National Storage Affiliates Trust

National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) Market Cap

National Storage Affiliates Trust has a market capitalization of $3.35B.

Price: $43.43

0.49 (1.14%)

Market Cap: 3.35B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: David G. Cramer

Sector: Real Estate

Industry: REIT - Industrial

IPO Date: 2015-04-22

Website: https://www.nationalstorageaffiliates.com

National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) - Company Information

Market Cap: 3.35B|Sector: Real Estate

Company Profile

National Storage Affiliates Trust is a Maryland real estate investment trust focused on the ownership, operation and acquisition of self storage properties located within the top 100 metropolitan statistical areas throughout the United States. As of September 30, 2020, the Company held ownership interests in and operated 788 self storage properties located in 35 states and Puerto Rico with approximately 49.5 million rentable square feet. NSA is one of the largest owners and operators of self storage properties among public and private companies in the United States.

Analyst Sentiment

38%
Underperform

From 12 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $36.20

▼ -16.6% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$32

Median

$33

High Bound

$42

Average

$36

Price & Moving Averages

Loading chart...

🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$36.20
▼ -16.65% Upside
Low Target
$32.00
-26% Risk
Median Target
$33.00
-24% Mid
High Target
$42.00
-3% Max
Consensus
Hold
1 / 19 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)3,3502,9092,1712,3192,4463,0092,9133,6523,024
Enterprise Value ($M)6,7616,3215,5755,7195,8466,4396,3357,0346,354
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)42.6140.9123.7131.4731.4157.8943.5448.8244.30
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)121.2429.30
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)4.4715.6911.6112.2912.9515.9815.3218.8615.88
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)3.673.192.292.382.442.912.713.702.54
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)11.2837.8737.0426.4033.2737.7039.2353.9238.10
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)34.0929.8130.3130.9634.1933.3236.3333.36
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)14.2656.2844.7348.7448.7358.9555.0459.6754.42
Debt to Equity Ratio7.193.773.623.523.423.343.233.502.85

NSA Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$43.43
Intrinsic Value$30.40
Market Alignment
Overvalued by 30.0%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: -0%-0%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.38B
Perpetuity TV Value$7.21B
Discounted TV (PV)$3.05B
TV Weighting %57.3%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 NATIONAL STORAGE AFFILIATES TRUST (NSA) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

NATIONAL STORAGE AFFILIATES TRUST (NSA) owns and operates self-storage properties, generating cash flows primarily through renting individual storage units on a month-to-month basis. The operating loop is straightforward: (1) acquire and develop/storage-facility footprint in demand-dense local markets, (2) drive occupancy through pricing, facility condition, and marketing, (3) collect recurring rental revenue with low direct customer servicing costs, and (4) reprice units over time as tenant move-out churn creates ongoing leasing opportunities.

The business benefits from persistent demand drivers (household moves, downsizing, seasonal storage needs, and small business inventory storage) and from tenant stickiness created by the practical effort required to switch facilities.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

NSA’s revenue is dominated by recurring rental income from leased storage units, with modest ancillary income typically tied to property operations (e.g., administrative and access-related fees where applicable). Monetisation depends on:

  • Unit occupancy and rental rates: Revenue grows as occupancy stabilizes and as rate per unit adjusts to local supply/demand conditions.
  • Turnover economics: Tenant churn is continuous; the monetisation opportunity lies in leasing units at prevailing market rates upon renewal or re-leasing.
  • Net operating performance: Margin is influenced by controllable operating costs (staffing, utilities, facility maintenance) and by the ability to spread fixed costs over a stable unit base.

In practice, self-storage REIT economics tend to be margin-recurring: once a facility is stabilized, incremental revenues from incremental occupancy typically carry favorable economics, while capex discipline and operating efficiency protect cash flow.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Self-storage is a fragmented, local-market business where competitive outcomes are driven more by site-level execution than by broad national advertising. NSA’s defensibility is grounded in hard-to-replicate operational and customer frictions.

  • Switching Costs (Customer Inertia): Storage customers often choose facilities based on convenience and access. Moving stored items is costly in time, logistics, and risk of damage. This creates measurable retention even in the presence of nearby alternatives.
  • Local Market Scale & Operational Learning: Property-level repeatability and operating know-how (pricing discipline, marketing efficiency, unit mix optimization, and facility maintenance standards) can compound into better occupancy and lower downtime.
  • Cost Discipline & Capital Allocation: As a capital-intensive business, disciplined underwriting of acquisition/development sites and conservative operating assumptions help protect downside across occupancy cycles.

Competitive benchmarking: Key public peers include Public Storage (PSA), Extra Space Storage (EXR), and CubeSmart (CUBE), alongside Life Storage (LSI). These operators compete for similar customers in overlapping geographies, but their focus differs by footprint concentration, operating platform size, and facility portfolio mix. In many markets, larger operators can spread platform costs over more assets; NSA’s competitive posture typically relies on site-level occupancy execution and local operating standards rather than on a single dominant “national” brand strategy.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, NSA’s growth framework is best viewed through demand durability and the supply/demand balance in individual local submarkets.

  • Structural demand: Ongoing household formation, relocations, downsizing of living space, and small business storage needs sustain long-run tenant creation.
  • Supply discipline in storage real estate: Development and redevelopment require land acquisition, permitting, construction, and lease-up—creating lags and uncertainty that can moderate supply growth versus demand.
  • Unit growth from acquisition and development: Incremental facilities expand the platform and provide additional leasing inventory; returns depend on local fundamentals and underwriting rigor.
  • Yield improvement through revenue management: Rate optimization, unit mix refinement, and improved occupancy ramp processes can increase same-store-like profitability without proportionate cost growth.

Because revenue is driven by site demand and facility-level execution, growth tends to be resilient when measured across economic cycles—provided capital is allocated to markets with durable absorption profiles and disciplined operating cost targets.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Local supply overhang: Concentrated development pipelines or conversion of alternative storage formats can pressure occupancy and pricing in specific submarkets.
  • Interest rate and refinancing risk: Self-storage REITs carry meaningful interest-rate sensitivity through debt costs and refinancing schedules; higher debt service can compress cash flows.
  • Regulatory and permitting constraints: Zoning, land-use regulations, and local building requirements can delay projects or raise development costs.
  • Operational execution: Underperformance in occupancy ramp, rising maintenance costs, or labor/utility cost inflation can weaken margins.
  • Capital intensity: Facilities require continuous capex for repairs, upgrades, and security/lighting systems; poor capex planning can erode returns.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Market participants generally value self-storage REITs on cash-flow capacity and balance-sheet risk, using metrics such as FFO (Funds From Operations), AFFO (Adjusted FFO), and EV/EBITDA relative to property-level growth and assumed cap rates. The key valuation drivers tend to be:

  • Stabilized occupancy and rent growth durability (unit economics and reinvestment returns).
  • Operating margin trends (expense discipline and utility/maintenance control).
  • Cost of capital (debt yields, refinancing risk, and equity market conditions).
  • Quality of the property portfolio (location demand, access, and barriers to replacement).

In this sector, valuation dispersion can be driven by differences in market exposure, leverage profile, and the credibility of management’s underwriting and capex discipline.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

NSA’s long-term investment case rests on a durable, cash-flow producing business model with tenant-level switching costs and site-driven demand fundamentals. The moat is less about technology and more about practical customer inertia, local operating execution, and disciplined capital allocation in a capital-intensive real estate segment. Returns depend on underwriting quality, occupancy/rate management, and maintaining operating efficiency while navigating local supply growth and financing conditions.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for NSA.

seekingalpha.com2026-06-05

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week Of June 7

A weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers. Companies which changed their dividends. Companies with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

techcrunch.com2026-06-05

NSA said to be readying Anthropic's Mythos for use in cyber operations

Anthropic has deployed around half-a-dozen engineers to the National Security Agency to help its spies use the company's frontier cybersecurity AI model, Mythos, The Financial Times reported, citing anonymous sources.

gurufocus.com2026-05-28

Seasonal Uptick Returns National House Prices to Near-Peak Levels, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report

[url="]First American Data and Analytics[/url], a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a divisi

seekingalpha.com2026-05-25

The REIT Recovery Is Becoming Hard To Ignore

REITs are finally rallying after a brutal 5-year bear market. The main bear arguments are now starting to break down. Private equity is already buying before valuations recover.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-18

Private Equity Is Buying REITs Hand Over Fist

REIT buyouts are heating up as private equity targets deep discounts. We recently profited from three REIT takeovers. Two small REITs could be next, with big upside potential.

businesswire.com2026-05-14

National Storage Affiliates Trust Announces Quarterly Dividends

GREENWOOD VILLAGE, Colo.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--National Storage Affiliates Trust Announces Quarterly Dividends.

zacks.com2026-05-05

National Storage (NSA) Surpasses Q1 FFO Estimates

National Storage (NSA) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $0.57 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.54 per share. This compares to FFO of $0.54 per share a year ago.

zacks.com2026-05-05

National Storage (NSA) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Although the revenue and EPS for National Storage (NSA) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended March 2026, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.

businesswire.com2026-05-05

National Storage Affiliates Trust Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

GREENWOOD VILLAGE, Colo.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--National Storage Affiliates Trust Reports First Quarter 2026 Results.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-02

The Most Undervalued REITs I Am Buying Right Now

Some of the cheapest REITs are in sectors hit by temporary oversupply. Storage and life science stand out as especially discounted today. Patient investors may find rare long-term upside in the selloff.

businesswire.com2026-04-29

5 Stones intelligence (5Si)® Expands Leadership Team With Senior Experts From CIA, NSA, and Homeland Security Investigations

MIAMI, Fla.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #CyberSecurity--5Si expands leadership with senior CIA, NSA, and HSI hires, strengthening global capabilities in threat intelligence, HUMINT, and risk advisory.

gurufocus.com2026-04-29

Public Storage (PSA) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Growth and Operational Efficiency Drive Positive Results

Core FFO: $4.22 per share, up 2.4% year over year.Same-Store NOI Growth: Positive 0.4%.Same-Store Revenue Growth: Flat.Moving Rents: -2.4%, better than expecte

youtube.com2026-04-20

NSA using Anthropic's Mythos model: Report

CNBC's Kate Rooney joins 'The Exchange' to report on the latest news around Anthropic's Mythos AI model.

youtube.com2026-04-20

NSA is using Anthropic's Mythos, report says

CNBC's Kate Rooney reports the latest news on Anthropic.

techcrunch.com2026-04-20

NSA spies are reportedly using Anthropic's Mythos, despite Pentagon feud

The National Security Agency is said to be using Mythos Preview, Anthropic's recently announced model that it withheld from public release, Axios reports. The news comes weeks after the NSA's parent agency, the Department of Defense, labeled Anthropic a “supply chain risk,” after the company refused to allow Pentagon officials unrestricted access to its model's full capabilities.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"NSA reported Q1 2026 revenue of $185.4M and net income of $28.6M (EPS $0.16), translating to a net margin of ~15.4%. YoY, revenue declined slightly (-1.6% vs. Q1 2025: $188.4M), while net income rose strongly (+120.4% vs. $12.99M). QoQ, revenue dipped (-0.9% vs. Q4 2025: $187.0M) and net income increased modestly (+25.2% vs. $22.9M). Profitability improved across the YoY comparison: Q1 2026 net margin expanded to ~15.4% from ~6.9% a year ago, indicating margin expansion despite flat topline. Cash flow quality remained solid. Operating cash flow was $87.4M, producing free cash flow of $76.9M in Q1 2026. However, dividends paid were high at $44.0M, and the payout ratio was elevated (~1.54x based on the provided ratios), suggesting shareholder distributions are being funded by strong current cash generation. Balance sheet resilience looks mixed: total assets were $5.03B, but the company carries higher leverage in the capital structure (short-term debt $22.3M; long-term debt not shown in Q1 2026 balance; net debt remains slightly negative at -$5.3M per the dataset). Total shareholder returns appear strong: the stock is up +21.78% over 1 year and +55.18% YTD, indicating strong price momentum that should support the total return component. No explicit buyback activity was reported in Q1 2026."

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue was $185.4M in Q1 2026: -0.9% QoQ and -1.6% YoY, showing essentially flat topline.

Profitability

Good

Net income improved to $28.6M: +25.2% QoQ and +120.4% YoY. Net margin expanded to ~15.4% from ~6.9% YoY, indicating meaningful margin expansion.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Operating cash flow was $87.4M and free cash flow $76.9M. Dividends paid were $44.0M with an elevated payout ratio (~1.54x), implying heavy reliance on current cash generation for shareholder distributions.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Total assets were ~$5.03B. The dataset shows net debt at about -$5.3M in Q1 2026, but leverage/obligations appear substantial in prior quarters; equity was $0.91B (total stockholders’ equity), suggesting resilience but with capital-structure complexity.

Shareholder Returns

Good

Stock momentum is strong (+21.78% 1Y, +55.18% YTD). Dividends are present (dividend yield ~1.5% in the ratio set), supporting total return, though buybacks were not evident in Q1 2026 cash flow.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus price target is ~$33.33 vs. current price $43.28 (upside implied not supported by provided target), suggesting valuation may be stretched despite strong momentum.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

Management frames a clear “turn the corner”: Q4 same-store revenue down only 70 bps (improved vs -260 bps in Q3), core FFO per share $0.57 at the top of guidance, and January occupancy up 20 bps YoY—supported by completed PRO internalization and stronger funnel conversion aided by AI/dynamic pricing and an assertive ECRI cadence. The 2026 guide looks constructive at midpoints (+90 bps same-store revenue growth; flat same-store NOI; core FFO per share $2.19), with sequential improvement expected through early 2026. However, the Q&A pressure points reveal constraints: rent roll-down remains low-to-mid 30s, price power varies sharply by market (supply-constrained Phoenix/Atlanta/Gulf Coast FL cited), and move-in rates are expected to be negative for the first ~4–5 months before improving around June. Additionally, the dividend is implied to be under-covered in 2026 (not covered this year; ~100% coverage targeted in Q4/back half and into 2027). Thus, tone is optimistic, but analyst-facing hurdles are real and near-term.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • PRO internalization completed; platforms/processes now described as fully transitioned with “no distraction”
  • Sequential improvement in same-store revenue through each month of Q4; less-negative trend from early Q4 to near-flat end of quarter
  • ECRI program strength and increasing assertiveness driving contract rate growth through 2026
  • High rental volume funnel metrics: Q4 rental square footage ~11% YoY (muted by ~10% Oct drop tied to hurricane comp); “even stronger” into Jan/Feb
  • Improving occupancy trend: Q4 finished down 70 bps YoY vs down 140 bps end of Q3; Jan EOM occupancy up 20 bps YoY

Business Development

  • Brand consolidation: consolidated another brand; remaining brands reduced to 6 (from 21 MSAs reported in quarter)
  • Preferred equity investments platform formed (growth driver)
  • Joint ventures and preferred equity used for external growth; acquisitions targeted via JV/preferred equity as “best cost of capital”
  • Transaction activity: sold 3 assets in Q4 for $24M; after quarter-end sold 3 properties for $21M; acquired 1 wholly owned property for $10M
  • Full-year portfolio optimization: exited 5 states and sold 15 properties totaling $97M
  • Full-year acquisitions: acquired 10 properties totaling $75M across joint ventures and on balance sheet

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 core FFO per share: $0.57 (top end of guidance); beat consensus (per CFO remarks)
  • Full-year core FFO per share: $2.23 (high end of guidance range)
  • Same-store revenues: down 70 bps in Q4 (improved vs down 260 bps in Q3); full-year same-store revenues down 2.3%
  • Q4 same-store revenue bridge: lower avg occupancy -120 bps, partially offset by avg revenue per square foot +100 bps
  • Same-store revenue improvement breadth: all but 1 of 21 reported MSAs improved same-store revenue growth vs Q3
  • Q4 expenses: down 80 bps while up 3.1% for full year; payroll savings: -4.1% in Q4 and -2.8% for full year (hours/staffing efficiencies); marketing up 37% Q4 and 31% full-year
  • Insurance captive: lighter tropical storm season led to lower other operating expense vs early-2025 run rate (favorable comp to first 3 quarters)
  • Balance sheet/leverage: net debt/EBITDA 6.6x at quarter end vs 5.5x–6.5x target range (slightly above top of long-term stated target corridor)
  • 2026 guidance midpoints: same-store revenue growth +90 bps; same-store operating expense growth +3%; flat same-store NOI growth; core FFO per share $2.19
  • FFO per share guide bridge at midpoint: -$0.04 due to +$0.02 G&A (assumes target cash incentive comp vs 2025 below target) and remaining -$0.02 from debt refinancings headwinds and tough insurance captive comp

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Liquidity/maturities: $375M maturities in 2026 (includes $275M term loan due July; $100M unsecured notes due May and October)
  • Revolver balance ~ $400M; $550M availability
  • Management expects to likely address maturities with a new term loan (optional capital planning)
  • Acquisition/disposition capacity for 2026 (NSA share): $50M to $150M (midpoint discussed as neutral for leverage)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Marketing/revenue management upgrades and centralization cited as completed; move to one web domain contributing to conversion improvement
  • ECRI strategy: described as more assertive post-translation, with timing/magnitude described as changing (magnitude increased YoY; cadence/timing unchanged)
  • Dynamic pricing/discounting and AI modeling used to convert funnel activity into rentals (conversion-rate improvement cited as key to occupancy inflection)
  • Leasing unit mix/roll-down: rent roll-down low-to-mid 30s (rent roll down level cited as current challenge); square footage per rental stabilized after previously facing 5–6 sq ft roll-down last year, now “closed back up” and flat-to-slightly bigger rentals
  • Internal growth focus for 2026: increased marketing spend while using competitive position in rate/promotion and assertive ECRI execution

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 same-store revenue growth guided to +90 bps at midpoint; improvement assumed to be steady through next couple quarters
  • Occupancy guidance via datapoints (not explicit guidance metric): Jan EOM occupancy +20 bps YoY; February continued “spread” into Feb and starting revenue range estimated by management
  • Revenue range characterization (Q&A): guidance start-year comfort of starting 2026 within negative 30 to positive 210 bps revenue range vs prior year well below low end
  • Move-in rate trend (Q1 2026): expected negative move-in rates for first ~4–5 months; inflect back to neutral/positive by back half (management: until about June)
  • ECRI cadence: timing “hasn’t changed”; magnitude of rate increases increased YoY

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Property taxes assumed 2026 +3% to +5% (key OpEx risk driver)
  • G&A expense headwind in 2026: +$0.02 (assumes target cash incentive comp) contributing to -$0.04 midpoint core FFO per share guide
  • Debt refinancing headwinds in 2026 contributing to -$0.02 core FFO per share (insurance comp also tough)
  • Competitive/supply heterogeneity: pricing power not universal—Phoenix, Atlanta, and Gulf Coast FL described as supply-constrained; pricing power easier in Wichita, Colorado Springs, and Portland (supply/demand in check)
  • Rent roll-down: low-to-mid 30s currently; needs ECRI strength to offset
  • Regulatory/weather risk to revenue management: Oklahoma had restrictions in 2025 impacting OKC and other markets; generally portfolio “not currently subject” to significant restrictions but severe weather/state of emergency could be a variable
  • Dividend coverage headwind: guidance implies dividend not covered this year; expected to recover toward ~100% coverage in back half (Q4 into 2027) if fundamentals keep improving

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the NSA Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for NSA.

SEC EDGAR Live Feed
Loading financial data and tables...
📁

SEC Filings (NSA)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) Financial Profile