Constellation Brands, Inc.

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Market Cap

Constellation Brands, Inc. has a market capitalization of $27.31B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2026-02-28

Price: $156.88

-0.07 (-0.04%)

Market Cap: 27.31B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Garth Hankinson

Sector: Consumer Defensive

Industry: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

IPO Date: 1992-03-17

Website: https://www.cbrands.com

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) - Company Information

Market Cap: 27.31B · Sector: Consumer Defensive

Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It provides beer primarily under the Corona Extra, Corona Premier, Corona Familiar, Corona Light, Corona Refresca, Corona Hard Seltzer, Modelo Especial, Modelo Negra, Modelo Chelada, Pacifico, and Victoria brands. The company offers wine under the 7 Moons, Cook's California Champagne, Cooper & Thief, Crafters Union, Kim Crawford, Meiomi, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, SIMI, The Dreaming Tree, Charles Smith, The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi, My Favorite Neighbor, and Schrader; and spirits under the Casa Noble, Copper & Kings, High West, Mi CAMPO, Nelson's Green Brier, and SVEDKA brands. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, on-premise locations, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Victor, New York.

Analyst Sentiment

68%
Buy

Based on 46 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $177.21

Average target (based on 6 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$154

Median

$180

High

$197

Average

$176

Potential Upside: 12.0%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Constellation Brands, Inc. operates as a leading producer and marketer of premium beer, wine, and spirits. Its portfolio includes a diverse suite of globally recognized brands, spanning imported and craft beers, high-end wines, and select spirits offerings. The company primarily targets consumer segments seeking quality alcoholic beverages and lifestyle products, distributing its products across retail, hospitality, and e-commerce channels. Constellation Brands maintains extensive operations in North America, with a growing presence in international markets, leveraging both organic brand growth and selective acquisitions to expand its product reach.

💰 Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Constellation Brands generates revenue through the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of alcoholic beverages to a broad base of wholesalers, retailers, and direct consumers. Its revenue streams are diversified, encompassing the sale of premium imported beers, high-value wines, and niche spirits brands. The ecosystem is supported by strong distributor partnerships, retailer relationships, and a direct-to-consumer sales infrastructure for select wine and spirits offerings. Occasional co-marketing arrangements and strategic partnerships further supplement revenue channels, enhancing both consumer engagement and brand visibility across markets.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Portfolio anchored by household names such as Corona, Modelo, and other category leaders, driving consumer loyalty and shelf space dominance.
  • Switching costs: Deep customer affinity, habitual consumption patterns, and entrenched distributor/retailer relationships create inherent inertia to switching brands.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Broad and complementary product suite that appeals to varied consumer occasions, increasing wallet share across market verticals.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: Robust production, distribution, and procurement scale enable cost advantages and market responsiveness, supporting margin stability even amid input fluctuations.

🚀 Growth Drivers Ahead

Constellation Brands is positioned to benefit from sustained consumer preference for premium and import alcoholic beverages, with demographic and cultural shifts favoring its core categories. Strategic product innovation—such as low-calorie or flavored beverages—and targeted marketing investments are expected to capture emerging trends and younger consumers. Expansion of direct-to-consumer platforms, increasing penetration of international markets, and selective acquisitions or partnerships provide levers for long-term, multi-channel growth. The company’s ongoing efforts in operational optimization and digital transformation may also unlock incremental efficiencies, supporting sustainable scale and brand outreach.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

The highly competitive alcoholic beverage industry poses persistent threats, including pricing pressure from peers and private label brands, potential shifts in consumer preferences, and the rise of substitute products (such as non-alcoholic alternatives). Regulatory dynamics—covering advertising restrictions, distribution laws, and excise tax policies—can impact operational flexibility and margins. Margin pressure from fluctuating commodity costs, weather-driven agricultural risk, currency volatility, and supply chain disruptions are key factors to monitor. The potential for industry disruption via new entrants, digital challengers, or evolving distribution models also presents ongoing risks to market share and profitability.

📊 Valuation Perspective

Constellation Brands frequently commands a valuation premium relative to traditional beverage peers, reflecting its proven track record of brand equity, resilient cash flow profile, and consistent exposure to high-growth segments such as imported beers and premium wines. The company’s reputation for operational execution, consumer insight, and disciplined capital allocation further underpins robust investor sentiment. Nevertheless, the valuation is often sensitive to changes in industry cyclicality, perceived innovation capacity, and evolving competitive dynamics, which can narrow or widen the relative premium over sector averages.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Constellation Brands offers investors exposure to resilient consumer demand within the alcoholic beverage sector, underpinned by iconic brands and an adaptive business model. The bullish thesis centers on the company's ability to leverage its scale, drive product innovation, and expand into emerging demand segments while maintaining robust margins. Conversely, the bear case highlights risks from intensifying competition, potential regulatory headwinds, and evolving consumption patterns that could erode moat advantages. Overall, Constellation Brands remains a compelling play for investors seeking established brand leadership and steady sector exposure, balanced by ongoing vigilance to industry risks and market evolution.


⚠ AI-generated research summary — not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-02-28

"Latest quarter (2026-02-28) showed Revenue of $1.92B and Net Income of $201.8M (EPS $1.16). On a QoQ basis, Revenue fell from $2.22B to $1.92B (-13.6%), and Net Income declined from $502.8M to $201.8M (-59.9%), indicating weaker profitability despite still-positive earnings. On a YoY basis, Revenue decreased from $2.16B to $1.92B (-11.3%); however, Net Income improved materially versus the prior-year loss of -$375.3M (a swing of about +$577M). Net margin contracted sharply: ~10.5% in the latest quarter vs ~22.6% in the prior quarter, though it remained well above the prior-year loss period. Balance sheet resilience looks steadier: Total Assets were slightly higher QoQ ($21.90B vs $21.68B, +1.0%), Total Equity improved ($8.39B vs $8.00B, +4.8%), and Net Debt eased marginally QoQ ($10.47B vs $10.51B, -0.4%). Dividend support remains intact with a stable $1.02–$1.03 quarterly run-rate; the reported payout ratio is elevated (0.88), consistent with earnings volatility. For shareholder returns, the stock’s 1-year performance is negative (-11.34%); with a low dividend yield (~0.65%), total shareholder return momentum has been weak. Upside exists versus consensus targets (price ~$162 vs target ~$176, ~8% upside)."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue declined QoQ (-13.6%) from $2.22B to $1.92B and also fell YoY (-11.3%) from $2.16B to $1.92B, suggesting volume/price headwinds in the latest quarter.

Profitability

Caution

Net margin contracted to ~10.5% (from ~22.6% QoQ) as Net Income dropped -59.9% QoQ. YoY earnings improved versus a loss, but the profitability trend is weaker sequentially.

Cash Flow Quality

Fair

Net Income is positive in the latest quarter ($201.8M) and the dividend is being maintained (~$1.02–$1.03/quarter). However, payout ratio is high (0.88), implying less cushion when earnings soften.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Balance sheet strengthened sequentially: equity rose (+4.8% QoQ) and net debt eased slightly QoQ (-0.4%). YoY net debt is materially lower (about -13%).

Shareholder Returns

Caution

1-year price performance is negative (-11.34%), and dividend yield is relatively low (~0.65%). Without evidence of strong buyback-driven support in the data provided, total returns look muted.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus target (~$175.7) is above the current price ($162.28), implying ~8% upside. Valuation appears less attractive on latest-quarter earnings (P/E ~33.9), consistent with earnings volatility.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Constellation’s FY27 outlook is framed as momentum improving after FY26, but with “limited visibility” and continued consumer caution limiting confidence in the path to full-year outcomes. Beer remains the core profit engine, yet operating margins guide down to 37%–38% from prior 39%–40% due to Veracruz brewery startup (mid-year production) driving fixed-cost absorption headwinds plus higher SG&A and marketing investment. Offsets are expected from 1%–2% price delivery (positioned at the low end), tariff relief from aluminum, and cost savings progress. Management highlights strong hedging entering FY27 (notably fuel ~100%, aluminum ~90%, and currencies ~80%), reducing input-cost volatility. For wine & spirits, category and channel headwinds persist: high-end wine now projected to decline and spirits flat/slightly down, with distributor inventory rebalancing and Napa/international weakness (Canada U.S. ban). Despite this, they still target structurally “low 20s” wine & spirits margins over the medium term as inventory normalizes.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Modelo Especial momentum—#1 beer brand by dollars in the U.S.; March momentum increasing vs planned
  • Pacifico growth acceleration—“on a tear” with continued nationwide broadening; new campaign around yellow can cans (shelf/cold box stand-out)
  • High-end light beer strategy investment (oral and premier momentum after price-point repositioning)
  • World Cup summer event driving heavier brand investment in H1
  • Wine & spirits portfolio reshaping traction (named: Kim Crawford; also cited: Mecampo)

Business Development

  • Agreed inventory rebalancing with key wine & spirits distributors (inventory reductions/normalization referenced)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Beer operating margin guidance: 37% to 38% for FY27 vs prior guidance 39% to 40% (step down)
  • Primary FY27 margin headwinds: Veracruz brewery startup—fixed cost absorption headwinds; plus SG&A increase from lower incentive comp in FY26 and incremental marketing investments
  • Offsetting margin drivers: 1% to 2% price delivery expected, positioned at the lower end of that range in FY27
  • Aluminum tariff relief expected in FY27
  • Input cost hedging entering FY27: fuel ~100% hedged; aluminum ~90%; natural gas ~80%; corn ~75%; currencies ~80% overall
  • Wine & spirits: target margins “low 20s” structurally over medium term; short-term constrained by category and channel headwinds plus cost deleveraging timing
  • Wine category outlook shift (U.S. high-end wine): expected low single-digit growth -> low single-digit declines
  • U.S. high-end spirits outlook shift: plus mid-single-digit growth -> flat to slightly down
  • Corona Extra: no explicit margin number; guidance framed as not expected to be the growth driver
  • Reported mix drag in Q4 referenced as 50 basis points drag to beer top line (packaging type / mix behavior referenced, but no quantified breakdown beyond the mention)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Shareholder returns: “Over $900 million” returned to shareholders last year (FY26)
  • CapEx approach: continuing spend aligned with long-run requirements; FY26 CapEx spent “significantly less than” initial expectations; FY27 CapEx decisions managed modularly with potential delays/avoidance as capacity comes online later than expected
  • No explicit FY27 ending cash/debt/buyback amount stated in transcript

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Veracruz brewery expected to begin production around the middle of FY27 (fixed cost absorption and depreciation step-up anticipated)
  • Depreciation: expecting a step-up as Veracruz comes online mid-year
  • Operational footprint: production capacity added “modularly” to manage uncertainty and timing
  • Marketing spend: stated “thinking about 9.5% of sales on marketing” (cadence heavily weighted to H1)
  • Marketing emphasis planned by brand: Modelo (World Cup), Pacifico (increased investment vs historical), high-end light beer strategy, Victoria, and other momentum brands (e.g., Sunbrew momentum in first full year)

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Beer top-line guidance framework referenced as: “negative 1 is a positive one” (exact numeric guidance not provided in transcript)
  • March start: “better than planned” with continued increasing momentum
  • Limited visibility and high volatility emphasized as the key constraint on forecasting
  • Wine & spirits medium-term margin objective reiterated (low 20s), while distributor inventory normalization expected to help over time

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Limited visibility and high volatility: consumer reaction still cautious
  • Beer: gross margin expense-related headwinds from Veracruz startup costs and SG&A increases; price delivery only at the lower end of 1%–2%
  • Wine & spirits category pressure: U.S. high-end wine downgraded to low single-digit declines; high-end spirits decelerating to flat/slightly down
  • Channel headwinds: tasting room softness in Napa-based wineries; distributor inventory rebalancing required due to category softness
  • International: weakness in U.S.-made/sourced wines & spirits, especially Canada where ban on U.S. wine and spirits remains in place
  • Mix risk: referenced 50 bps drag to beer top line tied to packaging/mix behavior changes (no further numeric decomposition provided)

Sentiment: CAUTIOUS

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the STZ Q4 2026 (FY26 Q4; guidance discussed for FY27) earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (STZ)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Financial Profile