Advantage Solutions Inc.

Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Market Cap

Advantage Solutions Inc. has a market capitalization of $515.2M.

Price: $38.75

0.49 (1.28%)

Market Cap: 515.19M

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: David A. Peacock

Sector: Communication Services

Industry: Advertising Agencies

IPO Date: 2020-01-02

Website: https://advantagesolutions.net

Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) - Company Information

Market Cap: 515.19M|Sector: Communication Services

Company Profile

Advantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced solutions to consumer goods companies and retailers in North America and internationally. It operates in two segments, Sales and Marketing. The Sales segment offers brand-centric services, such as headquarter relationship management; analytics, insights, and intelligence; administration; and brand-centric merchandising services. This segment also provides retailer-centric services comprising retailer-centric merchandising, in-store media, and digital commerce. The Marketing segment offers brand-centric services, including shopper and consumer marketing, and brand experiential services; and retailer-centric services, such as retail experiential, private label, digital marketing, and digital media and advertising. The company was formerly known as Karman Holding Corp. and changed its name to Advantage Solutions Inc. in March 2016. Advantage Solutions Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

Analyst Sentiment

52%
Hold

From 2 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $18.75

▼ -51.6% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$19

Median

$19

High Bound

$19

Average

$19

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$18.75
▼ -51.61% Upside
Low Target
$18.75
-52% Risk
Median Target
$18.75
-52% Mid
High Target
$18.75
-52% Max
Consensus
Hold
1 / 3 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)5152762874994264869381,1011,010
Enterprise Value ($M)397158603112,0002,0432,4702,6072,639
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)-2.08-0.96-0.446.06-3.50-2.16-1.32-6.44-2.50
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)-0.241.28-0.55-0.85-1.81
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)0.140.320.310.540.490.591.051.171.16
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)1.060.580.520.700.620.701.251.181.04
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)8.31-201.0513.439.56-41.74-8.88255.60127.6920.46
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)0.180.060.342.292.492.772.783.02
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)1.392.510.843.4032.9642.04-20.8053.58-67.22
Debt to Equity Ratio-0.410.050.020.022.452.412.321.821.83
⚠️

Valuation Model Suspended

API Payload Error: Inverted or negative baseline Free Cash Flow margin detected (-2.0%).

Troubleshooting Notice: The upstream financial data supplier has uploaded corrupted or inverted baseline metrics for ADV. The server sandbox cannot calculate an intrinsic value path from negative cash generation baselines.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 ADVANTAGE SOLUTIONS INC CLASS A (ADV) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

ADVANTAGE SOLUTIONS INC provides outsourced, performance-oriented marketing services focused on how products win at the point of sale and across the shopper journey. The company’s work typically sits between brand marketers and retail/consumer platforms, combining trade promotion management, shopper marketing, retail execution support, and measurement/analytics to help clients allocate spend more effectively.

The “how it works” is a recurring operating model: ADV designs and manages in-store and digital promotions, supports retail execution, leverages shopper insights to optimize targeting and offers, and then reports outcomes tied to category, product, and retailer objectives. This structure tends to create ongoing client dependencies because the service involves operational workflow integration and the continued use of brand and retailer performance history.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily generated through a blend of service fees (project-based and ongoing managed services) and performance- and volume-adjacent arrangements, depending on the engagement. Monetisation typically depends on:

  • Recurring managed service contracts (e.g., ongoing program oversight, shopper/retail execution support, and analytics/reporting workflows).
  • Transactional and project work (e.g., promotion builds, campaign execution, seasonal or category initiatives).
  • Value-linked economics in engagements where pricing is tied to outcomes such as promotion effectiveness or program throughput.

Margin drivers are largely tied to utilization of service teams, mix shift toward managed and analytics-heavy offerings, and the ability to standardize operating playbooks across clients/retailers. Gross margin durability tends to improve when the business can convert insight and operational capability into repeatable program delivery rather than one-off labor intensity.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

ADVANTAGE SOLUTIONS has a moat that is more “embedded and operational” than purely software-like. The durability typically comes from:

  • High switching costs from deep integration into clients’ promotion workflows, retailer coordination processes, and measurement frameworks. Once established, the cost (time, data alignment, and operational learning) of moving to a new provider can be meaningful.
  • Intangible assets in customer relationships and execution capability across retailers and categories. Many opportunities require credible on-the-ground coordination and a proven track record of delivering compliant, measurable promotional programs.
  • Accumulated insight and analytics know-how that improves over successive programs, supporting better targeting and offer optimization.

Competitive benchmarking: Key competitive pressures include:

  • Merkle (dentsu) — strong in data, digital marketing, and customer lifecycle analytics; typically competes where brands seek broader omnichannel capabilities.
  • Acosta — strong in retail execution and field marketing; overlaps where execution footprint and on-shelf performance are central to the RFP.
  • Catalina Marketing — historically emphasized retail media and offer delivery mechanisms; competes where the value proposition leans more toward proprietary retail media/offer technologies.

ADVANTAGE SOLUTIONS tends to differentiate through a focused combination of shopper/retail promotion management, execution support, and measurement—positioning that can be complementary to larger digital consultancies while still competing for measurable, retailer-integrated programs. Versus firms that lead primarily with either digital media tech or pure field execution, ADV’s positioning often emphasizes closing the loop between promotion design, execution, and outcome reporting.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, structural growth is supported by the continued shift of marketing budgets toward measurable performance and retailer-adjacent execution:

  • Retail media expansion: As retailers monetize attention and data, brands require operators who can connect retail media spend to promotion execution and measurable incremental outcomes.
  • Personalization and measurement: Brands increasingly require analytics that can link offers and campaigns to category performance and shopper behavior, not just impressions.
  • Omnichannel complexity: Coordinating in-store and digital promotions requires orchestration capabilities and repeatable operating processes.
  • Cost discipline in marketing: Economic cycles and procurement scrutiny favor vendors that can demonstrate ROI, tighten feedback loops, and standardize program delivery.

TAM expansion is driven by the growing number of brands adopting always-on promotion programs and the rising need for analytics and operational integration across retailers, digital touchpoints, and measurement environments.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Client concentration and budget cyclicality: Marketing and promotion spend can contract during tighter consumer and brand budgets, impacting utilization and contract timing.
  • Commoditization of execution services: If differentiation shifts from measurable outcomes to basic program delivery, pricing power can erode.
  • Data privacy and regulatory risk: Changes to privacy rules and consent requirements can increase compliance costs and limit targeting/measurement approaches.
  • Technology/platform competition: Retailers and larger digital ecosystems can internalize parts of the workflow, pressuring third-party economics unless ADV maintains clear value in execution + measurement.
  • Talent and operating leverage: The model can be sensitive to staffing stability and the ability to scale without degrading service quality.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Markets typically value marketing services and analytics-enabled outsourcing businesses using EV/EBITDA and P/S, with investor focus on:

  • Sustainable operating margins driven by mix shift toward managed and analytics-led work.
  • Visibility from contract duration and renewal rates.
  • Free cash flow conversion, reflecting working capital discipline and disciplined capital needs.
  • Net revenue retention and client expansion (ability to deepen programs rather than replace them).

The key valuation sensitivity usually centers on whether management can sustain recurring-like revenue characteristics and improve profitability through standardization and better service productivity.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

ADVANTAGE SOLUTIONS’ long-term thesis rests on its ability to act as a durable operator in retail and shopper-focused marketing: embedded customer workflows create switching costs, accumulated execution and measurement know-how can improve delivery outcomes over time, and expansion in retail media and measurable omnichannel promotion should broaden demand. The investment case is most compelling when the company demonstrates ongoing mix improvement toward managed, analytics-informed programs and maintains service quality despite competitive and privacy-driven pressures.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

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Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

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Tradeweb Reports April 2026 Total Trading Volume of $62.2 Trillion and Average Daily Volume of $2.9 Trillion

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globenewswire.com2026-05-06

Advantage Solutions Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

Strong Experiential Services performance and improved Retailer Services profitability drove Adjusted EBITDA growth Centralized labor model implementation continues to enhance execution, productivity, and margins Reaffirming 2026 guidance for Revenues, Adjusted EBITDA and Cash Flow ST. LOUIS, May 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Advantage Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: ADV) (“Advantage,” “Advantage Solutions,” the “Company,” “we,” or “our”), a leading business solutions provider to consumer goods manufacturers and retailers, today reported financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026.

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Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

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Advantage Solutions Inc (ADV) Shares Surge 9.6% -- What GF Score of 50 Tells Investors

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Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.22 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.1 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.08 per share a year ago.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"ADV reported Q1’26 revenue of $869.6M, up +5.76% QoQ (from $821.8M in Q1’25? Actually QoQ is vs Q4’25) and up +5.80% YoY versus $821.8M in Q1’25. Net income was -$71.8M (EPS -$5.49), improving modestly QoQ versus -$161.7M in Q4’25 (loss narrowed), but worsening YoY versus -$56.1M in Q1’25 (net loss expanded). Profitability deteriorated across margins: gross margin slipped from 13.94% in Q4’25 to 12.42% in Q1’26, while operating margin fell to 0.48% from -17.38% in Q4’25 (reflecting significant swings tied to other line items). Over the last four quarters, results have been highly volatile—profit in Q3’25 (+$20.6M) turned to losses in Q4’25 and again in Q1’26. Cash flow quality improved in Q1’26 with operating cash flow of +$23.7M and free cash flow of +$12.3M, but this was not enough to offset financing outflows: other financing activities were -$146.7M, driving cash down to $156.0M (from $253.0M). Balance sheet liquidity remains adequate (current ratio ~1.95), and leverage is low per reported debt/net debt metrics (net debt negative at -$118.0M). Total shareholder returns appear extremely strong given the market performance: price is up +2355% over 1 year, so shareholder momentum likely dominates valuation sentiment despite fundamentals remaining loss-making."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Q1’26 revenue was $869.6M, up +5.80% YoY vs $821.8M (Q1’25). QoQ vs Q4’25 ($932.1M) revenue declined -6.75%, indicating softening sequential demand.

Profitability

Neutral

Net income improved QoQ (loss -$71.8M vs -$161.7M) but worsened YoY (loss -$71.8M vs -$56.1M). Margins contracted: gross margin 12.42% in Q1’26 vs 13.94% in Q4’25; net margin -8.26% remains deeply negative.

Cash Flow Quality

Fair

Operating cash flow turned positive in Q1’26 (+$23.7M) and free cash flow was +$12.3M. However, financing outflows were large (net financing activities -$146.7M), reducing cash materially QoQ (cash fell to $156.0M). No dividends or buybacks were reported.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Liquidity is adequate (current ratio ~1.95). Reported total debt is low (short-term debt $25.9M; long-term debt $0) and net debt is -$118.0M, suggesting balance-sheet resilience despite retained earnings being significantly negative.

Shareholder Returns

Excellent

Market momentum is exceptional: 1Y change +2355.20% (well above +20%), with 6M +2031.25% and YTD +3660.11%. With no dividend yield reported and no buybacks shown, returns appear driven by price appreciation and sentiment.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Caution

Consensus price target is $18.75 (high/low/median all $18.75) versus current price $30.69, implying the current market price is above the target. Valuation appears stretched relative to the target despite ongoing losses (negative P/E).

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

ADV delivered a solid Q1 driven by outsized Experiential performance and improved Retailer Services, while Branded Services remained the key drag. Total revenue rose 4% YoY to $723M and adjusted EBITDA rose 16% to $68M, reflecting strong incremental margins in Experiential and improved Retailer profitability. Experiential’s revenue grew +22% and EBITDA +116%, supported by better labor readiness/CLM execution and easier comparisons after prior-year hiring constraints. Retailer Services returned to EBITDA growth (+14%) despite timing benefits, with momentum in merchandising conversions. Branded Services contracted (revenue -12%, EBITDA -25%) due to macro pressure, client losses, and mix. Management reiterated conservative 2026 guidance (flat to low single-digit revenue; EBITDA flat to down mid-single digits) while emphasizing upcoming efficiency benefits from SAP/Oracle/Workday and an AI/data-lake stack that they expect to translate primarily in 2027. Near-term risk centers on Branded stabilization, mix, and DSOs elevated due to system implementations.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Experiential Services: events grew >19% with improved execution rates; centralized labor model (CLM) rollout improving labor utilization and margin
  • Retailer Services: improved activity/pricing with positive revenue and EBITDA growth despite timing benefits; strong conversion in retail merchandising
  • AI-enabled workforce productivity: AI staffing/scheduling improving speed and labor utilization; AI on top of data lake for faster insights and product-level performance for clients
  • Branded Services stabilization initiatives: analytics architecture to drive faster action and higher-likelihood brand performance acceleration (in-store merchandiser deployment)

Business Development

  • Instacart alliance: expanded retail pilot using proprietary data and an alert-based model to deploy retail reps to highest-yield in-store opportunities; management described it as early ramping with broader benefits expected later (2027)
  • Non-food retail expansion discussions: active discussions with several non-food retailers to replicate grocery-like episodic in-store labor and supply chain as-a-service capabilities
  • Experiential new retail partners and new customers: management cited expansion beyond core accounts as part of the higher event growth

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Total company net revenues: $723M, +4% YoY and +4.7% pro forma excluding divestitures
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $68M, +16% YoY and +22% pro forma excluding divestitures
  • Experiential Services: revenue $270M (+22% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $26M (+116% YoY)
  • Retailer Services: revenue $227M (+4% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $21M (+14% YoY); returned to adjusted EBITDA growth
  • Branded Services: revenue $226M (-12% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $21M (-25% YoY); pro forma excluding divestitures revenue -10% and EBITDA -17%
  • Divestitures impact: ~($5M) net revenues and ~($3M) EBITDA in Q1 (businesses within Branded Services; ~20M revenues and >10M EBITDA in 2025)
  • Cash flow: adjusted unlevered free cash flow $74M; conversion rate 110% (quarter)
  • Working capital: DSO increased slightly sequentially and expected to remain elevated for a few months due to systems implementations (final SAP phase going live this week); year-end DSO expected below prior year
  • Guidance reiterated: full-year revenue flat to low single-digit growth; adjusted EBITDA flat to down mid-single digits; adjusted unlevered free cash flow $250M-$275M; net free cash flow conversion ~25% of adjusted EBITDA excluding incremental debt-refinancing costs
  • Cadence: first half expected to represent low 40% range of full-year adjusted EBITDA

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Cash: ended quarter with $144M (up from $121M prior-year period; down from Q4 as debt reduced)
  • Debt paydown: paid down roughly $130M in the quarter; meaningful debt paydown in March
  • Debt maturity extension: extended debt maturities to 2030 in Q1; largely fixed and hedged rate structure
  • Net leverage: 4.2x adjusted EBITDA at quarter end (down from 4.4x at end of Q4); target 3.5x or below long-term

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Centralized labor model rollout: improving retail execution and profitability; management indicated early-stage realization but already benefiting execution in Experiential
  • Enterprise technology transformation: last phase of SAP launched; Oracle platform in place; Workday implementation next year; heavy efficiency realization expected more fully in 2027
  • AI integration: use case-based AI tool selection; AI-enabled staffing/scheduling improving speed and labor utilization; broader AI expected to improve forecasting and labor productivity
  • Store remodel/product resets: centralized labor capabilities expected to extend into Retailer Services as product resets and store remodel work proceed in ~80% of the U.S. grocery channel

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Reiterated 2026 guidance: flat to low single-digit revenue growth; adjusted EBITDA flat to down mid-single digits
  • Adjusted unlevered free cash flow: $250M-$275M; net free cash flow conversion ~25% of adjusted EBITDA (excluding incremental debt refinancing costs)
  • DSO: expected elevated over next few months, then improving later in the year with year-end below prior year
  • Experiential: management expects strong revenue growth for the year with adjusted EBITDA growth broadly in line with revenue growth
  • Branded Services: stabilization progress expected throughout 2026 as initiatives take hold

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Branded Services pressured by challenging macro environment, select client losses, and unfavorable mix shift (revenue -12% YoY; EBITDA -25% YoY)
  • Mix dynamics: guidance reflects revenue weighted toward lower-margin businesses in the portfolio
  • Timing effects: part of Q1 outperformance described as timing-related benefits that may normalize across the rest of the year
  • Labor and benefit costs and the ability to convert pipeline into revenue, particularly in Branded Services
  • DSO elevated near term due to systems upgrades/implementation cadence (SAP final phase going live this week)

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Expansion beyond grocery retail: Management said the company is actively discussing non-food retailers, noting it historically focused on grocery (including post-Daymon integration and COVID impacts). They cited episodic in-store labor shortages and supply chain as-a-service opportunities, with higher retailer willingness now, but relationship-building timing implies contribution likely after ramp (2027-leaning).
  • Experiential Services surge sustainability: Management attributed the outsized growth to lapping prior-year labor/hiring constraints, improved labor readiness and training caliber, and shortening time from hire to start to improve retention. They also referenced execution acceleration, 19.5% demand growth, and ~30+% incremental margin tracking, plus added customers.
  • Tech transformation efficiency magnitude/timing + Instacart/Pulse ramp: Management said SAP/Oracle are in place with last SAP instance going live “today,” Oracle already in place, and Workday next year. They framed ‘27 as the efficiency/cash-flow realization window without quantifying bps. For Instacart, they described it as successful but in ramping/early stages, expecting more benefits later (2027).

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the ADV Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for ADV.

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SEC Filings (ADV)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) Financial Profile