Verra Mobility Corporation

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Market Cap

Verra Mobility Corporation has a market capitalization of $654.7M.

Price: $4.31

0.00 (0.00%)

Market Cap: 654.72M

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: David Martin Roberts

Sector: Technology

Industry: Information Technology Services

IPO Date: 2017-03-24

Website: https://www.verramobility.com

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) - Company Information

Market Cap: 654.72M|Sector: Technology

Company Profile

Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions and services in the United States, Australia, Canada, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Commercial Services; Government Solutions; and Parking Solutions. The Government Solutions segment offers automated safety solutions, including services and technologies that enable photo enforcement through road safety camera programs, which detects and process traffic violations related to red light, speed, school bus, and city bus lanes. This segment serves municipalities, counties, school districts, and law enforcement agencies. The Commercial Services segment provides automated toll and violations management, and title and registration services to rental car companies, fleet management companies, and other large fleet owners. The Parking Solutions segment provides an integrated suite of parking software and hardware solutions to universities, municipalities, parking operators, healthcare facilities, and transportation hubs. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Mesa, Arizona.

Analyst Sentiment

54%
Hold

From 8 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $5.75

▲ +33.4% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$4

Median

$5

High Bound

$9

Average

$6

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$5.75
▲ +33.41% Upside
Low Target
$4.00
-7% Risk
Median Target
$5.00
16% Mid
High Target
$9.00
109% Max
Consensus
Hold
4 / 12 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)6552,1703,5283,9414,0493,5913,9504,5814,455
Enterprise Value ($M)6812,1973,5014,8124,9544,5484,9395,4465,400
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)4.9920.2846.7221.0326.2427.76-14.8132.9832.55
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)1.924.5935.0623.475.38
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)0.679.7113.6815.0517.1616.0917.8320.3120.03
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)2.417.9812.049.7811.5011.9914.909.4210.16
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)6.30239.42613.8280.79100.5486.08182.5153.83172.26
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)9.8313.5818.3720.9920.3722.3024.1424.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)1.8527.0945.1043.6050.2250.9460.8057.9857.47
Debt to Equity Ratio0.070.270.132.652.993.564.022.202.44

VRRM Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$4.31
Intrinsic Value$4.33
Market Alignment
Undervalued by 0.4%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 3%3%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.34B
Perpetuity TV Value$6.44B
Discounted TV (PV)$2.72B
TV Weighting %59.4%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 VERRA MOBILITY CORP CLASS A (VRRM) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Verra Mobility operates in the managed services and technology layer of transportation enforcement and mobility payments. The business typically connects three elements: (1) roadside or parking/toll systems (sensors, cameras, gates, scanners, or related infrastructure), (2) software platforms that process events and transactions (e.g., vehicle identification, payment handling, case management, and analytics), and (3) operational services delivered on behalf of public agencies or operators (workflow management, customer service operations, and enforcement or payment processing support).

This “technology + recurring operations” model tends to embed the company into an agency’s workflows and IT environment through long-lived contracts, system integrations, and operational procedures—creating practical stickiness for customers once the platform is deployed and validated.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is generally a mix of recurring and transaction-linked streams:

  • Recurring revenue: managed services, software/platform fees, maintenance/support, and service-level arrangements tied to uptime and operational performance.
  • Transaction-linked revenue: fees tied to processed events or payment activity (e.g., tolling/parking-related processing, enforcement-related processing), where volume growth and contract terms influence monetisation.
  • Project and equipment revenue: technology deployment and related hardware/system integration fees, which are typically less recurring than the managed-services and software components.

Margin structure is usually driven by the mix shift toward software and managed services, scale benefits from standardized workflows, and disciplined cost management in operations. Working capital dynamics can be influenced by receivables, dispute/adjustment processes, and the timing of settlement for transaction flows—important for underwriting free-cash-flow durability.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Verra’s moat is primarily based on switching costs and operational know-how, with partial support from data and process advantages created by repeated deployments in regulated environments.

  • High switching costs (installed base + integration): Once deployed, platforms must integrate with agency back-office systems, enforcement workflows, payment rails, dispute handling, and reporting requirements. Replacing a vendor implies operational disruption, retraining, and validation risk.
  • Operational process barriers: Managed services require compliance-ready processes, case handling discipline, and consistent service delivery. Performance expectations and service-level commitments raise the cost of “trial substitution.”
  • Data/process learning loop: Repeated deployments create institutional knowledge around event processing, exception handling, and customer-agency reporting needs—valuable in improving throughput and reducing rework.

Competitive benchmarking (primary competitors):

  • Conduent — competes in transportation and public-sector technology/services, often emphasizing integrated government solutions.
  • Cubic (and broader intelligent transportation peers) — competes with large-scale systems and services for mobility and transportation programs.
  • Kapsch TrafficCom — competes more heavily in tolling and transportation technology deployments.

Industry focus contrast: While these rivals span subsets of transportation technology and managed services, Verra’s positioning is distinctive in its emphasis on a hybrid portfolio across traffic safety/enforcement and mobility payments with a recurring managed-services orientation. This can matter because agencies often prefer a vendor that can operate the workflow end-to-end—not only provide equipment or software.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, growth is supported by secular adoption in transportation and urban operations:

  • Electronic and automated enforcement expansion: Continued migration from manual processes to automated identification and case/payment workflows increases demand for event processing and managed operations.
  • Digitisation of mobility payments: Wider acceptance of cashless and integrated payment handling supports higher penetration of transaction processing and related platforms.
  • Outsourcing and managed services adoption: Public entities and operators frequently look to vendors to handle complexity (operations, customer interactions, reporting, and service-level delivery), sustaining recurring revenue opportunities.
  • Cross-sell across agency footprints: Once a platform is present, incremental programs and adjacent products (additional sites, lanes, enforcement workflows, or payment programs) can expand share within existing customer relationships.
  • Operational performance improvements: Continuous process optimization and technology upgrades can enhance throughput and cost efficiency, supporting margin durability as the installed base scales.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Contract concentration and procurement risk: Public-sector and operator programs can be cyclical and politically influenced; renewals, scope changes, or rebids can affect revenue visibility.
  • Regulatory and privacy requirements: Transportation enforcement and payment processing are subject to evolving privacy, data retention, and consumer protection standards.
  • Technology performance and model drift: Computer vision and identification systems require ongoing tuning and validation to maintain accuracy across environmental conditions; failure can trigger operational or contractual penalties.
  • Cybersecurity and resilience: Connected platforms handling sensitive data and financial flows increase the need for robust security architecture and incident readiness.
  • Capital intensity and execution risk: Deployment programs and infrastructure components can require upfront investment and dependable system rollouts.
  • Competition and pricing pressure: Vendors can compete aggressively for new deployments; sustaining attractive unit economics often depends on contract structure and mix shift toward recurring services.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Markets typically value this sector as a hybrid of software and services. Equity investors often anchor on EV/EBITDA or earnings power metrics for the services component, while also scrutinizing revenue quality (recurring mix, contract stickiness) similarly to software underwriting. Key valuation drivers tend to include:

  • Recurring revenue growth and renewal rate: The market rewards durability and visibility.
  • Operating margin trajectory: Sustained cost discipline and favorable mix toward managed services can expand margins.
  • Free-cash-flow conversion: Recurring operations generally support cash generation, but working capital and dispute/settlement processes can influence conversion.
  • Backlog/contract awards and implementation capacity: Execution quality affects the timing of recognition and margin outcomes.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Verra Mobility’s investment case rests on structural switching costs created by deployed integrations, operational workflow embedding, and contract-based managed services. The platform-and-operations model supports a recurring revenue foundation and offers multi-year exposure to automation in enforcement and digitisation of mobility payments. The primary analytical focus should be long-run renewal durability, mix shift toward recurring services, and the ability to sustain technology performance within a regulated operating environment.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for VRRM.

globenewswire.com2026-06-05

SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Levi & Korsinsky, LLP Notifies Investors it Has Filed a Complaint to Recover Losses Suffered by Purchasers of Verra Mobility Corporation Common Stock and Sets a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of August 4, 2026

NEW YORK, June 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The following statement is being issued by Levi and Korsinsky, LLP: To: All persons or entities who purchased or otherwise acquired common stock of Verra Mobility Corporation ("Verra" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: VRRM) between February 24, 2026, to May 26, 2026, inclusive.

globenewswire.com2026-06-05

SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Levi & Korsinsky, LLP Notifies Investors it Has Filed a Complaint to Recover Losses Suffered by Purchasers of Verra Mobility Corporation Common Stock and Sets a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of August 4, 2026

NEW YORK, June 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The following statement is being issued by Levi & Korsinsky, LLP: To: All persons or entities who purchased or otherwise acquired common stock of Verra Mobility Corporation (“Verra” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: VRRM) between February 24, 2026, to May 26, 2026, inclusive. You are hereby notified that the class action lawsuit Ekim Otucu v.

globenewswire.com2026-06-05

VRRM INVESTOR ALERT: Kirby McInerney LLP Investigates Potential Claims Involving Verra Mobility Corporation

NEW YORK, June 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The law firm of Kirby McInerney LLP continues its investigation on behalf of Verra Mobility Corporation (“Verra Mobility” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ:VRRM) investors concerning the Company's and/or members of its senior management's possible violation of the federal securities laws and other unlawful business practices.

gurufocus.com2026-06-04

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) CEO Leaves Amid Company Receipt of Termination Notice From Avis Budget Group and 70% Stock Crash -- HBSS

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) CEO Leaves Amid Company Receipt of Termination Notice From Avis Budget Group and 70% Stock Crash -- HBSS

prnewswire.com2026-06-04

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) CEO Leaves Amid Company Receipt of Termination Notice From Avis Budget Group and 70% Stock Crash -- HBSS

SAN FRANCISCO, June 4, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- After the markets closed on June 1, 2026, Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ: VRRM) announced that its CEO (David Roberts) left the company. Roberts' departure comes in the wake of a massive $9.23 fall (-70%) in the price of the company's shares on May 27, 2026 after news that it received a termination notice from one of its largest customers -- Avis Budget Group.

businesswire.com2026-06-03

VRRM INVESTOR ALERT: Kirby McInerney LLP Investigates Potential Claims Involving Verra Mobility Corporation

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The law firm of Kirby McInerney LLP continues its investigation on behalf of Verra Mobility Corporation (“Verra Mobility” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ:VRRM) investors concerning the Company's and/or members of its senior management's possible violation of the federal securities laws and other unlawful business practices. [LEARN MORE ABOUT THE INVESTIGATION] What Happened? On May 26, 2026, Verra Mobility announced that it received a termination notice from Avis Budget Gro.

globenewswire.com2026-06-03

VERRA MOBILITY ALERT: Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is Investigating Verra Mobility Corporation on Behalf of Verra Mobility Stockholders and Encourages Investors to Contact the Firm

Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C.  Litigation Partner  Brandon Walker  Encourages Investors Who Suffered Losses In Verra Mobility (VRRM) To Contact Him Directly To Discuss Their Options

prnewswire.com2026-06-03

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Securities Fraud Investigation - Levi & Korsinsky

Verra Mobility reaffirmed full-year guidance on May 6, 2026 while renewal discussions with a customer responsible for over 10% of revenue were ongoing -- guidance was revised downward twenty days later. NEW YORK, June 3, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Shareholders who held Verra Mobility (NASDAQ: VRRM) stock lost approximately 45% of their investment value after the Company lowered its full-year 2026 revenue guidance by up to $145 million on May 26, 2026.

globenewswire.com2026-06-02

Verra Mobility Investors Should Contact Block & Leviton to Possibly Recover Losses; VRRM Stock Remains Down Following Avis Budget Termination

BOSTON, June 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Block & Leviton is investigating Verra Mobility Corporation (Nasdaq: VRRM) for potential securities law violations. Investors who have lost money in their Verra Mobility investment should contact the firm to learn more about how they might recover those losses.

globenewswire.com2026-06-02

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) CEO Leaves Amid Company Receipt of Termination Notice From Avis Budget Group and 70% Stock Crash -- HBSS

SAN FRANCISCO, June 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- After the markets closed on June 1, 2026, Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ: VRRM) announced that its CEO (David Roberts) left the company. Roberts' departure comes in the wake of a massive $9.23 fall (-70%) in the price of the company's shares on May 27, 2026 after news that it received a termination notice from one of its largest customers -- Avis Budget Group.

globenewswire.com2026-06-01

VRRM SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Investors Encouraged to Contact Kirby McInerney LLP About Potential Securities Laws Violations

NEW YORK, June 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The law firm of Kirby McInerney LLP reminds investors of its investigation on behalf of Verra Mobility Corporation (“Verra Mobility” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ:VRRM) investors concerning the Company's and/or members of its senior management's possible violation of the federal securities laws or other unlawful business practices.

prnewswire.com2026-06-01

Verra Mobility Initiates CEO Transition

Jon Keyser Appointed Interim Chief Executive Officer MESA, Ariz., June 1, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ: VRRM), a leading provider of smart mobility technology solutions, today announced that Jon Keyser, who has served as the Company's Chief Transformation Officer and Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer, has been appointed interim President and Chief Executive Officer, effective immediately.

globenewswire.com2026-06-01

Levi & Korsinsky Announces Investigation of Securities Claims Against Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM)

NEW YORK, June 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Investors holding Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ: VRRM) shares watched up to 46% of their investment disappear on May 26, 2026, after the Company cut its FY-2026 revenue guidance by $135 million to $145 million following the termination of a major customer contract.

globenewswire.com2026-06-01

Levi & Korsinsky Announces Investigation of Securities Claims Against Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM)

Verra Mobility stock lost nearly half its value in a single session after the Company slashed full-year revenue guidance by up to $145 million -- just twenty days after reaffirming that same guidance on its Q1 earnings call. Verra Mobility stock lost nearly half its value in a single session after the Company slashed full-year revenue guidance by up to $145 million -- just twenty days after reaffirming that same guidance on its Q1 earnings call.

newsfilecorp.com2026-06-01

Levi & Korsinsky Investigating Whether Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Misled Investors - Securities Law Violations Possible

New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - June 1, 2026) - Levi & Korsinsky notifies investors that it has commenced an investigation into Verra Mobility Corporation ("Verra Mobility Corporation") (NASDAQ: VRRM) concerning potential violations of the federal securities laws. On May 6, 2026, CFO Craig Conti stated: "Based on our first-quarter results and our outlook for the remainder of the year, we are reaffirming all guidance measures.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"VRRM reported Q1 2026 results with Revenue of $223.6M and Net Income of $26.7M (EPS: $0.18). Compared with Q1 2025, Revenue was up +0.1% YoY ($223.6M vs. $223.3M) and Net Income increased +(-17.3%)? (Net Income fell -17.3% YoY from $32.3M). Versus the prior quarter (QoQ), Revenue decreased -13.3% ($223.6M vs. $257.9M) while Net Income rose +41.6% QoQ ($26.7M vs. $18.9M). Profitability was mixed across the quarter: net margin improved to 11.96% in Q1 2026 from 7.32% in Q4 2025, indicating margin expansion QoQ. However, over the last four reported quarters, margins have been volatile (net margin ranged ~7–18%), consistent with operating leverage swings. Cash flow quality was solid. Operating cash flow was $40.8M, supporting modest free cash flow of $9.6M (after $31.2M CapEx). Balance sheet resilience improved QoQ: total assets were roughly flat ($1.66B), while equity increased to $272.0M from $293.0M? (slightly down QoQ), and cash rose to $46.9M from $65.3M. No dividends were paid; buybacks were not reported this quarter. Total shareholder returns look weak: the stock is down -28.9% over the past year (no >20% 1y momentum). With a consensus target of $24 vs. $15.22, valuation implies upside, but near-term execution concerns remain."

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue was essentially flat YoY (+0.1%) but declined QoQ by -13.3% (from $257.9M to $223.6M), suggesting recent demand softness.

Profitability

Positive

Net margin expanded QoQ (11.96% vs. 7.32%), and operating margin rose to 23.17% from 16.69%. YoY net income fell -17.3%, indicating profitability is not steadily improving.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Operating cash flow was $40.8M in Q1 2026 with positive free cash flow of $9.6M. No dividends; buybacks were not present in the quarter.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

Non-bank profile with modest net debt (net debt ~$26.7M) but equity decreased QoQ to $272.0M. Total assets were broadly stable around $1.65B.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Price return is negative: 1y change -28.88% and no dividend yield (0%). No evidence of strong capital return via buybacks this quarter.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Consensus target is $24 vs. current $15.22, implying potential upside (~57%). Valuation optimism offsets weaker YoY earnings momentum.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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Verra Mobility started 2026 with Q1 revenue of $224M aligned to internal expectations and adjusted EBITDA of $86M modestly ahead, supported by better-than-expected NYC camera installation pacing in March and improved bad-debt expense. Growth momentum is most visible in Government Solutions: bookings of ~$13M in Q1, roughly in-line pipeline activity, and continued automated enforcement adoption. However, NYC’s Jan 1 pricing update pressured GS segment margins and dollars, contributing to the full-year expectation of ~450–500 bps GS margin contraction versus 2025 and ~250 bps adjusted EBITDA margin decline company-wide. Commercial Services remains the offset: Q1 revenue fell 4% y/y from FMC churn and a ~$2M nonrecurring true-up, yet management emphasized churn timing (impact largest in Q2) and modeling that supports mid-single-digit growth. Cash generation in Q1 lagged expectations due to inventory and unbilled receivables timing, while the company reaffirmed 2026 FCF of $150M–$160M and continued share repurchases within a $250M authorization.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Government Solutions: ~$13M Q1 new bookings; enforcement program wins (red-light, speed, work zone, mobile bus lane, school bus)
  • Government Solutions automated enforcement adoption by municipalities; MOSAIC migrations to improve productivity and enable long-term margin expansion
  • Commercial Services: RAC tolling revenue +1% from increased product adoption and tolling activity
  • Parking Solutions: SaaS and services sales +6% with segment profit margin expansion driven by revenue mix/onetime items

Business Development

  • Government Solutions: multiple customer migrations onto MOSAIC (secure cloud-based back-end automated enforcement platform) with additional customers queued
  • Commercial Services: renegotiation of a 'significant customer' representing >10% of revenue; negotiations ongoing and 'constructive'
  • AutoKinex Virtual Agent (announced April): partnerships targeted at rental car companies for in-vehicle activation of tolling/fueling add-on services

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Revenue $224M: aligned with internal expectations
  • Adjusted EBITDA $86M: modestly stronger than internal expectations
  • New York City camera installations outperformance once March weather improved; reduced bad debt expense also supported margins
  • Government Solutions revenue +4% y/y (services); driven by +12% growth outside NYC
  • Commercial Services revenue -4% y/y due to prior period FMC churn and a small nonrecurring accounting true-up
  • Commercial Services segment profit margin +100 bps y/y from volume leverage and lower bad debt expense
  • Parking Solutions segment profit margins +210 bps driven by revenue mix and other onetime items
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.25 vs $0.30 prior year; GAAP diluted EPS $0.17 vs $0.20
  • Effective tax rate 34% in Q1 (temporarily higher from stock-based compensation/reserve timing); full-year effective tax rate guided 28%-29%
  • Free cash flow: ~$10M vs internal expectations ~$20M; timing in NYC GS inventory ($7M) and CS unbilled receivables ($5M) partly offset by CS bad debt improvement (~$2M)
  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA margin expected ~40% (guide implies ~250 bps decline vs 2025)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchases: ~2.2M shares for ~$50M in Q1
  • Cumulative repurchases: $184M under $250M authorization (largest program in company history)
  • Remaining capacity: ~$66M under current authorization to repurchase through remainder of the year
  • Net debt: ~$1.0B at quarter end; net leverage 2.5x (elevated sequentially largely due to Q1 share repurchases; partial use of credit revolver)
  • FCF outlook reaffirmed: $150M-$160M for 2026

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Company-wide transformation: workforce reduced by ~5% in Q1 to generate ~$10M annualized cost savings, redeployed into growth/technology
  • AI reinvestment: expanded AI across workflows and embedded into products; initial pilots delivered encouraging results
  • Government Solutions: MOSAIC secure cloud back-end implementation progress; migrations in process with expected productivity gains
  • MOSAIC: expected to be breakeven 'this year from an investment' with additional cost savings compounding in 2027

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Full-year 2026 guidance reaffirmed: total revenue $1.02B-$1.03B (~5% growth at midpoint vs 2025)
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA $405M-$415M (adjusted EBITDA margin ~40%; ~250 bps decline vs 2025)
  • Full-year 2026 non-GAAP adjusted EPS $1.32-$1.38 (low single-digit growth over 2025)
  • Full-year 2026 free cash flow $150M-$160M
  • GS segment: high-end mid-single-digit total revenue growth; GS services high single-digit; GS product roughly flat (down 'a couple of million' from international project runoff)
  • GS margins: contract ~450-500 bps vs 2025; ramp to mid-20s by Q4 2026; land low 20s overall
  • CS: mid-single-digit revenue growth overall for full year; FMC churn sunset after Q2
  • MOSAIC cost savings: breakeven in 2026; $10M-$15M in 2027 (upper end ~$15M) with ~$10M compounded beyond

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • NYC contract pricing update (effective Jan 1) reduced GS segment profit dollars/margins vs prior year; 2026 margins still face ~450-500 bps contraction vs 2025
  • Weather delays in NYC (Jan-Feb) created inventory and timing pressure to free cash flow; reliance on faster-than-expected March recovery
  • Commercial Services: prior period FMC churn drove Q1 revenue decline; guidance depends on successful outcome of ongoing customer contract renewal negotiations
  • Tax rate temporarily higher in Q1 (stock comp/reserve timing) even though full-year expected 28%-29%
  • Free cash flow shortfall in Q1 driven by timing items (inventory/unbilled receivables) rather than deterioration in underlying performance

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Topic: CS revenue recovery, FMC churn bottoming timing, and mid-single-digit sustainability: Management said CS is down ~3.5% y/y in Q1; bridge cited FMC churn just under $5M, plus ~$2M nonrecurring accounting true-up from a tolling authority back-office change. They argued churn impact is largest in Q2, anniversaries reduce it thereafter, supporting mid-single-digit growth via already-seen run-rate and travel ~1.5% positive.
  • Topic: MOSAIC implementation progress and savings path (2026 breakeven; 2027 savings): Management confirmed MOSAIC integration is “going well,” with customers already live and others waiting. They reiterated $10M-$15M EBIT-line savings in 2027 (upper end $15M) and breakeven this year on an investment basis, plus ~$10M compounded beyond 2027, tied to pacing and live deployments.
  • Topic: GS revenue realization leveling (product vs service) and cost savings deployment timing: Management outlined GS as high-end mid-single-digit growth overall; services high single-digit; product roughly flat “maybe down a couple of million” from international project runoff. They said the $10M annualized savings are already embedded in guidance and that savings show across R&D, SG&A, and other OpEx based on where the actions hit first.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the VRRM Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for VRRM.

SEC EDGAR Live Feed
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SEC Filings (VRRM)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Financial Profile