Open Lending Corporation

Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) Market Cap

Open Lending Corporation has a market capitalization of $249.4M.

Price: $2.11

-0.13 (-5.80%)

Market Cap: 249.44M

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Jessica Elizabeth Buss

Sector: Financial Services

Industry: Financial - Credit Services

IPO Date: 2018-03-26

Website: https://www.openlending.com

Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) - Company Information

Market Cap: 249.44M|Sector: Financial Services

Company Profile

Open Lending Corporation provides lending enablement and risk analytics solutions to credit unions, regional banks, and non-bank auto finance companies and captive finance companies of original equipment manufacturers in the United States. It offers Lenders Protection Program (LPP), which is a Software as a Service platform that facilitates loan decision making and automated underwriting by third-party lenders and the issuance of credit default insurance through third-party insurance providers. The company's LPP products include loan analytics, risk-based loan pricing, risk modeling, and automated decision technology for automotive lenders. Open Lending Corporation was founded in 2000 and is based in Austin, Texas.

Analyst Sentiment

70%
Buy

From 7 Active Polls

1Y Forecast: $4.00

▲ +89.6% Potential Upside

Consensus Target Metrics

Low Bound

$4

Median

$4

High Bound

$4

Average

$4

Price & Moving Averages

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🎯 Wall Street Analyst Intelligence Report

1-Year structural target targets, chart projections, and sentiment maps.

Average 1Y Target
$4.00
▲ +89.57% Upside
Low Target
$4.00
90% Risk
Median Target
$4.00
90% Mid
High Target
$4.00
90% Max
Consensus
Hold
5 / 12 Buys

Consensus Trend Projection

Trailing closures vs. 12-month metrics map.

Analyst Vote Distribution

Aggregate institutional coverage sentiment weights.

📊 Historical Valuation Multiples

Real-time Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) momentum side-by-side with discrete quarterly metrics.

Fiscal QuarterTTMQ1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Period EndingTrailing 12MMar 31, 2026Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2025Jun 30, 2025Mar 31, 2025Dec 31, 2024Sep 30, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Market Cap ($M)249147184249231330712730663
Enterprise Value ($M)1504795211139234613625561
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)-46.77-80.0127.32-8.2455.89133.58-1.23126.9757.10
Price/Earnings-to-Growth Ratio (PEG)-13.5114.870.94
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S)2.797.189.5010.329.1313.52-12.5231.0924.80
Price to Book Ratio (P/B)3.301.952.453.422.934.139.123.313.06
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)-1205.01-269.6439.35-43.51165.35-74.19-157.0670.40-265.86
Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)2.314.928.755.519.61-10.7726.6021.00
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)265.662058.6328.83-46.6778.9861.60-8.14111.91127.39
Debt to Equity Ratio-177.401.131.172.531.761.771.840.660.68

LPRO Growth Runway Model

Standard long term linear growth fade

Multi-Stage Discounted Cash Flow Sandbox

Market Price$2.11
Intrinsic Value$1.71
Market Alignment
Overvalued by 18.9%relative to calculated intrinsic value
9.00%
Exp: -8%-8%
i

Growth runway slowdown

This value provides a time window for the growth rate to decline beyond Stage 1 toward the terminal rate. Longer windows are most useful for companies with high growth starting conditions or strong competitive advantages. This option stretches out the growth rate slowdown across 5, 10, or 15-year steps. A high-growth starting condition (exceeding a 25% initial growth rate) automatically applies a curve decay to simulate realistic, rapid market saturation.
i

Terminal growth rate

With long-term inflation between 3-5%, revenue must grow by that baseline to maintain flat real-world market share. This value sets the permanent terminal growth rate to factor into the valuation beyond the growth slowdown runway toward maturity.

3-Stage Financial Runway Horizon

🧠 Perpetuity Horizon Engine (Stage 3: Post-2035)

Terminal FCF Base$0.01B
Perpetuity TV Value$0.18B
Discounted TV (PV)$0.08B
TV Weighting %52.4%
⚠️
Financial Model Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure: This interactive scenario simulator is an educational sandbox provided strictly for informational and analytical research purposes. Core historical financial statements and consensus estimates are sourced directly via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). All downstream outputs are entirely deterministic, hypothetical projections generated by combining automated mathematical formulas (including linear interpolation and Gaussian bell-curve decay models) with user-selected variables and third-party financial data inputs. Users assume all liability for trading decisions executed based on these sandbox calculations.

📘 Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 OPEN LENDING CORP (LPRO) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Open Lending Corp operates in consumer credit through an online lending platform that originates installment-style loans and manages the downstream lifecycle of those loans (including collections and servicing-related activities). The value chain is centered on three steps: (1) borrower acquisition and eligibility screening, (2) underwriting and pricing that align loan terms to expected credit performance, and (3) servicing/collections operations that influence recovery rates and ultimate loss severity. Profitability depends on the discipline of underwriting and the stability of funding costs relative to credit outcomes.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Revenue is primarily driven by loan economics rather than subscription-style monetization. The key contributors are:

  • Net interest income from earning the spread between loan yields and the cost of capital used to fund originations.
  • Origination and related fees (where applicable), which are typically tied to volume of new loans and therefore more transactional.
  • Servicing-related income and other recurring fee streams tied to the ongoing performance and administration of originated loans.

The margin drivers are credit losses (expected vs. realized), effective funding costs (including how capital is raised and priced), origination efficiency (marketing and operating expense per funded loan), and the pace of loan prepayments versus loss emergence timing.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Open Lending’s defensible position is best understood as a credit and operational moat rather than classic software switching costs. The most durable advantage typically comes from:

  • Credit culture / underwriting discipline: repeatable modeling, prudent risk appetite, and controls designed to keep loss rates within a target band across borrower segments and economic regimes.
  • Data-driven underwriting and pricing: proprietary or curated performance signals used to assign risk more accurately than less-experienced competitors.
  • Servicing and collections execution: operational focus on recovery rates, loss severity, and borrower management that can stabilize outcomes even when delinquency rises.

Competitive benchmarking (consumer lending / alternative credit):

  • LendingClub — broader alternative lending platform with different funding/structure dynamics and a more diversified product footprint.
  • Upstart — more emphasis on model- and partner-driven underwriting with different credit-model approaches and product mix.
  • OneMain Financial — a brick-and-mortar consumer credit operator with distinct distribution economics and underwriting workflows.

Open Lending’s industry focus emphasizes achieving favorable risk-adjusted returns through online origination and end-to-end loan lifecycle management, where underwriting performance and collections execution can provide an edge versus competitors that rely more heavily on distribution scale or different funding structures. The competitive question is less about brand recognition and more about sustaining risk-adjusted spreads through cycles.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

  • Structural demand for credit access: continued gaps in prime lending and persistent need for installment financing among underserved consumers support long-run market volume for alternative lenders.
  • Digitization of origination and servicing: automation in eligibility, underwriting, and servicing can lower cost per originated loan and improve decisioning speed and consistency.
  • Improving unit economics through scale: as origination volumes rise, fixed platform costs and operational overhead can be leveraged—provided credit performance remains controlled.
  • Refinement of risk models: iterative model updates, better fraud/identity controls, and enhanced collections strategies can improve both loss frequency and loss severity over time.
  • Balance-sheet and funding optimization: the ability to access capital at efficient terms (including warehouse lines and capital-market channels where available) can expand the opportunity set for growth.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Credit-cycle sensitivity: consumer delinquencies and charge-offs can rise faster than underwriting models anticipate, compressing spreads.
  • Funding and liquidity risk: disruption in capital markets or repricing of funding can reduce net interest economics even if origination volume holds.
  • Regulatory and compliance risk: consumer lending is exposed to state-level interest rate and licensing frameworks, CFPB/UDAAP scrutiny, and evolving disclosure and servicing expectations.
  • Model risk and adverse selection: changes in borrower behavior, competitive dynamics, or data availability can degrade underwriting accuracy.
  • Operational execution in collections: deterioration in servicing/collections processes can increase loss severity.

📊 Valuation & Market View

The market typically values consumer lenders and alternative credit platforms using a mix of price-to-book (because earnings power is closely tied to credit quality and tangible equity) and cash-flow-based expectations that reflect sustainable net interest margins and credit loss performance. Sector valuation is usually most sensitive to:

  • Credit quality trajectory (charge-offs, delinquency trends, and loss severity outcomes).
  • Net interest spread sustainability (loan yields vs. funding costs) and the ability to reprice without harming volume.
  • Operating leverage (cost per loan origination and servicing efficiency).
  • Capital adequacy (equity levels and loss absorption capacity).

In this sector, valuation “moves” when investors gain confidence that underwriting and funding economics remain resilient across credit regimes.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Open Lending’s long-term investment case rests on sustaining a credit-and-execution moat: disciplined underwriting, credible pricing discipline, and effective servicing/collections that protect risk-adjusted returns. With consumer credit demand supported by structural gaps in traditional lending access, the central question is whether the company can consistently keep credit losses and funding costs aligned with loan economics while scaling operating efficiency.


⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

📰 Market News & Coverage

15 Stories Available

Real-time institutional reporting and market updates for LPRO.

marketbeat.com2026-05-08

Open Lending Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Open Lending NASDAQ: LPRO reported first-quarter 2026 results that management said reflected continued operational discipline amid a challenging auto lending environment, with a deliberate shift away from higher-risk borrowers weighing on approval rates but improving per-loan economics and portfolio quality.

seekingalpha.com2026-05-08

Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

zacks.com2026-05-07

Open Lending (LPRO) Reports Break-Even Earnings for Q1

Open Lending (LPRO) reported break-even quarterly earnings per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.01. This compares to earnings of $0.01 per share a year ago.

globenewswire.com2026-05-07

Open Lending Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

AUSTIN, Texas, May 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Open Lending Corporation (Nasdaq: LPRO) (the “Company” or “Open Lending”), a leading provider of lending enablement and risk analytics solutions for financial institutions, today reported financial results for its first quarter ended March 31, 2026. “We delivered solid execution in the first quarter, which represents another positive step in our transformation and reinforces the deliberate actions we have taken to build a fundamentally healthier and more profitable business,” said Jessica Buss, Chief Executive Officer of Open Lending.

zacks.com2026-04-29

Navient (NAVI) Tops Q1 Earnings Estimates

Navient (NAVI) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.2 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.17 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.28 per share a year ago.

defenseworld.net2026-04-24

Open Lending Corporation (NASDAQ:LPRO) Given Average Recommendation of “Hold” by Brokerages

Shares of Open Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: LPRO - Get Free Report) have earned an average rating of "Hold" from the seven brokerages that are presently covering the stock, Marketbeat reports. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a sell recommendation, three have assigned a hold recommendation and three have given a buy recommendation to

globenewswire.com2026-04-23

Open Lending to Announce First Quarter 2026 Results on May 7, 2026

AUSTIN, Texas, April 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Open Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: LPRO) (“Open Lending” or the “Company”), a leading provider of automotive lending enablement and risk analytics solutions for financial institutions, today announced that the Company plans to issue a press release containing results for the first quarter of 2026 after the market closes on Thursday, May 7, 2026. The Company plans to host a conference call to discuss these results on Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET.

marketbeat.com2026-04-20

These 3 Fintech Stocks Offer High Risk/Reward Potential

Despite substantial hype several years ago, the fintech space has had its share of challenges the past couple of years. Interest rate changes, consumer spending trends, and the dominance of AI-focused tech names have obscured some potentially strong financial technology firms, which are trading well below where analysts expect their shares to be.

seekingalpha.com2026-03-17

Royce Micro-Cap Trust: What Worked

Eight of the portfolio's 11 equity sectors made a positive impact on calendar year performance, led by Industrials, Materials, and Financials. nLIGHT differentiates itself via vertical integration, domain knowledge, and manufacturing capabilities to deliver cutting edge solutions, increasingly to government and defense organizations. Shares of Sprott outperformed as gold prices broke out to record highs amid elevated geopolitical risk, central bank buying, and a weaker U.S. dollar.

seekingalpha.com2026-03-13

Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

zacks.com2026-03-12

Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Open Lending (LPRO) Q4 Earnings

While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Open Lending (LPRO) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended December 2025, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

zacks.com2026-03-12

Open Lending (LPRO) Misses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Open Lending (LPRO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.01 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.02 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.49 per share a year ago.

globenewswire.com2026-03-12

Open Lending Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

AUSTIN, Texas, March 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Open Lending Corporation (Nasdaq: LPRO) (the “Company” or “Open Lending”), a leading provider of lending enablement and risk analytics solutions for financial institutions, today reported financial results for its fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025.

defenseworld.net2026-03-05

Open Lending Corporation (NASDAQ:LPRO) Receives Consensus Rating of “Hold” from Analysts

Open Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: LPRO - Get Free Report) has received a consensus rating of "Hold" from the nine brokerages that are currently covering the company, Marketbeat Ratings reports. One analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, five have issued a hold rating and three have given a buy rating to the company. The

globenewswire.com2026-02-19

Open Lending to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results on March 12, 2026

AUSTIN, Texas, Feb. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Open Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: LPRO) (“Open Lending” or the “Company”), a leading provider of lending enablement and risk analytics solutions for financial institutions, today announced that the Company plans to issue a press release containing results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 after the market closes on Thursday, March 12, 2026. The Company plans to host a conference call to discuss these results on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-03-31

"LPRO reported Q1’26 revenue of $20.49m and net loss of -$0.46m (EPS -$0.0039). On a year-over-year basis, revenue declined from $24.39m in Q1’25 to $20.49m (YoY: -16.0%) and net income deteriorated from +$0.62m to -$0.46m (YoY: -174.6%). Sequentially, revenue rose from $19.35m in Q4’25 (QoQ: +6.0%), but profitability worsened: net income fell from +$1.68m in Q4’25 to -$0.46m (QoQ: -127.4%). Profitability remains volatile. Gross margin improved to 76.3% in Q1’26 (up from 69.5% in Q4’25 and slightly below 75.1% in Q1’25), but operating expenses surged QoQ, driving operating income to -$0.63m (vs +$0.76m in Q4’25). Net margin contracted sharply to -2.2%. Cash flow quality weakened materially: operating cash flow was -$0.76m and free cash flow was -$0.76m in Q1’26 (vs +$5.45m OCF and +$4.67m FCF in Q4’25). The balance sheet is highly liquid (cash & short-term investments $173.3m), with leverage contained (total equity $75.3m) and net debt remaining negative (-$163.7m), implying surplus liquidity. Shareholder returns look strong on price momentum: the stock is up +101.1% over 1 year (no dividends reported and no buybacks shown in this quarter), indicating positive total return primarily via capital appreciation."

Revenue Growth

Caution

Q1’26 revenue $20.49m was down -16.0% YoY (from $24.39m in Q1’25) but up +6.0% QoQ (from $19.35m in Q4’25), showing a rebound that hasn’t translated to sustained growth.

Profitability

Neutral

Operating income swung to -$0.63m in Q1’26 from +$0.76m in Q4’25 (QoQ deterioration). Net margin turned to -2.2% vs +8.7% in Q4’25; YoY net income fell from +$0.62m to -$0.46m.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Q1’26 operating cash flow was -$0.76m and free cash flow -$0.76m, reversing Q4’25 strength (+$5.45m OCF, +$4.67m FCF). No dividends were paid and no buybacks were reported in the quarter.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Liquidity is strong with cash & equivalents of $173.3m. Equity was stable ($75.3m vs $74.9m in Q4’25) and net debt remains negative (-$163.7m), indicating resilience despite earnings volatility.

Shareholder Returns

Good

Capital appreciation is very strong: +101.1% 1-year change. With no dividends reported and no buybacks in Q1’26, total shareholder return appears driven mainly by price momentum.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Caution

Valuation context is mixed: price is $1.71 with a consensus price target of $4 (implying significant upside potential), but profitability is currently negative and earnings volatility is high.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

Management’s tone is confident that the Q4 CERT shortfall was a reversible execution/risk-pricing problem: they tested rate changes, saw conversion obstacles, and rolled back a subset by the week of Jan 16—since then CERTs per business day rebounded to 353 from 293 during the impacted period, with applications up ~20% YoY. They frame 2026 as sequentially compounding growth (3Q/4Q loaded), supported by Apex One Auto routing, OEM 3 state ramp, and improved retention/profitability dashboards. However, the Q&A reveals the bridge from “down mid-20%” CERTs in Q1 YoY to “up high single digits” full-year relies heavily on (1) eliminating the prior quarter’s headwind, (2) solving profitability for credit builders (said to impact more of Q2), and (3) timing OEM 3 ramp into large states. The market pressure is essentially: can CERT growth return without breaking underwriting. Management’s answer is “test-measure-refine + modeling (Red Rocks) + discipline,” not a new demand tailwind story.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Apex One Auto launched in Q4 2025; initially with 2 prime auto customers and subscription-based minimum volume model
  • Apex One Auto routing: declines in prime funnel are routed into core LPP, increasing application flow
  • OEM 3 ramp-up: deployment in Southern California and Texas; expected contribution to 2026 channel mix and book quality
  • Ramped lender profitability dashboards improving customer engagement and same-customer application flow
  • Project Red Rocks (real-time simulation engine) progressing on time/on budget to prevent future rate-volume headwinds

Business Development

  • Two customers in the prime credit auto segment for Apex One Auto at launch (named customers not provided)
  • OEM 3 rollout with dealer partners (named partners not provided); largest states to launch around end of Q1 / start of Q2 (exact states not provided)
  • Credit union channel: lost zero customers in Q4; added 6 new logos in Q4 (named customers not provided)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 CERTs: 19,308 vs 26,065 in 2024 (certified loan shortfall vs guidance from conversion-rate headwind)
  • Q4 revenue: $19.3M vs negative $56.9M prior-year period; Q4 program fee revenue $10.9M, profit share revenue $6.2M, other/claims admin $2.3M
  • Q4 profit share booking: $6.2M ($322 per certified loan) vs $8.2M ($314 per certified loan) in 2024
  • Implied loss ratio at booking: ~72.5% for 2025 vintage; expected to perform closer to mid-60% target loss ratio
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $2.8M in Q4 vs -$75.9M in 2024; full-year adjusted EBITDA $15.6M
  • Full-year: 97,348 certified loans and $93.2M total revenue
  • Full-year certified loan guidance: 100,000 to 110,000 for 2026 (midpoint implies ~8% increase vs 2025 results)
  • Q1 2026 CERT guidance: 21,000 to 22,000
  • 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance: $25M to $29M

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Paid down ~$50M of senior secured term loan in Q4 2025
  • Estimated quarterly interest expense savings: ~$575,000 (based on forward interest rate curves)
  • Repurchased ~564,000 shares for ~$900,000 in Q4; remaining authorization ~$20.1M expiring May 2026
  • Balance sheet (Q4 exit): total assets $230.7M; unrestricted cash $176.6M; total liabilities $161.7M; outstanding debt $84.8M

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Conversion-rate and pipeline disruption: certain rate increases created obstacles to certified loan pipeline; company rolled back subset of changes in phases, completed by week of Jan 16
  • Post-rollback momentum: averaged 353 CERTs per business day since Feb 1 vs 293 CERTs during impacted period; 353 consistent with prior 60-day pre-change level
  • Application flow: ~20% up year over year through February
  • Credit builders: previously virtually eliminated super-thin files (11% of quarterly certifications at one point; underwrite none today); super-thins eliminated following 2024 underwriting guideline changes
  • Credit builders mitigation: initial approach included ~100% insurance premium rate increase; company claims credit builders now ~30% of applications and a solution has been found to price profitably (monitoring ongoing)
  • Automation/control initiative: Project Red Rocks to simulate impacts of rate/credit-box changes on volume, loss ratio, and profitability before implementation

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 CERTs: 100,000 to 110,000 (full year)
  • 2026 Q1 CERTs: 21,000 to 22,000
  • 2026 adjusted EBITDA: $25M to $29M
  • CERT growth cadence expectation: growth compounding quarter over quarter in 2026; third and fourth quarter loaded
  • OEM 3 ramp timing: two largest states launching end of Q1 / beginning of Q2 (per Q&A); CERT jump cited as 76% in Q4 vs Q3

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Q4 operating headwind: temporary conversion rate headwind tied to pricing adjustments (rate increases) that negatively impacted certified loan pipeline; rolled back completed by mid-January
  • Q1 pressure implied by prior year base composition: Q1 2025 included higher credit builder and super-thin volumes (super-thins eliminated in 2025; credit builders significantly reduced via ~100% rate increase and tighter credit stance)
  • Credit builders as an operational constraint: initially reduced/controlled via underwriting/pricing; need to ensure they can be priced without adverse selection (company says solution impacts more of Q2)
  • Book quality risk management: maintaining implied booking loss ratio at ~72.5% (vs mid-60% target) to reduce change-in-estimate volatility; requires underwriting discipline to avoid future elevated defaults/rising delinquencies/adverse loss ratios

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the LPRO Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📋 Official Regulatory 10-K / 10-Q SEC Filings

Direct authenticated documentation links to audited SEC database reports for LPRO.

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SEC Filings (LPRO)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) Financial Profile