Southern Copper Corporation

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Market Cap

Southern Copper Corporation has a market capitalization of $151.61B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $183.53

-7.23 (-3.79%)

Market Cap: 151.61B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Oscar Gonzalez Rocha

Sector: Basic Materials

Industry: Copper

IPO Date: 1996-01-05

Website: https://southerncoppercorp.com

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) - Company Information

Market Cap: 151.61B · Sector: Basic Materials

Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes; production of molybdenum concentrate and sulfuric acid; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials; and mining and processing of zinc and lead. It operates the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, and a smelter and refinery in Peru; and La Caridad, an open-pit copper mine, as well as a copper ore concentrator, a SX-EW plant, a smelter, refinery, and a rod plant in Mexico. The company also operates Buenavista, an open-pit copper mine, as well as two copper concentrators and two operating SX-EW plants in Mexico. In addition, it operates five underground mines that produce zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold; a coal mine that produces coal and coke; and a zinc refinery. The company has interests in 82,134 hectares of exploration concessions in Peru; 493,533 hectares of exploration concessions in Mexico; 246,346 hectares of exploration concessions in Argentina; 29,888 hectares of exploration concessions in Chile; and 7,299 hectares of exploration concessions in Ecuador. Southern Copper Corporation was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Southern Copper Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.

Analyst Sentiment

40%
Sell

Based on 30 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $142.86

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$125

Median

$160

High

$186

Average

$158

Downside: -14.0%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 SOUTHERN COPPER CORP (SCCO) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) is a vertically integrated mining giant headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. The company stands as one of the world’s largest copper producers, managing a comprehensive ecosystem that encompasses exploration, mining, smelting, and refining of copper and related by-products. Its primary mining operations are spread across large-scale, long-life assets in Peru and Mexico, where it also holds proven and probable reserves of copper among the largest globally. SCCO benefits from operational synergy by owning nearly every stage of the value chain, from extraction of ore to the production and marketing of refined metals. The company’s strategic focus lies in maximizing production efficiency, controlling costs, and extending mine life through ongoing development projects. SCCO’s rigorous approach to resource management, project execution, and sustainability initiatives underpins its long-term operational model. As a subsidiary of Grupo México, SCCO enjoys the backing and expertise of one of Latin America’s leading mining conglomerates, ensuring access to capital, technical know-how, and regional influence.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

The core revenue driver for SCCO is the sale of copper, which constitutes a substantial majority of total revenues. Copper production is conducted at its flagship mines—such as Toquepala and Cuajone in Peru, and Buenavista and La Caridad in Mexico. The company’s advanced smelting and refining operations provide flexibility to process both its own and third-party concentrates, optimizing production output and cost structure. Beyond copper, SCCO realizes significant supplementary revenues from the extraction and sale of by-products including molybdenum, zinc, silver, and gold. These by-products are monetized through sales contracts with third parties, adding diversification to its revenue mix and partially mitigating the cyclicality of copper prices. Other minor sources of revenue include fees from transportation, energy generation, and the sale of mining-related materials or services. SCCO’s monetization model is underpinned by long-term sales agreements with industrial clients across Asia, Europe, and North America, as well as participation in the global spot market for refined metals and concentrates.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Southern Copper Corp possesses several enduring competitive advantages that cement its leading role within the global mining sector: - **Resource Scale and Asset Quality:** The company manages multiple tier-1 mining assets with extensive reserves and favorable grades, providing substantial mine lives and production reliability. - **Integrated Operations:** SCCO controls the entire copper value chain, from extraction to final product delivery. This integration yields strong cost efficiencies, technological control, and supply chain resilience. - **Low Cost Structure:** The company consistently ranks among the lowest cash cost producers due to high ore grades, scale, integrated infrastructure, and access to low-cost energy. - **Diversified By-product Base:** Revenue from molybdenum, silver, zinc, and gold adds a buffer against copper market volatility. - **Geographical Diversification:** With major mining districts in Peru and Mexico, operations benefit from regional diversification and proximity to important transportation and export facilities. - **Strong Parent Backing:** SCCO’s majority ownership by Grupo México enables robust financial support and strategic coordination in capital-intensive endeavors. These factors jointly enable SCCO to command a formidable market position, maintain stable margins through commodity price cycles, and secure ahead-of-curve investment in capacity expansion.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

SCCO’s long-term growth thesis is anchored in a combination of operational expansion, industry fundamentals, and global trends: - **Brownfield and Greenfield Expansion Projects:** The company is investing in capacity enhancements at existing operations and pursuing new mine developments, such as major projects in both Peru and Mexico. These investments are set to unlock additional production volumes and extend mine life. - **Rising Global Copper Demand:** Secular trends—including renewable energy, electric vehicles (EVs), infrastructure, and grid modernization—are expected to significantly boost copper consumption worldwide. These developments underpin favorable long-term demand dynamics. - **Operational Efficiencies and Technology:** SCCO’s adoption of automation, digitalization, and sustainability initiatives supports higher productivity and reduced unit costs. - **Resource Conversion and Exploration:** Ongoing investment in exploration drives reserve replacement, while efficiency in resource conversion assures future mining potential. - **Favorable Commodity Cycle Positioning:** As one of the lowest-cost producers, SCCO stands to benefit disproportionately during copper price upcycles, translating top-line gains into robust free cash flow. These multi-year drivers collectively support sustainable top- and bottom-line growth while reinforcing the company’s ability to generate strong returns on invested capital.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Despite its strengths, Southern Copper Corp faces a host of material risks that merit close attention: - **Commodity Price Volatility:** SCCO’s earnings and cash flows are highly sensitive to movements in global copper prices; acute downturns can pressure margins and investment returns. - **Operational and Execution Risks:** Large-scale mining projects carry innate risks, including delays, cost overruns, production shortfalls, or technical setbacks. - **Political and Regulatory Environment:** With substantial operations in Peru and Mexico, SCCO is exposed to changes in local government policies, taxation, royalties, labor laws, and permitting. Social unrest, community opposition, or shifts in environmental policy may impact project timelines and cost structures. - **Environmental and Social Governance (ESG):** Increasing scrutiny on tailings management, water usage, emissions, and labor practices could result in higher compliance costs or operational constraints. - **Resource Depletion:** Asset quality, ore grades, and production sustainability are subject to geologic uncertainties and require ongoing investment in exploration and mine development. - **Foreign Exchange and Inflationary Pressures:** Cost base and sales may be subject to adverse currency movements and inflation in host countries. Proactive mitigation of these risks, alongside careful capital allocation, will be crucial in maintaining long-term shareholder value.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Southern Copper Corp is generally viewed by analysts as a premium copper play, often trading at a valuation multiple reflective of its high-quality assets and low-cost status. Its predictable free cash flow generation and generous dividend policy attract both growth and income-focused investors. The company’s capital allocation prioritizes reinvestment in high-return projects alongside maintenance of a robust balance sheet and prudent leverage levels. Market sentiment tends to view SCCO as a relative safe haven among base metal miners, though its exposure to cyclical swings in copper demand and prices is always a key consideration in valuation models. Comparatively, SCCO’s integrated operations and low cost position often command a valuation premium over less diversified or higher-cost peers. Analyst valuation frameworks typically incorporate net asset value (NAV) calculations, discounted cash flow (DCF) models based on projected copper output, reserve lives, and sensitivity analyses related to copper price scenarios. The company’s long reserve life, coupled with an active growth pipeline, supports an investment horizon that extends well beyond current operations.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Southern Copper Corp stands as a global leader in the copper mining sector, underpinned by world-class tier-1 assets, integrated operations, and a resilient low-cost structure. The company is positioned to benefit from the convergence of growing global copper demand, robust project pipeline, and the secular tailwinds of electrification and green infrastructure. SCCO’s competitive advantages—resource quality, operating scale, integrated infrastructure, and financial discipline—create a compelling foundation for long-term value creation. However, the inherent volatility of commodity markets, exposure to political and regulatory risks, and operational complexity require diligent monitoring and risk management. For investors seeking exposure to the multi-decade growth opportunity in copper, SCCO offers a balanced blend of stability, scalability, and upside potential, tempered by the cyclical and operational realities of global mining. As with any commodity-based investment, prudent portfolio allocation and ongoing due diligence are essential.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"In Q4 2025, SCCO reported a revenue of $3.87 billion, with a net income of $1.31 billion, leading to an EPS of $1.56. The company has shown strong profitability with a net margin of approximately 33.8%. Free cash flow mirrored operating cash flow at $1.56 billion. Year-on-year growth supports positive outlooks, with analysts setting price targets as high as $182 per share. SCCO maintains a robust balance sheet, with total assets of $21.38 billion against total liabilities of $10.28 billion, resulting in a healthy equity of $11.10 billion. The company has net debt of $3.02 billion, but its substantial cash reserves of $3.95 billion mitigate leverage concerns. Dividends remain a key component of shareholder return, with $0.99157 last declared. No share repurchases were made, but debt reductions of $0.5 billion reflect financial prudence. The company's valuation, assessed at a P/E that suggests fair to high pricing considering peers, may capture growth views, with price targets offering upside potential."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Revenue growth solid with $3.87 billion reflecting stable demand. The main drivers include operational efficiency and commodity pricing.

Profitability

Strong

High operating margins with a net margin of 33.8% and EPS at $1.56. Efficiency improvements underpin strong profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Stable free cash flow at $1.56 billion indicates excellent liquidity. Strong cash flows support the dividend program without added debt.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Good

Net debt at $3.02 billion is well managed. Equity surpasses liabilities, demonstrating financial solidity and resilience.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Strong dividend yields provide substantial returns. Share price appreciation complements returns, making SCCO attractive to investors.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Valuation appears fair to potentially overvalued, with a consensus price target of $145 suggesting alignment with market sentiment at time of analysis.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

SCCO delivered record FY25 sales, EBITDA, and earnings on stronger copper and by-product prices and higher by-product volumes, with margins expanding and cash generation solid. Management guides to a 2026 copper production decline due to lower grades in Peru but expects relatively flat unit operating costs aided by robust by-product credits. The project pipeline is progressing, notably Tia Maria at 24% completion, while the copper market backdrop is supportive with an expected 2026 deficit. Cost pressures from currency appreciation and social/security issues at Los Chancas temper the otherwise positive results and outlook.

Growth

  • Record FY25 net sales $13.4B (+17% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $7.8B (+22% YoY; 58% margin), and net income $4.3B (+28% YoY; 32% margin)
  • Q4 sales $3.9B (+$1.1B YoY); adjusted EBITDA $2.3B (+53% YoY; 60% margin); net income $1.04B (+65% YoY; 34% margin)
  • By-product volumes up in 2025: zinc +36%, silver +15%, molybdenum +7.4%
  • Copper prices up: LME +21% YoY and COMEX +22% in Q4; silver price +74% YoY in Q4; moly +5%; zinc +4.3%

Business Development

  • Tia Maria (Peru): $1.8B budget; 24% complete by YE25; ~$800M committed; major earthworks, equipment orders, substation and transmission line works underway; operations expected to start in 2027; significant projected fiscal and export contributions; strong local hiring
  • Michiquillay (Peru): Resource review audited per SEC S-K 1300; next to estimate reserves and mine plan; planned 225 kt/y copper; ~$2.5B investment
  • Los Chancas (Peru): Advancing ESG and community programs; progress hindered by illegal miners; engaging authorities to regain control
  • Buenavista zinc concentrator (Mexico): Focused on zinc due to high-grade pocket, boosting zinc and silver output

Financials

  • Q4 copper sales value +39% YoY on 3% higher volume; moly sales +6%, zinc +23%, silver +106% (volume increases across by-products)
  • Q4 operating costs/expenses +$282M (+19% YoY), driven by workers’ participation, purchased copper, inventory consumption, contractors/services; includes $60M ARO one-time adjustment in Mexico; partially offset by lower Peru labor costs
  • Q4 operating cash cost before credits $2.29/lb (Q3: $2.23); after credits $0.52/lb (Q3: $0.42); by-product credits $920M or $1.77/lb
  • FY25 operating cash cost before credits $2.17/lb (FY24: $2.13); after credits $0.58/lb (FY24: $0.89), mainly on higher by-product credits
  • FY25 operating cash flow $4.8B (+8% YoY), partially offset by higher receivables

Capital & Funding

  • Decade-long capex program >$20.5B across Peru and Mexico
  • FY25 capex $1.3B (+29% YoY), ~30% of FY25 net income
  • Dividend declared Jan 22, 2026: $1.00/share cash plus 0.0085 share/share stock dividend; payable Feb 27, 2026 to holders of record Feb 10, 2026

Operations & Strategy

  • Long-term goal: 1.6Mt copper at lowest competitive cost per pound
  • FY25 copper production 956,270 t (-1.8% YoY), ~1% below 2025 plan
  • Q4 copper production 242,172 t (+1.4% q/q) on better grades/recoveries at La Caridad, Toquepala, Cuajone, IMMSA; partially offset by Buenavista
  • 2026 guidance: copper 911,400 t (-4.7% YoY) due to lower grades in Peru; molybdenum 26,000 t; silver 24 Moz (~-2% YoY)
  • Management targeting relatively flat operating cost per pound; strong by-product output to support credits

Market & Outlook

  • Company estimates a 2026 global copper market deficit of ~320,000 t
  • Exchange and bonded copper inventories ~14 days of global demand (Jan 2026)
  • Currency appreciation (MXN, PEN) currently a larger cost driver than local inflation
  • If silver prices remain elevated, silver could become the primary by-product

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Lower ore grades in Peru driving expected 2026 copper output decline
  • Currency appreciation in Mexico and Peru pressuring costs
  • Illegal miners obstructing progress at Los Chancas
  • Q4 cost inflation in workers’ participation, purchased copper, inventory consumption, and contractor services; one-time $60M ARO adjustment

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the SCCO Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (SCCO)

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