The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) Market Cap

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. has a market capitalization of $3.29B.

Price: $80.74

3.20 (4.13%)

Market Cap: 3.29B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Christopher Pappas

Sector: Consumer Defensive

Industry: Food Distribution

IPO Date: 2011-07-28

Website: https://www.chefswarehouse.com

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) - Company Information

Market Cap: 3.29B|Sector: Consumer Defensive

Company Profile

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in distribution of specialty food products in the United States and Canada. The company's product portfolio includes approximately 50,000 stock-keeping units, such as specialty food products, such as artisan charcuterie, specialty cheeses, unique oils and vinegars, truffles, caviar, chocolate, and pastry products. It also offers a line of center-of-the-plate products, including custom cut beef, seafood, and hormone-free poultry, as well as food products, such as cooking oils, butter, eggs, milk, and flour. The company serves menu-driven independent restaurants, fine dining establishments, country clubs, hotels, caterers, culinary schools, bakeries, patisseries, chocolatiers, cruise lines, casinos, and specialty food stores. It markets its center-of-the-plate products directly to consumers through a mail and e-commerce platform. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Ridgefield, Connecticut.

Analyst Sentiment

81%
Strong Buy

From 8 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $83.33

▲ +3.2% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$83

Median

$83

High Bound

$84

Average

$83

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$83.33
▲ +3.21% Upside
Low Target
$83.00
3% Risk
Median Target
$83.00
3% Mid
High Target
$84.00
4% Max
Consensus
Buy
11 / 15 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 27, 2026Dec 26, 2025Sep 26, 2025Jun 27, 2025Mar 28, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 27, 2024Jun 28, 2024
Market Cap ($M)3,2922,3092,4602,2582,4702,0691,8771,5831,483
Enterprise Value ($M)3,4272,4443,5163,1473,3032,8642,6782,4612,359
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)39.4333.2428.3629.4829.0750.2819.6128.0723.89
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)2.393.281.792.60
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)0.772.182.152.212.392.181.821.701.55
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)5.153.794.073.924.433.823.493.293.21
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)40.5875.5637.40-114.44546.2755.5929.04133.87111.78
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)2.313.083.083.193.012.592.642.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)8.1810.6848.7353.5955.6969.7441.9650.9147.58
Debt to Equity Ratio0.320.421.951.651.671.681.701.931.98

CHEF Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$80.74
Intrinsic Value$80.00
Market Alignment
Overvalued by 0.9%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 1%1%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.18B
Perpetuity TV Value$3.35B
Discounted TV (PV)$1.41B
TV Weighting %58.6%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 CHEFS WAREHOUSE INC (CHEF) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

CHEFS WAREHOUSE INC distributes food and related products to foodservice operators, primarily independent restaurants and other on-premise businesses. The value chain centers on (1) sourcing and procurement across a wide range of suppliers, (2) warehousing and inventory management, (3) order fulfillment and delivery, and (4) account-level services such as product availability, purchasing convenience, and distribution of specialty items.

Customer stickiness is reinforced by operational dependency: restaurant operators rely on consistent product availability, delivery reliability, and pricing structures tied to purchasing patterns. Switching distributors typically requires renegotiating supply terms, re-establishing ordering routines, and absorbing delivery/availability risk—creating practical switching frictions in everyday operations.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is predominantly driven by wholesale product sales (largely transactional by order), with profitability determined by the ability to manage gross margin across product categories and to control fulfillment costs.

  • Transactional distribution revenue: Sales generated per order shipment and through recurring ordering patterns.
  • Category and mix effects: Margin profile varies by product category, contract structures, and pricing power versus suppliers/customers.
  • Working capital discipline: Inventory turns and receivables management influence free cash flow conversion in a wholesale model.
  • Operating leverage: Distribution scale can spread fixed costs (warehousing, overhead, routing) over higher order volumes.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

CHEFS WAREHOUSE’s primary economic moat is best described as scale/distribution leverage with embedded switching costs. While the company operates in a commoditizing distribution function, competitive differentiation comes from operational execution: inventory depth and availability, delivery network efficiency, purchasing scale, and the ability to consistently serve a diverse menu of items needed by independent operators.

  • Switching frictions: Regular ordering, delivery reliability, historical purchasing, and service-level expectations create practical barriers to moving volume to another distributor.
  • Distribution leverage: Route density, warehouse utilization, and procurement scale help manage unit costs and protect margin under competitive price pressure.
  • Assortment capability: Specialty and breadth of SKUs can reduce “out-of-stock” downtime for operator menus.

Competitive benchmarking (primary peers):

  • US Foods and Sysco: Large, nationwide foodservice distributors with broad product breadth and significant scale. Their industry focus is expansive across customer segments.
  • Performance Food Group (PFG): Another major distributor with substantial footprint and category coverage, competing on service, scale, and customer-specific solutions.

Compared with these larger national peers, CHEFS WAREHOUSE’s positioning typically emphasizes a more targeted approach within foodservice distribution—seeking to win share where service quality, inventory capability, and specialty/assortment fit matter to independent operators—while competing for profitable accounts and maintaining cost discipline.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, growth is supported by secular forces that increase the need for professional distribution and supply-chain outsourcing. Key drivers include:

  • Continued penetration of outsourced distribution: Foodservice operators benefit from centralized purchasing, inventory management, and logistics execution—supporting durable demand for third-party distribution.
  • Menu complexity and SKU breadth: Operators increasingly source a wider set of products, favoring distributors that can maintain availability and category coverage.
  • Restaurant format mix shift and growth in independent operators: Independent operators tend to value reliability and service responsiveness, sustaining demand for flexible distribution.
  • Supply-chain resiliency focus: Distributors that can manage lead times, inventory positioning, and fulfillment performance can gain share through service quality.
  • Operational efficiency and consolidation tailwinds: Ongoing industry consolidation can improve bargaining position with suppliers and supports incremental scale, while higher standards in distribution execution raise barriers to entry.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Margin compression from competitive pricing and supplier dynamics: Distribution margins can be sensitive to pricing spreads, rebates/contract structures, and commodity-linked input costs.
  • Working-capital volatility: Wholesale profitability depends on inventory turns and disciplined receivables management; adverse turns can reduce free cash flow.
  • Customer concentration and demand cyclicality: Foodservice volumes can be affected by consumer spending patterns, dining traffic, and operator closures.
  • Operational and logistics execution risk: Delivery reliability, warehouse throughput, and shrink management directly affect service levels and costs.
  • Regulatory and food safety requirements: Compliance burdens and potential recall/sanitation costs can create downside risk.
  • Capital intensity and network optimization: Maintaining and optimizing warehousing capacity and technology systems requires consistent investment.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Market valuation for foodservice distribution businesses typically reflects cash-generating durability rather than high-growth expectations. Investors often benchmark on EV/EBITDA and price-to-sales (P/S), with the key drivers being:

  • Gross margin sustainability (product mix, pricing discipline, and supplier contract quality)
  • Operating margin trajectory (fulfillment efficiency, overhead leverage)
  • Free cash flow conversion (working capital management and capex requirements)
  • Volume growth and retention (share gains from service quality and operational reliability)

A favorable market view generally aligns with demonstrated cost control, resilient service performance, and consistent cash generation through cycles.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

CHEFS WAREHOUSE’s long-term thesis rests on distribution-scale advantages and practical switching costs embedded in day-to-day procurement and delivery needs of foodservice operators. While the industry is competitive and input-price dynamics can pressure spreads, the structural value proposition—availability, fulfillment reliability, and efficient procurement—can support durable customer relationships and cash generation when execution and working capital discipline remain intact.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for CHEF.

zacks.com2026-05-21

Is Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) possesses solid growth attributes, which could help it handily outperform the market.

zacks.com2026-05-21

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) Shows Fast-paced Momentum But Is Still a Bargain Stock

If you are looking for stocks that have gained strong momentum recently but are still trading at reasonable prices, Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) could be a great choice. It is one of the several stocks that passed through our 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen.

fool.com2026-05-20

Investment Advisor Sells CHEF Shares Worth $8.9 Million, According to Latest SEC Filing

Specializing in premium food products, The Chefs' Warehouse serves top restaurants and hospitality clients across North America.

marketbeat.com2026-05-15

Chefs' Warehouse Says Decade of Investments Is Fueling Sales Momentum

Chefs' Warehouse NASDAQ: CHEF executives said recent sales momentum reflects a combination of healthier customer demand and company-specific gains from years of investment in facilities, training, technology and category expansion.

marketbeat.com2026-05-08

Chefs' Warehouse AGM: Shareholders Approve Directors, Auditor BDO and Say-on-Pay in Webcast Vote

Chefs' Warehouse NASDAQ: CHEF held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders via internet webcast, with Chairman, President and CEO Christopher Pappas presiding. The virtual format was intended to provide access to a greater number of stockholders, Pappas said, and was open to stockholders of record as of March 16, 2026.

zacks.com2026-05-07

4 Miscellaneous Food Stocks Worth Watching Amid Industry Challenges

MDLZ, MKC, POST and CHEF navigate industry headwinds through innovation, cost controls and portfolio strategies amid cautious consumer spending.

zacks.com2026-05-06

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is at a 52-week high, but can investors hope for more gains in the future? We take a look at the company's fundamentals for clues.

zacks.com2026-05-04

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Why

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is well positioned to outperform the market, as it exhibits above-average growth in financials.

zacks.com2026-05-04

Fast-paced Momentum Stock Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) Is Still Trading at a Bargain

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) could be a great choice for investors looking to buy stocks that have gained strong momentum recently but are still trading at reasonable prices. It is one of the several stocks that made it through our 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen.

globenewswire.com2026-04-30

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. to Participate in the BMO Global Farm to Market Conference

RIDGEFIELD, Conn., April 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHEF) (the “Company” or “Chefs'”), a premier distributor of specialty food products in the United States, the Middle East, and Canada, today announced that the Company will participate in a fireside chat at the BMO Global Farm to Market Conference in New York, NY on Thursday, May 14, 2026.

seekingalpha.com2026-04-29

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

zacks.com2026-04-29

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.4 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.23 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.25 per share a year ago.

globenewswire.com2026-04-29

The Chefs’ Warehouse Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

RIDGEFIELD, Conn. , April 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHEF) (the "Company" or "Chefs'"), a premier distributor of specialty food products in the United States, the Middle East, and Canada, today reported financial results for its first quarter ended March 27, 2026.

globenewswire.com2026-04-29

The Chefs' Warehouse Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

RIDGEFIELD, Conn., April 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHEF) (the “Company” or “Chefs'”), a premier distributor of specialty food products in the United States, the Middle East, and Canada, today reported financial results for its first quarter ended March 27, 2026.

zacks.com2026-04-28

Mondelez (MDLZ) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

Mondelez (MDLZ) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.67 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.61 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.74 per share a year ago.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-27

"CHEF reported Q1’26 revenue of $1.059B and net income of $17.37M (EPS $0.45, diluted $0.40). On a YoY basis, revenue rose to $1.059B from $0.951B in Q1’25 (+11.4%), while net income increased from $10.29M to $17.37M (+68.8%). Sequentially (QoQ), revenue declined from $1.142B in Q4’25 to $1.059B (-7.3%), and net income eased from $21.68M to $17.37M (-19.9%). Profitability improved year-over-year: gross margin was roughly flat around 24.3%, but operating and net margins were higher than last year (net margin 1.64% vs. 1.08% in Q1’25). QoQ margins contracted modestly (net margin 1.64% vs. 1.90% in Q4’25) as income declined faster than revenue. Cash flow in Q1’26 remained positive, with operating cash flow of $38.3M and free cash flow of $30.6M; the company also repurchased stock ($10.0M) while paying no dividends. Balance sheet resilience appears mixed: cash is $122.7M, but leverage remains elevated with total assets at $2.0B and long-term debt of $202.7M shown in the snapshot; net debt is $134.6M. From a shareholder return perspective, the stock shows strong momentum with a +24.3% 1-year change, supporting total-return durability."

Revenue Growth

Positive

YoY revenue growth was strong in Q1’26 (+11.4% vs. Q1’25), but QoQ revenue declined (-7.3% vs. Q4’25), indicating a slower sequential run-rate.

Profitability

Positive

Net income grew faster than revenue YoY (+68.8%), with net margin expanding to 1.64% from 1.08% last year. Margins contracted QoQ (1.64% vs. 1.90% in Q4’25).

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Q1’26 operating cash flow was positive ($38.3M) and free cash flow was solid ($30.6M). No dividends were paid; cash returns came via buybacks (~$10.0M).

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

Liquidity is adequate (current ratio ~2.18; cash ~$122.7M), but the company remains levered with net debt of ~$134.6M and a sizable balance sheet. Equity increased modestly QoQ.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Strong total-return momentum: the stock is up +24.3% over 1 year, exceeding the 20% threshold. Buybacks also supported shareholder returns; dividend yield is 0%.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Street consensus target is ~$83.5 vs. current price $65.82 (material upside). Valuation multiples look elevated in this dataset (e.g., P/E ~33).

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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CHEF delivered strong Q1 2026 performance: net sales +11.4% to $1.059B and gross margin expanded +53 bps to 24.3%, with center-of-the-plate margin up +110 bps and specialty up +43 bps. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $60.1M from $47.5M, and GAAP/non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.40 vs $0.25 prior year. The key debate in Q&A was quantifying the Middle East and weather drag and whether it changes full-year profitability. Management said the Middle East is <10% of business, “less than 10%,” and kept FY guidance unchanged ($4.35B–$4.45B net sales; $276M–$286M adjusted EBITDA) after modeling scenarios. In Q&A they corrected that storms plus a one-month Middle East impact cost ~150 bps on the quarter, not 200–300 bps. Capital remains disciplined with $10M repurchases, $5M term-loan prepayments, and ~1.9x net leverage. Outlook is cautiously optimistic: double-digit Q2 growth expected, with upside if Middle East normalizes.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Organic net sales +10.4% (unique placement +6.2%, specialty case growth +5.7%, plus price inflation)
  • Pounds in center-of-the-plate +6.2% YoY
  • Continued operating leverage in North America (over 90% of business) driving profitability growth despite weather and Middle East disruption

Business Development

  • Italco ramp contributing ~1% to sales growth (referenced in Q&A)
  • Texas customer attrition from transition out of noncore customer business impacting unique customer growth in Q1; fully lapped in Q2

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Net sales: +11.4% to $1.059B (from $950.7M); organic +10.4% and acquisitions ~+1%
  • Gross profit: +13.9% to $257.4M; gross margin +53 bps to 24.3%
  • Gross margin by segment: specialty +43 bps; center-of-the-plate +110 bps YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $60.1M vs $47.5M prior year (implied strong margin; management referenced exceptionally high EBITDA margin vs modeling)
  • GAAP EPS: $0.40 diluted vs $0.25 prior year; GAAP net income $17.4M
  • Non-GAAP EPS: $0.40 adjusted vs $0.25 prior year; adjusted net income $17.2M
  • Middle East impact: guidance unchanged; management modeled multiple scenarios and estimated Q1 overall organic growth drag ~50 bps due to conflict start late in quarter
  • Q&A clarification: weather (2 storm events) + 1-month Middle East impact combined cost ~150 bps on the quarter; management challenged the analyst’s 200–300 bps estimate
  • Adjusted operating expenses: +10.5% YoY to $224.1M; adjusted opex as % of net sales 18.6%
  • Full-year outlook unchanged: net sales $4.35B–$4.45B; gross profit $1.053B–$1.076B; adjusted EBITDA $276M–$286M

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Total liquidity: $278.3M at quarter-end (cash $122.7M; ABL availability $155.6M)
  • Share repurchase: purchased $10M equivalent shares in Q1
  • Debt actions: prepayments of $5M on term loan maturing 2029
  • Net debt: ~ $522M; net debt to adjusted EBITDA ~1.9x
  • Convertible notes maturing in 2028 expected to be dilutive; fully diluted share count guidance 46.0M–46.7M

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Technology + training + infrastructure investments continuing to drive placement and profitability leverage
  • Operational focus in Middle East: safety/security of people; navigating supply chain and customer demand volatility
  • Center-of-the-plate margin improvement attributed to sequential pricing deflation and effective execution managing gross profit dollars vs margin
  • Market expansion strategy: Florida new facility (built ~3 years ago) driving >20% growth; Texas targeted as top-3 market; New England and West Coast maturing toward NY model

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Management expects double-digit top-line growth to start Q2 and momentum continues into April
  • Full-year 2026 guidance maintained unchanged pending Middle East normalization; potential upward revision if conditions improve
  • Middle East operations operating at ~75% of prior year currently (modeled into scenarios)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Extreme weather events (2 storm events) causing top-line drag (combined with Middle East ~150 bps on quarter per Q&A)
  • Middle East conflict impacts: demand variability and hotel/resort occupancy weakness; operations in Dubai/Abu Dhabi lower occupancy while Qatar/Oman closer to plan
  • Inflation volatility: net inflation 4.1% in Q1 (specialty +1.5%, center-of-the-plate +8.2%); sequential pricing deflation helped margins
  • Customer churn impact: unique customer growth pressured by Texas transition out of noncore customer business; lapped beginning Q2

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Topic: Middle East profitability and guidance assumptions (EBITDA/EBIT contribution and scenario sizing). Management: confirmed Middle East is <10% of overall business, described it as a very profitable operation with significant investment, and stated Q1 guidance remains unchanged while modeled scenarios incorporate uncertainty and potential adjustment if conditions normalize.
  • Topic: Quantifying top-line drag from Middle East vs storms and correcting analyst “200–300 bps” math. Management: clarified that the conflict (1-month impact) plus two storm events collectively cost ~150 bps on the quarter; with Middle East operating ~75% in April, growth remains double digits, implying North America more than offsets the headwind.
  • Topic: EBITDA margin inflection and what drives expansion (process/tech/facilities). Management: acknowledged exceptionally high Q1 EBITDA margin, but said the typical ~20 bps annual expansion may still be disrupted by Middle East uncertainty; they attributed improvements to “Goldilocks” integration of investments—training, technology, infrastructure, maturing sales force, and acquisitions—without isolating a single driver.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the CHEF Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for CHEF.

SEC EDGAR Live Feed
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SEC Filings (CHEF)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) Financial Profile