LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Market Cap

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. has a market capitalization of $22.98B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $71.34

β–Ό -0.08 (-0.11%)

Market Cap: 22.98B

NYSE Β· time unavailable

CEO: Peter Z. E. Vanacker

Sector: Basic Materials

Industry: Chemicals - Specialty

IPO Date: 2010-04-28

Website: https://www.lyondellbasell.com

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) - Company Information

Market Cap: 22.98B Β· Sector: Basic Materials

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates in six segments: Olefins and Polyolefins Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; Refining; and Technology. It produces and markets olefins and co-products; polyolefins; polyethylene products, which consist of high density polyethylene, low density polyethylene, and linear low density polyethylene; and polypropylene (PP) products, such as PP homopolymers and copolymers. The company also produces and sells propylene oxide and its derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomers, acetyls, ethylene glycols, and ethylene oxides and derivatives. In addition, it produces and markets compounds and solutions, such as polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, engineered composites, colors, and powders; and advanced polymers. Further, the company refines crude oil and other crude oils of varied types and sources into gasoline and distillates; develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies; and manufactures and sells polyolefin catalysts. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Analyst Sentiment

62%
Buy

Based on 39 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $60.10

Average target (based on 5 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$38

Median

$76

High

$100

Average

$74

Potential Upside: 3.2%

Price & Moving Averages

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πŸ“˜ Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

πŸ“˜ LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) β€” Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is a leading global manufacturer of chemicals, polymers, and refining products. Its core operations span the production of olefins, polyolefins (such as polyethylene and polypropylene), advanced polymer solutions, and intermediates used in high-value chemicals. The company’s products find their way into diverse end markets, including automotive, industrial packaging, consumer goods, healthcare, construction, and electronics. LyondellBasell serves a broad base of customers worldwide, ranging from large industrial conglomerates to manufacturers of everyday consumer products. The company operates an extensive network of manufacturing facilities and has a strong presence in key geographies, enabling it to participate in both developed and emerging market opportunities.

πŸ’° Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Revenue streams for LyondellBasell stem primarily from the sale of commodity and specialized chemical products, refined fuels, and value-added plastics. Its ecosystem is rooted in direct business-to-business sales, long-term supply contracts, and partnerships with global industrial players and converters. The company provides both standard, high-volume chemicals as well as innovative, customized polymer solutions that meet specific customer needs. It offers technical support and collaborative product development, which help embed its products more deeply into customer supply chains. LyondellBasell’s ability to capture revenue throughout the value chain β€” from basic feedstock conversion to downstream plastic compounding and applications β€” provides diversity and resilience. Its market-facing approach is largely enterprise-focused, with an emphasis on serving industrial and commercial partners across multiple verticals.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength β€” LyondellBasell is a globally recognized name in chemicals and advanced plastics, known for reliability, technological expertise, and product quality.
  • Switching costs β€” Many customers rely on the company’s technical specifications, supply reliability, and regulatory compliance, making transitions to alternative suppliers complex and expensive.
  • Ecosystem stickiness β€” Collaborations on product formulations and technical solutions foster long-term relationships, integrating LyondellBasell into customer innovation cycles.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage β€” The company’s global footprint and access to cost-advantaged feedstocks provide it with strong negotiating positions, operational efficiencies, and a robust logistics backbone.

πŸš€ Growth Drivers Ahead

LyondellBasell is positioned to benefit from several secular and strategic growth themes. The rise of lightweight automotive materials, increased demand for efficient packaging, and the ongoing shift toward sustainable plastics and circular economies are all key catalysts. The company is investing in recycling technologies and renewable feedstocks to capture growing sustainability-driven demand. Geographic expansion into high-growth regions and end uses β€” notably in Asia-Pacific and emerging markets β€” presents additional opportunity. Ongoing innovation in specialty polymers, coupled with strategic partnerships and M&A activity, provide further avenues for margin expansion and value creation.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

The company operates in highly competitive, cyclical industries subject to price volatility for raw materials and end products. New entrants and shifts in regional cost advantages can erode market share. Regulatory scrutiny is intensifying around petrochemical emissions, plastic waste, and workplace safety, potentially increasing compliance costs. Margin pressure can arise from energy price swings, supply-demand imbalances, and global economic slowdowns. Long-term risks include disruptive material innovations, changes in consumer behavior (e.g., reduced single-use plastics), and shifts in global trade policy or tariffs that may impact supply chains.

πŸ“Š Valuation Perspective

The market typically assesses LyondellBasell relative to other large-cap diversified chemical producers and specialty materials firms. Valuation often reflects the firm’s exposure to cyclical end markets and its ability to generate stable cash flows. LyondellBasell may trade at a relative discount or premium based on investors’ confidence in its cost leadership, innovation pipeline, and resilience through commodity cycles. The perception of management’s capital allocation discipline, as well as progress on sustainability and recycling initiatives, also factor into comparative market multiples.

πŸ” Investment Takeaway

LyondellBasell offers investors exposure to a foundational segment of the global economy, with competitive scale and a growing focus on sustainability and innovation. The bull case centers on end-market diversity, supply chain mastery, and the company’s proactive pivot toward circular plastics. Bears may point to inherent cyclicality, regulatory headwinds, and emerging disruptive threats. Ultimately, LyondellBasell occupies a strategic position in materials markets, balancing opportunities from secular trends against the risks of margin compression and industry transformation.


⚠ AI-generated research summary β€” not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Fundamentals Overview

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πŸ“Š AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"LYB reported Revenue of $7.09B and Net Income of -$140M in the most recent quarter (2025-12-31). On a YoY basis, Revenue fell -25.4% (from $9.50B in 2024-12-31) while Net Income improved materially (loss narrowed from -$598M to -$140M; ~+76.5% improvement in losses). QoQ, Revenue declined -8.2% (from $7.73B in 2025-09-30), but profitability improved sharply: Net Income loss shrank from -$892M to -$140M (~+84.3% reduction in losses). Over the four-quarter window, net margins improved versus the prior two quarters (2025-12 net margin ~-2.0% vs ~-11.5% in 2025-09), though profitability remains weak overall. Cash flow quality is indirectly suggested by the swing back into profits in mid-2025 (net income was positive in 2025-03/06), but the latest quarter remains loss-makingβ€”so shareholder distributions are more reliant on financial resilience than current earnings power. Balance sheet resilience is mixed: Total Assets were roughly stable QoQ, but Equity declined (~-4.8%) and Net Debt increased (~+9.4%), indicating somewhat higher leverage heading into the next cycle. Shareholder returns look strong on momentum (1Y: +18.5%; 6M: +44.5%; YTD: +49.3%), and the dividend remains a meaningful component of total return, even though payout metrics are distorted by negative earnings."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Latest Revenue declined -8.2% QoQ ($7.73B β†’ $7.09B) and -25.4% YoY ($9.50B β†’ $7.09B), indicating a clear downtrend into the most recent quarter.

Profitability

Neutral

Net Income improved despite lower sales: losses narrowed QoQ (-$892M β†’ -$140M; ~+84% improvement) and YoY (-$598M β†’ -$140M; ~+76.5% improvement). Net margin improved to ~-2.0% from ~-11.5% QoQ, but remains negative.

Cash Flow Quality

Fair

Earnings were volatile across the four-quarter period (positive in 2025-03/06, negative in 2024-12 and 2025-09/12). The latest quarter is loss-making, so near-term cash-generation support for dividends/buybacks appears less earnings-driven.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

Total Assets were roughly stable QoQ, but Equity fell (~-4.8% QoQ) and Net Debt rose (~+9.4% QoQ). Leverage is a mild headwind heading into the next demand/price cycle.

Shareholder Returns

Positive

Strong market momentum (6M +44.5%, YTD +49.3%; 1Y +18.5%). Dividend yield appears elevated (~9% based on the latest ratio), supporting total return, though earnings-based payout ratios are distorted by losses.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus price targets ($73.6–$75.5) are above the current price ($66.27), implying ~11%–14% upside, suggesting moderate bullish sentiment despite weaker YoY revenue.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

LYB navigated an exceptionally challenging 2025 with disciplined execution, strong cash generation, and record safety. Despite margins well below historical levels, the company exceeded cash improvement targets, maintained investment-grade strength, reduced capex, and progressed portfolio reshaping, including European divestitures and circular projects. Near-term outlook remains cautious, but tighter inventories and seasonal dynamics should support Q1 PE pricing, while LYB positions for substantial upside as industry conditions normalize.

Growth

  • Value Enhancement Program delivered $1.1B recurring annual EBITDA in 2025; target increased to $1.5B by 2028
  • MoReTec-1 advanced; on track for 2027 startup (circular plastics)
  • Allocated cost-advantaged feedstocks in Saudi Arabia to strengthen Middle East cost position
  • Future options retained: Flex-2 (olefin balance), MoReTec-2 at former Houston refinery site (circularity)

Business Development

  • Material progress on divesting 4 European O&P assets; on track to close in Q2 2026 (regulatory and works council processes advancing)
  • Advocacy for supportive policy frameworks for circular and low-carbon solutions; prioritizing regions with supportive regulation (notably Europe)

Financials

  • Q4 EBITDA $417M; FY 2025 EBITDA $2.5B
  • FY 2025 diluted EPS $1.70
  • FY 2025 cash from operations $2.3B; cash conversion ~95%
  • Q4 identified items of $61M (net of tax), largely closure costs for a Dutch JV and APS Specialty Powders
  • Q4 noncash LIFO charges offset by reduced bonus accruals; net quarterly impact ~$52M
  • Segment Q4 EBITDA: O&P Americas $164M; O&P EAI -$61M; Intermediates & Derivatives $205M

Capital & Funding

  • Maintained investment-grade balance sheet
  • Issued $1.5B in bonds to address 2026–2027 maturities
  • Year-end liquidity: $3.4B cash and short-term investments; $8.1B available liquidity
  • Returned $2.0B to shareholders in 2025 (dividends and buybacks)
  • 2026 CapEx plan ~$1.2B (~$400M growth, ~$800M sustaining), prioritizing MoReTec-1 and reliability
  • 2026 effective tax rate expected ~10%; cash tax rate ~10 percentage points higher

Operations & Strategy

  • 2025 was the safest year in company history; TRIR at a historic low despite heavy turnaround activity
  • Focused on safe, reliable operations and cost discipline through the downturn
  • Workforce reduced by ~7% (~1,350 employees) to lowest level since 2018
  • Strong working capital execution (>$1B release in Q4); targeted rate reductions to align inventories with demand
  • Completed turnaround at Matagorda PE plant; reliability improvements at Hyperzone PE
  • Completed La Porte acetyls turnaround; initiated VAM catalyst conversion to improve margins and reduce precious metal reliance
  • O&P Americas Q4 operating rate ~75% (crackers ~90%); guiding ~85% for Q1
  • O&P EAI Q4 rates aligned to demand; guiding ~75% for Europe in Q1; no major turnarounds in 2026

Market & Outlook

  • Industry margins ~45% below historical averages in 2025; NA polyolefins at decade-plus lows
  • Headwinds: trade disruptions, weak durable goods demand, unfavorable oil-to-gas ratio, European imports pressure, structurally higher EU energy costs
  • Capacity rationalization increasing, aiding future rebalance
  • Q1 2026: Tight year-end inventories, winter storm-related supply reductions, and seasonal demand expected to support PE price increases in the Americas
  • Oxyfuels margins normalized from Q3 peaks into typical winter levels by Q4

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Prolonged depressed spreads across core businesses
  • Feedstock and energy price volatility (ethane, natural gas, European power)
  • Soft polyolefins demand and import competition in Europe
  • Operational disruptions from weather (e.g., winter storms) and maintenance downtime
  • Regulatory and execution risks tied to asset divestitures and circular economy projects
  • Potential delays in achieving 2030 sustainability goals amid capital prioritization

Sentiment: CAUTIOUS

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the LYB Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (LYB)

Β© 2026 Stock Market Info β€” LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Financial Profile