KeyCorp

KeyCorp (KEY) Market Cap

KeyCorp has a market capitalization of $23.96B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2026-03-31

Price: $22.04

-0.06 (-0.27%)

Market Cap: 23.96B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Christopher Marrott Gorman

Sector: Financial Services

Industry: Banks - Regional

IPO Date: 1987-11-05

Website: https://www.key.com

KeyCorp (KEY) - Company Information

Market Cap: 23.96B · Sector: Financial Services

KeyCorp operates as the holding company for KeyBank National Association that provides various retail and commercial banking products and services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank. The company offers various deposits, investment products and services; and personal finance and financial wellness, student loan refinancing, mortgage and home equity, lending, credit card, treasury, business advisory, wealth management, asset management, investment, cash management, portfolio management, and trust and related services to individuals and small and medium-sized businesses. It also provides a suite of banking and capital market products, such as syndicated finance, debt and equity capital market products, commercial payments, equipment finance, commercial mortgage banking, derivatives, foreign exchange, financial advisory, and public finance, as well as commercial mortgage loans comprising consumer, energy, healthcare, industrial, public sector, real estate, and technology loans for middle market clients. In addition, the company offers community development financing, securities underwriting, brokerage, and investment banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of approximately 999 branches and 1,317 ATMs in 15 states, as well as additional offices, online and mobile banking capabilities, and a telephone banking call center. KeyCorp was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Analyst Sentiment

69%
Buy

Based on 51 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $22.42

Average target (based on 5 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$18

Median

$24

High

$26

Average

$23

Potential Upside: 4.9%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 KeyCorp (KEY) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

KeyCorp operates as one of America’s prominent regional bank-based financial services companies. Its principal subsidiary, KeyBank, provides a broad slate of banking products and services targeting a wide array of clients, including retail consumers, small and mid-sized businesses, corporate clients, and institutions. The company’s operations span commercial banking, consumer banking, and wealth management, with a footprint concentrated primarily in the Midwest, Northeast, and Pacific Northwest. KeyCorp serves customers through a blended approach of brick-and-mortar branches, digital platforms, and dedicated client relationship teams, focusing on localized service and deep community banking roots.

💰 Revenue Model & Ecosystem

KeyCorp’s multi-stream revenue engine encompasses both interest-based and fee-based income sources. Core lending activities generate net interest through a suite of personal and commercial loans, mortgages, and credit lines. In parallel, non-interest revenue arises from a variety of services, including treasury management, investment banking, wealth advisory, payments, and deposit-related fees. The company’s ecosystem also leverages cross-selling opportunities, embedding financial products within client relationships to drive recurring engagement and loyalty across the consumer and institutional base.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: KeyCorp carries longstanding brand equity, particularly in regional markets where it has deep community ties and recognition.
  • Switching costs: Integrated solutions for commercial customers and specialized lending (such as equipment finance) raise client switching barriers, often embedding KeyCorp within clients’ financial operations.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Cross-selling of banking products, wealth management, and advisory services creates holistic client relationships, increasing customer retention and share-of-wallet.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: As one of the largest regional banks in its operating regions, KeyCorp benefits from scale in both technology investment and back-office efficiency, competing effectively with both smaller community banks and larger national players.

🚀 Growth Drivers Ahead

KeyCorp’s growth prospects center around digital transformation, ongoing expansion of commercial banking services, and deepening penetration within high-potential client segments such as middle-market companies and affluent individuals. Investments in digital capabilities and fintech partnerships are enhancing customer acquisition and operating efficiency. Additionally, inorganic growth through selective acquisitions and niche lending verticals enable KeyCorp to enter new markets or augment its service toolkit. The company also stands to benefit from broader trends in business formation, regional economic development, and increased demand for personalized banking solutions.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

KeyCorp faces business risks including intense competition from traditional banks, digital disruptors, and non-bank financial entities. Regulatory changes can impact lending practices, capital requirements, and compliance costs. The interest rate environment directly affects lending margins and the value of deposits. Macroeconomic downturns or shifts in credit quality can pressure asset values and loan performance. Additionally, ongoing digital disruption and evolving customer expectations require sustained investment in technology and innovation to retain relevance.

📊 Valuation Perspective

The market generally values KeyCorp in relation to its regional banking peers, considering factors like capitalization, risk profile, and geographic diversification. While the company’s valuation often reflects its scale and relative stability in core markets, the presence of larger money-center banks and faster-growing fintech lenders can contribute to a valuation discount. Conversely, differentiated fee income streams, successful digital initiatives, or prudent credit management can command a relative premium during favorable industry cycles.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

KeyCorp offers investors exposure to a regionally diversified, full-service banking franchise with opportunities to benefit from ongoing digital transformation and targeted market expansion. The company's strong community presence, cross-selling ecosystem, and scale provide defensive qualities, while technology investments and new service lines offer a path to growth. However, persistent margin pressures, regulatory risks, and rising competition from fintech challengers require ongoing vigilance. The investment thesis hinges on management’s ability to navigate industry shifts while preserving KeyCorp’s local-market strengths and diversified revenue base.


⚠ AI-generated research summary — not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"KeyCorp (KEY) delivered a mixed quarter on revenue but a strong improvement in profitability. Revenue was $2.728B in 2026-03-31, down -4.6% QoQ (from $2.860B in 2025-12-31) and up +1.1% YoY (vs. $2.698B in 2025-03-31). Net income was $522M, up +2.4% QoQ and up +28.9% YoY, with EPS rising to $0.45 from $0.33 one year prior. Profitability is improving: net margin increased to ~19.1% (522/2,728) versus ~17.8% QoQ and ~15.0% YoY, indicating margin expansion despite softer topline. The dividend remains supported, with dividend yield easing to ~1.0% (from ~1.5% in 2025-03-31) as the stock has appreciated; the payout ratio improved to ~0.43 from ~0.65 earlier in the year, suggesting more coverage headroom. Balance-sheet resilience is broadly stable for a bank: total assets rose to $188.7B (+2.3% QoQ), while equity dipped slightly (~$20.0B). Net debt increased materially QoQ, but equity remains solid. Total shareholder returns look strong: the stock is up +54.9% over 1Y, which should dominate performance versus the modest yield. With consensus targets around $23.11 (mid-single-digit upside vs. $21.8), sentiment appears constructive but valuation is not “deep value.”"

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue fell -4.6% QoQ but rose +1.1% YoY, suggesting stabilization rather than clear acceleration.

Profitability

Good

Net income grew +2.4% QoQ and +28.9% YoY; net margin expanded to ~19.1% from ~15.0% a year earlier.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Cash flow metrics weren’t provided; however, earnings strength improved and the dividend payout ratio declined to ~0.43, supporting coverage. Dividend yield is ~1.0%.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Total assets increased to ~$188.7B (+2.3% QoQ). Equity was slightly lower QoQ (~$20.0B), while net debt rose sharply QoQ (from ~$9.7B to ~$15.9B).

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Strong total return profile: +54.9% 1Y price appreciation plus ~1% dividend yield. 1Y momentum (>20%) is a major positive.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Consensus price target $23.11 vs. $21.8 current implies ~6% upside (median $24 implies ~10%). Valuation multiples are reasonable (P/E ~10.4).

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

KeyCorp delivered a strong Q1 with EPS of $0.44 (+33% YoY) and revenue up 10% while expenses rose only 4%. The quarter’s quality improvements were supported by net interest margin expanding 5 bps to 2.87% and disciplined funding cost actions: interest-bearing deposit costs down 22 bps and total funding costs down 15 bps, driving a 56% cumulative down beta. Loan growth accelerated ($3.3B or +4% sequentially) and fee momentum remained resilient, with priority businesses up 12% YoY and investment banking fees of $197M (new first-quarter record). Management raised full-year NII growth to 9%-10% and lifted loan guidance to +2%-4% overall and +6%-8% for commercial, targeting ~3.05% NIM exiting 2026. Capital remains a key lever: $400M repurchased in Q1 and at least $1.3B planned for 2026. Main near-term watch items are macro-driven M&A timing, deposit pricing if loan growth beats expectations, and private credit/NDFI market spread normalization tied to redemption behavior.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Commercial loan growth of $3.3B (+4%) sequentially with utilization rising 1% to 31.5%
  • Priority fee businesses (Wealth, investment banking, commercial payments) grew 12% YoY; investment banking fees hit $197M and a new first-quarter record
  • Mass affluent strategy: 57k households and $7.4B total client assets as of 3/31; mass affluent universe recalibrated to 1.15M customers (15% increase) and <10% penetrated
  • Raised $47B of capital for clients in the quarter and retained 19% on KeyCorp’s balance sheet

Business Development

  • Hires: middle market banking team based in Atlanta; family office/private capital team based in Kansas City
  • Private credit/NDFI growth: relationship-backed lending via unitranche funds, insurance/finance companies, specialty finance lending, and institutional real estate lending; expected syndication of ~25% of certain NDFI loans in Q2

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • EPS $0.44, up 33% YoY; revenue up 10% YoY while expenses up 4% YoY
  • Adjusted PPNR: grew by an additional $29M sequentially; eighth consecutive quarter of adjusted PPNR growth
  • Net interest margin expanded 5 bps sequentially to 2.87%; NII discussed with guidance upgrade to 9%-10% growth for FY 2026
  • Funding costs declined 15 bps during the quarter; interest-bearing deposit costs decreased 22 bps; cumulative through-the-cycle down beta of 56%
  • Loan losses: net charge-offs 38 bps annualized; loan loss provision of $106M included 38 bps of net charge-offs and a $5M reserve build driven by qualitative macro uncertainty
  • Asset quality: NPLs rose $65M sequentially back to Q3’25 levels but remained below historical levels at 63 bps; criticized loans declined $3M sequentially
  • Basel III endgame: preliminary estimate shows 100+ bps benefit to marked CET1 under revised standardized approach; CET1 11.4% reported and 10% marked

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Repurchased nearly $400M of common stock in the quarter, exceeding the $300M+ commitment made in January
  • Buyback pace: expects at least $300M per quarter for the balance of 2026 (at least $1.3B total), updated from $1.2B previously
  • Dividend mentioned: $0.205/share (not quantified as total payout)
  • No specific debt/cash runway figures disclosed in the provided transcript segment

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Technology investment: approximately $1B in technology in 2026 to deliver new product/service capabilities and better client outcomes
  • AI focus areas: thematic use cases to enhance client experiences, accelerate credit decisioning, increase technology productivity, and strengthen risk/security monitoring
  • Funding actions driving NIM: remixing consumer to commercial loan mix, swap repricing, proactive deposit beta management, rotating maturing CDs into money market/consumer
  • Deposit runoff management: average deposits down 2% sequentially; brokered CDs runoff of ~$1.6B; deposit trough expected mid-May and build through year-end

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Updated FY 2026 guidance: NII growth 9%-10% (up from prior 8%-10%); base case assumes no cuts this year
  • FY 2026 NIM guidance: approximate 3.05% exiting year on a stable earning asset base relative to Q1
  • FY 2026 loan guidance: average loans +2%-4% (up from prior 1%-2%); average commercial loans +6%-8%
  • Q2 investment banking fee planning assumption: $175M to $180M range (with upside if macro/geopolitical risks subside)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Macroeconomic uncertainty: management added to qualitative loan loss reserves to cover wider potential outcomes
  • M&A cycle volatility: record first-quarter pipeline but Q2 investment banking fees expected to decline vs Q1 due to current market conditions; deal execution may be slow-played pending geopolitical clarity
  • Private credit dynamics: management noted redemptions as a real phenomenon; spreads had firmed recently as some private credit players reduced market activity
  • Deposit competition uncertainty: loan growth-driven funding needs could intensify deposit pricing; management said base case assumes pricing stabilizes absent stronger-than-guided loan growth
  • Commercial loan spread pressure: excess capacity continues to pressure spreads/structure; management suggested a potential inflection point but did not change credit boxes/underwriting standards

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Topic: Client sentiment amid geopolitics and “Big beautiful bill” impacts; sponsor activity and private credit spread behavior. Management: Consumer credit is strong; tax refunds expected to exceed last year and online spending up ~double digits. Commercial activity shows both deal pull-forwards and M&A slow-playing; pipelines remain elevated. For NDFI/private credit, spreads firmed recently as private credit firms reduce supply after redemptions; management downplays “credit problem” and attributes changes to redemption dynamics.
  • Topic: Deposit outlook, NIB/hybrid mix, and where the company is in the seasonal “bottom.” Management: Brokered deposits decline about $1.6B drove the quarter’s seasonal drop. Reported NIB fell, but hybrids make NIB stable. They expect trough mid-May, with average balances stable to slightly up from Q1 to Q2; ending June 30 balances higher and rising through year-end.
  • Topic: Competitive lending environment, loan spread/pricing, and capital allocation/buyback pace sensitivities. Management: Excess capacity has long pressured spreads/structure; management may be near an inflection point. No credit box/underwriting changes. They rely on relationship differentiation (payments, strategic advice, hedging) and aim to place capital markets deals when offered. Buybacks would be impacted mainly by severe macro/credit losses; otherwise priorities remain client growth, people/technology investment, dividend, then repurchases (target $1.3B in 2026).

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the KEY Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (KEY)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — KeyCorp (KEY) Financial Profile