Amplitude, Inc.

Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Market Cap

Amplitude, Inc. has a market capitalization of .

No quote data available.

CEO: Spenser Skates

Sector: Technology

Industry: Software - Application

IPO Date: 2021-09-28

Website: https://amplitude.com

Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) - Company Information

Market Cap: -|Sector: Technology

Company Profile

Amplitude, Inc. provides a digital optimization system to analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude analytics for insights of customer behavior; Amplitude Recommend, a no-code personalization solution that helps to increase customer engagement by adapting digital products and campaigns to every user based on behavior; Amplitude Experiment, an integrated solution that enables teams to determine and deliver the product experiences for their customers through A/B tests and controlled feature releases; Amplitude Behavioral Graph, a proprietary database for deep, real-time interactive behavioral analysis, and behavior-driven personalization – instantly joining, analyzing, and correlating any customer actions to outcomes, such as engagement, growth, and loyalty; and data management, a real-time data layer for planning, integrating, and managing data sources to create a foundation with identity resolution, enterprise-level security, and privacy solutions. The company also provides customer support services related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support, and application training. It delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service model. The company was formerly known as Sonalight, Inc. and changed its name to Amplitude, Inc. in December 2014. Amplitude, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Analyst Sentiment

79%
Strong Buy

From 11 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $12.00

▲ +0.0% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$10

Median

$11

High Bound

$16

Average

$12

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$12.00
▲ +56.66% Upside
Low Target
$10.00
31% Risk
Median Target
$11.00
44% Mid
High Target
$16.00
109% Max

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

Sentiment volume allocation data unavailable.

Historical valuation matrix unavailable.

📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 AMPLITUDE INC CLASS A (AMPL) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Amplitude provides product analytics software designed to help product teams measure user behavior, understand engagement and funnels, and translate insights into product decisions. The core workflow is straightforward: customers instrument events in their digital products, amplitude processes and organizes those event streams into analytics-ready datasets, and teams use dashboards, cohort and funnel analysis, and experimentation/insight tooling to improve activation, retention, and monetization outcomes.

The business model is typically usage- and seat/account-based SaaS delivery, with recurring subscription contracts and ongoing value creation tied to the depth of event instrumentation and the volume/complexity of analytics queries. As teams expand to additional use cases (e.g., experimentation, lifecycle analytics, and governance), Amplitude becomes a persistent system of record for product behavior data.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily subscription SaaS, with monetisation driven by a blend of account tiering and usage characteristics (often related to event volume and/or analytics consumption), plus enterprise features and support. The recurring nature of subscription revenue is the key margin driver: amortization of implementation and ongoing customer success costs improves as more teams and business units standardize on the platform.

Operationally, profitability depends on (1) scaling customer adoption without proportional increases in compute and support intensity, (2) maintaining healthy net retention through expansion seats/use cases, and (3) sustaining efficient sales productivity in a market where enterprise requirements increasingly include security, privacy, and data governance.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Amplitude competes in product analytics and digital measurement categories against both direct analytics peers and broader customer-analytics platforms. The structural moat is best characterized as high switching costs driven by data gravity.

  • Data gravity / switching costs: The platform becomes tightly embedded in the customer’s instrumentation standards, event taxonomy, dashboards, and analytical workflows. Re-platforming requires re-instrumentation, rebuilding analytics assets, and re-validating measurement accuracy across products.
  • Depth of product analytics workflow: Customers rely on Amplitude not only for reporting, but for decisioning loops (diagnosis → prioritization → experimentation → measurement), which increases the cost of vendor displacement.
  • Enterprise readiness and integration ecosystem: The value proposition strengthens as teams integrate amplitude with their broader data stack (e.g., warehouses, reverse ETL, and experimentation systems) and implement governance controls—making consolidation harder for competitors.

Competitive benchmarking (primary peers): Mixpanel and Heap are direct product analytics competitors that focus on behavioral analytics and event-based insights. Adobe Analytics and other suite-based web/experience analytics vendors compete by bundling analytics with broader digital marketing and CX ecosystems.

Positioning contrast: Amplitude’s emphasis is on product-team-centric analytics and experimentation/insight workflows, whereas Mixpanel and Heap often compete on comparable event analytics capabilities and time-to-value. Suite vendors (e.g., Adobe Analytics) typically leverage broader marketing/CX relationships and bundle strategies; Amplitude can be advantaged when customers prioritize product management analytics depth and organizational measurement standardization over broad marketing suites.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • Expansion of product-led decisioning: Organizations increasingly treat product analytics as a core operating function rather than an ad hoc reporting activity, expanding seat growth across product, growth, and engineering teams.
  • Experimentation and lifecycle optimization: As companies pursue measurable improvements in activation, retention, and monetization, event-based analytics and cohort/funnel tooling become central to continuous improvement.
  • Rising data volume and need for governance: More instrumentation across apps and features raises the importance of consistent event schemas, data quality controls, and secure analytics workflows—favoring established platforms.
  • Greater enterprise adoption: Larger organizations require robust permissions, reliability, and compliance capabilities, which tends to increase switching friction and support longer contract duration.

Over a 5–10 year horizon, TAM expansion is supported by a broader shift from static reporting to behavioral intelligence embedded in product development cycles—driving ongoing platform expansion within existing customers and new customer onboarding.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Competition and feature commoditization: Product analytics features can converge; sustaining differentiation requires continuous investment in workflow depth, performance, and usability without driving disproportionate costs.
  • Data privacy and regulatory constraints: Changes in consent requirements, tracking limitations, and data residency expectations may reduce available signal or increase implementation overhead.
  • Enterprise sales cycles and implementation complexity: Larger deals require security reviews, governance setups, and integration work, which can affect booking pace and create execution risk.
  • Platform reliability and measurement accuracy: Analytics systems are only valuable if measurement remains consistent; outages, schema drift, or attribution changes can increase churn risk.
  • Compute and usage cost management: As customers increase event volume and query complexity, cost-to-serve must be managed to preserve operating leverage.

📊 Valuation & Market View

This sector is typically valued using SaaS frameworks that emphasize growth and quality of recurring revenue rather than near-term earnings. Common valuation lenses include EV/Revenue (or EV/ARR), forward-looking growth expectations, and indicators tied to retention and expansion (e.g., net retention and churn profile). Market confidence tends to rise when management demonstrates durable subscription demand, improving customer expansion dynamics, and controlled operating cost growth.

Multiple compression risk usually emerges if growth decelerates, competitive pricing intensifies, retention deteriorates, or usage-based economics cause margin pressure. Conversely, valuation support strengthens when customers broaden usage across more teams/use cases—reinforcing the data gravity moat and improving the predictability of revenue.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Amplitude’s long-term attractiveness rests on workflow-embedded product analytics that create high switching costs through data gravity—making customer displacement difficult once instrumentation standards, dashboards, and decision loops are established. With continued enterprise adoption of experimentation and lifecycle optimization, the business has a credible pathway to sustained expansion driven by deeper adoption within customers, provided it maintains differentiation amid intensifying competition and manages data/privacy and cost-to-serve constraints.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"AMPL reported Q1’26 revenue of $93.5M and net loss of ($23.3)M (EPS: -$0.17). QoQ, revenue increased from $91.4M in Q4’25 (+2.4%) but net loss widened from ($17.7)M (+31.8%). YoY, revenue rose from $79.9M in Q1’25 (+17.1%), while net loss expanded from ($22.2)M (+4.7%). Profitability remains weak: gross margin was 73.0% in Q1’26 versus 74.6% in Q4’25 and 74.7% in Q1’25, while operating margin and net margin were -25.8% and -24.9%, respectively—both still deeply negative. Cash flow quality is mixed. Operating cash flow turned negative at ($11.6)M in Q1’26 (vs +$12.8M in Q4’25; vs -$8.0M in Q1’25). Free cash flow was ($12.0)M. On the balance sheet, AMPL is liquid with $182.0M cash & short-term investments, net cash (net debt: -$80.0M), and low leverage (debt ~$6.6M). Shareholder returns appear subdued: there is no dividend, and buybacks reduced cash via common share repurchases ($20.7M in Q1’26), but total value remains weak given the stock’s -15.9% 1-year change."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Revenue grew YoY in Q1’26 (+17.1% vs Q1’25) and modestly sequentially (+2.4% QoQ vs Q4’25). The growth rate is positive, though it has not yet driven profitability.

Profitability

Neutral

Net loss widened QoQ (+31.8%) and slightly worsened YoY (+4.7%). Margins are contracting: gross margin fell to 73.0% (from 74.6% QoQ and 74.7% YoY), with net margin at -24.9% and operating margin at -25.8%.

Cash Flow Quality

Caution

Operating cash flow was -$11.6M in Q1’26 vs +$12.8M QoQ and -$8.0M YoY. Free cash flow was -$12.0M, indicating limited ability to self-fund losses in the quarter. No dividends; buybacks occurred.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Good

Balance sheet resilience is strong: net debt is negative (net cash) at -$80.0M, total assets are down QoQ ($401.7M vs $420.7M), and leverage is low (debt ~$6.6M). Liquidity (cash + short-term investments: $182.0M) is supportive.

Shareholder Returns

Caution

No dividend (0% yield). Buybacks in Q1’26 were material (-$20.7M repurchases), but the stock’s 1-year performance is negative (-15.9%), implying total shareholder return has been weak.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Market price is $6.98 vs consensus target $12 (upside on paper), but the stock is down 1Y (-15.9%). The valuation looks more optimistic than fundamentals given persistent net losses and negative operating cash flow.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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AMPL posted Q1 2026 revenue of $94M (+17% YoY) and ARR of $374M (+17% YoY), with net dollar expansion improving to 106% and enterprise ARR $100k+ customers rising to 727. The quarter also showcased expanding multiproduct penetration (77% of ARR from multiproduct accounts; 24% from 5+ products). The main earnings tension is margin: gross margin fell 2 points YoY to 75%, largely due to higher inference costs from AI adoption outpacing expectations, with more short-term pressure expected through the rest of 2026 during AI and Statsig integration/hosting optimization. Management is steering toward an AI-led product loop (Agent Analytics, AI Assistant, CLI Wizard) and expects new pricing to ramp (25% of contracted ARR in Q1) without forced migrations. The Statsig deal adds ARR value but lowers near-term reported revenue via fair value accounting ‘haircut’ in guidance, with more integration cost clarity promised next quarter.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Agent Analytics: end-to-end visibility into agent interactions (full threads, model/tokens/time) with automated evaluators (user satisfaction, response quality, task completion) and linkage to downstream customer events
  • AI Assistant (live for purchase): real-time support tied to user context (real-time user identity, prior behavior, current location in product) including auto-generated visually guided tours
  • Command Line Interface (CLI) Wizard: one-line install that instruments Amplitude, adds SDKs, creates taxonomy, configures MCP, and generates an initial dashboard (weeks to minutes), removing onboarding friction
  • Continued expansion of multiproduct footprint and enterprise adoption, with sequential improvement in dollar-based net retention to 106%

Business Development

  • Strategic partnership with Statsig: Amplitude will take on Statsig brand and customers; maintain/develop the current Statsig platform across cloud and data warehouse; support existing Statsig customers; build an integrated future roadmap with Statsig; work closely with the Statsig team at OpenAI during transition
  • Integration/transition mechanics: management indicated the Statsig customers and technology move to Amplitude as of the beginning of May (with additional details discussed in Q&A on accounting/valuation haircut)
  • Named customers cited for product impact: Granola, Smartsheet, Astra Tech / Botim (Botim & Botim Money), Atlassian

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q1 revenue $94M (non-GAAP basis discussed generally): up 17% YoY; ARR $374M, up 17% YoY and +$9M sequentially
  • Q1 non-GAAP operating loss: -$3.1M (operating loss -$3.1M; -3.3% of revenue stated); net loss per share -$0.02 vs -$0.00 prior year
  • Dollar-based net expansion improved to 106% sequentially (and in-period net dollar retention increased to 106% from 105%); enterprise $100k+ ARR customers rose to 727 (+18% YoY; +29 sequentially)
  • Gross margin 75% in Q1, down 2 points YoY, driven by inference cost growth from AI tool adoption outpacing expectations; expected short-term gross margin compression, with longer-term benefit via greater ingestion/monetization
  • Q2 guidance (non-GAAP): revenue $96.9M–$99.1M (+18% YoY at midpoint); non-GAAP operating income -$3.6M to -$1.6M; non-GAAP EPS -$0.02 to -$0.01 (134M basic shares)
  • FY 2026 guidance (non-GAAP): revenue $397M–$403M (+17% at midpoint); assumes $5M–$7M contribution from Statsig and associated deferred revenue impacts; non-GAAP operating income $2.5M–$6.5M; non-GAAP EPS $0.03–$0.06 (145.1M weighted average fully diluted)
  • Accounting/valuation effect from Statsig: management indicated a fair value assessment produces a ‘haircut’ that reduces reported revenue value aligned to ARR, lowering revenue vs ARR contribution in the guide

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Ongoing open-market activity: retired shares against an open buyback program in the quarter
  • No explicit debt amount or cash-runway figures provided in the transcript

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Go-to-market leadership restructuring: Nate Crook appointed Chief Commercial Officer, owning entire path from landing to long-term customer success; customer success and marketing reorganized to reduce handoffs and increase technical coverage (forward-deployed engineers) and shift marketing to AI-native storytelling
  • AI Week operating model: paused normal work company-wide to build AI-powered workflows across functions; delivered hundreds of demos (custom demo websites per customer; automated quarter-close tasks; automated marketing creative asset creation)
  • AI code production claim: over 90% of the code shipped written by AI
  • Operational cost-to-serve headwinds: increased AI agent usage and data ingestion created near-term cost pressure aligned to monetization strategy; management highlighted short-term inference spend pressure included as part of core bundling

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Q2 2026 guidance: revenue $96.9M–$99.1M; non-GAAP operating income -$3.6M to -$1.6M; non-GAAP EPS -$0.02 to -$0.01
  • FY 2026 guidance: revenue $397M–$403M (+17% midpoint); non-GAAP operating income $2.5M–$6.5M; non-GAAP EPS $0.03–$0.06; Statsig contribution $5M–$7M assumed in revenue
  • New pricing and packaging rollout: 25% of total ARR contracted (new business and renewals) in Q1; management expects the percentage of ARR on the new pricing to increase as renewals occur, without forcing hard migrations

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Gross margin compression risk: inference costs rising as AI adoption by customers outpaces expectations (Q1 gross margin down 2 points YoY); management expects further short-term pressure while integrating and optimizing hosting environments for Statsig
  • Short-term integration uncertainty post-close: management stated it was only ‘a few days old’ and that a better picture on integration costs to serve and operating margin impacts would come next quarter/earnings call
  • Net dollar retention trajectory may not be linear as customers adopt multiproduct and AI products (explicitly caveated)

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Statsig/OpenAI rationale: Management explained OpenAI isn’t “foregoing” the tech entirely; OpenAI continues running Statsig technology internally, supported by Vijay and the existing Statsig team. They described a home for ongoing customer support via Amplitude, noting agreement executed on Friday and transition planning for smooth continuation.
  • Statsig accounting impact vs organic revenue: Management clarified guidance incorporates fair value accounting tied to ARR, which creates a haircut—reducing reported revenue contribution relative to ARR. They reiterated Q1 beat vs guidance and stated FY26 guide flows from that strength, treating the reduced value as accounting-driven rather than demand-driven.
  • AI transformation: margins and integration costs timing: Management stated short-term inference spend creates gross margin pressure, but long-term operating leverage should improve via efficiency (2x–3x impact without proportional headcount). They promised more precise Statsig integration cost and go-to-market/support expense updates next earnings call because the close was only days earlier.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the AMPL Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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© 2026 Stock Market Info — Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Financial Profile