Ferguson plc

Ferguson plc (FERG) Market Cap

Ferguson plc has a market capitalization of $50.94B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $262.07

-0.94 (-0.36%)

Market Cap: 50.94B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Kevin Murphy

Sector: Industrials

Industry: Industrial - Distribution

IPO Date: 2010-01-05

Website: https://www.fergusonplc.com

Ferguson plc (FERG) - Company Information

Market Cap: 50.94B · Sector: Industrials

Ferguson plc distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States and Canada. It offers plumbing and heating solutions to customers in the residential, commercial, civil/infrastructure, and industrial end markets. The company also distributes pipes, valves, fittings, plumbing supplies, water heaters, kitchen and bathroom fixtures, and appliances; heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products and supplies; and plumbing parts and supplies, fire sprinkler systems, hangers, struts, and fasteners. In addition, it distributes water meters and automation products, irrigation and drainage products, geosynthetics, and stormwater management products; flanges, general industrial maintenance repair and operations products, high density polyethylene products, and fabrication products; water and wastewater treatment products; and PVF solutions. Further, the company offers services, including consultation, advice and project management, pro pick-up, and delivery services; online tools; quotation, jobsite delivery and logistics, project management, and fabrication services; digitally enhanced estimation, and design services; advanced metering infrastructure services; and supply chain and equipment rental services. The company also sells its products through online channels. It operates a network of 1,679 branches and 11 distribution centers. Ferguson plc was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Wokingham, the United Kingdom.

Analyst Sentiment

76%
Strong Buy

Based on 14 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $267.12

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$220

Median

$275

High

$300

Average

$271

Potential Upside: 3.4%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 FERGUSON ENTERPRISES INC (FERG) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Ferguson Enterprises Inc (FERG) is a leading value-added distributor specializing in plumbing, heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC), waterworks, and industrial products. With an extensive network of distribution centers and showrooms primarily serving the professional trade across North America, Ferguson acts as a critical intermediary within the construction, renovation, and repair ecosystem. Its core model revolves around aggregating a diverse range of products sourced from manufacturers and supplying them efficiently to contractors, institutions, and other commercial customers. Beyond simple distribution, the company offers technical support, project management, and specialized logistics, embedding itself deeper within its customers’ workflows.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Ferguson’s primary revenue originates from product sales to professional contractors in the residential, non-residential, and civil infrastructure sectors. The company serves as a one-stop-solution supplier for plumbing, HVAC, waterworks, fire protection, and industrial supplies. Additional revenue streams include value-added services such as inventory management, job site coordination, kitting and assembly services, and project consultation. Ferguson’s customer base is largely repeat in nature, driven by long-standing business relationships and contracts. Revenue is typically recognized upon delivery of goods and services, with a relatively high velocity of inventory turnover.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Ferguson’s competitive strengths are drawn from scale, logistics expertise, deep supplier relationships, and a robust technology-enabled service platform. As one of the largest distributors in its categories, Ferguson wields significant purchasing power, granting it access to a broad assortment of products at attractive terms. The company’s omni-channel platform—including e-commerce, mobile, and traditional sales—creates stickiness and flexibility for professional customers. Its national distribution footprint affords both operational efficiencies and geographic reach, enabling same or next-day delivery in many markets. Importantly, Ferguson maintains decades-long relationships with contractors and trade professionals, supported by technical know-how and consultative selling. Barriers to entry in the form of customer integration, logistics sophistication, and working capital intensity further entrench its market presence.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Several secular and cyclical factors underpin Ferguson’s long-term growth runway: - **Construction and Renovation Activity:** Both new residential/commercial construction and ongoing maintenance or renovations drive consistent demand for Ferguson’s products and services. - **Professionalization of the Trade:** As regulatory, technical, and service expectations rise, contractors prefer value-added distributors like Ferguson for their expertise, broad inventory, and managed logistics solutions. - **E-commerce & Digital Adoption:** Ferguson’s investments in digital platforms have expanded its reach, improved customer retention, and increased wallet share. - **Market Share Consolidation:** The distribution landscape remains fragmented; Ferguson’s scale and acquisition capabilities position it as a consolidator, allowing for inorganic growth. - **Category Expansion:** Diversification into adjacent product categories (such as waterworks and fire protection) and services extends the addressable market and deepens customer dependencies. - **Resilience to Economic Cycles:** Essential repairs, upgrades, and compliance-driven projects provide underlying stability even during construction slowdowns.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should be mindful of several ongoing and structural risks: - **End-Market Sensitivity:** Exposure to cyclicality in construction and housing markets can affect demand for Ferguson’s products, especially in prolonged downturns. - **Competitive Landscape:** Rise of digital-native distributors, large-scale DIY chains, or manufacturers pursuing direct-to-customer strategies could pressure margins and market share. - **Input Cost Volatility:** Fluctuations in product availability, commodity prices, or freight can compress gross margins if not offset through pricing power or operational efficiencies. - **Integration Risks:** Ongoing acquisitions require rigorous management to avoid cultural misalignments, operational disruptions, or overpayment. - **Labor and Supply Chain Disruptions:** Dependence on skilled salesforce and global supply chains may create vulnerabilities during systemic shortages or logistical challenges. - **Regulatory and Environmental Factors:** Changes in trade policy, tariffs, building codes, or sustainability laws may cause periodic cost or demand impacts.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Ferguson is generally valued as a high-quality industrial and distribution business, reflecting its consistent cash generation, scale advantages, and stable end markets. Its valuation multiples typically incorporate the company’s above-average margin profile compared to peers, proven capital allocation, and acquisitive growth track record. Investors tend to reward Ferguson’s robust free cash flow conversion, prudent balance sheet management, and regular return of capital via dividends and share repurchases. With persistent execution on both organic and inorganic growth initiatives, the market often views Ferguson as a core holding for exposure to the North American construction and MRO (maintenance, repair, operations) cycle.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Ferguson Enterprises stands out as a premier distributor within the construction and industrial supply chain, marked by scaled operations, entrenched customer relationships, and a multi-channel approach. Its business model is structurally positioned to benefit from both secular trends and cyclical recoveries in its end markets, while its technology investments and acquisition strategy offer meaningful optionality for long-term growth. Although inherent exposure to construction cycles and rising competition bear monitoring, Ferguson’s competitive moats and disciplined capital allocation underpin its appeal as a resilient, cash-generative compounder suitable for investors seeking diversified industrial exposure.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"Headline (latest quarter ended 2025-12-31): Revenue $7.50B, Net Income $389M, EPS $1.99. Sequentially (QoQ), Revenue fell from $8.17B (2025-10-31) to $7.50B, a -8.2% change, while Net Income declined from $570M to $389M (-31.8%) and EPS dropped from $2.91 to $1.99 (-31.6%). Profitability also deteriorated: net margin contracted to ~5.2% from ~7.0% in the prior quarter. Over the last 4 quarters, results were volatile—Revenue peaked at $8.50B (2025-07-31) and then stepped down through 2025-10-31 and 2025-12-31. With Net Income moving more sharply than Revenue, margin pressure appears to be the key driver of the weaker most-recent quarter. Balance sheet: Total assets decreased QoQ from $17.69B to $17.15B (-3.0%), equity declined from $6.06B to $5.86B (-3.3%), while net debt improved from $5.49B to $4.86B (-11.6%), suggesting some deleveraging. Total shareholder return looks strong: the stock is up 60.41% over 1 year (capital appreciation tailwind). Dividend yield provided for 2025-12-31 is very low (~0.01%), and buybacks appear modest (shares slightly down QoQ). Analyst targets imply limited additional upside (~4–5%) versus the current price."

Revenue Growth

Fair

QoQ revenue declined -8.2% (from $8.17B to $7.50B). YoY comparison for the same quarter last year was not possible with the provided dataset.

Profitability

Caution

Net margin contracted to ~5.2% from ~7.0% QoQ. Net income fell -31.8% and EPS fell -31.6% QoQ, indicating margin pressure.

Cash Flow Quality

Fair

Dividend payout appears low (latest payout ratio ~1.1%) and dividend yield is minimal per provided ratio. Buybacks are not directly evidenced by cash flow here; shares decreased slightly QoQ.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Assets and equity both declined QoQ (assets -3.0%, equity -3.3%), but net debt improved -11.6%, supporting balance-sheet resilience despite volatility.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Very strong 1-year price momentum (+60.41%). Dividend yield is low (~0.01% provided), so total return is likely dominated by capital appreciation; modest buyback evidence via slightly lower shares.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Consensus target ($271) and median ($274.5) imply ~4–5% upside from $260.49, suggesting generally constructive but not highly asymmetric valuation.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Ferguson delivered solid FY25 results with 5% revenue growth, meaningful margin expansion and double-digit EPS growth, driven by strong nonresidential performance and disciplined execution. Cash generation and balance sheet strength supported M&A, capex and $1.6B of capital returns. Management guides to modest top-line growth and stable margins in 2026 amid mixed markets—residential softness offset by resilient nonresidential demand and a robust large project pipeline. Strategy centers on scale, multi-customer group integration and value-added solutions to continue outperforming the market.

Growth

  • FY net sales up 5% to $31.3B (organic +4.5%; M&A +1%; FX/divestiture -0.1%; one fewer sales day -0.4%)
  • FY U.S. nonresidential revenue +11%; residential flat
  • Customer groups FY: Waterworks +13%; Commercial/Mechanical +18%; Ferguson Home +1%; Residential Trade Plumbing -3%; HVAC -1%; Fire & Fabrication, Facilities Supply and Industrial grew
  • Q4 net sales up 3.6% to $7.5B (organic +3.0%; M&A +0.9%)
  • Q4 end markets: nonresidential +10%; residential -2%
  • FY gross margin 31.0% (+70 bps); operating margin 9.6% (+50 bps); EPS $10.58 (+13.4%)
  • Q4 gross margin 30.6% (+90 bps); operating profit $625M (+13.8%); EPS $2.10 (+11.7%)

Business Development

  • Completed 8 acquisitions; M&A spend $276M; continued market consolidation strategy
  • Expanded counter build-out for dual trade, greenfield expansion continued
  • Enhanced value-added solutions: virtual design and construction, custom fabrication, valve automation
  • Digital tools enable 24/7 customer transactions; 21 owned brands ~10% of revenue
  • IR transition: Brian Lantz retiring in May; Pete Kennedy promoted to VP Investor Relations

Financials

  • FY operating profit $3.0B (+11.3%); EBITDA $3.2B (+$338M YoY)
  • Price inflation low single digits FY; commodity-related deflation in certain categories; Q4 inflation low-to-mid single digits
  • Operating cash flow $2.2B; free cash flow $1.9B; working capital investment $294M
  • CapEx $354M in FY
  • Net debt/EBITDA 1.1x; return on capital 31%
  • Q4 revenue $7.5B; operating margin 8.3% (+70 bps)

Capital & Funding

  • Returned ~$1.6B to shareholders in FY (dividends $656M; buybacks $902M for 4.5M shares)
  • Declared quarterly dividend of $0.89 (payable in April)
  • 2026 guidance: interest expense ≈$200M; CapEx $350–$400M; effective tax rate ≈26%
  • Balance sheet capacity remains strong with leverage at 1.1x net debt/EBITDA

Operations & Strategy

  • Balanced portfolio ~50% residential / ~50% nonresidential; ~2/3 RMI vs ~1/3 new construction
  • Scale advantage: connects 37,000 suppliers to 1M+ customers; >1M SKUs; 35,000 associates
  • Local reach: 95% of customers within 60 miles; same-day/next-day delivery capability
  • Multi-customer group integration enables end-to-end water and air solutions across project lifecycle
  • Fragmented market (10,000+ competitors) supports ongoing consolidation and share gains

Market & Outlook

  • 2026 markets expected broadly flat: residential down low-to-mid single digits; nonresidential up low-to-mid single digits
  • Company guides to low-to-mid single-digit revenue growth and 9.4%–9.8% operating margin in 2026
  • Structural tailwinds: large capital projects, water infrastructure, climate/comfort, aging and underbuilt housing
  • Robust activity in large capital projects (data centers, semiconductors, advanced manufacturing, energy, biotech); strong bidding and open order trends
  • Total addressable market of ~$340B; long-term project pipeline supported by onshoring/reshoring, AI infrastructure and power needs

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Residential end markets remain weak: lower housing starts/permits; soft RMI demand
  • HVAC pressured by efficiency standard transition and a cautious consumer
  • Commodity price deflation in certain categories may pressure pricing
  • Mixed market backdrop and FX/divestiture headwinds
  • Skilled labor scarcity could challenge project execution across the industry

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the FERG Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (FERG)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Ferguson plc (FERG) Financial Profile