Aebi Schmidt Holding AG

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Market Cap

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG has a market capitalization of $892.1M.

Price: $11.51

-0.65 (-5.35%)

Market Cap: 892.10M

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Barend Fruithof

Sector: Industrials

Industry: General Transportation

IPO Date: 2025-07-01

Website: https://www.aebi‑schmidt.com

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) - Company Information

Market Cap: 892.10M|Sector: Industrials

Company Profile

Develops and manufactures specialty-purpose vehicles and attachments for snow clearance, de‑icing, sweeping, airport operations, and agricultural applications. Merged with The Shyft Group to create a global specialty vehicle leader.

Analyst Sentiment

82%
Strong Buy

From 3 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $15.75

▲ +36.8% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$15

Median

$16

High Bound

$17

Average

$16

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$15.75
▲ +36.84% Upside
Low Target
$15.00
30% Risk
Median Target
$15.75
37% Mid
High Target
$16.50
43% Max
Consensus
Buy
2 / 2 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)8927497429606,4616,4616,4616,4616,461
Enterprise Value ($M)1,7341,5901,4021,6486,8586,9076,858
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)103.79211.0621.16198.95-699.23778.42170.60375.37219.87
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)21.071.752.85-61.0112.5239.62
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)0.481.291.402.0423.2625.9321.6624.6226.95
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)0.880.740.911.1822.5117.4017.70
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)-660.47-29.8224.96-111.952494.58-217.68130.19338.45-1786.04
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)2.742.653.5024.6927.7222.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)12.8036.8528.1854.99547.87432.29258.03
Debt to Equity Ratio6.210.970.931.001.561.331.27
⚠️

Valuation Model Suspended

API Payload Error: Inverted or negative baseline Free Cash Flow margin detected (-0.8%).

Troubleshooting Notice: The upstream financial data supplier has uploaded corrupted or inverted baseline metrics for AEBI. The server sandbox cannot calculate an intrinsic value path from negative cash generation baselines.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 AEBI SCHMIDT HOLDING AG (AEBI) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

AEBI SCHMIDT designs, manufactures, and services specialized equipment for municipal and industrial cleaning and winter maintenance. The business model follows a lifecycle approach: it sells capital equipment (street sweepers, compactors, snow/ice control and related attachments) and then earns value through aftermarket parts, service, inspections, and recurring maintenance activities tied to the installed base.

Customer stickiness is reinforced by the operational realities of public works procurement: equipment is deployed under tight service schedules, specifications are standardized across fleets, and downtime carries direct political and operational costs. Once a fleet is in place, ongoing support and spare-parts availability become the practical purchase criteria in subsequent service cycles.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue typically stems from three monetisation pillars:

  • Equipment sales (transactional): Revenue from new municipal/industrial machines and system configurations.
  • Aftermarket parts (semi-recurring): Consumables and spare parts sales driven by fleet size, utilization, and aging profiles.
  • Service and maintenance (recurring element): Workshop services, inspections, planned maintenance, and service agreements that convert installed-base demand into more predictable cash flows.

Margin structure generally benefits from a higher mix of aftermarket and service relative to pure hardware sales. The aftermarket component tends to be structurally supported by the installed base and the technical specificity of components, which limits pure price competition compared with the initial purchase.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

AEBI’s moat is primarily grounded in Switching Costs and Service/Aftermarket Capability built around an installed base.

  • Switching Costs (installed base): Municipal fleets standardize equipment types and maintenance procedures. Switching to a different supplier can require changes to parts inventories, mechanic training, and operating procedures, which increases total cost of ownership.
  • Aftermarket defensibility: Spare parts availability and service know-how create a practical barrier to losing share after equipment deployment. Competitors must not only win new orders but also prove sustained service performance over time.
  • Customer operational fit: Equipment used for sanitation and winter operations is evaluated on uptime, maintainability, and fit to local operating requirements (routing, vehicle compatibility, and performance in cold/dirty conditions).

Competitive benchmarking (primary peers)

  • Bucher Municipal: similarly focused on municipal street cleaning and maintenance solutions. AEBI competes by offering alternatives in product coverage and lifecycle support for specific municipality needs.
  • Kärcher: broad platform for cleaning technology. AEBI’s competitive emphasis is typically on municipal-grade fleet integration and service depth rather than consumer/commercial light cleaning breadth.
  • Johnston Sweepers: street-cleaning equipment manufacturer with strong municipal presence. Compared with AEBI, the competitive contest often centers on municipal fleet qualification, total lifecycle cost, and service responsiveness.

Across these rivals, AEBI’s positioning advantage is strongest where municipalities prioritize fleet continuity, proven service support, and operational uptime—conditions that favor established installed-base relationships over short-cycle bidding.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, the addressable market is shaped by durable funding and replacement cycles rather than discretionary demand. Key drivers include:

  • Urban infrastructure and sanitation modernization: Continued urban growth and stricter cleanliness standards increase demand for professional cleaning fleets and associated service.
  • Winter maintenance capacity and fleet replacement: Aging equipment replacement, safety requirements, and operational reliability needs support recurring aftermarket demand and periodic capital refresh cycles.
  • Regulatory and sustainability pressures: Pollution control and efficiency requirements for road maintenance and cleaning can shift specifications toward higher-performing equipment and service regimes.
  • Aftermarket scaling with installed base: Even when new machine orders fluctuate, the installed base generates a long-run demand stream for parts and maintenance.
  • Service network expansion and retention: Deeper service coverage improves retention and increases share of wallet within existing fleets.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Public spending cyclicality: Capital intensity and municipality budget cycles can impact equipment order timing.
  • Competitive bidding pressure: Municipal procurement often involves competitive tenders, which can compress equipment margins while shifting value toward aftermarket/service.
  • Supply-chain and input cost volatility: Metals and components exposure can affect gross margins and delivery schedules.
  • Technology and regulatory change: Environmental and performance regulations may require redesigns or new technologies that elevate development and qualification costs.
  • FX exposure: International sales and sourcing can create currency translation and operating risk.
  • Working capital swings: Equipment manufacturing and customer contract structures can drive inventory and receivables variability.

📊 Valuation & Market View

The market typically values industrial manufacturers with a blend of cyclicality-adjusted earnings expectations and aftermarket/service quality. In practice, valuation often tracks:

  • EV/EBITDA or earnings multiple frameworks for the industrial equipment segment, with discounts reflecting order-cycle volatility.
  • Premium potential when investors believe the business sustains a higher service/aftermarket mix and improving resilience of cash flows.
  • Multiple sensitivity to margin durability, service growth, and fleet retention indicators.

Key valuation drivers are therefore the durability of installed-base monetisation, the mix shift from equipment toward service/parts, and the company’s ability to manage input costs while sustaining service responsiveness.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

AEBI SCHMIDT offers an installed-base driven industrial service model in municipal cleaning and winter maintenance. The core investment thesis rests on switching costs created by fleet standardization, aftermarket/service defensibility, and an operationally anchored customer relationship that tends to support more stable value extraction through parts and maintenance alongside equipment cycles. The primary debate for investors is not market need, but the sustainability of margins and service mix under procurement competition and public spending variability.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

13 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for AEBI.

globenewswire.com2026-05-21

Aebi Schmidt Group shareholders approve all proposals submitted by the Board of Directors at the 2026 Annual General Meeting; Company's Board of Directors declares quarterly dividend of $0.025 per share

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, May 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- At today's first Annual General Meeting (the “2026 AGM”) of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt Group” or the “Company”), the shareholders approved all proposals submitted by the Board of Directors (the “Board”). Following the 2026 AGM, the Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.025 per share.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-14

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

marketbeat.com2026-05-14

Aebi Schmidt Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Aebi Schmidt NASDAQ: AEBI reported higher first-quarter 2026 order intake, sales and profitability, with management pointing to strong demand in Europe and the rest of the world, improving walk-in van activity in North America and a record backlog that supports its full-year outlook.

zacks.com2026-05-14

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Lags Q1 Earnings Estimates

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.01 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.02 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.39 per share a year ago.

globenewswire.com2026-05-14

Aebi Schmidt Group reports 9% growth in Order Intake, continued increase in Order Backlog of 23%, strong underlying growth and profitability, and confirms full-year 2026 guidance

Strong order momentum, with Q1 2026 Order Intake up 9% vs Q1 20252 and Order Backlog expanding by 23% vs Q1 2025 to $1.3b Net Sales of $456m in Q1 2026, in line with Q1 2025 and growing 7% excluding $26.3m Blue Arc sales in Q1 2025 Adjusted EBITDA1 of $33.1m in Q1 2026, up 6% vs Q1 2025, representing 7.3% of Net Sales, a margin increase of ~40bps vs Q1 2025, driven by 201% increase in Europe and Rest of World (RoW) Net Income of $0.7m in Q1 2026, an increase of 7% vs Q1 2025 Aebi Schmidt Group on track to deliver full year 2026 guidance expecting sales in $1.95 to $2.15b range, adjusted EBITDA in $175 to $195m range and leverage ≤ 2.0x FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, May 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt”, the “Group”, or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, reports strong order momentum and increased adjusted EBITDA. “Aebi Schmidt Group delivered a strong start to 2026, with meaningful order growth and improved profitability compared to last year2," said Barend Fruithof, Group CEO of Aebi Schmidt.

globenewswire.com2026-04-30

Aebi Schmidt Group to announce first quarter 2026 earnings on May 14, 2026

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, April 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt Group” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, will announce its first quarter 2026 earnings before the market opens on Thursday, May 14, 2026, and host an earnings conference call and webcast at 8:30am Eastern Time the same day. Investors and analysts can access the conference call and webcast, including conference call materials, at https://www.aebi-schmidt.com/investors, or directly through: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/et6k83dj/ for the webcast, and https://register-conf.media-server.com/register/BIea067a43e9b54693b1d3410320f4775c for the live conference call with the ability to ask questions during the Q&A.

seekingalpha.com2026-03-25

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

globenewswire.com2026-03-12

Aebi Schmidt Group to release Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings on March 19, 2026

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, March 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, will announce its Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 earnings before the market opens on Thursday, March 19, 2026, and host an earnings conference call and webcast at 8:30am Eastern Time the same day.

globenewswire.com2025-11-13

Aebi Schmidt Group achieves significant step-up in profitability following the integration of the Shyft Group; strong order momentum and continued backlog growth

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland,, Nov. 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, reports significant step-up in profitability following the acquisition of the Shyft Group.

gurufocus.com2025-11-12

Paramount Global: Mario Gabelli's Strategic Exit with a -0.62% Portfolio Impact

Insights into Mario Gabelli (Trades, Portfolio)'s Third Quarter 2025 Investment Moves Mario Gabelli (Trades, Portfolio) recently submitted the 13F filing for t

gurufocus.com2025-11-12

Chuck Royce's Strategic Moves: Significant Reduction in Air Lease Corp

Exploring the Third Quarter 2025 13F Filing Chuck Royce (Trades, Portfolio) recently submitted the 13F filing for the third quarter of 2025, providing insights

globenewswire.com2025-10-23

Aebi Schmidt Group Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.025 per Share and Announces Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call Date of November 13, 2025

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, today announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend, and the Company will host its third quarter 2025 earnings conference call and webcast on November 13, 2025.

globenewswire.com2025-09-26

Aebi Schmidt Group pays first dividend after listing on Nasdaq

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Sept. 26, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, confirms details of its first dividend payout.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"AEBI reported Q1’26 revenue of $581.3M and net income of $0.9M (EPS $0.0115). On a year-over-year basis (vs Q1’25), revenue rose sharply (581.3M vs 249.2M; +133.7%), but net income declined (0.9M vs 2.1M; -57.3%). QoQ, revenue increased (581.3M vs 528.4M; +10.0%), while net income was essentially flat/slightly higher (0.9M vs 8.8M; down materially sequentially vs Q4’25). Profitability weakened versus the prior quarter: gross margin was broadly stable (~17.4% in Q1’26 vs ~17.3% in Q4’25), but operating margin contracted (4.39% vs 6.49%) and net margin fell sharply (0.15% vs 1.66%), indicating a major deterioration in below-the-line items (interest and other income/expense). Operating cash flow was negative in Q1’26 (-$22.6M), contrasting with positive cash flow in Q4’25 (+$33.5M), while free cash flow also remained negative (-$25.1M). Balance sheet resilience is moderate: total assets grew (to $2.50B) and equity increased to ~$1.01B, but leverage remains high (net debt ~$841M; equity ratio still pressured). Total shareholder returns look weak: the stock trades at $11.85 with a 1-year change of -85.77%, indicating strong negative capital appreciation; dividends are minimal (yield ~0.34%)."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Revenue improved QoQ (+10.0%) and surged YoY (+133.7%) to $581.3M, showing strong top-line acceleration despite profitability volatility.

Profitability

Neutral

Net income declined YoY (-57.3%) and net margin contracted versus Q4’25 (0.15% vs 1.66%). Operating margin fell (4.39% vs 6.49%), signaling weakening earnings power.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Operating cash flow turned negative in Q1’26 (-$22.6M) vs positive in Q4’25 (+$33.5M). Free cash flow also negative (-$25.1M), reducing cash generation quality.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Caution

Balance sheet expanded with assets up to ~$2.50B and equity stable-to-higher (~$1.01B), but leverage remains high (total debt ~$986M; net debt ~$841M). Interest coverage remains limited (~1.76x).

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

1-year price momentum is severely negative (-85.77%), dominating returns. Dividend yield is low (~0.34%), with no meaningful offset to capital losses.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus price target is $16.50 versus current ~$11.85 (implied upside ~39%). However, elevated earnings/FCF volatility and weak near-term cash generation temper confidence.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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Management is broadly optimistic: order intake surged (+46% in Q4) and adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 9.1% (+170 bps), with backlog now over $1.2b and 2026 guidance raised/confirmed via a $175m–$195m adjusted EBITDA range. They attribute the walk-in-van recovery to a structural demand/renewal mix and cite product traction (including Monroe/Royal service body and the Isuzu Advantic via exclusive partnership). However, the Q&A pressure points reveal execution/timing risk: customers’ excitement around new truck bodies does not translate into 2026 outperformance—Aebi expects to build foundations for 2027. Seasonality is flagged as more pronounced in 2026 due to walk-in-van ramp-up costs landing in Q1 before revenue materializes in Q2, with additional commercial softness persisting through Q1. Synergies are on track (> $40m total), but phasing is explicit: procurement synergies begin Q3 2026 and revenue synergies are mostly H2, limiting near-term earnings uplift despite a strong backlog.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Order intake +46% in Q4 2025 vs Q4 2024
  • Recovery in walk-in-van orders (customers describe structural/sustained demand + renewal mix)
  • Strong order entry in airport and municipal segments
  • First deliveries of new products already made; new compact airport products gaining traction
  • Municipal snow/ice truck deliveries beginning April via fully operational Chicago upfit center

Business Development

  • Monroe + Royal: first service body jointly developed presented at NTA (launch already completed last week; first deliveries referenced)
  • Isuzu partnership: Advantic service body (Aebi Schmidt exclusive partner for Isuzu getting it into market)
  • Major DOT customer: first municipal snow and ice trucks start delivering in April (from Chicago upfit center)
  • New upfit centers gaining traction: Minneapolis and Toronto

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 9.1% in Q4 2025 from 7.4% in Q4 2024 (+170 bps)
  • Adjusted EBITDA +31% YoY in Q4 2025 (Q4 adjusted EBITDA $48.1m)
  • Net sales +6% YoY in Q4 2025 to $528m; full-year net sales $1.9b (+2% vs 2024)
  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA $156m and 8.2% adjusted EBITDA margin; full-year adjusted EBITDA +13% YoY on pro forma basis
  • Europe/Rest of World EBITDA margin improvement: “over 600 basis points improvement” YoY in Q4
  • Order backlog: over $1.2b at year-end (up 21% YoY); Q4 backlog increased 25% YoY and order entry +63% YoY
  • Leverage reduced to 2.8x as of Dec 31, 2025 (improved “almost half a turn”); communicated target: <2.0x by year-end 2026
  • Net working capital decreased $29m (-6%) since September to $423m; driven by $38m lower inventory

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Leverage reduced to 2.8x (from September: net debt -$32m to $437m as of Dec 31, 2025)
  • No explicit buyback/debt issuance amounts disclosed in the transcript

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Accelerating cost synergies from Shyft acquisition: expecting to deliver over $40m vs initial $25m–$30m target
  • Procurement synergies expected to materialize in H2 2026 (kicking in in Q3 2026)
  • Revenue synergies expected to kick in primarily in H2 2026
  • Vertical integration actions: new service body as part of “committed integration” (service body feedback “very, very good”)
  • Production/ramp-up impacts: Q4 net sales and adjusted EBITDA slightly below prior year due to walk-in-van ramp-up expenses and additional locations
  • Upfit/footprint actions: consolidate some Midwest warehouses to improve logistics and net working capital

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 guidance: net sales $1.95b–$2.15b; adjusted EBITDA $175m–$195m; leverage at/below 2.0x by year-end 2026
  • Quarterly seasonality: Q1 starts slow; Q2 order conversion accelerates; Q3 improving conditions + procurement synergies; Q4 strong seasonal strength (esp. Europe/ROW)
  • Synergy phasing (from Q&A): 2025 realized in “mid-teens” vs total >$40m; expect “same amount” in 2026; full realization by summer 2027

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Truck body and commercial markets: continued softness with only slow recovery in 2026
  • Net sales/profitability softness in Q4 tied to walk-in-van and truck bodies: ramp-up expenses for walk-in-van production and additional locations; walk-in-van + truck body softness
  • Commercial truck body: management does not expect outperformance vs broader market in 2026; intends to build foundation for acceleration in 2027
  • Q1 2026 headwind: backlog conversion timing—walk-in-van revenue starts materializing beginning in Q2 while costs/ramp-up expenses flow in Q1 (noted as segment hit in the U.S./North America)
  • Geopolitical environment: “didn’t really help in the last couple of weeks” (explicitly cited as factor in seasonality/macro headwind)

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the AEBI Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for AEBI.

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SEC Filings (AEBI)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Financial Profile