TopBuild Corp.

TopBuild Corp. (BLD) Market Cap

TopBuild Corp. has a market capitalization of $11.31B.

Price: $401.82

-4.49 (-1.11%)

Market Cap: 11.31B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Robert Buck

Sector: Industrials

Industry: Engineering & Construction

IPO Date: 2015-06-17

Website: https://www.topbuild.com

TopBuild Corp. (BLD) - Company Information

Market Cap: 11.31B|Sector: Industrials

Company Profile

TopBuild Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building products to the construction industry. The company operates in two segments, Installation and Specialty Distribution. It provides insulation products and accessories, glass and windows, rain gutters, afterpaint products, fireproofing products, garage doors, fireplaces, closet shelving, roofing materials, and other products; and insulation installation services. The company also offers various services and tools to assist builders in applying the principles of building science to new home construction, which include pre-construction plan reviews, diagnostic testing, and various inspection services; and home energy rating services. In addition, it distributes building and mechanical insulation, insulation accessories, and other building product materials for the residential, commercial, and industrial end markets. The company serves single-family homebuilders, single-family custom builders, multi-family builders, commercial general contractors, remodelers, and individual homeowners, as well as insulation contractors, gutter contractors, weatherization contractors, other contractors, dealers, metal building erectors, and modular home builders. It operates approximately 235 installation branches and 175 distribution centers in the United States and Canada. The company was formerly known as Masco SpinCo Corp. and changed its name to TopBuild Corp. in March 2015. TopBuild Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Daytona Beach, Florida.

Analyst Sentiment

71%
Buy

From 12 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $519.67

▲ +29.3% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$437

Median

$511

High Bound

$620

Average

$520

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$519.67
▲ +29.33% Upside
Low Target
$437.00
9% Risk
Median Target
$510.50
27% Mid
High Target
$620.00
54% Max
Consensus
Buy
18 / 29 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ2 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MApr 18, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)11,30911,47911,65210,9529,2918,8529,12812,10311,899
Enterprise Value ($M)14,16814,33814,61912,89810,53110,11010,30613,43513,038
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)22.3427.3827.8719.2515.3217.9415.1617.9119.74
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)4.222.612.9531.942.90
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)2.017.947.857.867.167.186.968.818.71
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)4.684.775.034.934.334.184.135.725.05
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)16.0578.2373.1250.6751.0063.6035.9955.05160.24
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)9.929.849.268.128.207.859.789.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)14.2961.6061.6649.3740.5046.3040.3047.6750.78
Debt to Equity Ratio2.881.301.361.390.970.740.710.750.68

BLD Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$401.82
Intrinsic Value$405.31
Market Alignment
Undervalued by 0.9%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 0%0%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$1.04B
Perpetuity TV Value$19.66B
Discounted TV (PV)$8.30B
TV Weighting %57.5%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 TOPBUILD CORP (BLD) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

TopBuild operates in the building-envelope value chain with two tightly connected operating engines: insulation installation and building-products distribution. The company supplies insulation and related materials through a distribution platform, then executes insulation scopes through an installation network serving contractors, builders, and other trade partners. This structure links product availability to on-site execution, reducing friction for customers that need both consistent material supply and reliable installation performance.

Customer stickiness is driven by repeat project workflows, contractor purchasing routines, scheduling dependencies, and the operational learning that comes from delivering insulation jobs to consistent specifications (e.g., thermal performance and installation standards). While TopBuild does not sell a “subscription,” its business tends to embed into contractor supply chains, where procurement efficiency and job-site execution matter as much as product price.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily project- and job-based in insulation installation, complemented by sales of insulation and related building products through distribution. The monetisation model generally features:

  • Installation revenue (transactional, job-driven): margin influenced by labor productivity, jobsite execution, routing/scheduling efficiency, and the ability to procure materials without service interruptions.
  • Distribution revenue (product sales, contract/volume-driven): margin influenced by product mix, working-capital discipline, freight/logistics costs, and the spread between sourcing and delivered pricing.

A key margin driver is the combined operational advantage: distribution scale can support installation reliability, while installation demand can support distribution utilization. In building products, that “two-way linkage” can help smooth demand volatility and protect gross margin through better forecasting, inventory turns, and reduced expediting costs.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

TopBuild’s competitive position rests on practical operating moats rather than brand-driven pricing power. The durable advantages most relevant to its model are:

  • Cost and service advantages from distribution footprint: proximity to construction demand reduces delivered freight and expedition risk, improving customer experience and supporting more predictable service levels.
  • Execution capability and repeatable installation processes: insulation quality is specification-sensitive; consistent installation methods and trained labor reduce rework risk and improve contractor preference.
  • Relationship-based switching costs: contractors and builders often standardize on vendors that can meet timing requirements; switching can introduce schedule risk, material availability risk, and higher coordination costs.

Competitive benchmarking

TopBuild competes in insulation installation and building-products distribution against a mix of regional insulation installers and broad building-material distributors, while manufacturers influence the underlying product supply chain. Representative peers include:

  • GMS: a broad building-products distributor with category coverage across specialty building materials.
  • ABC Supply: a distribution-focused competitor serving contractors across multiple building product categories.
  • Builders FirstSource: a scaled building-products and components supplier with significant distribution and fabrication capability.

Where these rivals often compete broadly across building categories, TopBuild’s industry focus is more concentrated on the insulation/building-envelope link between distribution and installation. That specialization supports tighter operational coordination between the supply of insulation products and the execution of insulation scopes.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, TopBuild’s addressable market is supported by structural demand for building-envelope improvements and insulation installation. Primary growth drivers include:

  • Energy efficiency and building code evolution: tighter thermal-performance requirements increase insulation demand per project and can raise the importance of installation quality.
  • Residential and multi-family remodeling/retrofit: aging housing stock and efficiency upgrades support ongoing retrofit cycles beyond new construction.
  • New construction mix shift: multi-family and certain light commercial segments can expand insulation scope density and drive distribution and installation volume.
  • Market penetration through route-to-market execution: expansion of distribution coverage and installation capability can convert macro demand into share gains where service levels and scheduling reliability influence contractor selection.

The growth opportunity is largely TAM expansion tied to energy-efficiency imperatives, with an execution overlay: the company’s ability to scale installation capacity and maintain distribution service quality determines how much of that demand it can capture.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Residential and construction cyclicality: insulation installation demand is sensitive to housing starts, repair activity, and commercial construction volumes.
  • Labor availability and productivity: installation margins can be pressured by wage inflation, staffing constraints, and productivity variability.
  • Input and freight cost volatility: insulation-related materials and transportation can affect delivered costs and job economics.
  • Execution and quality risk: insulation performance is specification-driven; quality issues can lead to rework, warranty exposure, and customer dissatisfaction.
  • Capital intensity and integration risk: scaling distribution and installation operations can require ongoing investment and disciplined operational integration, especially through acquisitions or network expansion.

📊 Valuation & Market View

The market typically values building-products and insulation-installation companies using EV/EBITDA or earnings-based multiples, with attention to margin durability and the quality of earnings across cycles. Valuation sensitivity generally clusters around:

  • Gross margin resilience: insulation installation economics depend on labor productivity and jobsite execution; distribution economics depend on logistics and mix.
  • Return on invested capital: distribution footprint expansion and installation network scaling must convert investment into durable operating leverage.
  • End-market mix and service coverage: broader geographic reach and stronger contractor relationships can reduce volatility.

For investors, the key valuation “needle movers” are the durability of the installation-distribution operating linkage, the company’s ability to maintain service levels through demand swings, and disciplined working-capital management.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

TopBuild’s investment case centers on a specialized insulation/building-envelope platform that connects distribution cost and service advantages with installation execution capability. The moat is operational—shaped by distribution proximity, process-driven installation quality, and relationship-based switching frictions within contractor supply chains. Multi-year demand should be supported by energy-efficiency imperatives and ongoing retrofit activity, while risks largely relate to construction cyclicality, labor dynamics, and execution discipline.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for BLD.

businesswire.com2026-06-04

QXO and TopBuild Announce Election Deadline for TopBuild Stockholders to Elect Merger Consideration

GREENWICH, Conn. & DAYTONA BEACH, Fla.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--QXO, Inc. (NYSE: QXO) (“QXO”) and TopBuild Corp. (NYSE: BLD) (“TopBuild”) today announced that the deadline for TopBuild stockholders of record to elect the form of consideration that they wish to receive in connection with the acquisition of TopBuild by QXO (the “Mergers”) is 5:00 p.m., Eastern Time on June 29, 2026 (such deadline, as it may be extended, the “Election Deadline”). As further described in the election materials and in the.

zacks.com2026-06-04

Why Is TopBuild (BLD) Down 6.9% Since Last Earnings Report?

TopBuild (BLD) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?

prnewswire.com2026-06-02

Are SEM, AFBI, BLD, QXO Obtaining Fair Deals for their Shareholders?

/PRNewswire/ -- Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, is investigating the following companies for potential violations of the federal securities laws

gurufocus.com2026-06-01

$HAREHOLDER ALERT: The M&A Class Action Launches Legal Inquiry for the Merger--AFBI, QXO, BLD, and AVNS

$HAREHOLDER ALERT: The M&A Class Action Launches Legal Inquiry for the Merger--AFBI, QXO, BLD, and AVNS PR Newswire

gurufocus.com2026-06-01

QXO Launches $3 Billion Loan Sale for $17 Billion TopBuild Deal

QXO Building Products (QXO) is pushing ahead with the financing machinery behind its planned purchase of TopBuild (BLD), as a Wells Fargo-led group of banks lau

gurufocus.com2026-05-25

Are KORE, SEM, BLD, QXO Obtaining Fair Deals for their Shareholders?

Are KORE, SEM, BLD, QXO Obtaining Fair Deals for their Shareholders? PR Newswire NEW YORK, May 25, 2026

gurufocus.com2026-05-21

$HAREHOLDER ALERT: The M&A Class Action Firm Continues to Investigate the Merger--CCRN, EEX, BLD, and QXO

$HAREHOLDER ALERT: The M&A Class Action Firm Continues to Investigate the Merger--CCRN, EEX, BLD, and QXO PR Newswire

gurufocus.com2026-05-20

A Look at TopBuild Corp (BLD) After 3.6% Gain -- GF Value $447.10 vs Price $412.64

On May 20, 2026, TopBuild Corp (BLD) shares rose 3.6% to a current price of $412.64. This movement comes amid a challenging month where the stock has dropped 15

globenewswire.com2026-05-18

BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Dominion Energy, Inc. (NYSE – D), Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (NYSE – GBTG), Webster Financial Corporation (NYSE – WBS), TopBuild Corp. (NYSE – BLD)

BALA CYNWYD, Pa. , May 18, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Brodsky and Smith reminds investors of the following investigations. If you own shares and wish to discuss the investigation, contact Jason Brodsky (jbrodsky@brodskysmith. com) or Marc Ackerman (mackerman@brodskysmith. com) at 855-576-4847.

fool.com2026-05-14

Is TopBuild Stock a Hidden Gem? Expert Ratings Inside!

Explore the exciting world of TopBuild (BLD +1.06%) with our contributing expert analysts in this Motley Fool Scoreboard episode. Check out the video below to gain valuable insights into market trends and potential investment opportunities!

247wallst.com2026-05-06

Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Advanced Micro Devices, American Eagle Outfitters, GlobalFoundries, IAC, Merck, Palantir Technologies, Reddit, and More

Pre-Market Stock Futures: Futures are trading higher on Wednesday as news of an impending end to the Iran war is sending oil prices dramatically lower. This news comes after a bounce-back Tuesday that benefited from lower oil prices, some strong earnings, and solid buying from retail investors. At the same time, hedge funds continue to... Here Are Wednesday's Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Advanced Micro Devices, American Eagle Outfitters, GlobalFoundries, IAC, Merck, Palantir Technologies, Reddit, and More

globenewswire.com2026-05-05

BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (NYSE – HLX), TopBuild Corp. (NYSE – BLD), Avanos Medical, Inc. (NYSE – AVNS), Affinity Bancshares (Nasdaq – AFBI)

BALA CYNWYD, Pa. , May 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Brodsky and Smith reminds investors of the following investigations. If you own shares and wish to discuss the investigation, contact Jason Brodsky (jbrodsky@brodskysmith. com) or Marc Ackerman (mackerman@brodskysmith. com) at 855-576-4847.

zacks.com2026-05-05

TopBuild (BLD) Reports Q1 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

While the top- and bottom-line numbers for TopBuild (BLD) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended March 2026, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

zacks.com2026-05-05

TopBuild (BLD) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

TopBuild (BLD) came out with quarterly earnings of $3.75 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.64 per share. This compares to earnings of $4.63 per share a year ago.

globenewswire.com2026-05-05

TopBuild Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

First quarter sales grew 17.2% to $1.45 billion driven by acquisitions First quarter sales grew 17.2% to $1.45 billion driven by acquisitions

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-04-18

"BLD reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.446B and net income of $105M (EPS $3.75). On a QoQ basis (vs 2025 Q4), revenue declined -2.66% while net income was flat at -0.29%, and EPS was essentially unchanged (+0.27%). On a YoY basis (vs 2025 Q1), revenue increased +17.31% and net income fell -14.99% (EPS + -11.76% from $4.25 to $3.75), indicating meaningful margin pressure despite top-line growth. Profitability weakened through the quarter-to-quarter trend: net profit margin contracted from 10.00% (2025 Q1) to 7.25% (2026 Q1), while gross margin also dipped (28.50% → 27.68%). Operating income margin moved down similarly. Cash generation remained positive, with operating cash flow of $161M and free cash flow of $147M in Q1 2026. Balance sheet resilience appears adequate (current ratio ~2.00) but leverage increased: total debt rose to ~$3.13B and net debt to ~$2.86B, while equity grew modestly to ~$2.40B. Shareholder returns are strong given price momentum: the stock is up +46.91% over 1 year. With no dividends reported and buybacks not evident in this quarter, total shareholder return is primarily driven by capital appreciation. Analyst valuation signals are moderately supportive versus current price, with consensus target (~$585) below the current ~ $410 context from the provided data."

Revenue Growth

Good

YoY revenue rose +17.31% ($1.23B → $1.45B) in 2026 Q1, but QoQ revenue declined -2.66% ($1.49B → $1.45B), suggesting growth is slowing sequentially.

Profitability

Caution

Despite higher revenue YoY, net income declined -14.99% YoY ($123.4M → $104.8M). Net margin compressed from ~10.00% (2025 Q1) to ~7.25% (2026 Q1), and operating margin also softened QoQ (-0.01 pp).

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Q1 2026 operating cash flow was $160.7M and free cash flow $146.7M, both positive. Net income-to-OCF conversion was reasonable (~1.53x), indicating solid cash earnings in the latest quarter.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

Leverage worsened: total debt increased to ~$3.13B and net debt to ~$2.86B (up vs 2025 Q4). Liquidity remains strong with a current ratio ~2.00 and equity at ~$2.40B.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Strong capital appreciation: 1-year price change of +46.91% meaningfully boosts total return prospects. No dividend payout is shown in the data.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Consensus price target ($585.33) is above the provided current price context (~$410.31), but valuation multiples in the latest quarter appear elevated (e.g., P/E ~27.4), implying expectations remain high.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

TopBuild delivered Q4 revenue growth driven by acquisitions amid double-digit volume declines and margin compression, reflecting ongoing residential and light commercial weakness. Management issued cautious 2026 guidance that assumes no material end-market improvement, with both price and volume down low single digits and residential down mid single digits. Commercial/industrial backlogs remain healthy, SPI integration is progressing, and M&A activity is robust, supporting long-term growth. Strong liquidity and free cash flow provide flexibility, but near-term headwinds from pricing, mix, and higher interest expense temper the outlook.

Growth

  • Q4 net sales $1.49B, +13.2% YoY; acquisitions +23.0%, price +0.7%, volume -10.5%
  • Full-year 2025 revenue >$5.4B; adjusted EBITDA $1.04B (19.2% margin)
  • Installation Services sales +1.2% in Q4; Specialty Distribution +25.5% (SPI-driven)
  • 2026 guide: revenue $5.925–$6.225B; adjusted EBITDA $1.005–$1.155B; M&A to add $800–$850M revenue

Business Development

  • Completed 7 acquisitions in 2025, including Progressive and SPI (SPI closed in Q4)
  • Closed Applied Coatings and Upstate Spray Foam in early 2026
  • Announced Johnson Roofing acquisition (~$29M annual sales) to expand commercial roofing in TX/LA/OK; expected to close Q1 2026
  • SPI integration advancing: field leadership realigned; cross-selling and supplier rebate capture underway; IT integration targeted by end of Q2 2026
  • Commercial roofing platform expansion continues, leveraging GC relationships across technology, industrial manufacturing, and education verticals

Financials

  • Q4 adjusted gross profit $416M; margin 28% (-190 bps YoY) on mix shift to distribution, price/cost pressure, and volume deleverage
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA $265M; margin 17.9% (-180 bps YoY); Installation Services margin 21% (-40 bps), Specialty Distribution 15.4% (-230 bps); ex-M&A margins -80 bps
  • Q4 adjusted EPS $4.50 vs $5.13 prior year
  • Q4 interest and other expense $36M (expanded credit facilities and $750M 2034 notes)
  • Working capital $959M (15.4% of sales); 2025 free cash flow $697M

Capital & Funding

  • Liquidity $1.1B (cash $185M; revolver availability $934M)
  • Net debt $2.7B; net leverage 2.35x TTM adjusted EBITDA
  • Deployed $1.9B on acquisitions in 2025, adding ~$/~$1.2B in annual revenue
  • Repurchased ~$434M of shares in 2025
  • 2026 expectations: interest and other $143–$149M; CapEx 1–2% of sales; tax rate ~26%

Operations & Strategy

  • Leveraging connected tech platform for inventory management, installer productivity, routing, and shipment optimization
  • Continued cost alignment; same-branch SG&A down $19M YoY in Q4; local pricing/volume discipline
  • Focus on improving bottom-quartile branch performance
  • Supply chain: fiberglass availability improved; select fiberglass maintenance outages; spray foam ample; fiberglass pipe insulation on allocation with supplier coordination
  • M&A remains top capital allocation priority; cycle-tested, diversified model across residential/commercial and installation/distribution

Market & Outlook

  • Residential and light commercial demand remains soft; rates, confidence, and affordability are constraints
  • Commercial/industrial bidding and backlogs healthy; stronger momentum in mechanical insulation and commercial roofing; light commercial typically follows residential
  • 2026 assumptions: price and volume each down low-single digits; residential (~52% of sales) down mid-single digits; commercial/industrial (~48%) up low single digits
  • Quarterly cadence: sales $1.4–$1.6B; EBITDA margin 16.5–18.5%; Q1 weakest, Q3 strongest
  • Long-term outlook positive given underbuilt housing and $95B TAM; well positioned to benefit if conditions improve

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Persistent residential and light commercial softness; timing of recovery uncertain
  • 2026 price/cost headwinds of ~$55M; ongoing pricing pressure in residential insulation
  • Margin pressure from mix shift toward distribution and deleveraging on lower volumes
  • Supply constraints in mechanical fiberglass pipe insulation (on allocation)
  • Higher interest expense from expanded credit and 2034 notes; elevated leverage at 2.35x

Sentiment: CAUTIOUS

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the BLD Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

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SEC Filings (BLD)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — TopBuild Corp. (BLD) Financial Profile