Insperity, Inc.

Insperity, Inc. (NSP) Market Cap

Insperity, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.35B.

Price: $35.38

โ–ฒ 1.91 (5.71%)

Market Cap: 1.35B

NYSE ยท time unavailable

CEO: Paul J. Sarvadi

Sector: Industrials

Industry: Staffing & Employment Services

IPO Date: 1997-01-29

Website: https://www.insperity.com

Insperity, Inc. (NSP) - Company Information

Market Cap: 1.35B|Sector: Industrials

Company Profile

Insperity, Inc. provides human resources (HR) and business solutions to improve business performance for small and medium-sized businesses. The company offers its HR services through its Workforce Optimization and Workforce Synchronization solutions that include a range of human resources functions, such as payroll and employment administration, employee benefits, workers' compensation, government compliance, performance management, and training and development services. It also provides Insperity Premier, a cloud-based human capital management platform that offers professional employer organization HR outsourcing solutions to its clients; personnel record management services; and employer liability management services, as well as solutions for middle market. In addition, the company offers MarketPlace, an e-commerce portal that offers a range of products and services; and Workforce Acceleration, a human capital management and payroll services solution; time and attendance; performance management; organizational planning; recruiting; employment screening; retirement; and insurance services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through 85 sales offices in the United States. The company was formerly known as Administaff, Inc. and changed its name to Insperity, Inc. in March 2011. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Kingwood, Texas.

Analyst Sentiment

57%
Buy

From 5 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $52.00

โ–ฒ +47.0% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$36

Median

$55

High Bound

$62

Average

$52

Price & Moving Averages

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๐ŸŽฏ Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$52.00
โ–ฒ +46.98% Upside
Low Target
$36.00
2% Risk
Median Target
$55.00
55% Mid
High Target
$62.00
75% Max
Consensus
Hold
3 / 8 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

Historical valuation matrix unavailable.

โšก NSP Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$35.38
Intrinsic Value$0.00
Market Alignment
Overvalued by 67430.5%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 0%0%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

๐Ÿง  Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.13B
Perpetuity TV Value$2.47B
Discounted TV (PV)$1.04B
TV Weighting %57.7%
โš ๏ธ
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๐Ÿ“˜ Full Research Report

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๐Ÿ“˜ INSPERITY INC (NSP) โ€” Investment Overview

๐Ÿงฉ Business Model Overview

Insperity operates in the professional employer services (PEO) and HR outsourcing space, partnering with small and mid-sized businesses to assume administrative responsibilities typically handled internally by the employer. The operating model combines (1) HR and compliance administration, (2) payroll and benefits coordination, and (3) risk management and employment services delivered through a service organization and technology-enabled workflows.

At a high level, the customer delegates recurring HR functions while retaining control over day-to-day business operations. Insperityโ€™s value proposition is operational: reducing administrative burden, standardizing HR processes, and providing employer-of-record capabilities that can help firms navigate complex regulations and benefits administration.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily fee-based for outsourced HR services, supported by pass-through and managed benefits-related components. The monetisation structure is driven by:

  • Recurring per-employee service fees: subscription-like billing for HR administration, payroll processing, and ongoing support.
  • Benefits administration revenues: management of employer-sponsored benefits ecosystems (often tied to headcount and plan participation).
  • Bundled advisory and compliance services: component services that tend to be sticky once embedded in the customerโ€™s HR operating process.

Margin profile is supported by scale in back-office administration, standardized processes, and the ability to amortize technology and service delivery costs across a growing client and employee base. Incremental margin tends to correlate with retention and employee base growth, offset by wage/benefits cost pressures and service intensity requirements.

๐Ÿง  Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Insperityโ€™s primary moat is high switching costs combined with operational/data-driven embeddedness in customer HR processes.

  • High switching costs (process + relationship + risk): once Insperity becomes the employer-of-record for HR administration and benefits handling, migrating payroll, HR records, benefits enrollment, workflows, and compliance documentation is operationally disruptive and carries transition risk.
  • Intangible operational expertise: a service-delivery organization with deep familiarity in HR compliance, benefits administration, and employment risk management raises the cost of replicating performance quickly.
  • Economies of scale in HR administration: scale can improve unit costs in processing, case management, and technology tooling.

Competitive benchmarking:

  • ADP: a broad payroll and HR platform provider with extensive distribution and technology capabilities. ADP competes across payroll-first and HR-suite adoption, often targeting larger enterprises and broader payroll funnels.
  • Paychex: a major player in payroll and HR services with strong small-business reach. Paychex competes heavily on platform breadth and servicing.
  • TriNet: a PEO-focused competitor with comparable outsourced HR positioning for the mid-market.

Insperityโ€™s industry focus emphasizes HR outsourcing/PEO functionality and the employer-of-record model. Compared with payroll-first platforms (ADP, Paychex), Insperityโ€™s differentiation typically rests more on embedded service delivery and managed HR operations rather than purely software-led adoption.

๐Ÿš€ Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5โ€“10 year horizon, growth can be supported by secular demand for outsourcing HR functions and benefits administration. Key drivers include:

  • Ongoing compliance complexity: evolving labor regulations, benefits rules, and reporting requirements sustain demand for specialist HR administration.
  • SMB and mid-market outsourcing penetration: businesses with limited HR headcount continue to outsource administrative functions to reduce overhead and execution risk.
  • Benefits and retirement administration remain โ€œstickyโ€: plan administration, enrollment workflows, and ongoing employee support create repeatable, recurring service consumption.
  • Workforce volatility and talent constraints: firms seeking operational flexibility and consistent HR policies may prefer an outsourced model during hiring and organizational changes.
  • Cross-sell within the customer base: once HR administration is centralized with an outsource partner, adjacent services can be adopted as operational needs expand.

TAM expansion is supported by the large installed base of non-enterprise employers that still operate without deep internal HR infrastructure, leaving room for incremental PEO/outsourcing penetration.

โš  Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Regulatory and legal exposure: employment-related claims, compliance interpretation shifts, and benefits administration obligations can increase costs and require process changes.
  • Employer-of-record risk economics: pricing adequacy and underwriting discipline matter because the operating model can embed employment risk characteristics distinct from pure payroll processing.
  • Customer retention and churn sensitivity to labor conditions: PEO revenues tied to employee counts can fluctuate with hiring intensity, wage growth, and business cycle dynamics.
  • Technology competition and bundling by larger platforms: broader HR/payroll providers may bundle HR services with software offerings that pressure pricing or attach rates.
  • Benefits cost volatility: costs associated with health and other benefits administration can affect net economics if pass-through mechanisms or pricing lag benefit cost trends.

๐Ÿ“Š Valuation & Market View

The market typically frames this business as a recurring-services model with workforce-driven revenue. Valuation approaches often emphasize:

  • Revenue quality and retention: sustainability of recurring per-employee fees and the durability of the customer base.
  • Operating leverage: ability to scale service delivery and technology costs as the employee base grows.
  • Unit economics in benefits administration: underwriting discipline, pricing power, and cost pass-through.
  • Cash generation: working-capital needs and the stability of margins through labor and benefits cycles.

In practice, multiples can compress or expand with expectations for customer growth, margin durability, and the degree to which benefits-related costs are effectively managed. The key drivers that move market expectations are retention and employee-base growth, plus the stability of net revenue and service margins after benefits and claims dynamics.

๐Ÿ” Investment Takeaway

Insperityโ€™s long-term case centers on a durable outsourcing moat: embedded HR operations that create high switching costs for customers, supported by service-scale efficiencies and specialized employment/benefits administration expertise. The business can compound through increased outsourcing penetration in the SMB/mid-market segment and sustained demand driven by compliance complexity, with performance largely determined by retention, pricing adequacy, and disciplined management of employer-related risk and benefits economics.


โš  AI-generated โ€” informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

๐Ÿ“Š AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"NSP reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.895B and net income of $33.0M (EPS: $0.88). Revenue increased QoQ (+13.5% vs. 2025-12-31) and declined slightly YoY (-1.6% vs. 2025-03-31). Net income swung from a loss in Q4 2025 to profit in Q1 2026 (QoQ improvement from -$33.0M to +$33.0M) and rose sharply YoY (from +$51.0M in Q1 2025 to +$33.0M, i.e., -35.3% YoY). Margins improved sequentially: gross margin expanded to 15.4% from 10.3% in Q4 2025, while net margin turned positive at 1.74% (vs. -1.98% in Q4). Cash flow quality weakened in Q1 2026: operating cash flow was -$67M and free cash flow was -$73M, driven by a large negative working-capital swing (change in working capital: -$153M). Balance sheet resilience is mixedโ€”liquidity is adequate with $555M cash & equivalents, but equity remains thin at $67M (down materially from Q4 2025โ€™s $46M but still low versus assets), while total liabilities are high ($2.13B). Total shareholder return is likely negative given the stockโ€™s -65.1% 1-year performance; no buyback/repurchase support was meaningful in Q1 (repurchased ~$4M)."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue grew QoQ to $1.895B (+13.5% vs $1.668B in 2025-12-31) but was slightly down YoY (-1.6% vs $1.863B in 2025-03-31).

Profitability

Caution

Net income turned profitable QoQ (-$33.0M in Q4 to +$33.0M in Q1) and net margin improved to +1.74% from -1.98%. However, YoY net income declined (-35.3% vs +$51.0M in Q1 2025).

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Operating cash flow was -$67M and free cash flow -$73M in Q1 2026, worsening sharply vs +$255M OCF in Q4. The negative working-capital swing (-$153M) hurt cash conversion.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Leverage remains high with total liabilities of $2.13B against equity of $67M. Cash & short-term investments are $555M, and net debt is still negative (-$107M), but thin equity limits resilience.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Stock momentum is weak: price is $28.9 with -65.1% 1y_change. Dividend yield is modest (~2.26%), and buybacks were minimal in Q1 (about $4M repurchased), so total shareholder return is likely negative.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Caution

Analyst consensus target is $52 vs current $28.9 (material upside on paper), but the valuation signals are not supported by recent cash flow (negative OCF/FCF) and the stock has been in a deep downtrend.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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NSP reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.31 and adjusted EBITDA of $103M, both exceeding the midpoint of expectations, driven by continued margin recovery (Q1 gross profit -3% improved vs -21% in Q4). Benefit cost per covered employee rose 5% YoY, but management emphasized lower-than-expected runoff, fewer large claims, and lower pharmacy claims. The quarter also contained a $9M restructuring/severance charge. The updated 2026 outlook is more cautious on growth: worksite employees guided to 303,000โ€“307,000 (-1% to -2.3% vs 2025) and Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.02โ€“$0.50. Upside remains in gross profit per employee and operating expense savings, with adjusted EBITDA guided to $170Mโ€“$230M. The main catalyst is HRScale (Workday-powered, new mid-market growth engine) with nearly 6,000 employees committed for onboarding within six months. Key risk is SMB sentiment deterioration (tariff/inflation/international conflict), likely sustaining lower new client volume even as HRScale and UnitedHealthcare contract changes support margin recovery and earnings pattern flattening.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • HRScale rollout: initial beta clients onboarded in March; payrolls/invoices processed in April; signed commitments for nearly 6,000 worksite employees to be on board within 6 months
  • HR360 and HRCore sales improvement initiatives: refined processes/tools to improve booked sales and retention outcomes after early-quarter shortfalls
  • Worksite employee base volatility management: expect low point in prior WSE range to move closer to midpoint of new guidance while margin recovery offsets volume shortfall

Business Development

  • UnitedHealthcare: new contract and pooling level change from $1.0M per member per year to $0.5M per member per year, flattening earnings pattern and improving margin profile
  • Workday: HRScale described as combining Insperity HR services/compliance with Workday client-facing technology

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Adjusted EPS $1.31 exceeded midpoint of expected range; adjusted EBITDA $103M exceeded midpoint of expected range
  • Q1 gross profit down 3% to $302M, improving vs 21% decline in Q4 2025 (margin recovery progress)
  • Gross profit per worksite employee (WSE) $332/month slightly above forecast; benefit cost per covered employee +5% YoY (improved vs 9% level in 2025); favorability driven by lower-than-expected benefit costs (runoff, reduced large claims, lower pharmacy claims)
  • Operating expenses -1% to $240M included $9M restructuring/severance from workforce realignment; ex-restructuring operating expenses -5%
  • Adjusted EPS down 17% YoY to $1.31 vs $1.57 in Q1 2025; effective income tax rate for adjusted EPS 41% vs 29% in Q1 2025 due to lower stock price reducing tax reduction from stock-comp vesting
  • Capital return: $23M dividends plus $4M share repurchase (171,000 shares); ended quarter with $36M adjusted cash
  • Liquidity: $380M unused capacity under credit facility; ~$330M available to borrow

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Repurchased 171,000 shares for $4M in Q1 2026
  • Paid $23M dividends in Q1 2026
  • Adjusted cash ended at $36M; decrease driven by seasonal working capital timing (corporate payroll, health care, software maintenance contract funding)
  • As of March 31, 2026: $380M unused credit facility capacity (about $330M available)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Margin recovery plan: continuing focus to achieve substantially full recovery as they move into 2027; Q1 progress supported by new UnitedHealthcare agreement, benefit plan design/pricing/client selection, and operating efficiency improvements
  • HRScale build/enablement investment: $13M total invested in Q1 2026 (including $8M operating expenses, $5M capitalized) vs $13M in Q1 2025 (all expensed)
  • HRScale cost dynamics: costs expected to decline in 2H 2026 as deployment/enablement stabilizes; shift from investment participants to service/onboarding resources aligned with revenue; expect tapering of third-party costs
  • Sales process changes (value-based benefit planning, new sales motions/tools) implemented to improve HR360/HRCore booked sales and retention

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance revised to $170M to $230M; reiterated original adjusted EBITDA guidance range
  • Full-year 2026 paid worksite employees guidance: 303,000 to 307,000 (down 1% to 2.3% vs 2025); Q1 ended at low end at 303,049 (-1.0% YoY)
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance: $1.60 to $2.60 (effective tax rate for adjusted EPS expected to normalize to 36%; weighted average diluted shares ~38.5M for remainder of year)
  • Q2 2026 guidance: WSE 302,500 to 304,500 (-1.5% to -2.1% vs Q2 2025); adjusted EBITDA $18M to $46M; adjusted EPS $0.02 to $0.50

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Macroeconomic uncertainty in SMB sector (NFIB-aligned sentiment deterioration): 54% expect negative impact on businesses (up from 42% in January); only 25% positive (down from 37%)
  • Inflation fears and lingering uncertainty about tariffs may affect small business expansion/hiring
  • International conflicts contributing to risk-off hiring sentiment; WSE growth expected to stay near low end with limited further reduction expected later in year due to attrition/cadence dynamics
  • Competitive environment pressure from higher pricing in benefit costs leading to more shopping and competitive pricing; management states differentiation exists via HRScale

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Topic: Gross profit per worksite employee outlook and whether it will improve YoY vs 2025: Management said profit-recovery efforts look โ€œa little bit ahead of schedule,โ€ implying gross profit per employee likely above original guidance. They expect operating expense favorability to offset lower WSE levels, keeping net results supported despite volume pressure.
  • Topic: WSE guidance cadence and magnitude of YoY contraction across remaining quarters: Management reframed from earlier โ€œminus 1.5% to plus 1.5%โ€ view to current narrower range. They cited dramatic sentiment pause from macro/international conflicts, making the low end closer to the midpoint (~-1.5% growth) with limited additional reduction later as visibility improves.
  • Topic: HRScale traction, client ramp, and cost trajectory: Management reported nearly 6,000 worksite employees scheduled to be onboard within 6 months, plus onboarding of current accounts improving retention/pricing without adding WSE count. They expect HRScale investment costs to decline in 2H 2026 as teams shift from deployment investment to service/onboarding and third-party costs taper.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the NSP Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

๐Ÿ“‹ Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for NSP.

SEC EDGAR Live Feed
No recent 10-K available.
No recent 10-Q available.
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SEC Filings (NSP)

ยฉ 2026 Stock Market Info โ€” Insperity, Inc. (NSP) Financial Profile