Gogo Inc.

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Market Cap

Gogo Inc. has a market capitalization of $512.6M.

Price: $3.79

-0.33 (-8.01%)

Market Cap: 512.55M

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Christopher J. Moore

Sector: Communication Services

Industry: Telecommunications Services

IPO Date: 2013-06-21

Website: https://www.gogoair.com

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) - Company Information

Market Cap: 512.55M|Sector: Communication Services

Company Profile

Gogo Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides broadband connectivity services to the aviation industry in the United States and internationally. It operates through Commercial Aviation North America (CA-NA), Commercial Aviation Rest of World (CA-ROW), and Business Aviation (BA) segments. The company design, build and operate air-to-ground networks, engineer and maintain in-flight systems of proprietary hardware and software, and deliver customizable connectivity and wireless entertainment services. It also offers suite of integrated equipment, network, and internet connectivity products and services, as well as includes suite of smart cabin systems for integrated connectivity, in-flight entertainment, and voice solutions. In addition, the company portfolio comprises of in-flight network, in-flight systems, in-flight services, aviation partner support, and production operations functions. Further, the company offers satellite-based voice and data services. Gogo Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.

Analyst Sentiment

71%
Buy

From 3 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $9.50

▲ +150.7% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$7

Median

$10

High Bound

$12

Average

$10

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$9.50
▲ +150.66% Upside
Low Target
$7.00
85% Risk
Median Target
$9.50
151% Mid
High Target
$12.00
217% Max
Consensus
Hold
5 / 13 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)5135456291,1571,9621,1421,0409181,205
Enterprise Value ($M)1,2991,3311,4651,9322,7701,9841,9131,4121,715
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)36.8110.42-15.72-149.8338.3023.71-9.2121.60358.97
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)-5.040.35-0.25
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)0.572.412.735.178.684.967.559.1411.80
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)4.364.626.2210.8119.0913.7715.0017.4223.16
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)-792.20-16.55-24.7447.8458.5143.41-22.3744.3365.39
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)5.886.358.6412.268.6113.8814.0516.81
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)8.3027.3759.1159.7554.7239.93-133.7947.1591.09
Debt to Equity Ratio5.037.549.518.508.8611.0013.2012.7112.93

GOGO Growth Runway Model

🟢 Initial high growth rate - forecast is based on a long term bell curve % growth rate

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$3.79
Intrinsic Value$3.80
Market Alignment
Undervalued by 0.2%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 33%33%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.22B
Perpetuity TV Value$4.19B
Discounted TV (PV)$1.77B
TV Weighting %70.4%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

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📘 GOGO INC (GOGO) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Gogo provides in-flight connectivity and related managed services to commercial aviation customers. The core value chain spans: (1) outfitting aircraft with connectivity hardware and antennas, (2) delivering airborne connectivity service via partner networks/satellite capacity and associated network management, and (3) operating the service layer that supports airline branding, onboard Wi-Fi access, content/payment options, and ongoing system performance.

This model creates customer stickiness because aircraft are long-lived assets and connectivity systems require installation, certification, and airline operational integration. Once an airline’s fleet is equipped and the operational workflow is standardized, switching to an alternative vendor typically implies downtime, re-certification, and new vendor training and support.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily driven by connectivity services tied to aircraft and passenger usage, alongside recurring fleet-based fees and, depending on contract structure, hardware-related considerations. Monetisation generally includes:

  • Recurring connectivity revenue: subscription-style and usage-linked airtime/managed service fees across an installed aircraft base.
  • Fleet-based service fees: payments tied to aircraft enablement, ongoing service operations, and performance commitments.
  • Hardware and installation economics: contract-dependent hardware capture, lease/financing structures, or partner-driven equipment arrangements that convert operational capability into revenue.

Margin drivers center on the balance between recurring service take-rate (and thus capacity utilization) and network cost per active aircraft/passenger session. Because service delivery scales with the installed base, incremental revenue can be supported by relatively fixed operational overhead, while satellite/network capacity and support costs influence gross margin stability.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Gogo’s moat is best characterized as a combination of high switching costs and operational integration, reinforced by an evolving network/coverage capability delivered through partnerships.

  • High switching costs (aircraft + certification + operational integration): Aircraft retrofits, onboarding procedures, airline IT integration, and operational support require time and coordination. This reduces churn and encourages longer contract durations.
  • Installed-base learning and service reliability: Ongoing network operations and support processes build institutional knowledge that can lower friction in deploying and maintaining fleet connectivity.
  • Coverage delivery via partner ecosystems: Competitiveness depends on reliable capacity access and network performance, which can be strengthened through commercially structured partnerships.

Competitive benchmarking:

  • Panasonic Avionics (aircraft connectivity and inflight entertainment ecosystem): broader avionics integration focus versus Gogo’s connectivity-led, airline-service execution orientation.
  • Viasat (satellite broadband and inflight connectivity services): satellite/broadband supply position versus Gogo’s service delivery and airline deployment model.
  • Inmarsat / maritime/aviation connectivity ecosystem players and other inflight service integrators: competing service layers and capacity arrangements. Gogo’s differentiation relies on fleet-level deployment execution and contractual service commitments.

Across these rivals, Gogo’s strategic positioning emphasizes delivering connectivity as an operational service to airlines—linking hardware enablement, ongoing network operations, and customer support—rather than relying solely on upstream satellite ownership.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • Secular passenger demand for onboard connectivity: Higher bandwidth expectations and usage intensity support expanding connectivity penetration per aircraft.
  • Fleet modernization and retrofit cycles: Aircraft replacement and cabin technology refreshes provide repeated demand for new connectivity capabilities and upgrades.
  • Content and usage monetization: Airlines increasingly treat onboard connectivity as a commercial and customer-experience lever, supporting broader adoption of managed inflight access.
  • Contracted installed-base scaling: Growth is reinforced by expanding the enabled fleet and by renewals/upgrades that deepen the installed base.

Over a 5–10 year horizon, the addressable market expands with global air passenger growth and the continued shift from “basic Wi-Fi” toward always-on, higher-throughput connectivity experiences that improve airline willingness to standardize vendor platforms.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Technological disruption: Competitive dynamics can shift if alternative network architectures (including new satellite ecosystems) offer materially better performance at lower unit costs.
  • Capacity and cost pass-through risk: Satellite/network capacity pricing and performance affect unit economics; insufficient pass-through of rising network costs can pressure margins.
  • Contract concentration and airline decision cycles: Renewal timing, aircraft deployment plans, and airline procurement changes can impact growth and churn.
  • Capital intensity and financing needs: Investments in equipment enablement, network arrangements, and platform upgrades can require disciplined financing and execution.
  • Regulatory and compliance considerations: Spectrum, aviation compliance, and cybersecurity standards create ongoing operational requirements and potential deployment constraints.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Equity valuation for inflight connectivity providers typically follows a blend of revenue durability and service margin trajectory. Market frameworks often reference EV/Revenue for visibility into installed-base growth and EV/EBITDA once recurring service economics become more stable.

Key variables that tend to move valuation include:

  • Installed-base growth and aircraft enablement pace
  • Take-rate and usage intensity (how effectively passenger demand translates into paid sessions)
  • Gross margin stability driven by capacity unit costs and contract economics
  • Contract duration and renewal outcomes
  • Competitive positioning relative to satellite-driven and avionics-integrated competitors

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Gogo is positioned in a structurally sticky segment of the aviation value chain where switching is costly due to aircraft deployment, certification, and airline operational integration. The investment case rests on scaling a recurring, service-led connectivity installed base while maintaining favorable unit economics amid evolving satellite/network competition. The long-term thesis favors operators that can convert installed-base penetration into durable recurring revenue and manage network cost volatility with contract structures and partnership execution.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

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📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for GOGO.

globenewswire.com2026-06-04

Gogo secures $7.5 million NOAA contract, providing mission-critical communications services for ‘hurricane hunter' aircraft

BROOMFIELD, Colo., June 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SD Government, a Gogo (NASDAQ: GOGO) company serving the military and government markets, announced today that it has secured a multi-year framework contract from the U.S. Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

globenewswire.com2026-05-28

Airshare to equip fleet of Embraer Phenom 300s with Gogo Galileo connectivity

BROOMFIELD, Colo., May 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gogo (NASDAQ: GOGO) has announced that U.S.-based aircraft management, fractional ownership, jet cards, and charter services operator Airshare is equipping its fleet of Embraer Phenom 300s with the Gogo Galileo HDX system.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-08

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

zacks.com2026-05-07

Gogo (GOGO) Lags Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Gogo (GOGO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.07 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.09 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.18 per share a year ago.

zacks.com2026-05-07

Gogo (GOGO) Reports Q1 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Although the revenue and EPS for Gogo (GOGO) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended March 2026, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.

globenewswire.com2026-05-07

Gogo Announces First Quarter Results

Total Revenue of $226.3 million; Equipment Revenue up 22% Year-Over-Year to $38.6 million on Record ATG Unit Sales Net Income of $13.1 million, Adjusted EBITDA 1 of $53.3 million, up 41% Sequentially Gogo Galileo and 5G Expected to Ramp in 2026 BROOMFIELD, Colo., May 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gogo Inc. (NASDAQ: GOGO) (“Gogo” or the “Company”), a leading global provider of broadband connectivity services for the business and military/government aviation markets, today announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026.

globenewswire.com2026-04-28

Gogo to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on 7 May, 2026

BROOMFIELD, Colo., April 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gogo Inc. (NASDAQ: GOGO), the leading global provider of broadband connectivity services for the business aviation, military, and government markets, announced today that it will release its first quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on May 7, 2026.

zacks.com2026-04-27

Verizon Communications (VZ) Beats Q1 Earnings Estimates

Verizon Communications (VZ) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.28 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.22 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.19 per share a year ago.

seekingalpha.com2026-04-11

Gogo: Incoming Growth Catalysts From MilGov And Galileo Adoption (Rating Upgrade)

Now that GOGO has finally launched its 5G platform and LEO services. More revenue growth is to be expected, as this will increase broadband penetration to Business aviation and the military. The firm continues to have high debt levels, which results in poor bottom-line performance, but management has stated it will focus on deleveraging the balance sheet. With fundamentals likely to increase in the coming quarters, the market presents us with the opportunity to purchase this stock at the EBITDA multiple of 7.11 vs. the sector multiple of 10.19.

defenseworld.net2026-04-05

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Sells 171,821 Shares of Gogo Inc. $GOGO

JPMorgan Chase and Co. reduced its position in shares of Gogo Inc. (NASDAQ: GOGO) by 33.4% in the undefined quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 342,549 shares of the technology company's stock after selling 171,821 shares during the period. JPMorgan Chase and Co.

seekingalpha.com2026-03-02

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Presents at Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference 2026 Transcript

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Presents at Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference 2026 Transcript

defenseworld.net2026-03-02

Gogo Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

Gogo (NASDAQ: GOGO) reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that management said were largely in line with expectations, while highlighting progress on a product transition aimed at repositioning the company as a global, multi-orbit in-flight connectivity provider for business aviation and military/government customers. On the call, CEO Chris Moore emphasized 2025 execution around new products-Gogo 5G and Gogo

defenseworld.net2026-03-01

Gogo (NASDAQ:GOGO) Shares Gap Down on Disappointing Earnings

Shares of Gogo Inc. (NASDAQ: GOGO - Get Free Report) gapped down before the market opened on Friday following a weaker than expected earnings announcement. The stock had previously closed at $4.35, but opened at $4.06. Gogo shares last traded at $4.2650, with a volume of 519,285 shares trading hands. The technology company reported ($0.07) EPS

seekingalpha.com2026-02-27

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

zacks.com2026-02-27

Compared to Estimates, Gogo (GOGO) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

The headline numbers for Gogo (GOGO) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended December 2025, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"GOGO reported Q1 2026 revenue of $226.3M and net income of $13.1M (EPS $0.10). On a YoY basis, revenue fell modestly versus Q1 2025 ($230.3M, ~-1.7% YoY) while net income improved slightly (~+8.6% YoY from $12.0M). QoQ, revenue dipped from Q4 2025 ($230.6M, ~-1.8% QoQ) but profitability rebounded: net income rose from a loss of $(10.0)M in Q4 2025 to +$13.1M in Q1 2026. Margins improved meaningfully over the 4-quarter run: gross margin increased versus Q1 2025 (roughly 56.6% in Q1 2026 vs ~59.2% in Q1 2025) but was notably higher than the weak Q4 2025 quarter (~70.5% gross margin in Q4; ~56.6% in Q1). Operating income in Q1 2026 was $31.7M (operating margin ~14.0%) versus $14.2M in Q4 2025 (~6.2%), indicating strong operating leverage off the prior quarter. Operating cash flow was slightly negative at $(7.2)M, driving free cash flow to $(33.0)M, a step down from Q3/Q2’s positive FCF. Balance sheet resilience is constrained: equity remains thin at ~$118.0M while long-term debt is heavy ($865.9M). Total shareholder returns are pressured by price underperformance: the stock is down ~-28.1% over 1Y, and there is no dividend."

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue was $226.3M in Q1 2026: ~-1.7% YoY (vs $230.3M in Q1 2025) and ~-1.8% QoQ (vs $230.6M in Q4 2025). Trend is broadly flat with slight softness.

Profitability

Neutral

Net income improved materially QoQ (from $(10.0)M in Q4 2025 to +$13.1M in Q1 2026) and rose ~+8.6% YoY. Q1 operating margin was ~14.0%, up from ~6.2% in Q4 2025, showing improved operating leverage.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Cash generation weakened in Q1 2026: operating cash flow was $(7.2)M and free cash flow was $(33.0)M. This contrasts with earlier quarters where operating cash flow/FCF were positive (e.g., Q2 and Q3 2025). No dividends.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Highly levered structure with thin equity: total assets ~$1.28B, equity ~$118M, long-term debt ~$865.9M, and net debt ~$786.0M. Equity is lower than Q4 2025 (~$101M) but remains structurally small versus liabilities.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

No dividend and no buybacks reported in the quarter. Stock momentum is weak: 1Y change is ~-28.1%, which reduces total shareholder return versus fundamentals.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Street target (consensus ~$10, high $12, low $8) is above the current price (~$4.96), implying potential upside. However, negative cash flow and leverage temper the risk/reward.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

Gogo delivered a transformation quarter anchored by equipment strength and record ATG unit demand, while legacy service headwinds persisted. Revenue was $226.3M (-2% YoY/seq), with service down 5% YoY, but equipment rose 22% YoY to $38.6M, reflecting record C1 conversions (254) and 5G-ready AVANCE adoption (511 ATG units, 52 of which were 5G). Galileo momentum remained central: 92 shipments in Q1 (410 total terminals) and major fleet rollouts across VistaJet, Wheels Up, and NetJets (Europe in H1 2026). Adjusted EBITDA was $53.3M (+41% sequential) aided by equipment mix and lower ED&D, while cash flow was pressured (FCF -$19.2M) from working-capital timing and a ~$14M bonus outflow. Management reiterated 2026 guidance (revenue $905M-$945M, FCF $90M-$110M) and highlighted FCC reimbursement ($~334M) plus an FCC migration deadline extension to Nov 8, 2026. Key risks remain ATG deactivations and expected GEO attrition, partially offset by longer MilGov contract growth.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Gogo Galileo LEO momentum: 92 shipments in Q1 (82 HDX, 10 FDX) and Galileo terminals shipped totaling 410 since launch across 35 STCs; 14 additional STCs underway targeting ~1,500 more aircraft (total ~8,500).
  • 5G rollout acceleration: record 511 ATG units sold in Q1, including 52 5G units; management expects units online ramping in late Q3 and Q4.
  • ATG transition demand: record 254 C1 conversions in Q1 and AVANCE base growing; C1/AVANCE positioned to migrate EVDO customers to LTE experience (LTE expected operational by end of 2026).
  • Military & government expansion: MilGov service revenue +7% sequentially; contracts and backlog growth tied to secure, sovereign airborne connectivity needs.

Business Development

  • VistaJet: rolling out Gogo Galileo across ~100 aircraft currently in scope, with plan to equip 270+ aircraft globally.
  • Wheels Up: rolling out Galileo across 80-plus aircraft as part of fleet modernization.
  • NetJets Europe: fully rolled out committed Galileo aircraft targeted for first half of 2026; NetJets North America installations started; management states NetJets relationships are proceeding well.
  • AirX: selected Gogo Plain Simple Ku-band to upgrade Challenger 850 fleet; driving fully integrated end-to-end connectivity for a high-utilization global fleet.
  • U.S. Air Force Mobility Command: approval to offer Plain Simple Ku-band tail-mount on C-130 platform, enabling access to a fleet of 1,000+ aircraft.
  • NOAA: 5-year contract totaling >$8 million for Galileo/5G network-neutral mission-critical connectivity.
  • U.S. civil government customer: >$3 million business for Galileo and 5G on small-to-midsized airframes.
  • Major drone manufacturers (global UAV): expected to deliver >$15 million in revenue over contractual periods for border protection and surveillance using GEO and LEO services.
  • Duncan: outfitting demonstration aircraft with 5G for partner enablement.
  • Textron: updating all STCs in the quarter to support the migration and network transition.

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Revenue: $226.3M total in Q1 2026, down 2% vs Q1 2025 and down 2% vs Q4 2025.
  • Service revenue: $187.7M, down 5% YoY and down 2% sequentially (attributed to ATG deactivations/legacy softness).
  • Equipment revenue: $38.6M, up 22% YoY and flat sequentially (supported by record C1 shipments and increasing adoption of 5G-ready AVANCE LX5).
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $53.3M, down 14% YoY but up 41% sequentially; sequential improvement driven by equipment profit mix and lower inventory reserves, plus reduced ED&D expenses; litigation expense included $6.1M in Q1 vs $8.4M in Q4.
  • Synergies: annualized synergies reached $40M, exceeding prior targets.
  • Net income: $13.1M; nonrecurring Q1 items included $4.9M pretax reduction to SATCOM direct earnout accrual, removal of a $10M litigation accrual from Q4, and $4M pretax charge for convertible note fair value change (from prior-quarter effect).
  • ATG AOL: average monthly service revenue per ATG aircraft online (ARPA) $3,351, down 3% YoY and flat sequentially.
  • Cash flow: free cash flow negative $19.2M (vs -$30M Q1 2025 and vs -$4.9M Q4); cash outflows included ~$14M annual bonus payout and a reduction in accounts payable tied to Galileo inventory ramp.
  • Balance sheet: ended Q1 with $103.5M cash and cash equivalents; net debt leverage ratio ended at 3.6x.

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Debt: made $21.1M principal payment on HPS term loan facility in April via an excess cash flow sweep.
  • Guidance on strategic investments: includes $30M slated for strategic investments, net of FCC reimbursements; net capital expenditures of $20M assuming $45M FCC reimbursement.
  • Buyback: none mentioned.
  • Cash runway: cash and cash equivalents ended at $103.5M (FCF negative in quarter), with 2026 FCF guidance $90M-$110M.

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Legacy transition plan: extension from FCC for classic product migration completion deadline to November 8, 2026.
  • FCC reimbursement program: allocated full approved amount of approximately $334M to remove and replace covered foreign equipment across U.S. network and ATG aircraft.
  • Network timing: LTE network expected fully operational by end of 2026; Galileo OEM line-fit option expected to drive shipments/ramp starting in second half of year.
  • C1 product performance: record C1 conversions of 254 in Q1; cumulative C1 units sold reached 1,063; AVANCE equipment sold 184 units in Q1 and total ATG equipment sold 511.
  • Operational partnerships: OEM enablement through STC updates (Textron) and demonstration 5G equipment (Duncan).
  • GEO positioning: GEO AOL resiliency but expects some attrition for remainder of year driven by industry shift toward LEO/hybrid solutions.

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 revenue guidance: $905M to $945M.
  • 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance: $198M to $218M (includes $3M strategic investments and $8M ongoing litigation expense).
  • 2026 free cash flow guidance: $90M to $110M; implies 12% YoY growth at midpoint.
  • ATG rollout expectation: Galileo OEM installation ramp expected to start in second half of year, with Galileo becoming a line fit option.
  • 5G unit online ramp: units online expected to ramp in late Q3 and Q4; pipeline over 500 units.
  • Net debt leverage outlook: leverage ratio expected to increase slightly in Q2 and Q3 before dipping back within target range by Q4.

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • ATG legacy softness: service revenue decline (down 5% YoY; down 2% sequentially) tied to ATG aircraft deactivations and classic customer suspensions/deactivations.
  • Customer attrition dynamics: prior expectation to lose ~1,000 customers over the year; management noted not all are deactivations and some suspensions may return.
  • GEO fleet attrition: GEO units online declined 15 in Q1 and company expects some attrition in the remainder of 2026 as market evolves to LEO/hybrid solutions.
  • ARPA pressure: ARPA down 3% YoY, with GEO ARPA noted as down a little versus expectations (though GEO units held as expected).
  • Cash flow timing: free cash flow negative in Q1 impacted by bonus payout and inventory-related working capital movements.

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Topic: Galileo/5G shipment-to-AOL timing and dealer/STC ramp assurance. Management responded that shipments are with MROs now, while OEMs come online in Q3/Q4, driving the later-year ramp; they cite record ATG equipment revenue (+22% YoY), record C1 and Galileo AOL growth (+50% sequential) and 41% sequential adjusted EBITDA growth as proof it remains on plan.
  • Topic: Classic C1 conversion/attrition path and long-run ATG strategy vs legacy SATCOM. Management stated C1 conversions were 254 this quarter and AVANCE base grew 3% YoY; they reiterated a prior expectation of losing ~1,000 customers over the year, emphasizing some suspensions may return and new products provide an alternative broadband destination for classic customers.
  • Topic: GEO outlook vs expectations and NetJets international split misconceptions. Management clarified NetJets relationships are progressing well (Europe complete, North America starting) and positioned confidence in fleet operators; they stated the international split target is 60% North America / 40% overseas. For GEO, they said it held exactly as expected (15-unit decline), ARPA is slightly down as modeled, and the decline trend is tied to aircraft sales.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the GOGO Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for GOGO.

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SEC Filings (GOGO)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Financial Profile