nCino, Inc.

nCino, Inc. (NCNO) Market Cap

nCino, Inc. has a market capitalization of $2.07B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2026-01-31

Price: $18.05

β–Ό -0.18 (-0.99%)

Market Cap: 2.07B

NASDAQ Β· time unavailable

CEO: Sean Desmond

Sector: Technology

Industry: Software - Application

IPO Date: 2020-07-14

Website: https://www.ncino.com

nCino, Inc. (NCNO) - Company Information

Market Cap: 2.07B Β· Sector: Technology

nCino, Inc., a software-as-a-service company, provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally. Its nCino Bank Operating System, a tenant cloud platform, which digitizes, automates, and streamlines complex processes and workflow; and utilizes data analytics and artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) to enable banks and credit unions to onboard new clients, make loans and manage the entire loan life cycle, open deposit and other accounts, and manage regulatory compliance. The company's nCino IQ, an application suite that utilizes data analytics and AI/ML to provide its customers with automation and insights into their operations, such as tools for analyzing, measuring, and managing credit risk, as well as to enhance their ability to comply with regulatory requirements. It also offers SimpleNexus, a suite of products that enables loan officers, borrowers, real estate agents, settlement agents, and others to engage in the homeownership process from internet-enabled device. The company serves financial institution customers, including global financial institutions, enterprise banks, regional banks, community banks, credit unions, new market entrants, and independent mortgage banks through sales team comprising business development representatives, account executives, field sales engineers, and customer success managers. nCino, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina.

Analyst Sentiment

72%
Strong Buy

Based on 23 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $34.22

Average target (based on 4 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$27

Median

$34

High

$36

Average

$32

Potential Upside: 79.1%

Price & Moving Averages

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πŸ“˜ Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

πŸ“˜ NCINO INC (NCNO) β€” Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

nCino Inc (NASDAQ: NCNO) is a provider of cloud-based software focused on transforming the operational and customer-facing processes of financial institutions. The company’s flagship product, the nCino Bank Operating System, streamlines critical workflows for banks and credit unions, including onboarding, loan origination, deposit accounts, compliance, and analytics. Built natively on the Salesforce platform, nCino leverages core CRM and cloud infrastructure capabilities while overlaying specialized functionalities tuned for regulatory-heavy financial markets. The business operates with a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model, targeting banks and lenders of all sizes β€” from small community banks to global Tier 1 institutions. nCino’s solutions aim to digitize legacy processes that are often manual, paper-based, and siloed, enhancing efficiency, transparency, and customer satisfaction within financial organizations.

πŸ’° Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

nCino’s revenues are driven primarily by recurring subscription fees for access to its suite of cloud-based applications. Contracts are typically multi-year, with pricing scaled to factors such as institution size, user count, number of products deployed, and system complexity. Implementation and professional services provide an ancillary revenue stream, particularly during the initial migration and customization phases for new customers. In addition to core modules like loan origination and deposit account opening, nCino offers optional add-ons (e.g., portfolio analytics, commercial pricing tools), each incrementally monetized. The Salesforce partnership enables nCino to leverage established enterprise infrastructure and distribution pathways, but nCino’s applications are distinctly branded and commercialized independently. Expansion opportunities are driven by both β€œland and expand” motions (selling broader modules to existing clients) and targeting greenfield deployments at new institutions, both domestically and internationally.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

nCino holds a differentiated position in financial services technology through several vectors: - **Deep Domain Expertise:** Its solutions are specifically engineered for the unique regulatory, workflow, and scale requirements of banks and credit unionsβ€”areas often underserved by generic SaaS providers. - **Salesforce Platform Leverage:** Building on Salesforce provides robust reliability, security certifications, and seamless CRM integration, reducing friction for IT, operations, and end-users. - **Configurability and Speed:** Compared to legacy on-premises banking systems (often highly customized, inflexible, and costly to maintain), nCino delivers faster deployment schedules, lower total cost of ownership, and agility for institutions dealing with shifting regulatory and consumer landscapes. - **Referenceability:** The company boasts a marquee roster of bank clients across asset classes, enhancing its credibility and providing demonstrable case studies for new prospects. - **Data Network Effects:** As more institutions run core workflows through nCino, the aggregated process data may enable sophisticated benchmarking, AI-powered recommendations, and iterative product enhancements. The competitor set includes both legacy banking software vendors (e.g., FIS, Fiserv, Temenos) and emerging fintech players focused on workflow automation; however, few rival nCino’s combination of modern cloud-native delivery and deep vertical focus.

πŸš€ Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Several secular and company-specific trends underpin nCino’s long-term growth outlook: - **Digital Transformation Pressure:** Banks and credit unions face intensifying pressure to digitize customer and employee experiences, driven by both consumer expectations and fintech challengers. There remains a vast installed base running on outdated technology, providing a long runway for cloud migration. - **Regulatory Demands:** Evolving regulatory requirements increase workflow complexity for financial institutions, driving demand for solutions that can flexibly adapt and automate compliance. - **Geographic Expansion:** Though initially U.S.-centric, nCino has established an international footprint, with opportunities for market share gains as global financial institutions modernize. - **Product Expansion:** The company continues to expand its addressable market by launching complementary modules beyond lending, such as deposits, analytics, or onboarding. - **Cross-Sell & Up-Sell:** With many customers starting with a single module or use-case, nCino can drive β€œwallet share” growth by layering on adjacent offerings over time. - **M&A Opportunity:** Acquisitions or technology partnerships could accelerate roadmap execution or unlock strategic customers and geographies.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

While nCino benefits from strong secular tailwinds, several risk factors warrant close attention: - **Sales Cycle Complexity:** Large bank sales can involve protracted procurement and integration cycles, with uncertainty around timing and implementation outcomes. - **Competition:** Both incumbents and new entrants increasingly target the digital banking OS opportunity, pressuring pricing and differentiation. - **Reliance on Salesforce:** As the underlying platform for its offerings, nCino is exposed to technical dependencies and potential changes in the Salesforce partnership. - **Customer Concentration:** Large institutions can represent significant revenue concentrations, and contract renewals or expansions may introduce volatility. - **Execution Risks:** International expansion and product diversification present increased operational risks, requiring local market acumen and product fit. - **Macroeconomic Impact:** Budget constraints at financial institutions stemming from economic cycles can influence technology spending priorities.

πŸ“Š Valuation & Market View

nCino is typically valued as a high-growth vertical SaaS company, with multiples reflecting its recurring revenue base, robust gross margins, and growth potential. Key valuation metrics include price-to-sales (P/S), enterprise value-to-revenue (EV/revenue), and, as the business scales, forward profitability measures such as free cash flow margins. Its premium relative to horizontal SaaS peers can be justified by substantial whitespace in banking IT spend and proven ability to land and expand within large accounts. Nevertheless, valuation should be assessed in light of growth normalization, margin expansion trajectory, competitive landscape, and sustainability of customer wins. Analyst sentiment often hinges on the visibility of multi-year contracted revenue, progress in upsell/cross-sell, and demonstrated international scaling.

πŸ” Investment Takeaway

nCino represents a premier play on the multi-decade digitization of global financial institutions. Its purpose-built, cloud-native applications, focused on mission-critical banking workflows, carve a defensible niche amid a large, slow-moving addressable market. The company’s combination of high recurring revenues, referenceable enterprise wins, and agile product development supports a strong foundational story. Key value levers include ongoing expansion within existing banking customers, greenfield market opportunities globally, and broadening of the product footprint. Risks around competition, execution, and platform dependency need ongoing monitoring, but nCino’s opera ting profile and sector positioning make it an attractive candidate for long-term, growth-oriented portfolios seeking exposure to the intersection of SaaS and financial services transformation.

⚠ AI-generated β€” informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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nCino reported Q4/FY26 results that clearly beat internal expectations and were framed as validation of its AI + pricing strategy. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 23% in Q4 from 17% (+600 bps) and 22% for FY26 from 18% (+400 bps), while non-GAAP EPS nearly doubled in both the quarter ($0.37 vs $0.19) and the year ($1.07 vs $0.72). The company also highlighted strengthening retention: ACV net retention rose to 112% (109% organic constant currency) from 106% and churn reached a 3-year low. The operational story centers on β€œagentic” AI adoption with measurable usage (banking adviser usage >25x from October to March) and continued migration to platform pricing (38% of ACV shifted). Capital returns accelerated via a $100M accelerated repurchase funded by free cash flow plus part of a $200M term-loan expansion. FY27 guidance calls for 8–9% subscription growth at the midpoint and $132M–$137M free cash flow, with prudence on U.S. mortgage growth (~1%) and large-deal predictability.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • AI strategy adoption driving exceptional ACV performance (+17% YoY in FY26) and customer expansion
  • Banking Advisor / Agentic solutions usage growth: banking adviser usage up >25x (March vs October)
  • Agentic credit reviews released as part of the 'analyst digital partner' last quarter (summarizes changes in seconds with audit trail)
  • Transition from seat-based to platform pricing: ~38% of ACV shifted to platform pricing by end of FY26
  • Early renewals and multi-year expansions, including a fresh 5-year commitment from largest customer by ACV

Business Development

  • U.S.: mortgage expansion with a 'top 40 bank' and cross-selling commercial lending to their largest consumer lending customer
  • EMEA: largest deal of the year with a marquee net-new customer win in Austria
  • Japan: signing of one of the largest banks in the world for commercial lending transformation; tripled total ACV in FY26 vs FY25 for Japan team
  • Customer data partnerships: ~500 financial institution customers representing >$11 trillion in assets granting rights to process data into an anonymized proprietary dataset

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 total revenues: $149.7M (+6% YoY); FY26 total revenues: $594.8M (+10% YoY)
  • Q4 subscription revenues: $133.4M (+7% YoY); organic subscription revenues Q4: $132.2M (+6% YoY)
  • FY26 subscription revenues: $523.1M (+12% YoY); organic subscription revenues FY26: $505.9M (+8% YoY)
  • Q4 organic subscription comparison headwind: ~3% due to international onetime subscription revenues from a contract buyout in Q4 FY25
  • Q4 non-GAAP operating income: $34.7M (23% of revenue) vs $24.4M (17% of revenue) in Q4 FY25 (margin +600 bps)
  • FY26 non-GAAP operating income: $129.4M (22% of revenue) vs $96.2M (18% of revenue) in FY25 (margin +400 bps)
  • Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.37 vs $0.19 in Q4 FY25; FY26 non-GAAP EPS: $1.07 vs $0.72 in FY25
  • Churn: FY26 churn settled at 3-year low $18.2M (4% of prior year subscription revenues)
  • ACV: $602.4M as of Jan 31, 2026 (+17% YoY); organic constant currency ACV growth +13% YoY
  • ACV net retention: 112% (109% organic, constant currency) vs 106% in FY25
  • Subscription revenue retention: 110% (106% organic, constant currency) vs 110% in FY25 (noted negative timing/compare impacts in Q3/Q4; expansion from deals closed in Q4 not yet reflected)
  • Professional services: Q4 revenue -1% YoY to $16.3M; FY26 professional services flat at $71.6M; management emphasized future acceleration in gross profit growth from AI-accelerated implementations

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchase (Q4): ~1.0M shares at avg $25.84; total consideration ~$25M under $100M authorization announced Dec 8, 2025
  • Total FY26 repurchases (through end of FY26): ~5.0M shares at avg $25.18; total consideration ~$125M
  • Remaining under Dec 2025 authorization: $75M
  • Accelerated share repurchase announced today: $100M
  • Funding plan for $100M ASR: free cash flow plus a portion of the $200M term loan expansion of existing credit facility (term loan funded by some of largest customers); portion also earmarked to reduce revolving credit facility balance
  • Cash/cash equivalents at period end: $88.7M (including restricted cash)
  • Free cash flow: Q4 $12.5M (vs -$10.4M in Q4 FY25); FY26 $82.6M (+55% YoY)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • AI intelligence units in production (not pilots): emphasis on adoption and consumption, with banking adviser usage up >25x in March vs October
  • Implementation change management focus: forward-deployed engineering team focused on moving customers from contract signing through implementation to production AI usage
  • Data moat / operations analytics: proprietary anonymized dataset supporting 'nCino Operations Analytics' (cycle times, win rates, benchmarking) and underwriting/credit review efficiencies
  • Operating model: role-based 'digital partners' / agentic workflows built to produce traceable/auditable outputs within nCino controls
  • Staffing/go-to-market: hired Keith Kettell as Chief Revenue Officer (to accelerate subscription revenue growth)

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Q1 FY27 guidance: total revenues $154.5M to $156.5M; subscription revenues $137M to $139M (8% and 10% YoY at midpoint)
  • Q1 FY27 non-GAAP operating income: ~$38M to $40M
  • FY27 free cash flow guidance: $132M to $137M (up 63% YoY at midpoint)
  • FY27 total revenues: $639M to $643M; subscription revenues: $569M to $573M (8% and 9% YoY at midpoint)
  • FY27 ACV: ending $662.5M to $667.5M (implies ~10% ACV growth at midpoint); net additions $60M to $65M (constant currency + organic)
  • FY27 ACV bookings framework: assumes higher win percentages than FY26 guidance but lower than actual FY26 win percentages (prudence on deal timing/size)
  • U.S. mortgage subscription revenues guidance: ~1% growth assumed for FY27; management intention to remain prudent around mortgage expectations
  • FY27 non-GAAP operating income: $165M to $170M
  • Modeling notes: SBC expense reduction ~100 bps as % of revenue vs FY26 12%
  • Tax/interest/fixed asset assumptions embedded in FY27 FCF range: ~$15M interest expense, ~$6M cash taxes, ~$1.5M fixed asset purchases
  • Rule of 40 comment: expects on track; high-end Q4 FY27 implies ~10% subscription growth and ~30% non-GAAP operating income margin

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • AI adoption pace: expects financial institutions to adopt AI deliberately (guidance does not yet contemplate subscription revenue from incremental bundles of intelligence units beyond sold incremental units)
  • Large multi-7-figure deals: timing and sizing inherently difficult to predict; ACV guidance reflects prudently lower win percentages than last year’s realized performance
  • U.S. mortgage: cautious posture with only ~1% subscription revenue growth assumption in FY27 despite higher indexed mortgage volume forecasts
  • International YoY comps: FY26/Q4 organic subscription impacted by prior-year contract buyout onetime subscription revenues (~3% headwind in Q4 organic YoY)
  • Churn metric nuance: subscription revenue retention negatively impacted by difficult compares and by timing of expansions recognized after Q4

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the NCNO Q4 2026 (FY ended Jan 31, 2026; call dated 2026-03-31) earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (NCNO)

Β© 2026 Stock Market Info β€” nCino, Inc. (NCNO) Financial Profile