Vivid Seats Inc.

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Market Cap

Vivid Seats Inc. has a market capitalization of $71.2M.

Price: $8.58

-0.42 (-4.67%)

Market Cap: 71.17M

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Lawrence C. Fey

Sector: Communication Services

Industry: Internet Content & Information

IPO Date: 2021-10-20

Website: https://www.vividseats.com

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) - Company Information

Market Cap: 71.17M|Sector: Communication Services

Company Profile

Vivid Seats Inc. operates as an online secondary marketplace for tickets in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Marketplace and Resale. The Marketplace segment acts as an intermediary between event ticket buyers and sellers; processes ticket sales on its website and mobile applications through its distribution partners; and sells tickets for live sports, concerts, and theater shows, and other live events. This segment offers Skybox, a proprietary enterprise resource planning tool that helps ticket sellers manage ticket inventories, adjust pricing, and fulfill orders across multiple ticket resale marketplaces. The Resale segment acquires tickets to resell on secondary ticket marketplaces; and provides internal research and development support for Skybox and to deliver seller software and tools. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Analyst Sentiment

47%
Hold

From 10 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $8.08

▼ -5.8% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$6

Median

$8

High Bound

$10

Average

$8

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$8.08
▼ -5.83% Upside
Low Target
$5.65
-34% Risk
Median Target
$7.75
-10% Mid
High Target
$10.00
17% Max
Consensus
Buy
6 / 13 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)716456108221393613487699
Enterprise Value ($M)-53-60357-16474602777690871
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)-0.21-1.09-0.05-3.16-0.39-16.55-172.9522.97-164.60
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)-24.44-42.09
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)0.130.510.440.791.542.403.072.613.52
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)-0.97-0.67-0.650.401.021.032.351.484.48
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)-2.041.39-1.27-26.41-6.71-12.0315.62-25.78-36.64
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)-0.482.81-0.123.303.673.893.704.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)0.09-12.07-0.871.78-2.8056.4844.1222.6557.36
Debt to Equity Ratio0.21-0.21-4.740.081.871.071.561.232.61
⚠️

Valuation Model Suspended

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Troubleshooting Notice: The upstream financial data supplier has uploaded corrupted or inverted baseline metrics for SEAT. The server sandbox cannot calculate an intrinsic value path from negative cash generation baselines.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 VIVID SEATS INC CLASS A (SEAT) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Vivid Seats operates a digital marketplace for event tickets, intermediating between ticket buyers and ticket inventory sources (including third-party resellers and, depending on the event and availability, primary-ticket channels through partner arrangements). The value chain centers on (1) demand capture via search and app/web discovery, (2) matching demand to available inventory, and (3) monetizing transactions through per-order ticketing fees and service charges. The platform’s economics are tied to maintaining marketplace liquidity—enough breadth of inventory and buyer traffic to convert searches into purchases at attractive take rates.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is predominantly transaction-driven. Monetisation typically comes from a mixture of: (a) ticketing fees and service charges paid by buyers, and (b) incentives or revenue shares associated with supply sources and partners. Margin structure depends on the spread between the fees captured and the platform’s cost to acquire and serve customers. Operating leverage tends to improve when incremental ticket sales generate revenue with relatively less proportional growth in marketing and technology costs, while maintaining low friction in fulfillment and customer support.

Key margin drivers include: (1) take rate discipline (fees per order versus discounting/promotions), (2) conversion efficiency (turning traffic into completed orders), and (3) cost of service (payments, customer support, fraud controls, and fulfillment operations). Because the business is marketplace-based, throughput (orders and gross merchandise volume) is a primary driver of revenue scale.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

The moat is primarily rooted in marketplace liquidity and network effects, supported by data/algorithmic optimization and operational capabilities that reduce friction between supply and demand.

  • Liquidity-driven network effects: Higher buyer traffic increases the likelihood of finding desirable inventory, which attracts more supply and improves the buyer experience—creating a reinforcing loop.
  • Data and search optimization: Ticketing is an information-intensive category where relevance, availability, and pricing discovery matter. The ability to match inventory to intent can improve conversion and reduce marketing waste.
  • Operational and fraud controls: Marketplaces require strong processes around authenticity checks, customer service, and payment risk management to protect conversion and retention.

Competitive benchmarking:

  • Ticketmaster (primary ticketing): Ticketmaster has direct relationships with venues/promoters and controls primary supply, often limiting disintermediation of certain events.
  • StubHub (secondary marketplace, Viagogo/Live Nation ecosystem depending on geography): Competes on liquidity, brand presence, and event coverage.
  • SeatGeek: Competes via UX, pricing transparency, and search-driven discovery.

Vivid Seats’ positioning versus these rivals centers on competing for secondary-market demand through breadth of inventory, discovery/search performance, and transaction execution, rather than owning venue supply end-to-end like primary-ticket platforms. The harder the industry becomes at the margin (regulatory, supply concentration, or demand volatility), the more valuable reliable marketplace liquidity and conversion efficiency become.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • Ongoing shift to online ticket discovery and purchase: Consumers continue to prefer digital channels for browsing, comparing, and completing transactions.
  • Secondary-market depth and specialization: High demand events often move through resale channels; platforms that can aggregate inventory and process transactions at scale can capture a larger share of ticketing activity.
  • Improved monetisation per order: Conversion-focused product iteration, better pricing relevance, and fee optimization can raise revenue efficiency without requiring proportional increases in traffic.
  • Geographic and category expansion: Broadening event categories and reach can enlarge the addressable market for marketplace liquidity—provided customer acquisition economics remain disciplined.
  • Payments and risk-management sophistication: Strengthening payment controls and customer support can sustain order velocity and reduce customer churn tied to fulfillment frictions.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Regulatory and consumer-protection risk: Ticketing regulations (pricing disclosure, transfer rules, fees transparency, and escrow/fulfillment requirements) can compress take rates or increase compliance costs.
  • Competitive intensity and supply dynamics: Primary-ticket platforms and large secondary competitors can intensify pricing and promotional activity, pressuring conversion and fees.
  • Liquidity concentration risk: If key events become harder to source or if inventory quality deteriorates, marketplace liquidity and conversion efficiency can weaken.
  • Fraud, fulfillment, and customer-experience risk: Errors in ticket authenticity verification or delivery can impair reputation and increase refunds/chargebacks.
  • Technology and platform stability: Outages or degraded performance can reduce conversion and increase customer support burden.
  • Capital intensity and working-capital constraints: While marketplace models are often asset-light, certain fulfillment structures and payment processing realities can still affect cash conversion and financial flexibility.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Equity markets typically value ticketing marketplaces using a mix of revenue-based multiples and cash-flow/earnings power frameworks. Because results are driven by transaction volumes, investors often focus on: (1) revenue durability through take rate and conversion, (2) operating leverage from marketing efficiency and technology scale, and (3) the quality of earnings reflected in lower refund/chargeback intensity and disciplined customer acquisition costs.

Key valuation sensitivities are tied to long-run expectations for marketplace liquidity growth, stable monetisation per order, and the cost structure required to maintain trust and compliance under evolving regulation.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Vivid Seats’ long-term investment case rests on earning and defending a liquidity-driven marketplace position in online event ticketing. The primary moat is the reinforcing loop between buyer demand and resell/inventory supply, strengthened by data-led matching and operational risk controls. Upside depends on sustained industry migration to digital ticket discovery and the ability to protect fee economics and conversion efficiency amid competitive and regulatory pressures. Downside risk centers on structural regulatory changes, intensified competition, and any degradation in inventory quality or fulfillment reliability that undermines marketplace trust.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for SEAT.

marketwatch.com2026-05-14

This summer's World Cup will be no match for Taylor Swift when it comes to live events

The World Cup runs from June 11 to July 19, with games being played in cities across the U.S., Canada and Mexico. Tickets went on sale in October and have sold for as much as $10,000, with the cheapest options to see the U.S. team running around $1,640.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-05

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

zacks.com2026-05-05

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) came out with a quarterly loss of $1.35 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.99. This compares to a loss of $1 per share a year ago.

globenewswire.com2026-05-05

Vivid Seats Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

CHICAGO, May 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ: SEAT) ("Vivid Seats" or "we"), a leading marketplace that utilizes its technology platform to connect millions of buyers with thousands of ticket sellers across hundreds of thousands of events each year, today provided financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

globenewswire.com2026-05-05

Vivid Seats Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

CHICAGO, May 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ: SEAT) (“Vivid Seats” or “we”), a leading marketplace that utilizes its technology platform to connect millions of buyers with thousands of ticket sellers across hundreds of thousands of events each year, today provided financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

zacks.com2026-04-30

Earnings Preview: CoreWeave (CRWV) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline

CoreWeave (CRWV) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

zacks.com2026-04-28

Will Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Report Negative Earnings Next Week? What You Should Know

Vivid Seats (SEAT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

globenewswire.com2026-04-22

Vivid Seats to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

CHICAGO, April 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) (“Vivid Seats”), a leading marketplace that utilizes its technology platform to connect millions of buyers with thousands of ticket sellers across hundreds of thousands of events each year, will report financial results for the first quarter 2026 on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, before the U.S. stock market opens. Management will discuss the results on a webcast at 8:30 a.m. ET.

247wallst.com2026-03-26

Vivid Seats Price Prediction: Consolidation Potential Pushes SEAT to $10

Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) has had a brutal stretch.

benzinga.com2026-03-14

Vivid Seats Analysts Cut Their Forecasts After Q4 Loss

Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ: SEAT) posted a loss for the fourth quarter on Thursday.

defenseworld.net2026-03-14

Vivid Seats Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

Vivid Seats (NASDAQ: SEAT) used its fourth quarter 2025 earnings call to outline a "refresh course" for 2026 and beyond, highlighting leadership changes, a completed cost-reduction push, and a renewed focus on its app-led value proposition as the company works through a challenging industry and competitive backdrop. Leadership changes and strategic reset CEO Larry Fey opened

seekingalpha.com2026-03-12

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

globenewswire.com2026-03-12

Vivid Seats Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results

Provides Q1 Guidance and Reaffirms 2026 Outlook Driven by Leading Value Proposition and Efficiency Initiatives Provides Q1 Guidance and Reaffirms 2026 Outlook Driven by Leading Value Proposition and Efficiency Initiatives

defenseworld.net2026-03-06

Reviewing SoftwareOne (OTCMKTS:SWONF) and Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT)

SoftwareOne (OTCMKTS:SWONF - Get Free Report) and Vivid Seats (NASDAQ: SEAT - Get Free Report) are both computer and technology companies, but which is the better stock? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their dividends, profitability, risk, analyst recommendations, valuation, earnings and institutional ownership. Profitability This table compares SoftwareOne and Vivid

defenseworld.net2025-12-15

Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Given Consensus Rating of “Hold” by Brokerages

Shares of Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ: SEAT - Get Free Report) have earned a consensus recommendation of "Hold" from the eleven research firms that are presently covering the firm, MarketBeat Ratings reports. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a sell recommendation, seven have assigned a hold recommendation and two have given a buy recommendation

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"SEAT reported Q1 2026 revenue of $125.8M and net income of -$14.6M (EPS -$1.35). Revenue was down -0.81% QoQ (vs. $126.8M in Q4 2025) and down -23.35% YoY (vs. $164.0M in Q1 2025). Net income improved -94.7% QoQ (loss of -$14.6M vs. -$275.2M in Q4 2025) but deteriorated YoY (loss widened from -$5.9M in Q1 2025 to -$14.6M). Profitability remains weak: gross margin expanded slightly to ~68.8% (from ~27.8% in Q4 2025 and ~72.9% in Q1 2025), but operating margin stayed negative at -6.99% and net margin at -11.6%. Cash flow improved meaningfully in Q1 2026 with operating cash flow of +$46.0M and free cash flow of +$46.0M, supporting cash levels despite losses. Balance sheet liquidity is modest (cash + short-term investments of $143.6M) with negative equity (-$95.4M), indicating resilience is dependent on continued cash generation. For shareholder returns, SEAT’s stock has negative momentum over 1 year (-83.4%), so total return is likely heavily capital-loss driven; no dividends or buybacks were reported. Analyst sentiment is mixed: consensus target ($8.61) is modestly above the current price ($8.04), implying limited upside versus the underlying earnings volatility."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue fell -0.81% QoQ and -23.35% YoY, indicating a declining top line despite some quarter-to-quarter stability.

Profitability

Neutral

Net income improved QoQ (-$275.2M to -$14.6M) but worsened YoY (-$5.9M to -$14.6M). Operating margin remains negative at -6.99% and net margin at -11.6%.

Cash Flow Quality

Fair

Operating cash flow and free cash flow were strong at +$46.0M each in Q1 2026, partially offsetting earnings weakness. No dividends or buybacks were reported.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Negative stockholders’ equity persists (-$95.4M). Liquidity is reasonable (cash + equivalents $143.6M) but leverage/claims remain a concern given equity deficit.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

1y price change is -83.39% (well below positive momentum thresholds). With no dividends and no buybacks reported, total shareholder return is likely poor.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus price target of $8.61 vs. current ~$8.04 suggests modest upside; however, valuation comfort is limited by volatile profitability.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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SEAT delivered a strong Q1 2026 with results at/above the top end of guidance, including a sharp sequential rebound in adjusted EBITDA to $9.5M (from $1.0M), and cash up over $40M to $144M. Marketplace GOV rose to $612M (+5.5% sequential), but profitability mix shifted: take rate fell 90 bps to 15.9% as private label revenue grew 20% quarter-to-quarter and carries lower take rates. Growth is being pulled by the Vivid Seats app—app GOV up 20% YoY and app share of GOV exceeding 40%—supported by an upgraded checkout and a conversion-focused Q2/Q3 roadmap. Private label is also improving sequentially after the large customer loss, aided by a new private label partner launched in Q1 and a renewed large customer agreement. Management reaffirmed FY2026 marketplace GOV of $2.2B–$2.6B and adjusted EBITDA of $30M–$40M, with key remaining uncertainty tied to event mix volatility and continued competition in marketing/search channels.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Upgraded app checkout experience: streamlined funnel to accelerate journey and improve conversion rates (pipeline of app/web enhancements planned for Q2 and Q3).
  • Vivid Seats app GOV up 20% year-over-year in Q1 2026, lifting app share of GOV to over 40% for the quarter.
  • Private label momentum: sequential revenue growth in Q1 2026 and expectation of return to year-over-year growth in 2H 2026.
  • Moderation in paid search competition (StubHub moderation on paid search from Q4 continued), improving environment despite some ongoing aggressiveness by other players.

Business Development

  • Launched a significant new private label partner in Q1 2026 (performance already exceeding expectations).
  • Extended agreement with a large existing private label customer (underscoring value proposition).
  • Extended/continued partnership with United (explicitly called out as a tailwind but not an ‘explicit needle mover’ for Q1 results).
  • Ads on ChatGPT were recently launched (AI platform partnership via performance marketing channel).

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Marketplace GOV: $612M in Q1 2026 vs $581M in Q4 2025 (+$31M, +5.5% sequential).
  • Consolidated revenue: $126M in Q1 2026 vs $127M in Q4 2025 (essentially flat).
  • Private label revenue: +20% quarter-to-quarter, despite continued year-over-year declines as they lap the 2025 loss of a large customer.
  • Marketplace take rate: 15.9% in Q1 2026 vs 16.8% in Q4 2025 (-90 bps sequential). Primary driver: mix shift to private label with lower take rates.
  • Guidance expectation: near-term consolidated take rates around ~16%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $9.5M in Q1 2026 vs $1.0M in Q4 2025 (+$8.5M sequential), driven by material reduction in operating costs relative to growing GOV/revenue base.
  • Cash: increased by over $40M in Q1 to $144M.
  • Reported Q1 results landed at the high end or above guidance; sequential growth in GOV, adjusted EBITDA, and cash vs Q4 2025.

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Cash runway/capital position: cash increased to $144M (over $40M increase in Q1).
  • No buyback amount, specific debt level, or explicit runway figure beyond cash disclosed in transcript.

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • App monetization/experience: focus on core customer journey with improved funnel efficiency and conversion; enhanced app value proposition aimed at higher engagement, lower paid marketing reliance, and higher lifetime value.
  • Paid marketing exposure reduction: reduced ‘surface area’/exposure to paid search vs ~2 years ago; continued monitoring of competitor behavior.
  • Operational leverage via cost reductions: management states cost reductions are ‘real’ and flowing through without loss of productivity; AI capabilities improving efficiency including customer service.
  • Automation/AI: working with AI platforms, including newly launched ads on ChatGPT; referenced automation processes and better information sharing to improve operations.
  • Private label platform scalability: future marketplace enhancements will be configured and made available to private label partners quickly; expects Vivid-side upgrades to push to private label.

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • FY 2026 marketplace GOV guidance: $2.2B to $2.6B.
  • FY 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance: $30M to $40M (reaffirmed).
  • App adoption aspiration: majority of business coming through the app; realistic timetable cited as 2027 on a run-rate basis to achieve ‘majority’.
  • Industry volume expectations: modest industry growth; Q1 industry up low single-digits; Q2 quarter-to-date roughly flat (Easter timing; April picked up with concert sales).
  • Vegas framing: 2026 more ‘blocking and tackling’ year; looking ahead to 2027 reopening tailwinds (Mirage).

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Take-rate pressure risk from mix shift: private label revenue has lower take rates, contributing to -90 bps sequential take rate decline (15.9% vs 16.8%).
  • Competitive intensity remains non-zero: StubHub moderation continued, but other players have remained aggressive; recent shift to price testing/price competitiveness noted.
  • Event supply volatility: concert cancellations/delays and mispricing can affect demand (examples cited: Pussycat Dolls, Zayn Malik, Post Malone delayed).
  • Consumer weakness signals: lower-end Vegas market impacted by potential consumer softness.
  • World Cup and event mix uncertainty: matchups/series length and cancellations can create exogenous volatility.

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Topic: Competitive intensity by channel and how app purchase mitigates search volatility: Management said paid search moderation from StubHub seen in Q4 continued, partially countered by other players’ continued aggressiveness and price testing. They emphasized app strategy to control acquisition by building repeat relationships, though some exposure remains via wins tied to paid search.
  • Topic: Industry volume, calendar comparables, and market share/ERP customer stability: Management reported industry up low single-digits in Q1 and roughly flat in Q2 quarter-to-date, with April improving on concert sales. They said marketplace share was sequentially steady and, after lapping peak comps, shifted modestly up year-over-year with no meaningful ERP defections.
  • Topic: World Cup tailwind size and remaining risk drivers: Management quantified World Cup as low-to-mid single digits of full-year GOV versus A-List tours being ~1% and Taylor Swift high single digits. They linked performance to high AOS tickets and continued messaging that app is the place to purchase, while noting matchups/series length drive volatility.

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the SEAT Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for SEAT.

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SEC Filings (SEAT)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) Financial Profile