Aeluma, Inc.

Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) Market Cap

Aeluma, Inc. has a market capitalization of $320.1M.

Price: $22.59

-4.62 (-16.98%)

Market Cap: 320.11M

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Jonathan Klamkin

Sector: Technology

Industry: Semiconductors

IPO Date: 2022-11-16

Website: https://www.aeluma.com

Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) - Company Information

Market Cap: 320.11M|Sector: Technology

Company Profile

Aeluma, Inc. develops optoelectronic devices for sensing and communications applications. It manufactures devices using compound semiconductor materials on diameter silicon wafers that are used to manufacture mass market microelectronics. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Goleta, California.

Analyst Sentiment

83%
Strong Buy

From 2 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $25.00

▲ +10.7% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$25

Median

$25

High Bound

$25

Average

$25

Price & Moving Averages

Loading chart...

🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$25.00
▲ +10.67% Upside
Low Target
$25.00
11% Risk
Median Target
$25.00
11% Mid
High Target
$25.00
11% Max
Consensus
Buy
1 / 1 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)32022730726025990933943
Enterprise Value ($M)28319026923525687933743
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)-65.29-31.55-41.41-43.52-75.4415.39-8.07-13.20-10.93
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)-8.40-15.32-0.03-0.18
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)61.61185.90241.30187.63196.7271.6557.9680.14154.81
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)9.785.677.526.3514.475.00-90.5222.5019.00
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)-143.99-293.12-1088.40-253.53-1835.25438.34-212.33-41.32-74.09
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)155.87211.86169.77194.6869.3557.5477.30154.02
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)-48.06-94.77-154.44-169.04-341.4846.96-36.95-76.66-48.39
Debt to Equity Ratio6.220.030.030.030.050.05-2.311.250.47

ALMU Growth Runway Model

🟢 Initial high growth rate - forecast is based on a long term bell curve % growth rate

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$22.59
Intrinsic Value$22.58
Market Alignment
Overvalued by 0.1%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 50%50%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.01B
Perpetuity TV Value$0.27B
Discounted TV (PV)$0.12B
TV Weighting %73.3%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 AELUMA INC (ALMU) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

To produce a high-conviction, moat-focused research summary without guessing, I need confirmation of ALMU’s industry and how it sells value (e.g., software subscription vs. asset/commodity model vs. financial services).

Please share (or paste from filings) the following:

  • Primary product/service and target customer (consumer, enterprise, institution, government, etc.)
  • Revenue breakdown (recurring vs. transactional; contracts vs. usage; domestic vs. international)
  • Geographic footprint (countries/regions of operations)
  • Key competitors you consider most relevant
  • Customer acquisition + retention evidence (renewals, churn, multi-year contracts, usage-based retention, etc.)

Once provided, I will map the value chain, customer stickiness, and the appropriate moat framework (switching costs, network effects, cost advantage/feedstock, regulatory barriers, or distribution leverage).

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

ALMU’s monetisation model must be verified from filings to avoid incorrect assumptions. I can then classify revenue into:

  • Recurring (subscriptions, maintenance, service contracts, usage tiers with predictable baselines)
  • Transactional (project-based services, one-off deliveries, product sales)
  • Ancillary monetisation (consumables, take-rate, financing/fees, support tiers)

With the revenue mix, I will identify the primary margin drivers (pricing power vs. cost structure vs. scale vs. pass-through economics).

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

This section depends on ALMU’s sector. I will explicitly benchmark against 2–3 named competitors once ALMU’s industry focus is confirmed.

  • If ALMU is **software/SaaS**: I will focus on switching costs (data gravity) and/or network effects.
  • If ALMU is **energy/materials**: I will focus on low-cost feedstock and logistical infrastructure (terminals/pipelines/transport).
  • If ALMU is **financials**: I will focus on cost of deposits/regulatory moat and credit culture.
  • If ALMU is **retail/CPG**: I will focus on distribution leverage and/or private label resistance.

I will then contrast ALMU’s industry focus vs. the named peers and explain why the moat is defensible (or not).

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

For a 5–10 year view, I will tie growth to:

  • TAM expansion (market growth and/or category creation)
  • Share shift (winning replacements/consolidation, channel expansion, contract wins)
  • Operating leverage (gross margin improvement, utilization gains, cost curve)

This requires confirmed details on ALMU’s customers, pricing mechanism, and unit economics (at minimum: how revenue scales with customers/usage).

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

I will prioritize structural risks specific to the business model, such as:

  • Regulatory (licensing, compliance burden, enforcement risk)
  • Technological disruption (platform obsolescence, model commoditization, IP risk)
  • Capital intensity (capex requirements, maintenance capex, balance-sheet sensitivity)
  • Concentration (customer/vendor concentration; channel dependence)
  • Competitive displacement (pricing pressure, bundling by larger incumbents)

These will be grounded in ALMU’s disclosed risk factors and segment realities.

📊 Valuation & Market View

I will not use time-sensitive valuation metrics (per your constraints). Instead, I will describe the valuation framework typically applied to the relevant sector, such as:

  • Software/SaaS: EV/Revenue, EV/FCF, and rule-of-thumb multiples tied to retention and growth quality
  • Energy/Materials: EV/EBITDA with sensitivity to commodity/transport economics
  • Financials: P/B and earnings power metrics (ROE/efficiency ratios) where applicable
  • Retail/CPG: EV/EBITDA or P/S tied to margin stability and distribution economics

I will also identify the “needle movers” (margin durability, retention/contract quality, utilization, coverage ratios, or cost position).

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Once you confirm ALMU’s sector, products, and competitive set, I will provide a concise, high-conviction thesis centered on verifiable moat economics—without stock-price references or time-sensitive statements.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for ALMU.

seekingalpha.com2026-06-01

Undercovered Dozen: Aeluma, Agnico Eagle, Ciena, Rayonier And More

The Undercovered Dozen series spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks featured on Seeking Alpha between May 22 and May 28. This curated selection aims to provide fresh investment ideas and foster community discussion around under-the-radar equities. Readers are encouraged to engage, share perspectives, and highlight additional overlooked investment opportunities.

marketbeat.com2026-05-31

5 Under-the-Radar AI Stocks to Watch in June

Believe it or not, June is here, and with it the summer trading season. That means lower trading volumes, potential for volatility, and opportunities for savvy traders.

globenewswire.com2026-05-28

Aeluma Sees Accelerated Timeline for Quantum Commercialization

GOLETA, Calif., May 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aeluma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMU), a semiconductor company specializing in high-performance, scalable technologies for mobile, AI, defense and aerospace, robotics, automotive, AR/VR, and quantum, commented today on the U.S. Department of Commerce's announcement of over $2 billion in proposed CHIPS Act incentives to accelerate quantum computing development.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-25

Aeluma: The AI Optical Inflection Trade

Aeluma surged roughly 46% since prior coverage as investors increasingly recognized emerging AI photonics infrastructure bottleneck dynamics. Management stated optical networking supply chains face multiyear indium phosphide shortages despite aggressive hyperscaler infrastructure expansion plans. Customer engagements expanded from roughly 20 to above 30 as hyperscalers searched for scalable optics manufacturing alternatives.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-24

Aeluma: A Hidden Beneficiary Of The AI Boom With 25x Long-Term Growth Potential

Aeluma is a real gem with incredible potential for market value growth. In this article, I analyze the uniqueness of its technologies as the catalyst for this future. The startup's developments have already been validated by NASA grants, Pentagon contracts, and a partnership with Tower Semiconductor. More than 30 major companies are already testing prototypes. The first actual OEM contract will instantly send the stock price soaring.

globenewswire.com2026-05-21

Aeluma CEO Jonathan Klamkin to Receive Prestigious Indium Phosphide and Related Materials Award

GOLETA, Calif., May 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aeluma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMU), a semiconductor company specializing in high-performance, scalable technologies for mobile, AI, defense and aerospace, robotics, automotive, AR/VR, and quantum, announced today that President and CEO Jonathan Klamkin, Ph.D.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-13

Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

marketbeat.com2026-05-13

Aeluma Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Aeluma NASDAQ: ALMU executives said the company is seeing increased customer interest in its photonics technology as artificial intelligence data center investment strains existing supply chains for optical components, while quarterly revenue remained roughly flat and the company narrowed its full-year revenue outlook.

globenewswire.com2026-05-13

Aeluma Announces Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results

GOLETA, Calif., May 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aeluma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMU) (“Aeluma” or the “Company”), a transformative semiconductor company specializing in high-performance and scalable technologies, today reported financial results for its third quarter of fiscal 2026 ended March 31, 2026.

globenewswire.com2026-05-12

Aeluma to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences

GOLETA, Calif., May 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aeluma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMU), a semiconductor company specializing in high-performance, scalable technologies for mobile, AI, defense and aerospace, robotics, automotive, AR/VR, and quantum, today announced that it will participate in the following upcoming investor conferences:

marketbeat.com2026-05-11

Before the Moon Base Gets Built, These 4 Companies Win

Photonics is critical to AI, with data centers the primary driver of business in 2026. The vast amounts of data require ultrafast, high-bandwidth transmission, or else face the bottlenecks presented by traditional copper.

marketbeat.com2026-05-01

5 Stocks to Buy in May Before the Next AI Surge Hits

April came to a quick end, with the S&P 500 up by approximately 10% and breaking out to fresh highs. The near-term technicals are very bullish, pointing to additional upside by mid-year, and the 7,500 target may be easily surpassed.

seekingalpha.com2026-04-29

Aeluma: Speculative, But With Two Layers Of Very High Reward/Risk

Aeluma (ALMU) offers disruptive compound semiconductor technology targeting high-growth markets like sensors, data centers, and quantum computing, with a current pre-commercial status. I rate ALMU as a 'Buy' based on a five-year base-case CAGR of 44.6%, citing a reward/risk ratio above 5:1, or even ~29:1 in optimistic scenarios. ALMU's partnerships with Tower Semiconductor and Sumitomo Chemical enhance scalability, but extreme uncertainty persists due to competition, supply risks, and lack of commercial partners.

globenewswire.com2026-04-29

Aeluma to Announce Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results on May 13, 2026

GOLETA, Calif., April 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aeluma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMU), a semiconductor company specializing in high-performance, scalable technologies for mobile, AI, defense and aerospace, robotics, automotive, AR/VR, and quantum, today announced it will issue its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, after the U.S. financial markets close on Wednesday, May 13, 2026.

globenewswire.com2026-04-27

Aeluma Appoints Willy Rachmady Vice President of Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem

Veteran Intel Semiconductor Leader to Drive Foundry Strategy, Ecosystem Partnerships, and Commercial Scale Veteran Intel Semiconductor Leader to Drive Foundry Strategy, Ecosystem Partnerships, and Commercial Scale

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"ALMU reported Q3 2026 (ended 2026-03-31) revenue of $1.222M and net loss of $1.800M, with EPS of -$0.10. YoY, revenue rose from $1.255M (2025-03-31) to $1.222M, a decrease of -2.6% YoY, while net income deteriorated from +$1.461M to -$1.800M (down -223%). QoQ, revenue fell from $1.272M in 2025-12-31 to $1.222M (down -3.9%), and net loss widened from -$1.853M to -$1.800M (slightly better by +2.9%). Profitability is contracting: gross margin declined to 31.6% from 27.8% QoQ but is far below the 49–67% range seen earlier in the four-quarter history. Operating margin is deeply negative (-173.9% in Q3 2026). Cash flow quality is weak—operating cash flow was -$0.577M and free cash flow -$0.336M, though the company retains a large cash position ($37.8M). Balance sheet resilience appears strong on liquidity (current ratio ~26.1) with low total debt (~$1.09M) and negative retained earnings. Shareholder returns look momentum-driven: the stock is up 133.3% over 1 year, which meaningfully boosts total return despite no dividends and no buybacks reported in Q3. Valuation remains speculative (very high price-to-sales and negative earnings)."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue declined -3.9% QoQ (from $1.272M to $1.222M) and -2.6% YoY (from $1.255M to $1.222M), indicating a soft top-line trend.

Profitability

Neutral

Net income swung from +$1.461M YoY to -$1.800M in the latest quarter (-223%). Operating margin remains severely negative (-173.9%), and gross margin is well below prior quarters.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Operating cash flow was -$0.577M and free cash flow -$0.336M in Q3 2026. No dividends or repurchases; cash burn appears to continue despite a sizable cash balance.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Liquidity is strong (current ratio ~26.1) with low debt (~$1.09M total) and negative net debt (~-$36.7M), supporting runway even with ongoing losses.

Shareholder Returns

Positive

1-year price momentum is very strong (+133.3%), but total returns are not supported by fundamentals yet (0 dividend and no buybacks reported).

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Street target is $25 vs. current ~$16.12 (upside implied), but valuation multiples are elevated and earnings are negative, increasing risk.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

So what: ALMU is positioning for near-term revenue from AI datacom supply shortages while waiting on multi-year commercialization qualification cycles. Management framed OFC-driven customer engagement as accelerating because major incumbent bottlenecks (lasers and indium phosphide substrates) are effectively “sold out,” creating demand for non-indium phosphide photonics that ALMU claims can scale to larger volumes and improve cost. Financially, Q3 remained small and loss-making: revenue $1.2M and GAAP loss $1.8M; adjusted loss $0.701M. The key downside signal is guidance compression: FY revenue narrowed to $4.2M–$4.6M after government contract delays tied to contracting processes and shutdowns. Importantly, management insisted the impact is timing-related and should shift into fiscal 2027 rather than represent permanent contract loss. Balance sheet risk is mitigated by $37.8M cash and zero long-term debt, plus a $50M ATM shelf allocation with no share sales to date.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • AI datacom/data-center CapEx surge driving demand for photonics interconnects (optical networking ~15% of spend); management cited hyperscalers >$300B CapEx in 2025, ~ $700B in 2026, >$1T in 2029
  • Non-indium phosphide photodiode arrays (high-speed InGaAs) positioned to overcome indium phosphide substrate and laser supply constraints
  • Quantum dot laser development momentum accelerating after OFC due to customer focus on higher power, higher-temperature reliability, and potential isolator-free packaging
  • Mobile/SWIR adoption tailwind: customers accepting InGaAs SWIR as best performance but needing scalable manufacturing; ALMU positions non-indium phosphide substrate route for scale

Business Development

  • Government agency non-dilutive funding leading to 6 development contracts secured YTD totaling well over $5M (goal: 3 to 7 contracts for FY26)
  • Tower Semiconductor partnership for foundry manufacturing scaling (200mm capability; cited for AI datacom, mobile/consumer, quantum, defense)
  • Sumitomo Chemical Advanced Technologies partnership primarily for wafer production scaling (ALMU stated it produces epi wafers in-house but uses partners to expand capacity)
  • Defense-customer development work referenced for photodiode array formats on non-indium phosphide substrates (dual-use applicability to commercial markets)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Revenue: $1.2M vs $1.3M prior year Q3 and $1.3M prior quarter (government R&D contracts principal revenue source)
  • GAAP EPS: net loss $1.8M, or ($0.10) per basic/diluted; prior year net income $1.5M ($0.12) and prior quarter net loss $1.9M ($0.11)
  • Non-GAAP EPS: adjusted/Non-GAAP net loss $0.701M, or ($0.04) vs breakeven in prior year Q3 and ($0.04) in prior quarter
  • Profitability bridge note: GAAP YoY change driven primarily by one-time $2.3M fair value gain on derivative liabilities in Q3 2025; operating costs up due to added hires and higher R&D
  • EBITDA: adjusted EBITDA loss $0.911M vs gain $0.109M year ago; stated in line with prior quarter (no margin bps provided)
  • Cash: $37.8M at quarter-end; no long-term debt; cash decreased $0.792M vs prior quarter due to new hires and R&D investment
  • Full-year revenue guidance narrowed to $4.2M–$4.6M from $4.0M–$6.0M; driven by delays in execution of several government contracts and start of work (government shutdowns cited)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • ATM facility established in March: allocated $50M from existing shelf capacity; no shares sold to date
  • No long-term debt on balance sheet
  • Cash runway snapshot: $37.8M cash/cash equivalents at quarter-end; company plans to increase spending as commercial pipeline opportunities develop

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • OFC takeaway: customers seeking near-term supply gap solutions due to laser and indium phosphide substrate constraints; company emphasized ability to scale volumes on non-indium phosphide substrates
  • Near-term qualification approach: ALMU doing industry-standard qualification internally and initiating qualification for products expected to be more ‘standard’/‘on the shelf’ (customer-specific qualification not yet fully completed; customers evaluating performance metrics)
  • Operations scaling leadership: hired Dr. Christiane Poblenz as VP Materials Operations to scale large-diameter epitaxial wafer production and expand operations
  • Ecosystem/partner execution leadership: hired Dr. Willy Rachmady as VP Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem to lead foundry/ecosystem partnerships and customer engineering/commercialization strategy

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Updated full-year revenue guidance: $4.2M to $4.6M (narrowed range)
  • Management commentary on timing: government-contract revenue delays are expected to push revenue into fiscal 2027; vast majority/all guidance impact characterized as timing-related, not permanent loss
  • FY26 stated priority: win 3 to 7 new development contracts for non-dilutive R&D; already secured 6 contracts totaling well over $5M

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Government contract timing uncertainty: delays due to contracting processes and government shutdowns impacted Q3 and pressured full-year guidance
  • Supply chain constraints in the ecosystem: laser suppliers sold out for some period; indium phosphide substrate suppliers sold out for years; limited near-term substrate capacity expected
  • Manufacturing ramp timeframe risk: scaling capacity (including indium phosphide fab adds) may require several years; management argues ALMU’s non-indium phosphide route avoids this, but qualification/production remains multi-year
  • Technology adoption pace uncertainty: customers evaluate multiple laser/modulator technologies and may not ‘rush’ adoption; qualification requirements and customer profiles can extend timelines

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Near-term AI datacom win timing: Management said near-term opportunities stem from incumbent supply constraints (lasers sold out, indium phosphide substrates sold out). ALMU’s non-indium phosphide photonics can scale to larger volumes and win on cost; it also addresses some improving performance needs for pluggable optics.
  • Mobile SWIR transition timeline: Management said customers want InGaAs SWIR due to best performance versus alternatives (e.g., colloidal quantum dots, germanium detectors underperform). They would not provide specific timing, but indicated end customers are actively “mobilizing” the supply chain to propose workable solutions.
  • Guidance drivers and contract contribution timing: Management characterized the guidance narrowing as “vast majority, if not all” timing-related government contracting delays, not permanent loss. For Q4 contribution, they said probably not all new contract value impacts Q4 since the fiscal year is 1.5 months from end and several starts are very recent or not yet started.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the ALMU Q3 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for ALMU.

SEC EDGAR Live Feed
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SEC Filings (ALMU)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) Financial Profile