Dave Inc.

Dave Inc. (DAVE) Market Cap

Dave Inc. has a market capitalization of .

No quote data available.

CEO: Jason Wilk

Sector: Technology

Industry: Software - Application

IPO Date: 2021-04-26

Website: https://dave.com

Dave Inc. (DAVE) - Company Information

Market Cap: -|Sector: Technology

Company Profile

Dave Inc. provides a suite of financial products and services through its financial service online platform. The company offers Insights, a personal financial management tool to manage income and expenses between paychecks for members; ExtraCash, a free overdraft and short-term credit alternative, which allows members to advance funds to their account and avoid a fee; and Side Hustle, a job application portal. It also provides Dave Banking, a digital checking and demand deposit account. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in West Hollywood, California.

Analyst Sentiment

85%
Strong Buy

From 12 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $329.75

▲ +0.0% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$300

Median

$337

High Bound

$345

Average

$330

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$329.75
▲ +27.69% Upside
Low Target
$300.00
16% Risk
Median Target
$337.00
30% Mid
High Target
$345.00
34% Max

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

Sentiment volume allocation data unavailable.

Historical valuation matrix unavailable.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 DAVE INC CLASS A (DAVE) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

DAVE operates a consumer-focused financial platform designed to bridge short-term cash-flow needs. The value chain typically includes: (1) customer acquisition through app-based marketing and partnerships, (2) underwriting/behavior monitoring to determine eligibility and product terms, (3) delivery of “on-demand” funding and related account services through an app-centric interface, and (4) monetization via subscription and transaction-linked economics. The platform model aims to improve customer lifetime value by deepening engagement within the same app/account relationship rather than relying solely on one-off advances.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

DAVE’s monetization is best understood as a blend of recurring and usage-based income:

  • Subscription revenue: Users pay a recurring fee for access to core features, eligibility, and convenience. This component can be relatively steadier than purely transaction-driven models and supports operating leverage when customer retention is durable.
  • Transaction/advance economics: Revenue also comes from fees and other income tied to advances or related financial activities. The margin profile depends on underwriting discipline, customer repayment behavior, and the extent to which the product is structured as an advance vs. longer-duration credit.
  • Partner-linked income (where applicable): Some fintech economics can be derived from arrangements with banks, card networks, or service partners, which can influence both the scale and the sustainability of unit economics.

Primary margin drivers are (1) credit performance (loss rates and delinquencies), (2) contribution from subscription engagement, (3) operating efficiency of customer support and risk systems, and (4) funding/capital and compliance costs required to serve consumers profitably.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

DAVE’s competitive position is anchored less in physical infrastructure and more in data-enabled underwriting and customer stickiness.

  • High switching costs (practical stickiness): A customer’s app usage, repayment history, and eligibility patterns create friction to exit. Competitors can offer similar surface-level functionality, but matching the same risk calibration and personalized access often requires time and volume.
  • Intangible assets (behavioral data + risk models): Product eligibility, fraud controls, and pricing/terms generally improve as the platform accumulates performance data across cycles. This can become an operational moat if models remain stable and are continuously refined.
  • Risk culture and operational discipline: In consumer finance, underwriting quality is a structural advantage. The ability to manage losses and maintain acceptable unit economics through varying consumer conditions can differentiate providers over time.

Competitive benchmarking (primary peers):

  • MoneyLion — broader consumer finance features and mix of financial products.
  • EarnIn — earned wage access-style model with different eligibility and funding mechanics.
  • Even — advances tied to banking and payroll/consumer-behavior inputs.

Versus these rivals, DAVE’s positioning centers on sustaining a subscription-led relationship to support repeat usage while maintaining underwriting and compliance controls suitable for a consumer credit-adjacent business. The competitive gap is most meaningfully competed on through risk calibration, retention, and unit economics rather than brand promotion.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, DAVE’s addressable opportunity is supported by several structural trends:

  • Persistent consumer cash-flow volatility: Households frequently face timing gaps between income and expenses, sustaining demand for short-term liquidity tools.
  • Shift from branch-centric to app-centric financial services: Digital distribution lowers customer servicing cost and can improve scalability if compliance and support are executed efficiently.
  • Product expansion within an existing user base: Once customers are onboarded, additional features can be layered to deepen engagement, raising lifetime value without proportional growth in acquisition costs.
  • Regulatory learning curve and institutionalization: As the market clarifies rules for consumer financial products, compliant platforms with mature risk systems can gain share at the expense of less disciplined entrants.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Credit and underwriting risk: Higher-than-modeled loss rates, repayment deterioration, or shifts in consumer behavior can compress profitability.
  • Regulatory and compliance uncertainty: Consumer lending and earned wage access frameworks can face tightened requirements, impacting product structure, fees, and eligibility models.
  • Funding and partner concentration: Reliance on banking, card, or funding partners can introduce risks if terms change, access narrows, or economics deteriorate.
  • Fraud and account abuse: As transaction volume grows, maintaining fraud controls without over-restricting legitimate customers remains critical.
  • Competitive intensity: Peer fintechs and neobanks may compress pricing or expand feature sets, forcing DAVE to defend retention and unit economics.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Fintech equities are often valued using a mix of revenue multiples and earnings/credit-quality-sensitive frameworks, reflecting that profitability is closely tied to underwriting performance and compliance costs. Key valuation drivers typically include:

  • Revenue quality: The durability of subscription/recurring revenue versus transaction-driven variability.
  • Unit economics: The relationship between customer acquisition cost, retention, and contribution after losses and operating expenses.
  • Credit metrics and risk-adjusted returns: Markets tend to re-rate businesses when credit performance stabilizes and the path to sustainable profitability becomes clearer.
  • Operating leverage potential: Evidence that scaling users increases gross profit faster than operating costs.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

DAVE’s long-term thesis rests on whether it can convert a consumer cash-flow pain point into a durable, compliant platform with customer stickiness and data-enabled risk advantages. The key question for investors is not only growth, but sustained underwriting discipline and the ability to protect unit economics as competition, regulation, and credit conditions evolve.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"DAVE reported Q1 2026 revenue of $147.6M and net income of $57.9M (EPS $4.31). YoY, revenue rose ~36.6% (from $108.0M in Q1 2025) while net income increased ~101.1% (from $28.8M). QoQ, revenue increased ~21.6% (from $121.4M in Q4 2025) and net income decreased ~12.3% (from $66.0M). Profitability improved on a YoY basis: gross margin expanded to ~81.3% in Q1 2026 versus ~93.4% in Q1 2025 (a decline in gross margin year over year), while operating and net margins remained strong at ~14.3% operating and ~39.3% net. The sequential picture is mixed: operating income was sharply positive in Q1 2026 (~$21.1M) after a large operating loss in Q4 2025 (operating income of -$81.1M), but net income fell as taxes and other items normalized. Cash generation was solid: operating cash flow was $82.0M and free cash flow was ~$82.0M in Q1 2026. The company also used substantial cash for buybacks (common stock repurchased -$186.7M in the quarter), helping explain equity/margin volatility but not impairing liquidity (cash + short-term investments of ~$133.3M). Total shareholder returns appear strong given the stock’s 1-year gain of ~205%. Net leverage remains moderate with net debt of ~$134.9M (down from net cash in Q4 2025)."

Revenue Growth

Good

QoQ revenue up ~21.6% (121.4M to 147.6M); YoY revenue up ~36.6% (108.0M to 147.6M). Growth is strong and accelerating versus the prior year quarter.

Profitability

Good

Net income +~101% YoY with net margin ~39.3% in Q1 2026. QoQ net income declined ~12.3%, but operating income improved markedly after the Q4 operating loss (Q1 op margin ~14.3% vs Q4 -66.8%).

Cash Flow Quality

Strong

Operating cash flow of ~$82.0M and free cash flow of ~$82.0M in Q1 2026, broadly aligned with earnings. Heavy buybacks (-$186.7M) indicate active capital return but no immediate cash stress (cash at end of period ~$135.2M).

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Total assets increased to ~$530.5M vs ~$487.4M in Q4 2025. Equity fell sequentially to ~$203.8M (from ~$352.7M), consistent with aggressive buybacks. Net debt turned positive at ~$134.9M (vs net cash in Q4 2025), reducing buffer vs last quarter.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Market momentum is very strong: 1y_change ~+205%. No dividends paid (yield 0), so total shareholder returns are dominated by price appreciation plus buybacks.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Consensus price target is $345 (high/low/median also $345). With the provided current price of $250.71, this implies upside of ~37.5%, suggesting constructive forward sentiment.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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DAVE delivered strong Q1 2026 momentum with revenue up 47% YoY to $158.4M and adjusted EBITDA up 57% to $69.3M at a 44% margin, expanding ~300 bps YoY. The key driver was improving credit outcomes: 28-day past due fell to 1.69%, the lowest Q1 loss rate on record, supporting both growth and margin durability. Management raised full-year 2026 guidance across revenue ($710M–$720M), adjusted EBITDA ($305M–$315M), and adjusted EPS ($16.25–$16.75), assuming a 23% effective tax rate. Q1 gross margin (72%) is framed as the low watermark, with mid-70s expected for the remainder of 2026, aided by better DPD trends and quarter-end timing effects. Operationally, DAVE is expanding the credit box (fee cap removal) and boosting utilization (second draw), while launching “Dave Flex” Pay-in-4 powered by Cash AI for trial in 2026 and scaling in 2027. Liquidity and cost of capital catalysts center on transitioning ExtraCash to Coastal’s off-balance-sheet structure this summer.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Credit performance improvement: 28-day past due (DPD) down to 1.69% (1 bps YoY improvement; 85 bps vs 3 years ago) driving lowest Q1 loss rate on record
  • Durable growth algorithm: MTMs up 18% and ARPU up 24% YoY, sustaining mid-teens member growth and low-double-digit ARPU growth despite Q1 seasonality
  • ExtraCash engagement strength: $2.1B originations, up 37% YoY, supported by improving conversion/reactivation and retention
  • Q1 debit card spend $534M, up 9%, attributed to ExtraCash + Dave Card synergy (no new debit card volume initiatives)
  • Launch of Pay in 4 credit product “Dave Flex” (trial with small group); underwriting powered 100% by Cash AI

Business Development

  • Coastal Community Bank partnership: on track to transition ExtraCash receivables to new off-balance sheet funding structure this summer
  • DOJ matter: no material update; company continues to defend its position

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Revenue $158.4M, up 47% YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA $69.3M, up 57% YoY at 44% margin
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded ~300 bps YoY
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $3.64, up 64% YoY
  • GAAP net income $57.9M, up 101%; adjusted net income $52.3M, up 61%
  • Non-GAAP gross margin 72% in Q1; expected low point for 2026 and to expand into mid-70s for remainder of year
  • Calendar/timing provision impact: Q1 ended on Tuesday; would have been ~$5M lower provision (and non-GAAP gross margin ~75%) if ended on prior Friday; management does not expect Q2 to repeat the same impact
  • Q1 origination size down sequentially to 212 from 214, driven by higher tax refunds late in quarter; April rebounded to average size 214

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchases and RSU net settlements: $194.9M in Q1
  • Basic share count reduced from 13.6M (FY2025) to 12.7M (end of Q1), ~6% sequential reduction
  • Early March: $200M zero coupon convertible notes offering; $175.7M net proceeds
  • Repurchased $70M common stock via privately negotiated transaction with convertible note holders; continued open-market buying
  • Remaining share repurchase authorization capacity: ~$113.3M
  • Coastal transition expected to unlock >$200M incremental liquidity at full implementation; also to reduce cost of capital and repay existing credit facility

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Dave Flex positioning: responsible Pay in 4 with up to 4 installment payments aligned to paycheck date; no compound interest, no late fees, no credit check; supports both online/offline merchants without reapplication
  • Cash AI underwriting for Dave Flex: 100% powered by Cash AI (explicit differentiation vs FICO-based incumbents)
  • Dave Flex contribution to 2026: management does not expect meaningful revenue in 2026; not embedded in guidance; focus is test/learn/optimize LTV before scaling in 2027
  • Q2+ product monetization/credit box upgrades: removing $15 fee cap for new members; and launching “second draw” feature (available to all eligible members as of last month) to unlock unused portion within the pay period
  • Headcount: compensation expense grew 1% YoY and 11% sequentially; planned scaling from <300 employees end of 2025 to ~325 end of 2026 (+~$10M annualized incremental expense)
  • Marketing stance: Q1 seasonal low; for rest of 2026, plan to expand marketing spend above Q4 2025 levels while maintaining disciplined returns

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Raised full-year 2026 guidance: revenue $710M to $720M (growth ~28% to 30%)
  • Raised adjusted EBITDA guidance: $305M to $315M
  • Raised adjusted diluted EPS guidance: $16.25 to $16.75 (up from $14 to $15), assuming 23% effective tax rate
  • Management expects non-GAAP gross margin to expand from 72% and move into mid-70s for balance of year
  • Cash AI V6.0: expect rolling out over coming months; V6 testing expected to begin within next couple of months; margin and credit trends expected to benefit

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Timing volatility in loss provision and gross margin driven by quarter-end calendar (Q1 Tuesday watermark) affecting comparability; sequential period impacts expected to be less severe in Q2
  • Seasonality from tax refund period reducing ExtraCash demand (management cited expanded refunds vs prior years affecting Q1 sequential dynamics)
  • Execution risk: successful transition to Coastal off-balance-sheet funding structure “this summer” is a key dependency for liquidity and cost of capital reduction

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Flex product monetization and competitive economics: Management discussed in-market testing of a higher monthly fee versus ExtraCash plus a per “spike” transaction fee, while emphasizing no late fees or compound interest. Early adoption suggests incremental originations and ARPU lift via synergy with ExtraCash rather than cannibalization.
  • Credit algorithm role in customer acquisition (Cash AI V6): Management clarified Cash AI V6 is not framed as approving more applicants, but improving value extraction from approved borrowers. They linked fee cap removal and higher limits to better conversion and retention, with compounding effects across first-time and reactivation cohorts.
  • Provision timing mechanics and normalization: Management quantified that a different quarter-end date would have swung provision by about $5M and lifted non-GAAP gross margin to ~75%. They expect normalization as DPD trends remain strong and gross margin to rise into mid-70s for the year.

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the DAVE Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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© 2026 Stock Market Info — Dave Inc. (DAVE) Financial Profile