e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) Market Cap

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. has a market capitalization of $2.95B.

Price: $49.57

-1.87 (-3.64%)

Market Cap: 2.95B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Tarang Amin

Sector: Consumer Defensive

Industry: Household & Personal Products

IPO Date: 2016-09-22

Website: https://www.elfcosmetics.com

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) - Company Information

Market Cap: 2.95B|Sector: Consumer Defensive

Company Profile

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cosmetic and skin care products under the e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, Well People, and Keys Soulcare brand names worldwide. The company offers eye, lip, face, face, paw, and skin care products. It sells its products through national and international retailers and direct-to-consumer channels, which include e-commerce platforms in the United States, and internationally primarily through distributors. The company was formerly known as J.A. Cosmetics Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. in April 2016. e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Oakland, California.

Analyst Sentiment

83%
Strong Buy

From 17 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $76.75

▲ +54.8% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$50

Median

$75

High Bound

$115

Average

$77

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$76.75
▲ +54.83% Upside
Low Target
$50.00
1% Risk
Median Target
$75.00
51% Mid
High Target
$115.00
132% Max
Consensus
Buy
13 / 27 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)2,9463,5804,5097,7327,0103,6197,0766,14311,428
Enterprise Value ($M)3,5744,2075,2388,4557,1543,7847,3126,34811,623
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)53.62-42.4528.63645.1752.6132.03102.4880.7560.08
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)0.688.305.6957.87
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)1.807.979.2122.4819.8210.8819.9120.4035.22
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)2.593.173.886.798.714.769.228.4416.24
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)15.5035.5985.42466.72348.0728.94-358.07643.6223086.13
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)9.3610.7024.5820.2211.3720.5821.0835.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)22.25-239.6359.71359.92106.8860.12198.15143.04193.87
Debt to Equity Ratio3.910.810.800.810.390.410.400.410.43

ELF Growth Runway Model

🟢 Initial high growth rate - forecast is based on a long term bell curve % growth rate

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$49.57
Intrinsic Value$157.86
Market Alignment
Undervalued by 218.5%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 44%44%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2036)

Terminal FCF Base$1.05B
Perpetuity TV Value$19.75B
Discounted TV (PV)$7.65B
TV Weighting %71.9%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

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📘 ELF BEAUTY INC (ELF) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

ELF BEAUTY operates a brand-led beauty model spanning product conception, contract manufacturing, brand merchandising, and multi-channel distribution. The company sources and produces makeup and skincare products through a manufacturing partner network, then sells finished goods through (1) owned digital channels (e-commerce and marketplaces) and (2) third-party retail channels (primarily specialty and mass retailers, depending on assortment and geography).

The key “how it works” dynamic is repeat purchase supported by rapid SKU refresh and trend-responsive product development. Because cosmetics are relatively low-cost per purchase and customers often experiment with new looks and routines, ELF’s commercial engine relies on frequent product launches and strong execution in merchandising—translating innovation into sell-through and inventory discipline across channels.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily transactional product sales rather than contractual or subscription-based revenue. “Monetisation” therefore comes from two levers: (1) product mix across makeup and skincare categories and (2) channel mix between owned digital and wholesale/retail distribution.

  • Channel-led margin structure: Owned digital typically offers greater control over merchandising and promotional strategy, while retail/wholesale shifts economics toward trade terms and retailer inventory behavior.
  • Operating leverage from scale: As distribution volumes rise, ELF can spread marketing and overhead costs across a larger revenue base, assuming inventory remains aligned with demand.
  • Margin sensitivity drivers: Gross margin tends to be influenced by manufacturing efficiencies, packaging/input costs, and promotional intensity; operating margin depends on fulfillment/logistics efficiency and disciplined brand spend.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

ELF’s moat is not rooted in long-term contractual switching costs; instead, it is anchored in scale/distribution leverage, fast product execution, and commercial know-how in mass-premium merchandising. In practice, competitors face friction in replicating the same end-to-end operational cadence: product development-to-manufacturing-to-channel sell-through at a consistent value proposition.

Competitive benchmarking (primary competitors):

  • Estée Lauder Companies (EL): Heavy focus on prestige brand portfolios with greater reliance on wholesale partners and brand-specific franchise economics.
  • L’Oréal (LRLCY): Diversified global beauty leader spanning luxury, dermo-cosmetics, and mass segments with large internal R&D and scale across brand families.
  • Coty (COTY): Broad beauty brands with significant exposure to fragrance and beauty categories and a mix of wholesale and retail strategies.

Industry focus contrast: ELF emphasizes an accessible “premium-like” proposition and operational speed, leveraging strong demand capture through digital merchandising and scalable distribution into retailers. This differs from prestige-heavy incumbents (Estée Lauder, part of L’Oréal) that often compete on brand hierarchy, higher price tiers, and longer product franchise cycles—making it harder to match ELF’s value-for-performance and launch cadence simultaneously.

Moat mechanism (hard-to-copy elements):

  • Scale/distribution leverage: Concentrated purchasing, logistics efficiency, and retailer relationships can reduce per-unit friction and improve assortment economics.
  • Operational merchandising competence: The ability to translate consumer demand signals into short-cycle SKU planning can drive better sell-through and reduce markdown dependence relative to less agile operators.
  • Intangible assets (brand and product IP): While cosmetics competition is intense, ELF’s brand equity and product formulations support pricing stability and retailer willingness to allocate shelf/space to its launches.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • Category expansion within beauty: Ongoing growth in skincare and makeup routines supports unit and SKU expansion beyond baseline foundations and lip categories.
  • Digital commerce share shift: The continued migration of beauty discovery and purchase behavior online benefits brands with efficient e-commerce merchandising and marketplace distribution.
  • Globalization of an “accessible premium” value proposition: International retail and e-commerce expansion can extend ELF’s market reach as local distribution networks scale and assortments adapt.
  • Trend-based product cadence: Consistent innovation and localized assortment planning can improve customer retention through repeat purchases driven by new looks and routines.
  • Retail shelf optimization: Retail partner execution—assortment breadth, planogram presence, and promotional readiness—can raise conversion and reduce inventory risk at the channel level.

Over a 5–10 year horizon, the addressable market remains supported by structural consumer spend on beauty and self-expression, with ELF positioned to capture share through value alignment, speed, and distribution reach.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Demand volatility and promotional pressure: Cosmetics can be cyclical and competition-driven; higher promotional intensity can compress margins and increase working capital needs.
  • Channel concentration and retailer terms: Changes in retail partner inventory practices, shelf allocation, or return policies can affect sell-through and profitability.
  • Inventory and assortment execution risk: Rapid SKU refresh is an advantage only when supported by accurate forecasting; misalignment can lead to markdowns and write-downs.
  • Input cost and packaging inflation: Contract manufacturing and packaging components can transmit cost pressure if not offset by sourcing efficiency and pricing discipline.
  • Regulatory and ingredient compliance: Cosmetics face ingredient and labeling regulations that can vary by geography and require ongoing compliance investment.
  • Operational continuity in a contract manufacturing model: Quality consistency, capacity availability, and lead times matter; disruptions can delay launches and impact customer trust.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Beauty retailers/brands are commonly valued on a blend of P/S and EV/EBITDA (or enterprise multiples of operating profit), with the market emphasizing the durability of growth, gross margin quality, and evidence of operating leverage. Key “multiple movers” typically include:

  • Gross margin stability: Manufacturing and freight efficiency, mix improvement, and the ability to limit promotional erosion.
  • Operating leverage: Marketing spend efficiency and scalability of fulfillment/logistics.
  • Working capital discipline: Inventory turns, markdown control, and the cash conversion cycle across channels.
  • Sustainable unit demand: Sell-through health and repeat purchase behavior implied by channel sell rates.

Because revenue is transactional, the market tends to reward consistent execution and disciplined inventory management more than “financial engineering” narratives.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

ELF BEAUTY’s long-term investment case rests on a practical competitive position in accessible beauty: an operationally efficient, brand-led model that combines scalable distribution with fast product execution. While cosmetics do not generate high formal switching costs, ELF can sustain advantages through distribution leverage, merchandising competence, and the intangible strength of its brand and product portfolio. The core monitor points are margin resilience, inventory discipline, and channel execution as the company expands categories and geographies.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

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📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for ELF.

prnewswire.com2026-06-05

Did e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?

Shareholders are encouraged to contact the firm to discuss their rights and options at no cost or obligation. We would handle any matter on a contingent fee basis, whereby you would not be responsible for out-of-pocket payment of our legal fees or expenses.

businesswire.com2026-06-05

rhode Expands Global Presence to Mexico, its First Entry into Latin America, and Adds Seven European Countries

LOS ANGELES--(BUSINESS WIRE)--rhode, the beauty brand founded by Hailey Rhode Bieber and part of e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF), today announced a major global expansion. Starting Tuesday, June 9, 2026, rhode will be available direct to consumers in Mexico for the first time, marking the brand's official entry into Latin America, alongside seven additional European markets: Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Portugal, Romania, and Switzerland. The expansion significantly increases internati.

zacks.com2026-06-05

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.

fool.com2026-06-05

2 Growth Stocks Worth Buying Through the Volatility and Holding for a Lifetime

E.l.f. Beauty continues outperforming competitors through acquisitions, international expansion, and consistent double-digit growth. Vita Coco dominates coconut water, combining market leadership, profitability, and significant global growth opportunities.

seekingalpha.com2026-06-04

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) Presents at 23rd annual dbAccess Global Consumer Conference Transcript

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) Presents at 23rd annual dbAccess Global Consumer Conference Transcript

fool.com2026-06-04

Why e.l.f. Beauty Stock Dropped13% in May

A strong report wasn't enough to allay market worries.

fool.com2026-05-29

What to Know About This Fund's $4.8 Million e.l.f. Beauty Exit After a Tough Year

e.l.f. Beauty delivers affordable cosmetics and skin care through a multi-channel model targeting value-conscious consumers worldwide.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-29

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) Discusses Guidance and Drivers of Organic Sales Trends Transcript

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) Discusses Guidance and Drivers of Organic Sales Trends Transcript

businesswire.com2026-05-27

Naturium Launches “Glow Better Together” Campaign Celebrating the Community Behind Its Bestselling Glow Getter Collection

LOS ANGELES--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Today, Naturium unveiled Glow Better Together, a new brand campaign celebrating the people, relationships, and rituals behind its bestselling Glow Getter collection. Rooted in the idea that glow is not created alone, the campaign highlights the power of community, connection and self-expression through a cast made up of Naturium fans and longtime brand champion and Influencer, Bretman Rock. As the fastest-growing skincare brand in the U.S. top 50, according to Circ.

businesswire.com2026-05-26

e.l.f. Beauty to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences and Events

OAKLAND, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF) today announced that the company will participate in the following investor conferences and events: Virtual Fireside Chat with BofA Date: Friday May 29, 2026 Location: Virtual Fireside Chat Webcast: 1:00 PM ET Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference Date: Tuesday June 2, 2026 Location: New York, NY dbAccess Global Consumer Conference Date: Thursday June 4, 2026 Location: Paris, France Fireside Chat Webcast: 10:00 AM.

zacks.com2026-05-26

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?

When deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock, investors often rely on analyst recommendations. Media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts often influence a stock's price, but are they really important?

zacks.com2026-05-25

Investors Heavily Search e.l.f. Beauty (ELF): Here is What You Need to Know

Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to e.l.f. Beauty (ELF).

fool.com2026-05-24

Is e.l.f. Beauty Stock a Buy as Rhode Drives Growth?

E.l.f. turned in strong revenue growth, led by its skincare brands Rhode and Naturium. Its namesake brand is seeing headwinds, but the company is testing lower price points to try to increase volumes.

cnbc.com2026-05-23

Americans are feeling inflation's pinch into the holiday weekend. Here's where prices are rising the most

Americans will pay more for everything from gas to meat for the barbecue heading into Memorial Day weekend. Prices for travel, recreation and food saw sharp increases, giving consumers headaches as the summer unofficially kicks off.

marketbeat.com2026-05-22

Overextended, e.l.f. Beauty Is Primed to Rebound in Back Half

Down nearly 65% from the late 2025 highs, this market is trading at deep-value levels, with catalysts in play. While the guidance for fiscal 2027 was tepid, it reflects intentional price markdowns, aimed at driving volume.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"ELF reported Q4’26 (ended 2026-03-31) revenue of $449.3M and net loss of -$49.4M (EPS -0.84). On a YoY basis, revenue increased to $449.3M from $332.6M in Q4’25 (+35.0%), while net income swung from +$28.3M to -$49.4M (a -275.0% YoY deterioration). On a QoQ basis, revenue declined from $489.5M in Q3’26 (-8.2%) and net income deteriorated from +$39.4M to -$49.4M (down -225.3%). Profitability contracted sharply: gross margin improved slightly (72.7% vs 70.9% QoQ), but operating margin collapsed to +1.6% from +13.8% QoQ, driven by much higher selling/general/admin expense levels and a large negative other income/expense line (total other income/expenses net of -$67.8M). Cash flow remained positive despite the accounting loss: operating cash flow was $102.5M and free cash flow was $100.6M in Q4’26. The balance sheet looks liquid with cash of $289.7M, but leverage is elevated with total debt of $909.3M and net debt of $619.6M. Shareholder returns appear mixed-to-strong on momentum: the stock is up 33.8% over the last year (dividend paid is 0), but recent 6-month performance is very weak (-50.8%). Buybacks were not active in the latest quarter (repurchases 0), limiting capital return support."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

QoQ revenue fell -8.2% (from $489.5M to $449.3M), but YoY revenue rose +35.0% (vs $332.6M). Trajectory is volatile rather than consistently accelerating.

Profitability

Neutral

Net income deteriorated sharply: QoQ from +$39.4M to -$49.4M (down -225%); YoY swing from +$28.3M to -$49.4M (down ~-275%). Operating margin collapsed to +1.6% from +13.8% QoQ.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Despite the net loss, operating cash flow was strong at $102.5M and free cash flow was $100.6M in Q4’26. This offsets earnings weakness, though working-capital/other-items volatility is evident.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Caution

Liquidity improved (cash +$92.9M QoQ to $289.7M; current ratio ~2.35). However, leverage remains high with total debt $909.3M and net debt $619.6M, and equity is lower QoQ (to $1.13B).

Shareholder Returns

Fair

No dividends in the latest quarter (yield 0). Stock momentum is positive with 1y_change of +33.8%, but 6m_change is deeply negative (-50.8%). No buybacks in Q4’26.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus target ($88.43) is above the current price ($66.82) implying upside, but trailing profitability has deteriorated materially. High valuation multiples in recent periods are not supported by current earnings.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

ELF delivered strong top-line momentum but with profitability and near-term growth unevenness. Q4 net sales rose 35% YoY, with Rhode contributing $113M (~34 pts), while organic sales excluding Rhode grew only ~1%. Gross margin improved ~140 bps to 73% as pricing helped but tariffs remained a drag. However, Q4 adjusted EBITDA fell to $59M from $81M as SG&A jumped to 67% of sales, driven by higher marketing/digital (31% of net sales). Management guided FY27 net sales +12%–14% and organic +4%–5%, with Q1 organic down high single digits (SAP timing/comp) and Q2 rebound mid-teens. Gross margin is expected flat YoY assuming ~35% tariff rates; they also flagged potential $15M–$20M commodity/transport headwinds if oil averages ~$100. Strategically, they are actively using value pricing (Halo Glow Skin Tint $18→$14; ~38% Amazon lift, ~36% across retailers) and accelerating innovation to offset the underwhelming Spring 26 core innovation lift.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Rhode momentum (annualized fiscal 26 >$500M global retail sales; FY26 net sales ~$390M; >80% YoY) and continued record launch execution
  • e.l.f. Cosmetics continued market share gains (+115 bps US market share in fiscal 26; 29 consecutive quarters of net share/share gains)
  • e.l.f. SKIN scaling strategy using community-led innovation and e.l.f. Twist value proposition (rising from #25 mask care to #11; opportunity vs #1 mass skin share)
  • Planned innovation acceleration: fast-tracked products added ahead of original FY27 plan; fall innovation “out the door in the next month” plus incremental innovation before holidays
  • Value-driven price testing: Halo Glow Skin Tint reduced $18 to $14 with reported ~38% lift on Amazon and ~36% lift across retailers (incl. triple-digit TikTok Shop lift)

Business Development

  • Rhode retail expansion: Mecca Australia & New Zealand “record breaking” launch; Seeding/enlarging within Sephora
  • Rhode global expansion planned: September launch with Sephora in Europe across 19 countries
  • Adjacencies: fragrance partnership with H&M (January); hair care category expansion via Power Grip styling collection (March)
  • Coachella partnerships/activations: e.l.f. Cosmetics and Rhode took over 2026 Coachella; Rhode drove momentum via “Rhode World” and limited edition Rhode with the Biebers collaboration drop
  • Transfer of Keys Soulcare brand: brand transferred to Alicia Keys (decision framed as improving focus on the 5 remaining brands)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 net sales +35% YoY; Rhode contributed $113M (~34 percentage points); organic Q4 (ex-Rhode) up ~1% YoY (within February range)
  • Q4 adjusted gross margin 73%: up ~140 bps YoY; improvement largely driven by pricing benefits partially offset by higher tariffs
  • Q4 adjusted SG&A: 67% of net sales vs 52% in Q4 last year; primary driver higher marketing/digital + investments in team/infrastructure
  • Marketing and digital spend: 31% of net sales in Q4 (vs 23% prior year); full-year marketing/digital ended at 24% of net sales (within 24%–26% outlook range)
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA: $59M vs $81M prior year; decline driven by increased marketing/digital and team/infrastructure investment
  • Q4 adjusted net income: $19M or $0.32/diluted share vs $45M or $0.78/diluted share prior year
  • Fiscal 26: net sales +25% and adjusted EBITDA +13%; delivered ~20% adjusted EBITDA margin despite meaningful tariff pressure
  • Tariff intensity: average ~55% in fiscal 26 vs ~25% rate a year ago
  • Fiscal 27 initial outlook: net sales growth ~12%–14%; adjusted EBITDA $379M–$385M; adjusted net income $198M–$201M; adjusted EPS $3.27–$3.32; adjusted tax rate 25%–26%; average diluted shares ~60.5M
  • Fiscal 27 margin outlook: adjusted EBITDA margins ~21% (up ~20 bps YoY); gross margin expected ~flat YoY (tariff cost and price actions offset by mix as Rhode transitions further into retail)
  • Oil/transport cost sensitivity: if oil averages ~$100/bbl, incremental headwinds estimated ~$15M–$20M in fiscal 27; tariff refund assumed not in outlook despite expecting refunds ~ $58.5M (IEPA tariffs paid last year)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchases: repurchased ~$50M during fiscal 26; ~$400M remaining under previously authorized $500M repurchase program at year-end
  • Cash balance increased to ~$290M at year-end vs ~$149M a year ago
  • Liquidity: less than 2x net debt to adjusted EBITDA (no specific absolute net debt disclosed)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • ERP/operations cadence: referenced ERP cutover in Q2 and related shipping timing; expects Q1 organic decline due to SAP/pull-forward and lapping late/temporary shipping decisions
  • Automation/technology investment priority for FY27 includes AI and automation, plus infrastructure to improve retailer execution
  • Supply chain/geography diversification: manufacturing outside China increased from ~1% to >45% of production over ~3 years
  • International growth execution: launched in 8 international retail customers across 14 countries in fiscal 26; strategy to grow share in UK/Canada/Germany and selectively seed in new markets
  • Leadership/organization changes: Kory Marchisotto appointed President of e.l.f. Brands; Oshiya Savur appointed Chief Marketing Officer; Ekta Chopra appointed Chief Technology and AI Officer

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Fiscal 27 net sales: +12% to +14% YoY
  • Fiscal 27 organic net sales: +4% to +5% YoY (with Rhode becoming part of organic growth later in the year)
  • Fiscal 27 organic cadence assumptions: Q1 organic down high single digits (SAP pull-forward + lapping); Q2 organic rebound mid-teens (annualizing Rhode and lapping temporary shipment stop in Q2 last year)
  • Fiscal 27 gross margin: ~flat YoY; assumes tariff rates remain at ~35% level currently faced
  • Fiscal 27 expenses: marketing/digital spend ~23%–25% of net sales; non-marketing SG&A to gain leverage and invest for white space
  • Fiscal 27 adjusted EBITDA: ~13%–15% growth vs prior year; adjusted EBITDA margins ~21% (~+20 bps YoY)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • e.l.f. brand slowdown: e.l.f. brand global consumption moderated from high single digits in fiscal 26 to low single digits in last 12 weeks; Spring 26 innovation “slower start” than expected and no lift across core items historically
  • Tariff/macro volatility: tariff rates assumed ~35% in fiscal 27; company flagged conflict-driven inflation in commodities and transportation and estimated ~$15M–$20M incremental cost headwinds at ~$100 oil (oil and tariff refunds not fully factored given fluidity)
  • Unit/volume softness: Q4 unit volumes down ~5 points YoY despite pricing/product mix benefits
  • Channel/innovation timing risk: value/dollar share pressure attributed to spring innovation underperformance and lapping a period with very strong innovation (melting lip balms moved up last year); comp and innovation release timing may delay recovery

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Spring vs fall innovation: Management said spring is still strong relative to category but below internal expectations; they cited Lip Oil Sticks and melting lip balms with relative performance. They emphasized fall innovation shipping “next month” plus additional incremental innovation pulled from community signals into FY27 before holidays, aiming to restore core lift.
  • Rhode embedded growth and tariffs/refunds: Management explained FY27 embeds ~9 points of Rhode growth from now through August until it turns into organic growth. They highlighted EU rollout via Sephora across 19 countries launching September. On tariffs, they do not include refunds in guidance but expect ~ $58.5M; plan is to reinvest into value and unit growth.
  • Pricing actions, value shares, and what drives recovery: Management described Halo Glow Skin Tint price reduction ($18 to $14) producing ~40% unit lift, and stated further pricing actions will appear over weeks on other “families” (not disclosed). They attributed value/dollar share pressure to below-expected spring innovation and lapping last year’s stronger period; emphasized value, innovation, and disruptive marketing engine as key drivers.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the ELF Q4 2026 (fiscal 26 results; initial fiscal 27 outlook) earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for ELF.

SEC EDGAR Live Feed
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SEC Filings (ELF)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) Financial Profile