Fastenal Company

Fastenal Company (FAST) Market Cap

Fastenal Company has a market capitalization of $53.72B.

Price: $46.79

ā–¼ -0.37 (-0.78%)

Market Cap: 53.72B

NASDAQ Ā· time unavailable

CEO: Daniel L. Florness

Sector: Industrials

Industry: Industrial - Distribution

IPO Date: 1987-08-20

Website: https://www.fastenal.com

Fastenal Company (FAST) - Company Information

Market Cap: 53.72B|Sector: Industrials

Company Profile

Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, North America, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial and construction supplies under the Fastenal name. The company's fastener products include threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers, which are used in manufactured products and construction projects, as well as in the maintenance and repair of machines. It also offers miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and related accessories. The company serves the manufacturing market comprising original equipment manufacturers; maintenance, repair, and operations; and non-residential construction market, which includes general, electrical, plumbing, sheet metal, and road contractors. It also serves farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, and retail trades; and oil exploration, production, and refinement companies, as well as federal, state, and local governmental entities. The company distributes its products through a network of 3,209 in-market locations and 15 distribution centers. Fastenal Company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota.

Analyst Sentiment

47%
Hold

From 16 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $47.00

ā–² +0.4% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$42

Median

$46

High Bound

$52

Average

$47

Price & Moving Averages

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šŸŽÆ Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$47.00
ā–² +0.45% Upside
Low Target
$42.00
-10% Risk
Median Target
$46.00
-2% Mid
High Target
$52.00
11% Max
Consensus
Hold
11 / 31 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

šŸ“Š Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)53,71753,27646,06956,29348,29244,48141,22540,94335,641
Enterprise Value ($M)53,85453,41346,23456,52248,59944,74541,45441,17735,901
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)41.3439.2039.1641.9536.5537.2339.3234.3430.44
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)—4.56—16.465.925.04——27.34
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)6.3624.2022.7226.3923.2122.7022.5921.4318.60
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)13.4713.3511.6814.4512.6812.0511.4011.3810.20
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)46.17166.75149.53172.36230.73215.40185.20172.39176.53
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)—24.2622.8026.5023.3622.8422.7221.5618.74
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)29.87119.33120.31116.01100.43101.81106.5194.9283.12
Debt to Equity Ratio0.080.110.110.130.140.130.130.150.15

⚔ FAST Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$46.79
Intrinsic Value$18.76
Market Alignment
Overvalued by 59.9%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 4%4%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$1.59B
Perpetuity TV Value$30.01B
Discounted TV (PV)$12.68B
TV Weighting %59.7%
āš ļø
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

šŸ“˜ Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

šŸ“˜ FASTENAL (FAST) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Fastenal distributes industrial and construction-related fasteners, safety supplies, and maintenance-and-repair (MRO) products through a dense network of stores and an embedded service model for customers. The core ā€œhow it worksā€ is a managed replenishment approach: Fastenal works with industrial buyers to reduce time-to-find, time-to-reorder, and inventory carrying costs by placing product availability closer to the point of use (store locations, jobsite presence, and customer sites via structured vending/stocking programs). This increases procurement convenience and responsiveness while improving order frequency and consumption capture for Fastenal.

šŸ’° Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily driven by transactional product sales complemented by service-led recurring behavior created through replenishment programs. Monetisation benefits from:

  • High repeat purchase cadence: MRO usage is continuous, supporting frequent replenishment rather than one-off project sales.
  • Customer-site inventory programs: vending and stocked replenishment create a ā€œusage-basedā€ purchasing pattern that tends to be stickier than standard catalog ordering.
  • Mix and productivity levers: margin performance is influenced by store/route productivity, product mix (fasteners and consumables vs. broader industrial lines), and freight/logistics efficiency.
  • Operating leverage: store network scale supports better purchasing terms and lower unit selling and distribution costs when volumes rise.

Overall, Fastenal’s model monetises convenience and reduced procurement friction, translating operational execution into higher order frequency and improved capture of customer MRO spend.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Fastenal’s moat is best characterized as Switching Costs combined with Network/Location Effects and Operational Cost Advantages.

  • Switching Costs (Managed Procurement): Once Fastenal is integrated into customer replenishment workflows—through vending/stocking programs, negotiated product sets, and usage tracking—replacing the system typically requires process change, product reconfiguration, and supplier transition risk.
  • Location & Logistics Density: A large store network and route density lower delivery friction, improve fill rates, and reduce the ā€œtime costā€ for buyers—particularly for production interruptions and urgent maintenance needs.
  • Cost Advantages via Scale: Scale supports purchasing leverage, efficient merchandising, and distribution efficiency that improves unit economics relative to smaller distributors.

Competitive benchmarking:

  • MSC Industrial Supply (MSM): Broader industrial offering with strong catalog/digital channels; competitive strength often centers on breadth and large-contract customers. Fastenal’s emphasis is more concentrated in fasteners and MRO with a dense footprint and replenishment integration.
  • W.W. Grainger (GWW): Focuses on industrial supplies with national distribution and service. Grainger competes heavily on comprehensive assortments and procurement solutions; Fastenal differentiates through store density and embedded inventory convenience.
  • Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): Greater tilt toward industrial replacement components and specialty lines, often with contract-driven supply programs. Fastenal’s competitive edge is most visible where repeat fastener/MRO replenishment and rapid availability are primary buying criteria.

Fastenal’s competitive position is strongest where customers value operational continuity (availability, fast sourcing, and low procurement friction), rather than where breadth alone is the deciding factor.

šŸš€ Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, Fastenal’s growth profile is driven more by MRO structural demand and procurement outsourcing trends than by single-cycle construction or project spending. Key drivers include:

  • Share gains in MRO replenishment: Many industrial buyers seek to outsource procurement complexity to reduce downtime, shrinkage, and administrative effort. Fastenal’s service integration aligns with this shift.
  • Network expansion and route density: Adding stores and improving service coverage can raise customer access, order frequency, and fill rates, supporting long-run volume growth.
  • Higher penetration of customer-site solutions: As replenishment programs deepen within existing accounts, average order frequency and consumption capture can expand without equivalent increases in new customer acquisition.
  • Secular productivity and maintenance intensity: Industrial environments require ongoing repairs, safety compliance inputs, and component replacement. That recurring nature supports more resilient demand than purely discretionary categories.

The practical total addressable market is tied to recurring industrial MRO purchasing across manufacturing, distribution, transportation infrastructure, and construction maintenance activities—areas where ā€œtime-to-repairā€ is economically material.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Cyclical end-market exposure: Industrial production, capex, and construction activity influence order rates and customer maintenance intensity.
  • Competitive pricing and service replication: Large distributors can use scale and digital channels to compete on price or similar replenishment programs; maintaining differentiation depends on execution quality and customer integration depth.
  • Inventory and working-capital management: Managed inventory programs require disciplined stocking, forecasting, and inventory turn to avoid margin pressure from obsolescence or excess holdings.
  • Store network execution risk: Underperforming locations, slower ramp, or misallocation of capital to coverage expansion can dilute returns.
  • Supply chain and procurement volatility: Input cost swings, freight inflation, and logistics disruptions can pressure margins without effective pass-through mechanisms.

šŸ“Š Valuation & Market View

Equity valuation for industrial distributors like Fastenal tends to reflect the market’s assessment of (1) earnings durability, (2) operating leverage, and (3) returns on incremental capital. Investors commonly focus on metrics such as:

  • EV/EBITDA or operating income multiples for business quality and margin persistence.
  • Free cash flow conversion, especially given the working-capital needs of inventory-backed service models.
  • Same-store or maturity-adjusted growth as a proxy for demand strength versus expansion.
  • Incremental return on invested capital, reflecting the profitability of new store openings and program penetration.

What moves the needle most often is sustained operating discipline—store productivity, inventory management, and the ability to preserve mix—rather than short-term volume fluctuations.

šŸ” Investment Takeaway

Fastenal’s long-term thesis rests on a compounding distribution-and-service model: a dense store network paired with customer-site replenishment creates switching costs and reduces procurement friction. This structural advantage supports resilient MRO demand capture, incremental account penetration, and operating leverage as the network scales—tempered by cyclicality in industrial and construction activity and the need for disciplined inventory/working-capital management.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

šŸ“° Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for FAST.

zacks.com•2026-06-05

EQPT vs. FAST: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?

Investors interested in Industrial Services stocks are likely familiar with EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) and Fastenal (FAST). But which of these two stocks offers value investors a better bang for their buck right now?

seekingalpha.com•2026-05-30

How To Invest For Secure Retirement With Big Dividends, 5.7% Yield

We will explain how to structure a new retirement portfolio in today's highly volatile market for sustainable income. We will present a balanced portfolio of funds and individual stocks with an initial yield of 5.7%. The portfolio presents 5 funds, supplemented with 10 individual stocks that offer reasonable growth, high income, and wide diversification.

zacks.com•2026-05-13

Fastenal (FAST) Down 2.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Fastenal (FAST) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?

gurufocus.com•2026-05-13

Is FAST Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $19

On May 13, 2026, we present a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis for Fastenal Co (FAST), a company that has shown a price performance of +10.6% over the past y

zacks.com•2026-05-07

LZ vs. FAST: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Investors with an interest in Industrial Services stocks have likely encountered both LegalZoom (LZ) and Fastenal (FAST). But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors?

247wallst.com•2026-05-06

Fastenal (FAST): The Quiet Compounder Nobody Talks About Is a Buy-and-Hold-Forever Stock

Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST | FAST Price Prediction) is a stock built to be owned for decades, because it sells the boring, essential consumables that keep American industry running, and it has quietly compounded capital through every cycle without ever asking for attention.

247wallst.com•2026-05-06

Portfolio Manager Reveals How Selling a 19-Bagger Too Early Changed His Investment Philosophy Forever

On a recent episode of The Compound and Friends hosted by Josh Brown, former Janus analyst Matt Ancrum told a story about how he'd made the correct call that Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST | FAST Price Prediction) stock would sell off, but by selling the position, the firm missed out on the stock's eventual 19x move.

247wallst.com•2026-04-30

3 Dividend Aristocrats I'd Rather Own Than the S&P 500 Right Now

The S&P 500 is up nearly 13% in the middle of an enormous crisis, but you should never get too complacent with the current environment.

defenseworld.net•2026-04-29

Fastenal Company $FAST Shares Sold by Comerica Bank

Comerica Bank lessened its position in shares of Fastenal Company (NASDAQ: FAST) by 4.9% in the fourth quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 283,293 shares of the company's stock after selling 14,674 shares during the period. Comerica Bank's

defenseworld.net•2026-04-29

Concurrent Investment Advisors LLC Purchases 16,905 Shares of Fastenal Company $FAST

Concurrent Investment Advisors LLC grew its position in shares of Fastenal Company (NASDAQ: FAST) by 41.2% in the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 57,913 shares of the company's stock after acquiring an additional 16,905 shares

gurufocus.com•2026-04-29

FAST DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $19 vs Price $45

On April 29, 2026, we conducted a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis for Fastenal Co (FAST), a company that has shown a price performance of +12.6% year-to-dat

defenseworld.net•2026-04-26

Arizona State Retirement System Trims Stock Holdings in Fastenal Company $FAST

Arizona State Retirement System reduced its stake in Fastenal Company (NASDAQ: FAST) by 6.9% during the fourth quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 314,967 shares of the company's stock after selling 23,360 shares during the period. Arizona State

defenseworld.net•2026-04-25

Caprock Group LLC Boosts Stock Position in Fastenal Company $FAST

Caprock Group LLC raised its holdings in shares of Fastenal Company (NASDAQ: FAST) by 59.5% during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 65,155 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 24,312 shares during the period. Caprock

seekingalpha.com•2026-04-23

Fastenal Company (FAST) Shareholder/Analyst Call Transcript

Fastenal Company (FAST) Shareholder/Analyst Call Transcript

zacks.com•2026-04-21

SITE vs. FAST: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?

Investors with an interest in Industrial Services stocks have likely encountered both SiteOne Landscape (SITE) and Fastenal (FAST). But which of these two stocks offers value investors a better bang for their buck right now?

šŸ“Š AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"FAST delivered continued top- and bottom-line momentum in the latest quarter (2026-03-31). Revenue was $2.20B, up +8.5% QoQ and +12.4% YoY. Net income was $339.8M, up +15.6% QoQ and +13.8% YoY, with EPS rising to $0.30 (vs. $0.26 QoQ and vs. $0.26 YoY). Profitability appears resilient: net margin improved to ~15.4% from ~14.5% QoQ, and slightly versus ~15.3% YoY. On the balance sheet, FAST strengthened its position. Total assets increased to $5.21B (+3.1% QoQ, +7.0% YoY). Equity rose to $4.00B (+1.2% QoQ, +8.2% YoY), while net debt declined meaningfully to $136.9M (-17.1% QoQ and -48.2% YoY), supporting financial flexibility. Shareholder returns are positive but not explosive: the stock is up +13.8% over the last 1 year (below the >20% momentum threshold). Dividend yield is low (~0.5%) and the payout ratio is elevated (~81%), but the dividend remains small relative to earnings. Analyst consensus price target ($46.57) is near the current price ($45.78), implying limited upside versus valuation risk at a higher P/E (~39)."

Revenue Growth

Good

Revenue increased +8.5% QoQ to $2.20B and +12.4% YoY, showing a consistent upward trajectory across the last four quarters.

Profitability

Positive

Net income grew faster than revenue (+15.6% QoQ, +13.8% YoY). Net margin improved to ~15.4% from ~14.5% QoQ; EPS rose to $0.30.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Cash flow metrics were not provided; evaluation uses net income and capital return signals. Dividend yield is ~0.5% with a relatively high payout ratio (~81%), limiting free-cash-flow cushion.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Good

Balance sheet strengthened: total assets and equity increased QoQ and YoY, while net debt fell to $136.9M (-17.1% QoQ, -48.2% YoY), improving resilience.

Shareholder Returns

Positive

Total return is supported by price appreciation (+13.8% 1Y). Dividend contribution is modest (~0.5% yield) and buybacks are not shown in the dataset.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Consensus target ($46.57) is close to current ($45.78), suggesting limited upside. Valuation remains elevated with P/E ~39.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

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Fastenal delivered strong Q1 momentum with daily sales up 12.4% to $34.9M per day and operating margin up 20 bps to 20.3%, supported by key account wins, expanding $50k+/month site penetration, and FMI/device-driven stickiness. Digital continued to outpace overall growth, reaching 61.5% of sales. The main issue is profitability optics: gross margin ran ~40 bps below the company’s Q1 target and ~50 bps YoY pressure, attributed to tariff-related cost pass-through moving faster than realized pricing (pricing ~3.5% YoY vs insufficient to offset inflation). SG&A leverage partially offset pressures, with ROIC up 180 bps to 31% (ttm). Management emphasized maintaining price discipline and expects pricing-related normalization to plateau around midyear, while keeping a cautious growth stance given macro uncertainty but indicating broad-based activity (mid-60% of locations growing).

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Key account wins and new contract signings; total contract count up ~8% YoY to just over 3.6 thousand contracts; ~75% of Q1 sales from those customers
  • Expansion in $50k+/month customer sites: sites up 16.3% YoY to just over 2.9 thousand; average monthly sales increased by ~$5.7k per site per month
  • International business acceleration: March international sales (Europe/Asia) grew ~24% YoY
  • Fastenal Managed Inventory (FMI) momentum: ~7k new FMI device agreements (~110/day), +8% YoY; active device base up nearly 6%; FMI drove ~45% of Q1 sales (+150 bps YoY)
  • Digital footprint outperformance: digital daily sales up 13.6% YoY; digital channels represented 61.5% of Q1 sales

Business Development

  • Recent customer expo hosted 3,000+ customers globally; reinforced/strengthened strategic partnerships (no named partners/customers provided)
  • FMI device agreements: ~7,000 new FMI device agreements signed in the quarter (customer identities not provided)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Daily sales +12.4% YoY to $34.9M per day
  • Operating margin improved to 20.3%, up 20 bps YoY
  • Operating margin shortfall vs gross margin target: ~40 bps below own Q1 gross margin target; ~50 bps year-over-year gross margin pressure
  • Gross margin driver: tariff-related costs moved through P&L faster than pricing; pricing realized ~3.5% YoY (vs 3.3% in Q4) but not enough to offset inflation
  • SG&A leverage: SG&A declined to 24.3% of sales vs 25.0% in prior-year quarter
  • Return on invested capital (ROIC) increased by 180 bps on a trailing twelve-month basis; ROIC reported at 31% trailing twelve-month
  • Cash flow: operating cash flow ~$378M; ~111% of net income
  • Capex: net capital spending ~$58M in Q1; full-year 2026 net CapEx expected ~ $320M
  • Capital returns: returned $296M to shareholders via dividends and a small amount of share repurchases (87% of net income)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Returned $296M to shareholders in Q1 2026 (dividends + small share repurchases), totaling 87% of net income
  • Net capital spending in Q1 ~$58M
  • Full-year 2026 net CapEx guidance: ~$320M
  • Investing in hub automation capacity, FMI hardware capabilities, and IT infrastructure

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • FMI deployment: ~7k new device agreements (~110/day); +8% YoY; active device base nearly +6%
  • Digital mix: digital channels 61.5% of sales; e-business electronic transactions ~30% of total sales; expectation digital adoption continues rising
  • Cost/ops discipline: SG&A declined to 24.3% of sales; continued investment while maintaining profit focus
  • Automation and productivity: cap spending directed to hub automation, FMI hardware, and IT infrastructure
  • Labor capacity approach: reloaded part-time employee ranks post-COVID; district leaders assess who is ready locally as business turns on (headcount ramp less correlated to revenue than historically)

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Macro stance: confident outlook tied to PMI > 50 in three months recently (management internal ISM<50 grid previously mostly ā€œredā€)
  • Pricing trajectory: no Q2 guidance; management expects to avoid repeating the same Q1-to-Q2 sequential decline, but expects price actions to continue
  • Price/cost neutrality timing: expects plateau around midyear; cannot specify exact recovery timing
  • Digital mix: remains on track to reach digital mix goals by end of year

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Gross margin: pricing lagged cost/tariff pass-through, leaving ~40 bps below internal Q1 gross margin target (and ~50 bps YoY pressure)
  • Tariff uncertainty: pricing conversations delayed; customers/suppliers awaiting tariff direction/refunds, extending cycle times
  • Structural gross margin headwind: mix skew toward larger customers with typically lower margins
  • Supplier pricing volatility: branded suppliers aggressive in raising costs; example cited—nitrile gloves cost sharply rising due to petroleum-based inputs and Middle East-related volatility
  • Fuel/transportation cost headwind and customer rebates were smaller negative impacts in the quarter

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Pricing trajectory and price/cost neutrality timing: Management said they will continue driving pricing actions but are not guiding to a Q2 sequential move ā€œof this sort.ā€ They expect not to repeat the same sequential trajectory, and said cumulative 5%–8% pricing still holds; plateau likely midyear.
  • Headcount and operating leverage setup for improving macro: Management argued headcount ramp need not match past patterns due to role specificity and built-in local capacity. They described reloading part-time ranks and local district leaders matching staffing to business turning on, supported by technology and customer mix efficiencies.
  • Growth outlook acceleration and comps: Management said it is hard to tell given uncertainty but remains cautiously optimistic. They cited no pullback in activity and used a data point that the share of locations growing has been stuck in the mid-60s since last fall, improving versus prior periods.

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the FAST Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

šŸ“‹ Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for FAST.

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SEC Filings (FAST)

Ā© 2026 Stock Market Info — Fastenal Company (FAST) Financial Profile