ~$40 million to $50 million adverse impact expected in Q2; total FY impact of ~$120 million to $150 million

    AI IconCapital Funding

    • No debt
    • Cash and investments: $400 million at quarter end
    • Capital expenditures guided at $40 million to $45 million (FY2026)
    • No explicit buyback amount disclosed in provided transcript

    AI IconStrategy & Ops

    • Increasing assistance to customers: additional proactive education for prior authorization and billing processes; adding to the field reimbursement team
    • Field/territory optimization: territory consolidation; 13 field clinical reps hired in Q1; moving toward one territory manager per one field clinical rep
    • WISER program (AI-reviewed prior authorization) created delays in six pilot states; management expects headwinds to abate as experience increases in remaining quarters
    • Operating discipline: prioritizing revenue-generating activities while continuing long-term growth investments despite lower revenue outlook

    AI IconMarket Outlook

    • FY2026 revenue outlook revised to $825 million–$875 million
    • Adjusted operating margin expected at 2%–4%
    • Diluted EPS expected at $0.07–$0.62; adjusted diluted EPS at $0.75–$1.25
    • Effective tax rate guidance 65%–70%; adjusted effective tax rate 27%–29%
    • Adjusted operating loss in Q2 expected at $10 million–$15 million; sequential improvement expected in Q3/Q4 with Q4 the strongest quarter
    • Coding/prior authorization one-quarter lag: improvement expected from Q2 into Q3/Q4 as confidence builds

    AI IconRisks & Headwinds

    • Coding and reimbursement uncertainty for Inspire V (short-term remedies only; long-term CPT solution expected effective January 1, 2028)
    • WISER program prior authorization delays in six pilot states; variability across state systems and increased hurdle created revenue headwind
    • Pipeline pressure: uncertainty adversely impacted pipeline and prior authorization submissions during Q1; management expects reversal as education/confidence improves
    • GLP-1 adoption: acknowledged short-term revenue drag via lower patient eligibility/adoption dynamics; quantification remains uncertain

    Q&A: Analyst Interest

    • Topic: De-risking the updated FY2026 guidance amid reimbursement confusion. Management explained confidence-building around centers adopting a consistent Medicare/commercial coding and billing methodology, emphasizing prior authorization one-quarter lag. They linked Q2 risk to slowed center ramp-up while understanding coverage, with improvement expected as confidence increases.
    • Topic: Translating the ~$120M–$150M annual reimbursement headwind into operations and whether leads are preserved. Management described actively tracking patients and working with centers to submit prior authorizations, plus supporting patients’ first appointment to keep patients engaged. They cited early “headway” from Medicare C-code incorporation and growing surgeon experience billing Inspire IV code without modification.
    • Topic: CPT coding mechanics, including why Inspire V uses different guidance across payers and whether ambiguity can worsen. Management stated LCDs identify CPT 64582 for Medicare (sometimes silent on modifiers), while commercial payers generally continue contracted CPT 64568 in policies. They emphasized prior authorization includes the CPT intended for the procedure, reducing post-procedure payment challenges.

    Sentiment: CAUTIOUS

    Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the INSP Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

    📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

    Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for INSP.

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    SEC Filings (INSP)

    © 2026 Stock Market Info — Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Financial Profile