Toast, Inc.

Toast, Inc. (TOST) Market Cap

Toast, Inc. has a market capitalization of $14.29B.

Price: $24.64

-0.58 (-2.30%)

Market Cap: 14.29B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Aman Narang

Sector: Technology

Industry: Software - Infrastructure

IPO Date: 2021-09-22

Website: https://www.toasttab.com

Toast, Inc. (TOST) - Company Information

Market Cap: 14.29B|Sector: Technology

Company Profile

Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based and digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States and Ireland. The company offers Toast Point of Sale (POS), a hardware product; Toast Order & Pay, which allows guests to order and pay from their mobile devices; Toast Flex that is used for on-counter order and pay, as well as used as a server station, guest kiosk, kitchen display system, or order fulfillment station; Toast Go, a handheld POS device that enhances the table turn times through tableside ordering and payment acceptance; and Toast Tap, a card reader. It also provides kitchen display system software that connects the front of the house with the kitchen staff; multi-location management software, which allows customers to manage and standardize their operations and configure menus; xtraCHEF that provides back-office tools; and Toast Flex for Kitchen, a larger format mountable piece of hardware that can be used as a kitchen screen. In addition, the company offers Toast Online Ordering & Toast TakeOut app, a software-based platform that provides restaurants to take off-premises orders directly through their branded website; First-Party Delivery services for restaurants to manage a fleet of drivers, and customize delivery hours, zones, fees, and minimum ticket sizes; Toast Delivery Services, which enables restaurants to utilize a partner network of delivery drivers; and Toast Delivery Partners services. Further, it provides loyalty programs and gift cards; payroll and team management products; business owner policy insurance and restaurant-specific add-ons; payment processing solutions; loans advanced to restaurants; purchase financing; reporting and analytics solutions; Toast Partner Connect that allows customers to discover, select, and connect their restaurant to its partners; and bi-directional APIs. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Analyst Sentiment

83%
Strong Buy

From 29 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $36.33

▲ +47.4% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$28

Median

$36

High Bound

$45

Average

$36

Price & Moving Averages

Loading chart...

🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$36.33
▲ +47.44% Upside
Low Target
$28.00
14% Risk
Median Target
$36.00
46% Mid
High Target
$45.00
83% Max
Consensus
Buy
16 / 30 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)14,29115,56120,88021,35825,68819,07320,74015,93914,156
Enterprise Value ($M)13,21014,48019,56720,01924,51318,09019,87115,21613,505
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)35.1130.8851.6850.8580.2885.15162.0371.15252.78
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)9.505.0464.0814.0316.27
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)2.229.5512.7913.0816.5714.2715.5012.2111.40
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)7.277.829.8310.6014.1311.4013.4211.2211.03
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)21.85135.32117.30139.60123.50276.42154.78164.31131.07
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)8.8811.9812.2615.8113.5314.8511.6610.87
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)30.02120.67184.59171.11252.71262.17462.12330.77643.08
Debt to Equity Ratio-2.460.010.020.010.010.010.020.030.03

TOST Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$24.64
Intrinsic Value$49.16
Market Alignment
Undervalued by 99.5%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: 9%9%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$2.26B
Perpetuity TV Value$42.48B
Discounted TV (PV)$17.94B
TV Weighting %62.5%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 TOAST INC CLASS A (TOST) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Toast is an integrated commerce platform for restaurants, spanning point-of-sale (POS), payments, online ordering, reservations, and restaurant management software. The value chain is built around deploying a unified system inside the restaurant’s operating workflow: ordering, fulfillment, staff management, inventory/menu updates, customer engagement, and payments all route through the same stack.

A key feature of the model is that software and payments are mutually reinforcing. POS data supports better order accuracy, operational reporting, and customer/loyalty engagement; payments processing and checkout functionality increase the frequency and depth of data generated within Toast’s platform, which in turn strengthens product utility and adoption across additional restaurant departments.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily monetized through (1) software subscriptions and related services (recurring), and (2) payment processing and transaction-related fees (transactional), with incremental monetisation from add-on modules that increase the platform’s “share of restaurant operations.”

Margin dynamics typically hinge on:

  • Take rate and payment economics: payment revenue scales with transaction volume and the mix of tender types, while merchant pricing and network fees influence gross margin.
  • Software subscription attach and ARPU expansion: as restaurants adopt more modules (online ordering, loyalty, staffing, inventory, analytics), revenue becomes more recurring and more resilient to single-product churn.
  • Operating leverage: incremental customers can be onboarded with amortized platform development and support costs, improving unit economics as deployment depth rises.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Toast competes in restaurant technology and merchant services against platforms that often emphasize either payments-first or software-first deployment. The competitive stance centers on product integration and operational data, which creates measurable switching costs and compounding value from embedded workflows.

  • High switching costs (Data gravity + operational lock-in): Toast stores and operationalizes restaurant-specific configuration—menu structure, pricing rules, modifiers, staff workflows, reporting, and customer engagement history. Replacing the system typically requires re-migration of operational data and retraining staff, which discourages churn.
  • Embedded ecosystem within restaurant operations: third-party compatibility and complementary features increase the breadth of use cases within the same environment, raising the platform’s functional footprint.
  • Two-sided value reinforcement (software utility ↔ transaction volume): stronger ordering and engagement tools drive higher digital/processed volume, which supports merchant economics and improves the effectiveness of software features that rely on transaction data.

Competitive benchmarking (industry focus vs. peers):

  • Square / Block: often strong in SMB payments and easy deployment, with additional software capabilities. Toast’s positioning more explicitly integrates payments with a broader restaurant operating suite.
  • Lightspeed: emphasizes POS and commerce software across retail/foodservice verticals. Toast targets a restaurant-centric workflow and product depth, which can increase switching costs through specialization.
  • Shopify (POS/Commerce): enables merchants to build online storefronts and sell digitally; restaurant POS depth varies by configuration. Toast’s moat is concentrated on a unified restaurant operating system rather than a broader merchant commerce platform.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, the growth thesis rests on expanding restaurant digitization and consolidating tool stacks into integrated operating platforms.

  • Share shift from legacy POS to integrated cloud systems: restaurants increasingly adopt cloud-native platforms that reduce IT friction, speed rollout of menu changes, and improve order channel management.
  • Digital ordering and customer engagement expansion: online ordering, loyalty, and targeted promotions support repeat visits and can increase overall processed volume through the platform.
  • Modular “land-and-expand” software adoption: starting with a POS footprint, restaurants can add complementary modules (staffing, inventory, reporting, reservations, and marketing tools), raising customer lifetime value.
  • Increasing depth of payment processing penetration: payments functionality embedded in the same checkout workflow as ordering and fulfillment drives ongoing processing volume and improves monetisation stability.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Payments and regulatory pressure: merchant pricing dynamics, network rule changes, and compliance requirements can affect transaction economics and require continual investment in fraud and dispute handling.
  • Competitive substitution and pricing pressure: incumbents and well-capitalized platforms can offer bundling, aggressive merchant terms, or feature parity that challenges take rates and slows add-on adoption.
  • Operational risk and systems reliability: restaurants rely on uptime and seamless order routing; service disruptions can raise churn risk and increase support and remediation costs.
  • Credit and working-capital exposure (if offered): any embedded lending or financial services component introduces asset-quality sensitivity during downturns in restaurant economics.
  • Implementation and customer retention: switching costs are strongest after full workflow integration; immature deployments or onboarding friction can weaken retention over time.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Market valuation for integrated restaurant software and payments businesses typically reflects a blend of software-like recurring revenue expectations and payments-like transaction sensitivity. Common frameworks include:

  • Revenue multiple approaches (P/S, EV/Revenue) for growth and recurring mix, especially where software subscriptions are meaningful.
  • EV/EBITDA and operating margin models when the market expects durable operating leverage from scale, support cost discipline, and improving contribution margins.
  • Unit economics and monetisation metrics: attach rates of modules, processing penetration, and the stability of take-rate drivers often move the multiple more than accounting growth alone.

Key drivers that tend to influence valuation include the persistence of recurring revenue growth, the ability to expand module adoption per restaurant, durability of payment economics, and evidence of sustained operating leverage.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Toast’s investment case centers on an integrated restaurant operating system where payments and software strengthen each other, creating high switching costs through data gravity and workflow lock-in. The platform’s ability to expand from POS into a broader set of recurring modules, while maintaining payment-driven monetisation, supports a compounding growth model—subject to competitive pressure in merchant economics, regulatory shifts, and execution risk in service reliability and customer onboarding.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"TOST reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.63B and net income of $126M (EPS $0.21). On a YoY basis, revenue was up 21.9% vs Q1 2025 ($1.337B) while net income jumped 125.0% (from $56M). QoQ, revenue was flat to slightly down (-0.2% vs Q4 2025), while net income rose strongly (+24.8% from $101M). Profitability improved: gross margin expanded to 27.4% (from 25.7% in Q4 2025 and 25.9% in Q1 2025), and net margin increased to 7.7% (vs 6.2% in Q4 2025 and 4.2% in Q1 2025), indicating margin recovery despite continued scale. Operating income increased to $110M. Cash flow quality was solid. Operating cash flow was $132M and free cash flow was $115M in the quarter. The company funded aggressive shareholder returns through buybacks: it repurchased $323M of stock in Q1 2026, offsetting no dividends (dividends paid were $0). Balance sheet liquidity remains strong for a non-bank: cash and short-term investments were $1.77B with total assets at $3.09B; leverage is low with net debt of about -$1.08B (net cash). Total shareholder returns appear muted near-term, as the stock price is down -15.2% over the last year (no 1y momentum tailwind). Analyst targets (consensus ~$38.9) are below the current price (~$29.1 context provided), implying valuation remains a key debate."

Revenue Growth

Positive

YoY revenue +21.9% (Q1 2026: $1.63B vs Q1 2025: $1.337B). QoQ revenue essentially flat (-0.2% vs Q4 2025: $1.633B), suggesting growth is currently more structural than cyclical.

Profitability

Good

Net income +125% YoY and +24.8% QoQ. Margins improved meaningfully: gross margin 27.4% (vs 25.7% Q4 and 25.9% Q1), and net margin 7.7% (vs 6.2% Q4 and 4.2% Q1).

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Operating cash flow $132M and free cash flow $115M in Q1 2026. No dividends; capital returns concentrated in buybacks (repurchased $323M). FCF coverage of returns appears supported by rising earnings.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Good

Strong liquidity: cash & short-term investments $1.77B. Total assets $3.09B. Low leverage with net debt deeply negative (~-$1.08B), and equity growing vs prior quarters.

Shareholder Returns

Caution

Buybacks were substantial ($323M). However, share price momentum is weak: 1y_change -15.2%, so total return is likely not yet a tailwind versus prior year performance.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Consensus price target (~$38.9) indicates upside vs the current price (~$29.1 in provided marketPerformance). Valuation still reflects uncertainty given the recent stock drawdown.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

Toast delivered a strong Q1 with 27% growth in recurring gross profit streams, GAAP operating margin expanding to 21%, and GAAP EPS rising to $0.20. Operating strength came from SaaS leverage (subscription gross profit +32%; SaaS gross margin up nearly 300 bps to 81%) and accelerating fintech monetization (total monetization take rate to 103 bps, +5 bps). The monetization model is evolving: Toast IQ usage is rising (40,000 weekly active locations) alongside early agent monetization via Toast IQ Grow, where pilot performance cited ~8% sales lift and large attribution in a specific restaurant example. Key near-term headwinds include hardware/pro services weakness (negative 13% of recurring gross profit streams) from tariff absorption and $28M bad debt/credit expenses, plus GPV per location down 1%. Management raised FY26 guidance (recurring gross profit +21% to +23%; adjusted EBITDA $790M to $810M) while investing in AI productivity, support automation (~40% resolved by AI), and incremental cash deployment into inventory.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Toast IQ Grow marketing agent (first Toast IQ agent) with pilot results: ~8% sales/GPV lift vs comparable Toast restaurants
  • Toast IQ expansion to 40,000 weekly active locations; reported customer use cases: custom views on data, fraud/theft visibility, and AI-assisted operational adjustments (e.g., changing opening hours to improve profitability)
  • Toast Local relaunch/expansion: reservation discovery/bookings via Resy + Toast Tables at 20,000+ restaurants; >2x weekly app downloads and top-app positioning in App Store food & drink category
  • AI productivity: engineering coding velocity up 60% YoY; support coverage expanded to phone; ~40% of support interactions resolved by AI
  • Market expansion execution: enterprise via Toast for Drive-Thru and deeper hotel penetration; retail via grocery (100+ locations, >$5M sales)

Business Development

  • Sahara Bistro Shawarma (pilot/customer example for Toast IQ Grow marketing agent leading to nearly 1/3 of March sales attributable to Toast marketing tools; sales up >30% vs prior 4 weeks)
  • The Alinea Group (Alinea, Next, The Aviary, The Office) went live on Toast as a technology partner
  • Preferred Hotels (brought into the platform per prepared remarks)
  • Hungry Howie's (won) and Papa Murphy's (won) for pizza sub-vertical product traction
  • Resy and Toast Tables inventory used to expand Toast Local table bookings to 20,000+ restaurants
  • Toast Local positioned with distribution/community reliance on third-party delivery platforms (DoorDash/Uber referenced as critical partners; Toast emphasized peer positioning over time via customer-first execution)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Recurring gross profit streams +27% YoY; GAAP operating income margin expanded to 21% (crossed 20% for first time)
  • EPS more than doubled to $0.20 (GAAP EPS driver: GAAP operating income up >150% to $110M and declining diluted share count)
  • ARR +26% YoY; SaaS ARR +27% YoY
  • Subscription gross profit +32% YoY; SaaS gross margin >80%, expanding nearly 300 bps YoY to 81%
  • Total monetization take rate (recurring gross profit as % of GPV) crossed 1% to 103 bps; up 5 bps vs prior year
  • Fintech details: fintech net take rate 61 bps; payments take rate 51 bps; payments take rate +2 bps YoY; non-payment fintech solutions (Toast Capital) added $51M gross profit and +10 bps take rate
  • GPV $51B, +22% YoY; GPV per location down 1% YoY
  • Hardware & professional services gross profit negative 13% of recurring gross profit streams (absorption of higher tariff costs)
  • Operating expense ex-bad debt: operating expenses +17% YoY; includes $28M of bad debt and credit-related expenses
  • Adjusted EBITDA $179M (+35% YoY), 34% margin; Free cash flow $115M (seasonality noted); Q1 conversion expected lower vs 2025 due to cash bonus/payment seasonality
  • Guidance: Q2 total subscription + fintech gross profit +22% to +24% YoY; adjusted EBITDA $185M to $195M
  • Guidance: FY2026 recurring gross profit +21% to +23% YoY; adjusted EBITDA $790M to $810M

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Year-to-date share repurchases: 14 million shares for nearly $400M; expected to be accretive use of capital
  • Remaining share repurchase authorization: ~$200M; intent to remain opportunistic based on market conditions
  • Free cash flow Q1: $115M; management expects full-year EBITDA-to-FCF conversion slightly lower than 2025
  • Planned inventory/cash use: strategically purchasing memory chips; holding more inventory near term with majority impact expected in Q2 and normalization over time

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Agent platform strategy: Toast IQ positioned as foundation for evolution from software to agentic/agent platform to deliver outcomes (Toast IQ Grow marketing agent as first deployment)
  • Vertical integration emphasis: hardware + software working together to build faster products and enable AI-supported at-table experiences
  • Support automation: expanded AI coverage from chat to phone; ~40% of support interactions resolved by AI
  • Reliability/guardrails: fintech/defaults described as consistent and within risk guardrails
  • Enterprise expansion driver: Drive-Thru launched; expanding Toast in hotels (Preferred Hotels) and deeper execution across hotels/full-serve/Drive-Thru cohorts
  • Retail scaling: grocery near-term focus; serving 100+ grocery locations with >$5M sales; leveraging invoice workflows/SKU complexity and supplier connectivity from restaurant platform

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • FY2026 recurring gross profit growth expected +21% to +23% YoY; adjusted EBITDA $790M to $810M
  • Q2 adjusted EBITDA expected $185M to $195M; Q2 total subscription + fintech gross profit growth +22% to +24% YoY
  • Management reiterated a long-term 5 to 10 year positioning toward sustaining high growth and 40%+ long-term EBITDA margin profile

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Tariff cost pressure: hardware/professional services gross profit negative 13% of recurring gross profit streams while absorbing higher tariff costs
  • Credit risk: $28M of bad debt and credit-related expenses included in Q1
  • Value pressure: GPV per location down 1% YoY (despite strong location growth)
  • Hardware differentiation execution risk: relies on handheld/kiosk/tablet-enabled workflows; competitive response pressure implied by third-party delivery platforms (DoorDash POS presence noted) and potential formal launches
  • Free cash flow timing: Q1 lower due to cash bonus timing and payment seasonality; full-year conversion expected slightly lower than 2025
  • Inventory/cash use risk: memory chip purchases and holding inventory into Q2 may pressure near-term FCF visibility

Q&A: Analyst Interest

  • Hardware differentiation: Aman argued vertical integration (software + hardware) lets Toast build capabilities faster, enabling at-table/employee actionable AI like menu upsells, digital chits via Toast Tables/Resy, and potential walk-in/pay and voice/AI coaching use cases tied to handhelds and kiosks.
  • Toast IQ monetization/pricing model: Management said they’re actively exploring Toast IQ capabilities and pricing models; they highlighted 40,000 weekly active customers and reported “usefulness” signals (custom data views, fraud/theft visibility, and operational optimization). They indicated usage-based pricing is under active exploration.
  • Growth vs margin philosophy: Elena emphasized balancing growth and profitability over a 5–10 year horizon, keeping the “bar high” via disciplined capital allocation tied to customer signals and rep productivity. She reaffirmed high conviction in a 40%+ EBITDA margin profile and improving GAAP profitability alongside reinvestment.

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the TOST Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for TOST.

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SEC Filings (TOST)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Toast, Inc. (TOST) Financial Profile