Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Market Cap

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. has a market capitalization of $2.24B.

Price: $45.37

0.38 (0.84%)

Market Cap: 2.24B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Stephen S. Trundle

Sector: Technology

Industry: Software - Application

IPO Date: 2015-06-26

Website: https://www.alarm.com

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) - Company Information

Market Cap: 2.24B|Sector: Technology

Company Profile

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Alarm.com and Other. The company provides interactive security solutions to control and monitor their security systems, as well as connected security devices, including door locks, motion sensors, door locks, garage doors, Internet of Things, thermostats, and video cameras; and video monitoring solutions, such as video analytics, live streaming, video doorbell, video clips, video alerts, continuous high definition recording, and commercial video surveillance solutions. It also offers intelligent automation and energy management solutions comprising scenes button; smart thermostat schedules; responsive savings; precision comfort; energy usage monitoring; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning monitoring services; whole home water safety solutions; geo-services; and demand response programs. In addition, the company provides commercial solutions, such as daily safeguards, commercial grade video, energy savings, protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, multi-site management and access control, early identification, simple to use, professionally supported, and easy to maintain. Further, it offers service provider solutions, including a permission-based online portal that offers account management, sales, marketing, training, and support tools; sales, marketing, and training services; and home builder programs, as well as wellness solutions. The company serves residential and commercial subscribers. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia.

Analyst Sentiment

60%
Buy

From 7 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $55.00

▲ +21.2% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$55

Median

$55

High Bound

$55

Average

$55

Price & Moving Averages

Loading chart...

🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$55.00
▲ +21.23% Upside
Low Target
$55.00
21% Risk
Median Target
$55.00
21% Mid
High Target
$55.00
21% Max
Consensus
Buy
13 / 19 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)2,2442,1422,5422,6482,8182,7643,0092,6943,129
Enterprise Value ($M)2,3132,2112,7122,6492,8562,6412,8452,5793,035
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)17.5522.7118.2918.7420.3924.7224.8118.3623.34
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)16.808.9222.783.1434.236.424.95
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)2.168.089.7110.3311.0811.5712.4211.2013.38
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)2.622.493.003.203.533.644.143.904.85
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)13.3443.0872.4740.37158.16157.6155.7436.15151.14
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)8.3410.3710.3311.2311.0611.7510.7212.98
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)10.4049.6745.0342.4451.6252.3652.3343.8566.52
Debt to Equity Ratio0.310.661.341.291.331.401.451.531.57

ALRM Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$45.37
Intrinsic Value$112.45
Market Alignment
Undervalued by 147.9%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 5%5%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.42B
Perpetuity TV Value$7.93B
Discounted TV (PV)$3.35B
TV Weighting %60.6%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Alarm.com is a software and services platform that powers connected security and home automation offerings delivered through professional dealers and monitoring partners. The value chain centers on recurring subscriptions for monitoring, video, and interactive control, supported by a cloud platform that manages devices, connectivity, and user experience. Dealers integrate Alarm.com into their customer relationships and then rely on Alarm.com’s platform to deliver ongoing services—creating practical stickiness at the customer, dealer, and device-routing layers.

The system is largely “platform-first”: once devices are onboarded and the household is configured on Alarm.com’s ecosystem, ongoing service delivery (alerts, video, automation workflows, remote access) flows through Alarm.com’s cloud. This structure drives long-term customer retention dynamics that resemble software more than traditional hardware distribution.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is predominantly recurring subscription revenue tied to active accounts and connected services (e.g., interactive control, alarm monitoring enablement, and video/automation features). Monetisation also includes usage- or service-driven components that scale with customer adoption of premium functionality.

  • Recurring subscription revenue: Drive the core earnings profile and support operating leverage as subscriber bases expand.
  • Dealer and platform-related services: Monetize onboarding and ongoing service enablement provided through Alarm.com’s channel partners.
  • Supplemental transactional items: Present, but typically less central than subscriptions, with margins that depend on device and service mix.

Key margin drivers follow the recurring model: stable cloud/software cost per account, improved contribution margins as customers adopt higher-tier services, and amortized platform costs over a growing base. Gross margin durability is often supported by the software-like nature of delivering alerts and control workflows versus continuous physical labor.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Alarm.com’s moat is best characterized as high switching costs (data/installation gravity) plus ecosystem depth rather than pure product features. Competitive displacement is difficult because switching tends to require reconfiguration of device ecosystems, retraining on workflows, and re-establishing service delivery through a new platform and dealer relationship.

Why competitors find it hard to take share:

  • Switching costs / data gravity: Once a home is integrated (devices, user accounts, automation routines, historical activity workflows), migrating away typically disrupts service continuity and requires operational effort for both customers and dealers.
  • Dealer ecosystem lock-in: Professional monitoring partners build customer experience and operational processes around the platform. Replacing the platform can affect onboarding, service workflows, and support tooling.
  • Feature breadth across connected categories: The platform approach supports expanding functionality across security and home automation, improving customer lifetime value and dealer willingness to standardize on the platform.

Competitive benchmarking (industry focus and contrast):

  • ADT: More vertically integrated, with a focus on its branded monitoring relationships and installation footprint. Alarm.com’s strategy is more platform-centric, selling capabilities to monitoring dealers to power their offerings.
  • Vivint: Primarily vertically integrated with stronger direct-to-consumer dynamics and a bundled offering approach. Alarm.com’s core advantage is enabling third-party dealer distribution rather than relying primarily on direct proprietary installs.
  • Amazon (Ring) ecosystem: Strong consumer brand and DIY orientation in segments of the market. Alarm.com’s competitive posture emphasizes professional monitoring workflows and dealer-supported service delivery.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • Broadening adoption of connected security and automation: Households increasingly treat security and home management as ongoing digital services rather than one-time purchases.
  • Migration from legacy alarm systems to interactive platforms: Upgrades to richer video, automation, and remote control workflows support multi-year subscriber growth.
  • Tier expansion within the installed base: Up-selling of premium video and automation capabilities increases revenue per active account without the same level of incremental capital intensity as new device deployments.
  • Dealer channel expansion and partner standardization: As monitoring partners seek to differentiate with interactive features, platform adoption can expand across more households within existing dealer footprints.

Over a 5–10 year horizon, the market opportunity is driven by the shift toward recurring “connected home” services, with the primary competitive differentiator being retention and expansion from an installed base already integrated into Alarm.com’s cloud delivery layer.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Dealer/channel concentration and partner incentives: Revenue and growth depend on monitoring partners adopting and maintaining platform share; changes in partner economics can impact net adds and retention.
  • Customer retention and service take-rate: The business model relies on continued subscription renewal and adoption of higher-value features; competition and price pressure can affect lifetime value.
  • Technology and connectivity evolution: Shifts in device ecosystems, network connectivity standards, and interoperability requirements may increase development cost or require operational adjustments.
  • Cybersecurity and privacy/regulatory scrutiny: As a platform handling sensitive personal and safety-related information, vulnerabilities or compliance failures can impair trust and increase costs.
  • Competitive product bundling: Vertically integrated incumbents and consumer platforms can bundle hardware, monitoring, or cloud features, potentially altering customer expectations and pricing structures.

📊 Valuation & Market View

The market typically values Alarm.com more like a software-enabled services business than a pure hardware company. Investor attention often centers on subscription-like metrics: net subscriber additions, retention/renewal quality, and the trajectory of average revenue per account driven by product mix.

  • EV/EBITDA and EV/Sales frameworks: Applied due to recurring revenue characteristics and scaling operating leverage.
  • Key valuation drivers: Durable recurring growth, operating margin expansion from scale, evidence of customer lifetime value expansion, and reduced churn/attrition from ecosystem switching costs.

Multiple expansion tends to rely on confidence that the installed base can be expanded and monetized over time without deteriorating economics in the dealer channel.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Alarm.com’s long-term thesis rests on a platform-led, dealer-enabled recurring revenue model with high switching costs arising from installed ecosystem integration and ongoing service delivery through its cloud. Compared with vertically integrated monitoring competitors and DIY consumer ecosystems, Alarm.com’s moat is the difficulty of migrating an already configured home and the operational lock-in of dealer workflows. The primary opportunity is sustained growth via connected security adoption and higher-tier feature expansion within the existing base, balanced against risks tied to partner dynamics, retention, and regulatory/cybersecurity exposure.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for ALRM.

businesswire.com2026-05-26

Shooter Detection Systems Outdoor Gunshot Detection System Wins SSI Most Valuable Product (MVP) Award

TYSONS, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shooter Detection Systems (SDS), an Alarm.com (NASDAQ: ALRM) company and a leading provider of gunshot detection solutions, today announced that its SDS Perimeter Outdoor Gunshot Detection System has been named a winner in the Fire/Life Safety category of the 2026 Security Sales & Integration (SSI) MVP Awards. The award recognizes innovative products that deliver meaningful advancements in safety, security, and life-saving technology. SDS Perimeter represents a.

gurufocus.com2026-05-14

Alarm.com and CHeKT Earn SSI Most Valuable Product (MVP) Award for Remote Video Monitoring Integration

Alarm.com (Nasdaq: ALRM), the leading platform for intelligently connected properties, today announced that its Remote Video Monitoring (RVM) Services integrat

businesswire.com2026-05-14

Alarm.com and CHeKT Earn SSI Most Valuable Product (MVP) Award for Remote Video Monitoring Integration

TYSONS, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alarm.com (Nasdaq: ALRM), the leading platform for intelligently connected properties, today announced that its Remote Video Monitoring (RVM) Services integration with the CHeKT Monitoring Portal has been named a Security Sales & Integration (SSI) MVP Award winner. The award recognizes innovative products that advance the security industry and deliver meaningful value to integrators, monitoring centers, and end customers. Built on CHeKT's industry‑leading platf.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-10

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

zacks.com2026-05-07

Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.65 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.6 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.54 per share a year ago.

businesswire.com2026-05-07

Alarm.com Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

TYSONS, VA.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: ALRM), the leading platform for intelligently connected properties, today reported financial results for its first quarter ended March 31, 2026. Alarm.com also provided its financial outlook for SaaS and license revenue for the second quarter of 2026 and increased its guidance for the full year of 2026. First Quarter 2026 Financial Results as Compared to First Quarter 2025 SaaS and license revenue increased 10.8% to $181.5 million,.

businesswire.com2026-04-22

Alarm.com to Announce 2026 First Quarter Results on May 7, 2026

TYSONS, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: ALRM), the leading platform for intelligently connected properties, today announced that it will report 2026 first quarter financial results after the market close on May 7, 2026. Management will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the company's financial results at 4:30 p.m. ET that same day. To participate, please click here to pre-register for the conference call and obtain your dial-in number and individual passcode.

businesswire.com2026-04-15

Alarm.com Modernizes Legacy Security Systems with Enhanced Universal Communicator

TYSONS, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alarm.com (Nasdaq: ALRM), the leading platform for intelligently connected properties, today announced new enhancements to its Universal Communicator, further improving the flexibility and efficiency of upgrading legacy security systems to the Alarm.com platform. Recent updates include Smart Connector functionality, Verizon LTE support, and updated firmware designed to streamline installations, providing a faster and more reliable path to modern security for reside.

defenseworld.net2026-04-02

Reviewing Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) and Brady (NYSE:BRC)

Alarm.com (NASDAQ: ALRM - Get Free Report) and Brady (NYSE: BRC - Get Free Report) are both mid-cap industrials companies, but which is the better stock? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their risk, valuation, profitability, earnings, dividends, analyst recommendations and institutional ownership. Analyst Recommendations This is a breakdown of recent ratings

businesswire.com2026-03-31

Alarm.com Expands Video Security Portfolio with New AI Capabilities and Flexible Camera Solutions

TYSONS, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alarm.com (Nasdaq: ALRM), the leading platform for intelligently connected properties, today announced significant updates to its video security suite, introducing new AI‑driven software capabilities alongside expanded camera hardware options. Together, AI Video Event Search, the ADC‑V731B Battery Spotlight Camera, and the ADC‑VDB775 Video Doorbell improve how residential and commercial customers search video, deploy cameras in more locations, and respond to activi.

defenseworld.net2026-03-28

Contrasting Cadre (NYSE:CDRE) and Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM)

Alarm.com (NASDAQ: ALRM - Get Free Report) and Cadre (NYSE: CDRE - Get Free Report) are both industrials companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their institutional ownership, risk, analyst recommendations, dividends, valuation, earnings and profitability. Risk and Volatility Alarm.com has a beta of 0.8, suggesting

defenseworld.net2026-03-20

Critical Contrast: Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) and Cadre (NYSE:CDRE)

Alarm.com (NASDAQ: ALRM - Get Free Report) and Cadre (NYSE: CDRE - Get Free Report) are both industrials companies, but which is the superior stock? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, profitability, institutional ownership, risk, dividends, valuation and earnings. Analyst Recommendations This is a breakdown of current ratings and

defenseworld.net2026-03-19

Financial Comparison: Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) versus Brady (NYSE:BRC)

Brady (NYSE: BRC - Get Free Report) and Alarm.com (NASDAQ: ALRM - Get Free Report) are both mid-cap industrials companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their risk, institutional ownership, valuation, dividends, analyst recommendations, earnings and profitability. Risk and Volatility Brady has a beta of 0.6,

zacks.com2026-03-18

ALRM vs. ALLE: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Investors interested in stocks from the Security and Safety Services sector have probably already heard of Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) and Allegion (ALLE). But which of these two stocks presents investors with the better value opportunity right now?

zacks.com2026-03-18

Wall Street Analysts Believe Alarm.com (ALRM) Could Rally 25.68%: Here's is How to Trade

The mean of analysts' price targets for Alarm.com (ALRM) points to a 25.7% upside in the stock. While this highly sought-after metric has not proven reasonably effective, strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates does indicate an upside in the stock.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"ALRM reported Q1 2026 revenue of $265.2M, up 11.1% QoQ from $261.7M (Q4’25) and up 11.0% YoY from $238.8M (Q1’25). Net income was $23.6M, down 32.1% QoQ from $34.7M (Q4’25) but up 6.1% YoY from $27.9M (Q1’25). EPS was $0.48 versus $0.47 in QoQ and $0.56 YoY. Profitability softened sequentially: gross margin declined sharply to ~89.5% from ~62.7% in Q4’25, while operating income and net margin contracted (operating margin ~11.9% in Q1’26 vs ~13.9% in Q4’25). Operating income fell to $31.6M (QoQ decline), consistent with the net income drop. Cash flow quality weakened materially: operating cash flow was only ~$2.0M in Q1’26 (vs ~$35.9M in Q4’25), producing free cash flow of ~$1.1M. On the balance sheet, equity remained stable at $859.8M, but leverage increased: total assets declined to $1.64B and total debt rose to ~$566.7M (net debt ~69M). Shareholder returns appear muted—market performance shows -8.1% over the last year and no dividend/buyback signal in the provided data (dividends paid = 0; buybacks occurred but magnitude is not enough to offset the price trend). Analyst valuation context: consensus price target is $50 versus ~$46.51, implying modest upside."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Revenue rose 11.1% QoQ (Q1’26 vs Q4’25) and 11.0% YoY (Q1’26 vs Q1’25), indicating steady top-line momentum.

Profitability

Caution

Net income fell 32.1% QoQ despite flat EPS, and net income is still only +6.1% YoY; operating/net margins contracted sequentially (operating margin ~11.9% vs ~13.9% in Q4’25).

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Operating cash flow dropped to ~$2.0M in Q1’26 from ~$35.9M in Q4’25, with free cash flow only ~$1.1M, indicating weaker cash conversion in the latest quarter.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Equity is stable at ~$859.8M, but leverage/utilization looks less favorable given lower assets and higher net debt (~$69M). Liquidity remains strong (current ratio ~5.16).

Shareholder Returns

Caution

1-year price change is -8.1% with no dividend yield (0). Buybacks are present in cash flow, but the stock’s negative momentum reduces total return impact.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus price target is $50 vs ~$46.51 current (~+7% implied upside). Valuation support exists, but earnings/cash flow softness tempers conviction.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

ALRM delivered a broad-based Q1 beat, led by SaaS retention strength and timing, while hardware faced clearer macro/material volatility. SaaS and license revenue rose 10.8% to $181.5M, exceeding the midpoint by $5.6M, with revenue retention at 95.4%—estimated by management to contribute roughly $2.0M–$2.5M per quarter versus ~94% history. EnergyHub added another couple million, partly pulled forward from Q3. OpenEye’s new AI Visual Check and AI Visual Search are gaining traction in premium subscriptions, with early enterprise use cases tied to operational outcomes (e.g., retail stockout monitoring). Guidance was raised for full-year 2026 SaaS and license revenue, and adjusted EBITDA margin was maintained (+30 bps YoY to 20.2% implied at midpoint). Offsetting headwinds include memory cost/supply swings driving product price increases with demand uncertainty, and a Supreme Court tariff reversal expected to reduce hardware tariff pass-through by about $5M in the second half of the year. Sentiment is mixed given these hardware risks despite strong recurring metrics.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • SaaS and license revenue growth driven by unusually high revenue retention (95.4%; company cited over 95% for the quarter) and energy business revenue moved forward from Q3 to Q1
  • OpenEye premium video subscription adoption accelerating; AI Visual Check and AI Visual Search released during the quarter with real-time operational safety notifications and natural-language forensic retrieval
  • EnergyHub ongoing outperformance; adjusted agreement structure pulled revenue into the quarter (EnergyHub contribution characterized as a couple million dollars of the beat, with about half pulled forward from Q3)
  • Sustained demand durability despite installation slowdown from extreme cold; installations reduced for ~three weeks in Jan–Feb, then bounced and accelerated through March

Business Development

  • OpenEye: enterprise commercial video customers adopting AI Visual Check (example given: large specialty grocery retailer using sushi-refrigerator camera view to monitor stockouts between 4 PM and 7 PM)
  • EnergyHub: working with 155+ utilities (defined as >100k meters in territory), serving ~75–77 million meters out of ~130 million target meters; multiple new logos and enrollment expansion efforts
  • PointCentral: ongoing ramp at double-digit growth rate in multifamily; company stated it is likely number two in the multifamily space

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Reported exceeded expectations in Q1 2026: SaaS and license revenue $181.5M (+10.8% YoY), exceeding midpoint guidance by $5.6M
  • Revenue retention of 95.4% in Q1 (company also stated “over 95% for the quarter”), cited as one of the highest readings in 10 years; incremental beat estimated at ~$2.0M–$2.5M per quarter vs ~94% historical high end
  • Total revenue $265.2M (+11% YoY); hardware and other revenue $83.7M (+11.5% YoY)
  • Q1 gross margin: hardware gross margin 25.2% (attributed to mix shift toward commercial products, especially commercial video)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $49.6M, slightly higher than anticipated due to revenue outperformance; raised Q2 SaaS guidance range to $185.5M–$185.7M
  • GAAP net income $23.6M vs $28.0M prior year; key driver cited as lower interest income after retiring $500M convertible notes in Jan 2026
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net income $34.7M (up from $32.2M YoY); EPS $0.65 (+14% YoY)
  • Tax: projected 2026 non-GAAP tax rate remains 21% under current rules
  • Tariff pass-through: on Jan 1 began passing through higher IEEPA tariff rates; approx. $5M of Q1 hardware revenue was from pass-through fees; after late-Feb Supreme Court ruling, tariff pass-through fees expected to be ~half old rates, translating to ~($5M) less per quarter in the second half of the year vs prior outlook
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin: full-year 2026 implied 20.2% at midpoint, consistent with prior guide; +30 bps YoY margin expansion at midpoint
  • Guidance raise: full-year 2026 SaaS and license revenue to $749.5M–$750.5M (up $6M at midpoint vs prior)
  • Guidance: full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA to $215M–$216M (+$1.5M at midpoint); non-GAAP adjusted net income $151.5M–$152.0M (EPS $2.81–$2.82)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchase activity: 428k shares repurchased for ~$20M in Q1 2026; total repurchases since beginning of 2025: 1.2M shares
  • New authorization: board approved up to $150M of common stock repurchases over the next two years
  • Balance sheet: cash $497.4M at quarter end
  • Free cash flow: $49.7M produced in Q1
  • Debt/capital events: retired $500M convertible notes in January 2026 (impacting interest income)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Non-GAAP metric methodology change: prospectively excluding mark-to-market gains/losses on equity positions in the treasury portfolio from non-GAAP profitability metrics; provided FY2025 pro-forma figures and reaffirmed ~.$4.7M tailwind previously disclosed
  • Operational disruptions: installation activity reduced about three weeks due to extreme snow/ice in Jan–Feb; accelerated strongly through March
  • Supply chain and pricing risk management: supply chain volatility from standard memory availability due to manufacturers shifting production to HBM for AI data centers; company expects memory-related challenges to continue until memory market corrects; pricing increases needed for memory-based products with uncertain demand impact
  • Sales & marketing: ISC West presence moved into Q1 2026 (affecting expense timing)

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Q2 2026 SaaS and license revenue guidance: $185.5M–$185.7M
  • Full-year 2026 SaaS and license revenue guidance raised to $749.5M–$750.5M (midpoint +$6M vs prior)
  • Full-year 2026 total revenue: $1,059.5M–$1,070.5M; hardware and other revenue $310M–$320M (midpoint modest reduction due to tariff and memory volatility considerations)
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA: $215M–$216M; adjusted EBITDA margin implied 20.2% at midpoint (+30 bps YoY)
  • Full-year 2026 non-GAAP adjusted net income: $151.5M–$152.0M; diluted EPS $2.81–$2.82
  • Hardware tariff timing assumption: tariff pass-through reductions expected to occur toward the end of Q2 (for the second half of year benefit)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Hardware cost and availability risk: memory supply volatility (standard memory shifting to HBM) driving substantial cost increases for cameras and other products; company expects challenges to continue until the memory market corrects
  • Demand uncertainty tied to memory-driven price increases: company must increase prices for memory-using products but does not yet know if/how price increases will affect demand
  • Installation timing risk: extreme cold temporarily reduced installation activity for ~three weeks in Jan–Feb (though demand rebounded strongly through March)
  • Hardware tariff reversal risk: February Supreme Court ruling (IEEPA tariffs unauthorized) forces reduction in tariff pass-through fees once sold inventory is worked through; expects ~$5M less pass-through fees in the second half of 2026 vs prior outlook
  • R&D leverage uncertainty: management expects to remain competitive and not count on massive R&D leverage in the near term

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Topic: Drivers behind the SaaS beat and resilience vs ADT headwind; Management's detailed response: Steve said results were broadly slightly above plan, with two primary drivers: an unusually high revenue retention rate (about 95.4%) and EnergyHub revenue moving from Q3 into Q1 due to one meaningful agreement structure adjustment. Kevin added the retention difference versus ~94% historically equated to roughly $2M–$2.5M per quarter; EnergyHub added a couple million, about half pulled forward from Q3, and they modeled retention slightly too conservatively going into the year.
  • Topic: OpenEye AI demand speed and competitive positioning; Management's detailed response: Steve explained pipeline looks very solid and purchasing behavior has shifted because customers now evaluate solutions through an AI lens, asking which product best solves a problem with AI. He described AI Visual Check being used for operational business value (stockouts using existing sushi-refrigerator camera views) and said customers appear to be adopting based on practical outcomes. He concluded they feel solidly positioned versus competitors in AI capability in this domain.
  • Topic: EnergyHub scalability and margins; Management's detailed response: Steve quantified progress post-RGS: working with 155+ utilities (>100k meters), serving ~75M–77M meters out of ~130M target, focusing next on enrollment within territories (device attachment to connected thermostats and participation for EV chargers, batteries, solar inverters). He said synergies with security come via thermostat installations and channel effects. Kevin provided segment gross margin context (Alarm.com SaaS ~87–88% vs Other/EnergyHub ~60% in Q1 due to RGS, implying 65–70% long term) and reiterated 2027 exit of ~21% adjusted EBITDA margin unchanged.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the ALRM Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for ALRM.

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SEC Filings (ALRM)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Financial Profile